Shorting The Market On These March Days Will Be Hazardous To Your Health

Tyler Durden's picture




The last time we looked at the "hazardous" days for shorting in January and February, we found something very simple - being a bear on POMO days, or those days in which Ben Bernanke makes it his life's mission to personally annihilate anyone who dares to face his money-spewing helicopter-printer with something as pathetic as a sense of reality and a frontal lobe, leads to certain immediate or eventual destruction, depending on one's margin level. So thanks to the most recent monthly update of POMO days covering the month of March, here is Ben Bernanke at his most helpful, providing the schedule in which he, the NY Fed, and the Primary Dealers will proceed to rip the heads off those who happen to be short in the face of what are the now daily GETCO stop hunts that send the S&P higher by 5-15 point in minutes on, well, absolutely no news, except for the usual deluge of between $1 and $5 billion in additional purchasing handed over by Chairman Ben to the banks because, you see, they need the money. And sooner or later it will trickle down on everyone else.

Below are the March POMO days: short the highlighted days at your own risk.

Looks like the Fed was kind enough to leave March 8 open. Every other day... oops.

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Mon, 03/04/2013 - 15:56 | 3298621 Stackers
Stackers's picture

yeah, thats pretty much every day of the week ........

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:01 | 3298646 James_Cole
James_Cole's picture

'Wealth' creation days. 

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:03 | 3298653 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Stock prices have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau (at least in nominal terms).

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:06 | 3298669 French Frog
French Frog's picture

"Looks like the Fed was kind enough to leave March 8 open"

That's NFP day! Is the Fed trying to tell us something, like a very bad number is expected then?

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:13 | 3298687 Beam Me Up Scotty
Beam Me Up Scotty's picture

"And sooner or later it will trickle down on everyone else".....

I thought the democrats/lefties hated Reaganomics? Of course, for every reason they hated W., Obama is 10 times worse than W. ever was for all those same reasons.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:40 | 3298778 James_Cole
James_Cole's picture

 

"I thought the democrats/lefties hated Reaganomics? Of course, for every reason they hated W., Obama is 10 times worse than W. ever was for all those same reasons."

The United States economy, 1970 - present.

Burns 1970 - 1978

Volcker 1979 - 1987

Greenspan 1987 - 2006

Bernanke 2006 - present

The rest is sideshow.

 

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:41 | 3298784 Divided States ...
Divided States of America's picture

The only Shorts left are those found in your drawer.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 17:23 | 3298947 fourchan
fourchan's picture

they create the money from thin air, why wouldn't they be able to "Buy" the entire supply of anything?

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 17:00 | 3298836 AGuy
AGuy's picture

"That's NFP day! Is the Fed trying to tell us something, like a very bad number is expected then?"

No, its because Ctrl-P is worn out and the IT guy is scheduled to replace it on that day.

 

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 15:56 | 3298626 SolidSnake961
SolidSnake961's picture

K-Hen needed 1 day off

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:00 | 3298627 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

It is just perverse that the FED is doing outright purchases of Treasuries, perverse.

And $45 Billion a month? 

PERVERSE.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 17:24 | 3298951 fourchan
fourchan's picture

its unamerican, as in the destruction of america and its monetary system is unamerican.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 15:58 | 3298629 Kreditanstalt
Kreditanstalt's picture

The real economy is flat on its back.  Gold & silver have been driven into the ground (paper PMs, that is!) and the dollar is flat-to-falling.  Bonds pay peanuts - and that payout is in paper.  Canadian indices are falling this morning.

Would someone explain what - other than printed money given to banks - is happening?  It's NUTLAND.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:02 | 3298651 rubearish10
rubearish10's picture

It's a big miss and ZH has become a Psycho Ward.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:04 | 3298662 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

March is SockPuppet appreciation month.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:02 | 3298652 CrashisOptimistic
CrashisOptimistic's picture

It's HFT.

There is no market.   S&P volume is 1998 levels with 12 million more people in the US than then.  Maybe a billion more shares to be traded, but 1998 is what it is -- and 80% of that is HFT.

Get out.  Stay out.  It's all gone.  It's never going back to what it was.

