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The First Italian Exit Polls Are Out

Tyler Durden's picture




 

And here we go with the first Senate exit polls from RAI:

  • BERSANI 36%-38%,
  • BERLUSCONI 30%-32%
  • GRILLO 17%-19%,
  • MONTI 7%-9%

As for the chamber:

  • BERSANI 35-37%
  • BERLUSCONI 29-31%
  • GRILLO 19-21%

Visual summary from Il Giornale - Senate:

And Chamber:

The turnout of the elections is estimated to be 76.6%, compared to 80.6% in 2008, and the lowest since World War 2.

Expect more data, lots of it conflicting in the coming minutes and hours. To summarize: Berlusconi+Grillo may end up with a majority, yet due to the way the Senate seats are assigned, the current outcome may be sufficient for Bersani.

As a reminder, the Senate winner needs 158 seats for outright majority (more here)

 

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Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:10 | 3273703 lolmao500
lolmao500's picture

Nooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo. Bersani a ``former`` communist, he'll fit right in the Eurocracy.

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:43 | 3273824 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

communisme... WHAT'S YOURS IS NOW MINE!!

what's next.... namechange to UNITED STATES OF EUROPE?!

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:58 | 3273830 falak pema
falak pema's picture

before becoming a communist he was a philosopher; and before that he was a alpine mountain climber and before that he was a Renaissance paintings nut "angeli del fango".

Italy is a land of many faces; and pastas. 

But the MOST IMPORTANT MESSAGE IS THIS : 

LIVE: ITALIAN LEFT SET TO WIN ELECTION, MARKETS ARE SURGING

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/italian-election-results-2013-2#ixzz2LvID4Lkn

So much for being a Commie...he is totally Euro Oligarchy compatible! 

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:08 | 3273716 Edward Fiatski
Edward Fiatski's picture

Berlusconi - 30/32%. LMAO

Well, the EUR certainly doesn't like that. Heh-heh.

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:08 | 3273718 arkady
arkady's picture

Grillo and 5-star doing slightly bette than expected.   You have to be impressed with that, the guy came out of nowhere and built a party that is now a player in national politics.  

Also, the vampire squid tentacle is doing substantially worse than the previous polls suggest, so that is positive. 

Too bad Italy going Left, but eh, too late for Europe.

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:30 | 3273789 Momauguin Joe
Momauguin Joe's picture

Side by side, Grillo looks to be the most honest of the bunch.

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:39 | 3273811 falak pema
falak pema's picture

if he sings ô sole mio like Berlu and ave maria like Pavarotti he will be elected pope and PM. 

 

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:09 | 3273722 falak pema
falak pema's picture

Bunga bunga time !   Il Cavaliere will be throwing a Swedish Smorgasbord, SS,  to celebrate europe, with IKEA meatballs on menu! All Grillo members welcome as they love swedish delights in southern italy! 

Avanti Forza Italia! 

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:13 | 3273731 Edward Fiatski
Edward Fiatski's picture

HOW DO I GET INVITED TO SUCH ILLUSTRIOUS PARTAYY? Is there going to be an orgy inside a dead horse carcass after the feast?

Graci mille!

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:55 | 3273844 Zero Debt
Zero Debt's picture

Nothing like beating a dead horse..

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 11:12 | 3273918 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

you gonna eat that?

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:51 | 3273846 Spastica Rex
Spastica Rex's picture

Outside of a horse, a book is a man's best friend.

Inside a horse, it's too dark to read.

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:10 | 3273724 Volaille de Bresse
Volaille de Bresse's picture

"MONTI 7%-9%"

 

HA HA! vafanculo cazzo!

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:33 | 3273798 lolmao500
lolmao500's picture

7-9%, that's about the same number of people that approve of congress.

About 10% of humanity is really TOTALLY RETARDED no matter where you go...

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:12 | 3273728 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

  That worthless technocrat Monti, is getting a "Bitch Slapping". They're coming for you next Draghi!

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:12 | 3273729 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

Stupid Italians voting for more austerity and more Europe.  Cowards.

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:15 | 3273745 holdbuysell
holdbuysell's picture

Election results are proudly supported by Diebold. /s

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:22 | 3273761 overmedicatedun...
overmedicatedundersexed's picture

did they throw away all the newspapers with monti wins??? if you vote you just support the crimes of deibold and soros, do they off shore the vote totals like the progressive USA?? what do you call an italian and american voter: dumb and dumer

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 11:06 | 3273904 bigkahuna
bigkahuna's picture

damn Americans and their Soetoro. WTF were THEY thinking?

/political satire off

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:12 | 3273732 butchee
butchee's picture

Hunga-Bunga!

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:13 | 3273735 Volaille de Bresse
Volaille de Bresse's picture

"Berlusconi - 30/32%. LMAO


Well, the EUR certainly doesn't like that"

 

Yep! 

 

"Who'll be the last clown  To bring the house down? "

 SUPERTRAMP "If Everyone Was Listening"

 

His name is Silvio?  

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:19 | 3273753 market le pew
market le pew's picture

I congratulate Italy to its COMMUNIST Governement

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:19 | 3273754 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

Horse head from Czech Swedish meatball factory may end up in Bersani's bed tonight. [/too funny]

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:23 | 3273768 Edward Fiatski
Edward Fiatski's picture

Nah! If you want to stay true to the trade, you get 'em locally or from your target's farm/ranch, and then send in the present. Heh-heh-heh.

