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The Two Eras Of Financial Globalization: A Flashing Red Warning

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The rise of cross-border investing in recent decades is not the first time the world has seen a significant burst of financial globalization. Indeed, the Second Industrial Revolution coincided with a new era of capital mobility that extended roughly from 1860 to 1915. Foreign investment assets rose to 55 percent of GDP in the major European economies.

 

 

This wave of financial globalization reflected European investment in colonies and former colonies. As the British Empire reached its peak, Great Britain alone accounted for half of the foreign assets of the period. These investments helped fund the industrialization and urbanization that transformed recipient nations such as Canada, Australia, and Argentina.

But the ending of the first age of financial globalization provides a cautionary tale. Two world wars and a global depression not only brought this period of integration to a halt but also ushered in six decades of tightly restricted capital flows and pegged foreign exchange rates. Foreign investment assets as a share of GDP in the major economies did not regain their earlier peak until 1990. Today it is unclear whether financial globalization will rebound or whether we will enter a similar period of more insular national financial markets.

 

Source: McKinsey

 

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Mon, 03/04/2013 - 14:21 | 3298329 waterwitch
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wwIII

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 15:26 | 3298529 Groundhog Day
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thats why they are probably building that space station, their will be no place to hide for those banker elites once the chain reaction starts

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 14:22 | 3298334 ParkAveFlasher
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Mordor, bitchez!

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 14:25 | 3298339 formadesika3
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Argentina spawned a broadway musical, what did Canada and Australlia do with their big chance at the spotlight?

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 14:35 | 3298368 Piranhanoia
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William Shatner and Paul Hogan

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 14:42 | 3298392 Kirk2NCC1701
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+1 for mentioning Bill Shatner - aka Captain Kirk.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 15:11 | 3298488 TruthInSunshine
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Oh Noes!!!  Warren "Let's Plow Taxpayer Up Their Asses Some More Charlie Munger" Buffett is worried about how The Bernanke will "unwind" the Fed's balance sheet!!!!!!!!!

 

Buffett sees 'hair trigger' when Fed ups rates


Buffett is worried about Fed policy


LMFAO!!!!!!!

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 17:42 | 3299028 Shizzmoney
Shizzmoney's picture

Will Buffett or Munger just die off already?

Jesus Christ we are never gonna get anywhere until these plutocratic old dudes are taken care of by Father Time.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 14:40 | 3298382 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

Not much except to export  a few things: 

PM's, energy, resources, beer, beef, back-bacon, publicly educated college grads for US industry, actors, comedians, a great Lumberjack song, some pop & rock songs, news anchors, hockey players, UN peacekeepers (so US GI's don't have to be used for target practice), and hunting & fishing trophies.  And fake passports to the CIA.  Sorry about the fake passports, world.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 15:00 | 3298451 natronic
natronic's picture

mmmmmmmm beer

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 19:20 | 3299232 A Nanny Moose
Mon, 03/04/2013 - 23:18 | 3299833 formadesika3
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Oh okay, just askin'.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 14:28 | 3298341 Belrev
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Oh jeez. Another post about how the world is about to crash.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 14:55 | 3298362 TruthInSunshine
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Yes, the fact that ZH came into existence 4 years ago (a massive, historic legacy long enough to fairly compare it to the success-- or failure more accurately-- of fiat fractional reserve monetary systems) and was the literal first publicly available source to highlight such things as HFT, etc., supports your point, and history will prove ZH wrong in retrospect about many of the issues it's choosing to highlight since.  /sarc (since you're slooow)

I see that you edited your comment, fuckin' weasel.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 14:26 | 3298342 Dr. Engali
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WWI and II will be a picinic compared to what's coming.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:30 | 3298750 Lordflin
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That is a certainty... no nation has not used the arsenal at its disposal during a major war. In WWII the US, possesor of the worlds only nuclear weapons, managed to manufacture three. It used one for a test and dropped the other two...