Learn how to farm for profit and buy farmland.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:54 | 3298822 chdwlch1
chdwlch1's picture

"Return-Free Risk" that's all the stawk market has become (unless you're lucky enough to be on the pre-crash call list!).  Stick to the ABCDs of investing to survive these crazy times...Anything Bernanke Can't Destroy!

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:08 | 3298674 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

So my bank recently is trying to get me to pay $9.95 per month to get a "secure" checking account:

"Upgrade to Secure Checking Plus to get identity protection, a new debit card with increased purchase protection and more — all for just $9.95 a month."

Oh yeah, and if anyone else is on the account, it will cost another $4.95 per month.

So...I have to pay a monthly fee to get a "secure" bank account?

PONZI!

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:57 | 3298828 eclectic syncretist
eclectic syncretist's picture

A lot of what's holding this Ponzi together right now is mutual trust between the big banks based on shaky assurances from the Fed and Gov.  It won't last forever.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 19:40 | 3299295 Tijuana Donkey Show
Tijuana Donkey Show's picture

Credit union.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:44 | 3298792 piceridu
piceridu's picture

Haven't you seen Leonard Nimoy's newest show...In Search of...Yield

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 15:58 | 3298630 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

it does not look like they are buying mining stocks with pomo. just a heads up.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:02 | 3298647 Kreditanstalt
Kreditanstalt's picture

Curious why not...

Have they bad-mouthed gold so much they've painted themselves into a corner?

Dividends too low?

Do they believe their own nonsense?  Gold stocks are at historic lows.

 

 

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:07 | 3298667 Irelevant
Irelevant's picture

Bankrupt mines is actually bullish for physical metal. Peak gold anyone?

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:08 | 3298676 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Of course they believe their own nonsense. Bubbles everywhere though. Bonds, Stocks, real estate, currencies. The fuse is just a hell of a lot longer than I thought.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 17:29 | 3298974 samcontrol
samcontrol's picture

bb i,m getting so hammered on exk,ag,pzg and the likes it,s ridiculous..
changed the pos gdx today for nem..

..and then i went berzerk and FUCKING CONTRARIAN

i trippled all my pms plays.and bought 400 shares of apple.
rest of the world cannot get their hands on the real stuff
i will hold until they go under. why the fuck not..
the only thing working in this market , is do the stupid play by the stupid guy.that is me today!

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 17:42 | 3299026 Kreditanstalt
Kreditanstalt's picture

Hammered...THIS MORNING??

I've been beaten into the ground since at least Sept. 2011.  You kind of write it off as (temporarily?) dead money and a long term put on the future failure of central planning.

Then you check the flyers to find out what's on sale today.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 20:52 | 3299490 Midas
Midas's picture

EXK didn't bother me at all today, but that is because I own more HL.  Shit.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 15:58 | 3298631 gjp
gjp's picture

Every day but 2 or 3.

I guess that's why CRM is still a buy at 100x 'adjusted' next year's earnings and Amazon is up 3% ($4 billion) even as they borrow money and their revenue growth declines.

Nasdaq bubble redux, paper commodities under pressure, Central Banker nirvana, again!

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 15:59 | 3298634 lolmao500
lolmao500's picture

What's up with that?

http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=218304

Oh, Those Swaps? 

You know, the ones that we were told weren't a problem (until they suddenly were in 2008) and which the banks evaded having actually forced onto exchanges and centrally marked to the market on a nightly basis, with cash (or equivalent) collateral posted against positions?

Yeah, those?

The problem didn't go away, wasn't taken down, and there are persistent rumblings that if certain entities over in Europe start to press their hand (and maybe even if they don't) there are a lot of folks who are hiding ugly surprises.

If this blows we the people deserve it for refusing to demand change and Congress along with the Administration deserve to be ejected en-masse.

Watch for the mewling to begin shortly.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 15:59 | 3298635 reTARD
reTARD's picture

Dear Senator Feinstein,

 

 

Thank you for your help to pass the Affordable Care Act and your progress to improve healthcare and insurance regulations. However, we need to improve on the area of helping to keep the costs from raising too rapidly.

