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Market Responds To NFP With QE Jitters

Tyler Durden's picture




 

It seems wherever one looks post the 'magnificent', 'goldilocks', 'biggest jump in part-time jobs ever' payroll print that markets are shifting in a 'Fed will need to tighten sooner' direction. Everywhere that is, apart from stocks of course...

 

 

and for some context, the USD is at six month highs - how will that translate into earnings for Q1?

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:00 | 3311769 arm50
arm50's picture

at this rate we'll hit 6.5% in 6 months

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:01 | 3311773 Shocker
Shocker's picture

Should be able to do it in 4 months

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:03 | 3311782 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Right after we balance the budget.

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:10 | 3311805 MillionDollarBonus_
MillionDollarBonus_'s picture

The global recovery is accelerating, just as I predicted. Do you guys have any idea how much freakin' money stock investors are making? Just think. You're sitting there, with an S&P futures position, levered 10 to 1, and a freakin' awesome NFP comes out. All of a sudden you’ve just got 5 points richer, in a matter of minutes. It's time to crack open some champagne and celebrate a bright future for America and all those who kept believing in the recovery. Those who have kept the faith have been richly rewarded and rightly so.

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:11 | 3311813 Jayda1850
Jayda1850's picture

yep and it only costs $85 billion a fucking month.

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:13 | 3311827 Pool Shark
Pool Shark's picture

 

 

Only $118,000,000.00 per hour...

 

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:50 | 3312009 francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

for now...

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:13 | 3311826 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

yep, at a cost of almost 2 million dollars per minute - "winning"  I wonder who will pay all that back?

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:18 | 3311854 Pool Shark
Pool Shark's picture

 

 

That only cost us $360,000.00 per new job this month!

['winning', indeed...]

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:24 | 3311890 augustusgloop
augustusgloop's picture

perfect description of the setup for the next crash. cf minsky financial instability.

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:48 | 3311994 10mm
10mm's picture

MDB,you are Tokyo Rose reincarnated.

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 12:16 | 3312311 jmcadg
jmcadg's picture

Oh dear MDB, you're shooting your jizz over about your pinup leveraged traders and their 'great bets' from your basement room, whilst forgetting that the facebook shares you forced your mum to buy 'AT ANY PRICE' (which at the time was around $50!!!!) are down a further 2% today. LOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOL.

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:10 | 3311797 rogeliokh
rogeliokh's picture

IF QE is OFF Market should tank, but it isn't. Why this logic applies only for GOLD,
and What JOBS has to to with the price of GOLD?
Absolutely nothing! No correlation there. Cartel Manipulation Bitchez.

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:11 | 3311815 Randall Cabot
Randall Cabot's picture

Shorts are going to have to hang tight for a few more more months:

Nouriel Roubini: Brace for Market Correction Later This Year

 

 

 

 

http://www.cnbc.com/id/100535764   

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:22 | 3311884 Boston
Boston's picture

Gold & silver will lead. Equities will follow. 

Remember, if gold breaks below ~1525, then look for more selling......which means great buying opportunity, if you're not spooked by the sell-off.

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 11:45 | 3312193 AllThatGlitters
AllThatGlitters's picture

BIG FAT REVERSAL in GOLD

The excess selling was a head-fake, so that they could get long while rational thinking would expect it to plumment.

Look at it suddenly turning higher:

http://www.pmbulll.com/gold-price/

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:13 | 3311824 azzhatter
azzhatter's picture

This plays to Obama's hand. Watch next month be terrible because of sequester. Yeah baby

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:01 | 3311770 ShortTheUS
ShortTheUS's picture

Efficient markets, BITCHEZZ!!!!!

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:20 | 3311874 machineh
machineh's picture

For those about to rock: WE SALUTE YOU!

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:02 | 3311777 Neethgie
Neethgie's picture

Didn't someone say last night gold would get crushed last night and was then he got pounced on by Zh'ers only to be vindicate today.

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:13 | 3311796 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

It works until it doesn't anymore. Unless we cut over a trillion in spending...I wouldn't get lulled into a false sense of security.

