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EURJPY Dominates As Europe's Stocks Flatline

Tyler Durden's picture




 

A 'successful' Spanish auction and Draghi's reassuring anti-currency war chatter had little to no effect on Europe's equity markets but FX and bond markets moved quite significantly. A mix of small gains (CAC, DAX) and small losses (Italy, Switzerland) in stocks but Italian and Spanish bond spreads dropped 10-15bps further (down 30bps on the week) - back well below the pre-Italian election levels and Portugal goes from strength to strength on the small ratings upgrade last night (-50bps on the week). EURUSD was the story (and EURJPY) as a lack of concern over Euro potential strength by Draghi drove it to run stops above recent highs and end the day at 1.3100 (up around 130 pips on the day). EURJPY is now back to pre-Italian election levels.

EURJPY recovered all its Italian election losses...

 

as European Stocks flatline for the second day...

 

and European bond spreads collapse back towards pre-Italian election levels (and already well beyond it for Spain and Portugal)...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Thu, 03/07/2013 - 12:52 | 3309018 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

nice quiet slow pm knockdown today. Looks more natural this way.

Thu, 03/07/2013 - 12:57 | 3309040 Say What Again
Say What Again's picture

And the ES keeps getting juiced higher.

Who is buying this shit at these levels?

This is WAY beyond crazy!!!!!!!!!

Thu, 03/07/2013 - 13:00 | 3309047 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

they can't dump it yet because retail is still shying away. They will just keep forcing it up and hope people give up and buy. When that does not happen.....

Thu, 03/07/2013 - 13:05 | 3309066 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

If bankrupt retail won't buy at record highs, maybe they will 10% or so higher! 

This is a blue marlin fishing expedition in a beaver pond.

Thu, 03/07/2013 - 13:50 | 3309211 Cult_of_Reason
Cult_of_Reason's picture

Yep, the market will be supported until they complete the distribution; once sold to retail, they will turn it into a bear market. 

Thu, 03/07/2013 - 14:17 | 3309298 Say What Again
Say What Again's picture

This is BULLISH - right?

The United Nations Security Council slapped new sanctions on North Korea over its latest nuclear test hours after Pyongyang threatened to exercise its "right to pre-emptive nuclear attack" Thursday.

"Now that the U.S. is set to light a fuse for a nuclear war, the revolutionary armed forces of the DPRK will exercise the right to a pre-emptive nuclear attack to destroy the strongholds of the aggressors and to defend the supreme interests of the country," the North's foreign ministry spokesman said in a statement carried by the official KCNA news agency. "The U.S. is massively deploying armed forces for aggression, including nuclear carrier task force and strategic bombers, enough to fight a nuclear war under the smokescreen of 'annual drills'."

http://worldnews.nbcnews.com/_news/2013/03/07/17220065-un-passes-sanctio...

Thu, 03/07/2013 - 14:00 | 3309197 Cult_of_Reason
Cult_of_Reason's picture

Do not believe the urban myth or CNBC lie, "the market is moving higher because there are more buyers than sellers".

The market could be simply moving higher today secondary to the market makers marking up the tape (walking up the tape). There are large blocks of sell orders sitting on their books for weeks and waiting to be distributed at certain price levels, so MMs are marking up the tape to these levels.

In short, you can have a major distribution (major selling) and the stock market moving higher at the same time.

BTW, look at Boeing, the stock is under distribution today.

 

Thu, 03/07/2013 - 12:52 | 3309019 Byte Me
Byte Me's picture

Can't wait until the German election.

Thu, 03/07/2013 - 12:56 | 3309030 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

eh, that Social Democrat's Chancellor Candidate is so busy shooting himself in his legs that it might be smooth sailing for Merkel

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I'm confused about this EURJPY thing, I don't follow it much: is it not more about Japan printing than anything else?

Thu, 03/07/2013 - 13:04 | 3309060 jt17
jt17's picture

Changes in EUR.JPY is basically the same as the sum of the changes of USD.JPY and EUR.USD.  So if USD.JPY is up 1% and EUR.USD is up 1%, then EURJPY is up 2%.

Thu, 03/07/2013 - 13:33 | 3309159 Jack Sheet
Jack Sheet's picture

If you look at all the noise on the chart the delta is less than 3%. I suppose if you leverage to buggery you could have made a profit with 20/20 hindsight (or read Fart to Market's posts)

Thu, 03/07/2013 - 13:30 | 3309151 Jack Sheet
Jack Sheet's picture

You mean that hypocritical festering pr**k Steenbrick? But he was photographed playing chess with Helmet Schidt! (who said 5% inflation is better than 5% unemployment and managed to produce both)

Thu, 03/07/2013 - 12:58 | 3309043 TrustWho
TrustWho's picture

Corzine must really be pissed. Everybody is copying his strategy with better timing. Since Drghi has your back, borrow in yen and buy southern European bonds. You get the margin plus stronger Euro...win/win. Why would anyone buy a business when making money is so easy?

Thu, 03/07/2013 - 13:09 | 3309079 mdtrader
mdtrader's picture

USD/JPY has broken above its previous rally high as well. It seems nothing can stop that heading up to the 100 mark.

Thu, 03/07/2013 - 13:17 | 3309106 TrustWho
TrustWho's picture

Borrow yen and buy dollars to puchase SPY

Thu, 03/07/2013 - 13:22 | 3309127 e m m
e m m's picture

As the markets' rally from the November 16 lows seem to be largely funded through yen selling on the back of abenomics (and players seem to have had such a good timing turning on their JPY weakness following models!), it's pretty cool that the Tokyo High Court ruled the election was unconstitutional.

http://ajw.asahi.com/article/behind_news/politics/AJ201303060070

But it's good, the result stays valid.

Thu, 03/07/2013 - 15:06 | 3309448 chancee
chancee's picture

Funny how the entire stock market has flatlined since it's rollover day in ES futures.  They should be able to get back to business tomorrow.

Thu, 03/07/2013 - 16:40 | 3309862 malikai
malikai's picture

Interesting action in EURJPY

http://blog.quantsig.net/2013/03/07/eurjpy-2/

Thu, 03/07/2013 - 17:02 | 3309984 AldoHux_IV
AldoHux_IV's picture

Who knew jailing dissident politicians was the new fiscal policy to address what monetary policy is trying to accomplish ;-)

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