 

 

Please consider my humble suggestion of a progressive overweight/obesity fee or state-instituted "insurance premium" on obesity. I believe that it would help our population in the following ways:

 

 

  1. By incentivizing healthier eating and exercising habits via "preventative" and progressive fees (or "insurance premiums") for obesity as a proactive approach to fighting the "war on obesity."
  2. By providing additional funding to any state program that assists with the regulation and tracking of obesity.
  3. By ultimately lowering healthcare and insurance costs with an overall healthier population. Perhaps you could view this as with the similar success of the anti-tobacco campaign to drastically reduce smoking.
  4. By providing much needed jobs as such a program could potentially create a new "health regulation" industry to supplement healthcare and insurance.

 

 

The possibilities could be endless. The regulation of weight could be kept private and conducted as part of the DMV as different weight classes with more frequently updated driver licenses (or IDs) and then even enforced at the food distribution endpoints (markets, restaurants, etc.) much like how vendors must check IDs for the purchase of alcohol and tobacco.

 

 

Sincerely,

LOL

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:19 | 3298703 pods
pods's picture

Actually quite plausible.  When they get tired of ass reaming the smokers they will be coming to pound some cellulite.

And we all know that poor old Ned Beatty didn't make it up the hill.

WHAT ABOUT WHAT DEY DONE TO BOBBY!          shall be our war cry.

pods

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:30 | 3298744 astoriajoe
astoriajoe's picture

couldn't fat people just be viewed as financial terrorists?

They make the program less efficient by costing so much more, thereby reducing the competitiveness of American healthcare providers.

Send in the SWAT team.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 17:08 | 3298868 optimator
optimator's picture

Hope she personally got the message, did you remember to write "Check Enclosed" on the envelope?

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:00 | 3298636 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

It seems every day is a 'long' day POMO wise. They have switched from weekly SCUD missiles to near daily mortar rounds over the fence.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:20 | 3298710 pods
pods's picture

All that cheddar has got to go somewhere.

pods

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 15:59 | 3298639 Cthonic
Cthonic's picture

Biggest buy on the ides of March.  Ben isn't superstitious is he?

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:02 | 3298650 lolmao500
lolmao500's picture

In the year of the snake...

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:21 | 3298716 rayban
rayban's picture

Quadruple witching day. Clearly a coincidence.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 18:09 | 3299068 asteroids
asteroids's picture

Nope its, options ex day.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:00 | 3298642 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

  I wondered why T10s were up 2.5bps. silly me :-s

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:02 | 3298648 lolmao500
lolmao500's picture

While the French finance minister is saying BS again.

http://ransquawk.com/headlines/french-finance-minister-moscovici-repeats...

French finance minister Moscovici repeats that France cannot meet 2013 deficit target

Says:
- Impressed by the determination of Greek government.
- Spanish situation has stabilized.
- Spain banking program is very satisfactory.

LOL sure.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:05 | 3298661 Downtoolong
Downtoolong's picture

$1 and $5 billion in additional purchasing handed over by Chairman Ben to the banks

And the problem with trying to get in on it and ride the wave is that when the party is over they will be the first and you will be the last to know.

We are living the largest pump and dump scam in history (aka organized theft), which there is no way for anyone but the big banks, dealers, and insiders to win.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 17:07 | 3298860 optimator
optimator's picture

Know the feeling, I wish I even knew a janitor at a few Bankster locations.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:07 | 3298665 lolmao500
lolmao500's picture

RUMORS OF ITALY DOWNGRADE TONIGHT BY S&P

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:09 | 3298679 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Meh....

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:23 | 3298723 Hulk
Hulk's picture

I downgrade in your General Direction !!!

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:06 | 3298670 lunaticfringe
lunaticfringe's picture

I bailed out this a.m. Took my RUT haircut- thnking no fucking way can this market march higher on bad news. And it does. POMO is an unstoppable force. It is the herpes of 2013.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 19:41 | 3299300 opnwhlracer
opnwhlracer's picture

Got my ass roasted short ES this moring too. Glad I bought those AAPL 400 puts. Saved my ass big time.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:10 | 3298680 spine001
spine001's picture

Watch for the acceleration of purchases by the FED. Money velocity will have to be increased just to keep market afloat, creating acceleration of money printing watch for that acceleration rate as soon as it starts ramping up more than 10% it is all over and they know it. That is why there was talk of markets not functioning correctly in the last meeting of the FOMC.

 

Until next time,

Engineer

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