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Goldman: "A Day Characterized By Broad-Based Liquidation"

Tyler Durden's picture





 

From Goldman's sales and trading desk

Equities suffer their biggest single day loss on the year with financials performing the worst. The uncertainty surrounding the Italian election was the clearest negative catalyst, but the price action in USDJPY surely adding to the nervousness. SPX ends down 28 to close 1488 (-1.83%). The DOW ends down 216 to close 13784 (-1.55%). The NASDAQ ends down 46 to close 3116 (-1.44%).

The VIX closes up almost 5 handles at 18.99. Today was also the largest day by volume for the front-month VIX contract.

Popular positions were under significant pressure in FX today. EURUSD and EURJPY initially hit on the back of Italian elections headlines. That eventually brought about EURCHF stops (sub 1.2260) and eventually significant USDJPY stops (through 93.00 and all way down to a low 90.85).

Treasuries rallied sharply on the day in line with the broader risk off move. 10s rallied nearly 10bp on the day though flows were skewed towards better selling – hedge funds selling in the belly in both cash and swaps as accounts looked to fade the rally. Later in the day flows shifted as tactical shorts looked to cover.  We also saw better paying from real money in the back end. In Europe, we saw a sharp reversal in Italy as polls suggested risk of a hung parliament – flows were skewed towards selling of 5y and 10y Italy from domestic, levered, and European real money accounts.

Gold finished up $11.60 to 1593.50 on a day characterized by broad based liquidation in the macro markets. Expectations of colder weather pushed natural gas prices much higher today with Apr trading up 12c to 3.47 (+3.61%). Base metals was a bit of a mixed bag but Nickel once again the biggest underperformer shaving $270 (-1.59%)

Credit was driven by the macro environment today as the credit indices led single names wider. IG19 ended +3.66bp to 90.125bp, and HY19 was -.69pts to 101.969pts. In Europe, iTraxx MAIN S18 closed +.38bp to 113.25bp, and iTraxx XOVER S18 finished +3.25bp to 443.25bp.

 


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Mon, 02/25/2013 - 19:52 | Link to Comment kito
kito's picture

roll call: all those who dont give a shit what goldmans spews from its bowels>>>>>>>

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 20:07 | Link to Comment DJ Happy Ending
DJ Happy Ending's picture

As a contrarian indicator, I give a shit.

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 20:32 | Link to Comment Spirit Of Truth
Spirit Of Truth's picture

Well, I'm glad the reversal from Dow 14K hasn't involved World War Three....at least not yet:

http://thespiritoftruth.blogspot.com/2013/02/dow-14000-world-war-three.html

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 20:39 | Link to Comment Half_A_Billion_...
Half_A_Billion_Hollow_Points's picture

 

 

 

 

We've had the shoeshine boy moment --> http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000146541&play=1

 

"OMG that's amazing and that's so easy and I gotta do this […] I'm addicted!"

 

(Background of 1929's shoeshine boy for those in a coma: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joseph_P._Kennedy,_Sr.#The_Crash)

 

 

 

We've had the "stocks seem to have reached a permanently high plateau" moment --> http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000148510   

 

Greenspan: "this means that it's going to be very difficult to get stocks down. it's very much like saying the earnings price ratio is at a level which it cannot basically go down very much"

 

 

Same thing in 1929: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Irving_Fisher#Stock_market_crash_of_1929

 

 

THIS IS THE THIRD FIRM SELL SIGNAL.

 

Bernanke: "There is no bubble."--> http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-02-22/bernanke-there-no-bubble#commen...  

 

 

 

 

 

Prepare for the great crash of 2013.  

 

All the devils are here.

 

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 21:39 | Link to Comment kito
kito's picture

you need goldman to tell you the opposite of what you already know? really?

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 20:10 | Link to Comment Shell Game
Shell Game's picture

"If you know your enemies and know yourself, you will not be imperiled in a hundred battles; if you do not know your enemies but do know yourself, you will win one and lose one; if you do not know your enemies nor yourself, you will be imperiled in every single battle." --Sun Tzu

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 20:19 | Link to Comment Richard III
Richard III's picture

Well, so much for the Yankees this season, then.

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 20:34 | Link to Comment Shell Game
Shell Game's picture

Ichiro Tzusuki!   ;)

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 19:53 | Link to Comment NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

All I own is gold and cash. A nice day in the markets.

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 20:26 | Link to Comment unununium
unununium's picture

Long PM's and short markets ... I live for days like this.

Here's to more like it.  But let's be real.   PPT probably already on the job.

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 20:44 | Link to Comment disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Maybe to ramp up gold and oil...but they've never touched equities and they never will...we'll see. "If the Fed's out of bullets the Fed's out of bullets." your trade is clearly bearish on employment let alone any job anywhere so I'm not ready to go there. Having said that there is an "endless well" for the big boyz to slash and burn and as such I think your caution is warranted.

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 21:36 | Link to Comment lotsoffun
lotsoffun's picture

bennie b. - 'sell me your assets and name your price.  it's not my job to market to market, i have to trust you guys, because i work for your best interests and i know you won't do me wrong'

 

buy the dip.....  this is just algo's making money for the big guys.

 

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 21:33 | Link to Comment lotsoffun
lotsoffun's picture

cantor's get paid to sing at events.  they'll haul bennie out tomorrow and he'll be singing no bubbles and lots more to print.

 

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 19:57 | Link to Comment Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

I got out two weeks ago.  Sitting on cash.  :-)

Still waiting for backorder of Ag bullion.   :-(

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 20:04 | Link to Comment Water Is Wet
Water Is Wet's picture

Goldman is a chode.

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 20:06 | Link to Comment Pareto
Pareto's picture

Nominal yields on 10's to go negative......unless you still believe in Santa Claus

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 20:11 | Link to Comment unrulian
unrulian's picture

...who doesn't believe in santa?

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 20:19 | Link to Comment El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

Key reversal...Bitchez

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 20:29 | Link to Comment klwilly
klwilly's picture

is this a 3x top on the nasdaq?  yahoo max view.  linear scale.  just ask'in.

 

 

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 20:36 | Link to Comment icanhasbailout
icanhasbailout's picture

I'm surprised Yahoo didn't overlay the key parts of your graph with some market pumping Goldmanite press release.

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 20:33 | Link to Comment Racer
Racer's picture

oh and guess what, unsurprisingly the overnight thinly liquid futures are soaring to liquidate any overnight shorts

Tue, 02/26/2013 - 11:40 | Link to Comment Tursas
Tursas's picture

Squid in action!

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 21:00 | Link to Comment gould's fisker
gould's fisker's picture

Since Goldman can play the giant squid and populate many of the central banks at the same time I don't see why it can't make todays "markets" go up and up and up.  What's wrong with them, how can they let a little "broad based liquidation" get in the way?

Mon, 02/25/2013 - 21:21 | Link to Comment klwilly
klwilly's picture

Just wondering if the moral laws of gravity have been suspended and every scoundrel government will always suceed in raping its own populace.  

 

Tue, 02/26/2013 - 05:06 | Link to Comment fukidontknow
fukidontknow's picture

I always knew that little gimp Bill English was a plant - ha ha leveraged buy out bitchz - Goldman fucked the Greeks and now Kiwi gonna get it Greek style ...

http://www.nbr.co.nz/article/treasury-hires-goldman-sachs-run-ruler-over...

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