 

I wouldn't call -0.86% getting crushed.

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:09 | 3311806 augustusgloop
augustusgloop's picture

Gold flat in Euro, up in Yen, only down a bit in GBP.  USD still climbing. 

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 11:21 | 3312110 fuu
fuu's picture

Can we mock you more now that it has reversed on the day and it up a tad?

Wait...it's down 8 cents, we can praise you again.

Flat now let the mocking begin.

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:02 | 3311780 Edward Fiatski
Edward Fiatski's picture

Oops, drug withdrawal kicking in - Think it's going higher? Think again.

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:08 | 3311799 Jayda1850
Jayda1850's picture

The comedown is always the bitch.

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:05 | 3311786 max2205
max2205's picture

A crash on good news would be different.......

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:08 | 3311798 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

Bullshit Numbers are just what "The Market" needs to confirm its Bullshit.... Bullshit Confirmed, Goldilocks rides on.

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:07 | 3311792 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Yields surge, and dollars surges?!?  Am I missing something thing here?

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:12 | 3311822 Pool Shark
Pool Shark's picture

 

 

Higher interest paid makes the US$ the best looking horse... at the glue factory...

 

 

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:15 | 3311828 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

Confucius Say : Curreny moves indicate Algo Confusion go to bed with Happy Market wake with Margin Alarm.

http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=CURRENCIES&p=m5

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:07 | 3311793 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

The QE junkies heard a rumor that their supply might be cut off.

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:07 | 3311795 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Yeah like the Bernank can ever stop printing....the "market" seems to forget there is a trillion dollar deficit to fund.

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:33 | 3311935 e-recep
e-recep's picture

QE. Can't. Stop.

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:08 | 3311801 e m m
e m m's picture

You can convert your bullion to S&P 500 futures contracts at parity now.

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:31 | 3311920 fuu
fuu's picture

Or sell your S&P futures for gold at parity.

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:51 | 3312010 e m m
e m m's picture

Efficient market believer?

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 11:01 | 3312054 fuu
fuu's picture

Markets are super efficient; Jack issues, Ben prints, and Kevin spends.

It doesn't get much more efficient than that.

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:08 | 3311802 Jason T
Jason T's picture

I got confused!!!!

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:11 | 3311810 CDNX fan
CDNX fan's picture

Don't fight the Fed and don't fight the tape! Learned that in 1982. The smell of barbecued shorts is now overwhelming! And the gold bugs are getting annihilated which is not good. Wonder how Sprottie is feeling with redemptions going parabolic!

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:15 | 3311844 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

They're making sure every retail stooge possible is in, and do as much damage to shorts/PM bugs as possible before pulling the punch bowl and crashing the markets again....all about doing as much damage as possible!

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:35 | 3311943 asteroids
asteroids's picture

There are HUGE air pockets in this market. When the "pullback" happens, it'll be fast and brutal.

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:11 | 3311811 Undecided
Undecided's picture

http://nihoncassandra.blogspot.ca/2013/03/take-zero-hedge-test.html

 

Tylor what did you do to this younge lady she really doesn't like you. Did you leave her in the hotel room in the morning?

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:18 | 3311860 Jayda1850
Jayda1850's picture

I answered E to everything, does that mean I'm in combat?

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:12 | 3311820 kensdad
kensdad's picture

Bond yields starting to rise.

OK, Mr. Bernanke -- your move.

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:14 | 3311834 Edward Fiatski
Edward Fiatski's picture

Crash the market - yields fall again. :)

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:18 | 3311862 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Correct, and the primary dealers are frontrunning all of it.  Yields will remain range bound until the supply lines break.

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:12 | 3311821 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

NFP# to flummox the sheeple herd, and I don't believe for a second the bond boys actually believe rates are now set to rise, that's nonsense they know better.

