Trannies Gone Wild
Volume remains 'average' but there is one corner of this market that has gone full retard today. Despite rising energy costs, the Dow Transports has surged 3% - thanks in large part to Kansas City Southern, JB Hunt, and Union Pacific which account for more than half the TRAN gains. Presented for your visual adoration, Trannies gone wild...
February performance of the major US equity indices...
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Exactly, he is the bond market. He is the demand. This puts the lie to the constant refrain in Krugman's columns that "interest rates are low because there are plenty of buyers." No, there aren't. There's the Fed.
Krugman (or whoever you are), I have never done this before - but you are in a class by yourself. You have therefore earned an automatic down vote - whenever I see your name as writer of a post it will get a downcheck. Enjoy your popularity.
Its this kind of thinking that pretends that behaviour doesn't change and that incentives "don't matta". Bernake has completely destroyed the only price mechanism in the market that really matters - INTEREST RATES! That's the point. He's creating capital dislocations (distortions) in every corner of the market by QEing a zero cost of capital paradigm. I don't care what anybody says, asset prices are too fucking high relative to what they would be absent a FED suppressing rates.
Lucas (1976) made short work of this crap 36 years ago, but, we're still doing it, thinking all along that this time it will be different. There is nothing productive about what Bernanke is doing. he is creating Non Wealth generating behaviour, plain and simple, and he is enabling the continued profligacy of the Federal government. He will never unwind this position. The debt will be monetized, and that will be that, because, at the end of the day, thee isn't, nor can there ever be, a free lunch.
Well you contradict yourself now, because everyone knows since Fullarton 1844 that any money printing of base money (if base money is Gold or fiat ) will depress interest rates, push up land prices, push up the prices of interest bearing securities, and finally in fine commodities.
Bernanke is diguising the ~borrowing~ operation the Gov. In fact since those bonds on teh Fed balance sheet will never result in shrinkage of hte monetary base. If hte monetary base is not shrunk backwards, it is not a loan, it is just printed new green bills giving them to the gov and the gov spends. Period. Whatever is on teh balance of the FEd should be substracted from total Gov debt.
Lindsey Graham is a cocksuker
Sucker bet! PMI down to all time low and the trannies are up, so this means they are building inventorties because nothing on a retail basis is selling. Fraudulkent manipulated markets
"Quick, Ma! Execute a stoploss on the PM and get on them Trans futures!!! We'lll get RICH!!! And if we make enough, we can go to the Hedge Fundies Ball this year!!!"
There's quite of a difference between VOLUME AND LIQUIDITY (DEPTH).
If I have 1 share and sell it to you and you sell it back to me instantly and we do this infinitely, then volume is infinite but liquidity (depth) is just 1 share.
Hence, if primary dealers bounce around the same batch of stocks but a lot more frequently, volume could get higher, but not much is being traded.
Volume per se is very misleading.
As Tyler just showed, technological developement is increasing oil production. This means we can keep cost down, since supply is coming online. This flies in the face of your recent posts - that higher oil prices will kill the recovery - because we will be able to keep oil prices down while we increase productivity.
I never said there's no oil available, actually it has been me shouting out that there's plenty of oil.
What I've said is that oil is being bought and STORED, as opposed to released into the CONSUMPTION MARKET.
This is still the case. Normal supply/demand price is at about $40-50 WTI, hence oil is in hyperinflation....until oil in storage is DUMPED into the consumption market, same as in 2008.
That's why there was recovery from 2009 at oil 35, that's why recovery stopped at oil 80, that why we are in a contraction right now at oil 95.
Rule of thumb:
Oil at $35 = Economic Growth
Oil at $70 = Economic Stall
Oil at $95 = Economic Contraction.
that's why POTUS tried to sell oil from SPR on the world market at a price well above those, to maintain HIGHER oil prices. but maybe the time has come to let asset prices find their own level. that means economic growth.
Oil at $145 = Hold onto your potatoes Docca Jones!!
That is literally war, no exaggeration.
I doubt there is enough oil in tankers to bring the price of crude down substantially. Oil demand is around 70 million b/d, which means for any long term benefit there would need to be a lot of tankers....
Sorry but I do not think your theory is logical.
A looooooot of them, on shore and offshore.
Enough to put a dent in 70m b/d? I doubt that. Technology is our best friend in how oil's price will ove lower from here.
I haven't even started on technological advances in green energy yet, either!
You already covered that as MDB.
on technological advances in green energy yet, either!
At the risk of repeating myself, "JEVON'S PARADOX" moron.
Hey genie ass butt plug, put on your keynesian tin foil hat and explain this......there has been no shortage of oil for some time now and demand is declining, yet prices are higher for this time of year than they ever have been, why? You, in fact, state there is increasing production, yet prices are higher, why? Can't be dollar devaluation I know, because you keynesians have banished debasement fueled inflation to the nether realm. Shortage of fairy farts maybe? Unicorn tears have all dried up?
Please explain.
What is the marginal cost. What is the cost with externalities?
Since the Fed is forcing investors into the Great Rotation, all equities should go full retard. When you divide by 0, you get infinity. As long as any equity is below infinity, people do not understand Daddy Bernanke's wishes.
Take a look at an intraday chart of Amazon...that goose was on a bad news day for Amazon re new Kindle update is flawed and may delete one's library
Serves 'em all right. The "customers" are not buying my book so screw 'em.
Damnit! You tricked us.
-SEC
The headline made me think it was an ad for a new video...
why is KSU up 10%????
pray tell....
The Federallies Like trains, today.
I guess the dummies on Wall Street need three outside day reversals before they take any notice.
so it took till noon wed to wipe out all the losses for the week.
what a fucking comedy this market is.
I don't like looking at these ones either
Sitting here in the Deflationists Lounge asking the older guys if they remember horses being part of the transports. Since horses are getting back into the news lately this could be the reason for transports strength.