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:23 | 3273763 NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

Exit polls typically undercount candidates like Grillo because people vote one way in protest but then do not like to admit they did. Could be Bunga time. And if Bersani pulls something together but has less than 50% of the votes, how long will that last?

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:29 | 3273785 shinobi-7
shinobi-7's picture

Berlusconi just found out that the Vatican was unoccupied next Sunday. Win or lose, he is planning to celebrate with a "festa delle castagne" in the great Italian tradition!

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:31 | 3273792 Super Broccoli
Super Broccoli's picture

looks like 46% of italians are wothless sheeps

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:33 | 3273796 Super Broccoli
Super Broccoli's picture

3,5% of people voted for a guy who's party's name is "civil revolution" ???? LOL

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:35 | 3273805 falak pema
falak pema's picture

in italy revolution means evolution if you include a sweetener...

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:42 | 3273820 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

so what?

America elected a president that said: YES WE CAN!! not you... WE! and who's WE? well...  NOT YOU...!

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:49 | 3273835 Super Broccoli
Super Broccoli's picture

i'm not italian, i don't even speak the language but seeing the results i think i should have gone for it creating a party named ... erm "whatever", "loot the banks" or "let's make war to kazakstan" ;-)

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:36 | 3273806 thismarketisrigged
thismarketisrigged's picture

im rooting for the guy who will send the market crashing. whomever that guy is, hope he wins

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:38 | 3273809 Haus-Targaryen
Haus-Targaryen's picture

Exactly.  The sad thing is, the guy who will send the markets crashing has already been priced in. 

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:50 | 3273839 falak pema
falak pema's picture

lol, your idea of democracy begins in the market. 

That just summarises our current Zeitgeist of shoddy financialista world. 

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:50 | 3273837 Super Broccoli
Super Broccoli's picture

that's not a guy, that's the whole of them not agreeing on who's the boss now ;-)

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:39 | 3273810 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

well... I just want to say.... THE HORSE THAT IS LAST IN THIS RACE WILL BE LASAGNE BY NEXT WEEK!!!

 

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:42 | 3273821 j8h9
j8h9's picture

why are 10yr italian bond falling

http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/GSPG10YR:IND/chart

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:58 | 3273833 Edward Fiatski
Edward Fiatski's picture

You linked Spanish - regardless, it's risk on for that region.

RISK ON, LMAO.

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:50 | 3273840 Super Broccoli
Super Broccoli's picture

who knows .... ?

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 10:45 | 3273826 lolmao500
lolmao500's picture

Exit polls in Italy are mostly BS... anyway.

Black Swan : Lega Nord takes Lombardia and Italy ends up seperating in 2 states, creating an Italian civil war... some of my friends in Italy fear this exact scenario...

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 11:03 | 3273892 Super Broccoli
Super Broccoli's picture

can someone explain what's the point of NOT voting for Monti to vote for Bersani ???? They think JPM's logo more fashionable than the GS's ?

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 11:21 | 3273943 Glass Seagull
Glass Seagull's picture

 

 

Micheal McDonald running in this poll?  He's soooo talented in soooo many ways.

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 12:12 | 3273986 Monedas
Monedas's picture

The emotional, female reaction is to veer left in a crisis (FDR, Hitler, Mussolini, Stalin, Castro, Chavez, Kirchner)!  These weak, divided PIGS governments appeal to me .... they are more likely to do nothing .... and let people cheat on their taxes ! The Italians are hanging on to their gold, the people are hoarding their own gold and they're milking the Euro Zone for all they can get .... I wish our government was looking out for us ! That cruise ship captain still hasn't gone to trial .... they cover their own ! Italy will muddle through .... worry about us !

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 12:24 | 3274138 Shell Game
Shell Game's picture

Monedas wrote: "I wish our government was looking out for us!"

The only 'wish' I have for our government is that it would fit on the head of a pin...

Tue, 02/26/2013 - 10:21 | 3277298 Zgangsta
Zgangsta's picture

In Soviet Russia, government looks out for you.

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 15:25 | 3274230 Bicycle Repairman
Bicycle Repairman's picture

edit

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 12:55 | 3274233 John Wilmot
John Wilmot's picture

Hey look, a libertarian(-ish) party: Fermare Il Declino (Stop the Decline).

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stop_the_Decline

"The core goals of FiD include the reduction of the national debt by 20% of GDP in 5 years, the reduction of the public expenditure by at least 6% of GDP in 5 years, the reduction of the tax burden on citizens by at least 5% in 5 years, the introduction of a serious federalism, university reform, liberalizations and privatizations."

 

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 13:14 | 3274281 Montezuma
Montezuma's picture

"The turnout of the elections is estimated to be 76.6%, compared to 80.6% in 2008, and the lowest since World War 2."

To be fair Italy had compulsory voting until 1993 and weather was really bad. Just keeping it real.

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 13:33 | 3274324 trichotil
trichotil's picture

italian (or any country for that matter) voting instructions:

please use your (non open source easily manipulated) voting machine to select the rothschild minion  sabre rattling freemason murderous satanic jew scumbag of your choice. all hail democracy in action!

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!