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:13 | 3311825 Edward Fiatski
Edward Fiatski's picture

ECB's Draghi - that fucker knew of this, I almost had a heart attack with the EUR last night. :) Gotta provide some buffer for the friends & co. /tip hat

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:14 | 3311835 adr
adr's picture

When the dollar strengthens like that usually it sends the market down a few hundred points along with oil and the rest of the commodity basket.

At least that is always the correlation they use when commodities go up.

There is no spoon. Reality is what the market makers decide it is.

If 10k people lost $35k jobs two months ago, and decided to get $10 an hour part time jobs this month. 10k jobs were addedd and the employment level is now back to where it was. LAUNCH THE FIREWORKS!!!!!

Walmart, JCP, Sears, etc had their worst February in years, but the economy and employment is doing great.

I did hear Neiman Marcus did well. Oh I guess everyone stopped shopping at Walmart and didn't take minimum wage part time jobs. The 236k claimed people all somehow landed $100k+ jobs so they could all afford to shop at Neiman.

I must be so blind. Middle business is cratering because everyone has become so wealthy from the stock market that they can all afford to shop at Nordstrom. Why buy a Chinese made shirt at JCP for $20 when you can buy a Chinese made shirt from the same factory at Nordstrom for $120. WEALTH EFFECT!!!

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:16 | 3311849 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

US Dollar weekly shows clear up trend.

 

http://bullandbearmash.com/chart/us-dollar-weekly-closes-up-heading-towa...

 

While the Yen, Euro, GBP and CDN fall.  NFP is fuel for the fire.

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:16 | 3311853 swissaustrian
swissaustrian's picture

KING DOLLAR

 

 

(for the next few days)

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 11:59 | 3312218 Albertarocks
Albertarocks's picture

Bernanke and Draggy really are fighting their biggest fear, the deflation genie.  And there are deflationary pressures everywhere in the world we look, manifested best right now in Europe.  Japan is the best example of a final, last ditch effort to defeat 3 decades of deflation but by sending the Yen crashing they're inviting higher rates.  If rates tick higher by even 1% on JGBs Japan is literally finished.  Every single government in Europe is flat broke except Germany.  They're not going to get out of that mess by borrowing more and more fiat that is yanked out of Draggy's ass.  Italy, with an economy damned near as big as England's hasn't even been dealt with yet and they're flat broke too.  No amount of money is going to solve those problems, it just gooses the stock markets for a few months.  So I agree with you except that I would have written it this way:

KING DOLLAR

(for the next few years) 

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:19 | 3311865 ComputerNerd
ComputerNerd's picture

Money is moving out of Gold ETFs and into equities. When the lemmings are runnig for the cliff it's time to run in the opposite direction. This is becoming a gold buying opportunity.

 

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:19 | 3311866 ComputerNerd
ComputerNerd's picture

Money is moving out of Gold ETFs and into equities. When the lemmings are runnig for the cliff it's time to run in the opposite direction. This is becoming a gold buying opportunity.

 

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:20 | 3311873 fuu
fuu's picture

I love a good sale in the morning, Thanks Blythe!

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:21 | 3311876 semperfi
semperfi's picture

dumbass muppets

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 10:59 | 3311958 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

   I have never in all my years of trading ever seen such complete absolute denial and misinformation.(not 1987, early 90's,2000) When Jack cuts this beanstalk of a market down, I don't want to be within 100 miles of the shit that falls out of the sky with it!

   On 10-7-2007 the day the dow last topped the dxy was trading on the 78 handle. it is now trading at almost the 83 handle. If you don't think Bens funny money hasn't caused inflation then you should commit yourself to the funny farm. the dxy bottomed in early April of 2008 @72, just before the major leg down in the crash. 10 year dxy chart (click on 10 year  then hit the back button)

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 11:14 | 3312099 Super Broccoli
Super Broccoli's picture

let's face it ZHers, recovery is there, markets are all time high (on crack maybe), people got jobs (duno what they do since industrial output and retail sales are down) and last but not least Bernanke won't stop QE nor Obama to spend ... PERFECT WORLD

Fri, 03/08/2013 - 12:34 | 3312397 realtick
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