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 14:27 | 3298344 Bicycle Repairman
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LCDs are burning out all over the world.  I fear replacements will not arrive from China again in our lifetimes.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 14:31 | 3298350 Edward Fiatski
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Yet the Cycle repeats... World Wars in the Grand Scheme of things are irrelevant, so long as The Evolution continues. :)

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 14:34 | 3298367 SleepingBear
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Nothing that potentially involves nuclear winter is irrelevant, especcially in terms of human evolution

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 14:36 | 3298375 Edward Fiatski
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Nuclear Winter-Schminter, Life will adapt, so will we.

A World War is a controlled Event. :)

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 14:42 | 3298385 SleepingBear
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It will make human evolution significantly more interesting.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 19:23 | 3299241 A Nanny Moose
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Perhaps the we will mutate into a species with the capacity for logic and reason.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 14:33 | 3298365 strangeglove
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My ass just started leaking oil, what do it mean?

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 14:36 | 3298372 dick cheneys ghost
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If you dont have a cork, try some jewish toilet paper (rothschild script)

 

hope that helps

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 14:37 | 3298376 ParkAveFlasher
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Fox News.  That's what that means.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 14:53 | 3298429 Dr. Engali
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You're using too much lubricant.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 14:54 | 3298435 Disenchanted
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stop eating 'tuna' ?

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 15:24 | 3298525 debtor of last ...
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Pray that no one will come drill for moar.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 17:43 | 3299032 falak pema
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your'e the new messiah the girls will love ya! 

Imagine swimming in your OWN private oil pool at the turn of a tap ! 

You can insure your ass for any price; just name it! 

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 17:43 | 3299034 Shizzmoney
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You ate sushi tuna that wasn't really tuna.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 15:05 | 3298469 q99x2
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Ya that's how banksters do it. Their greed attempts to kill everyone and end the world. That's why I don't like them.

Tue, 03/05/2013 - 01:23 | 3300041 W74
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Not quite as easy as bulldozing Palestinian villages, but hey...ya gotta start somewhere.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 15:12 | 3298479 Ham-bone
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200yr Hockeystick chart w/ a jagged, descending top edge...hmmm???

Guessing this one will not make the financial advisor new client PPT deck?

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 15:12 | 3298493 stiler
stiler's picture

financial globalization <---

insular national financial markets. <---

i'd say more globalization, but there may be an "adjustment" period. 

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 17:41 | 3299023 Shizzmoney
Shizzmoney's picture

Globalization ain't THE problem; it's the people RUNNING it.

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 16:16 | 3298696 Black Markets
Black Markets's picture

So what's the story here?

We can look forward to 60 years of industrialisation because 2013 is just like 1865?

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 17:34 | 3298987 Shizzmoney
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It's not ironic that the income inequality has increased to perverse levels since financial globalization has begun.

The average worker needs to work more than a month to earn what the CEO makes in one hour

http://t.co/NbhAVUdx3J

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 17:39 | 3299001 falak pema
falak pema's picture

Maybe they'll get it right the third time! 

Just a historical reminder :  the first time somebody tried to achieve a universal empire using the OLD techniques of war and conquest was Alexander; didn't end well for him... but we keep trying! 

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 18:57 | 3299171 Bobportlandor
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It's wasn't his idea, so who was it that enticed him?

Mon, 03/04/2013 - 19:47 | 3299315 falak pema
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He wanted to out Persia Persia; Greece's ancient Nemesis and reference empire of that age. Also his mother, Olympia,thought she was Andromache's and Achilles blood line (Andromache, Hector's widow, married Achilles's son and was brought back to become his queen of Epirus), which made her son Alex inherit both Hector's and Achilles's blood line. 

Tue, 03/05/2013 - 00:31 | 3299963 Arthur
Arthur's picture

Uhm, 

Genghis Khan did alright.
Mon, 03/04/2013 - 18:50 | 3299162 carlsbro
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So weird, all ZHers dreaming about WW. Dont worry you can eat your gold!!

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