For those curious about the timeline of the world's biggest prop-desk blow up, here it is day by day and, pardon the pun, blow by blow.
- Bank authorizes Chief Investment Office (CIO) to trade credit derivatives.
- Synthetic Credit Portfolio (SCP) acquires its name.
- As financial crisis eases, SCP earns $1 billion.
- OCC examines CIO investment portfolios; SCP is not explicitly mentioned. OCC requires documentation of investment decisions; Ina Drew criticizes OCC intrusiveness.
- Over 2011, SCP's notional size increases tenfold from $4 billion to $51 billion.
- SCP makes $1 billion credit derivatives bet for gain of $400 million.
- Bank & CIO managers decide improving economy lessens need for credit protection. Jamie Dimon instructs Ina Drew to reduce the CIO's Risk Weighted Assets (RWA).
Dec. 22, 2011
- CIO traders propose reducing RWA, in part, by manipulating models. CIO quantitative head Pat Hagan develops CIO models that artificially lower SCP risk results.
Jan. 6, 2012
- SCP trading breaches CS01 risk limit; breach continues and increases until CIO risk metrics are overhauled in May.
Jan. 16-20, 2012
- SCP trading causes four-day breach in bankwide VaR; breach reported to Jamie Dimon.
Jan. 23, 2012
- Dimon and Chief Risk Officer John Hogan approve a temporary bankwide VaR limit increase to end the breach; told a new CIO VaR model will reduce CIO's VaR by 44%.
Jan. 27, 2012
- CIO names SCP for the first time in a routine VaR report to OCC.
- New VaR model approval is rushed through and drops CIO's VaR overnight by 50%. Late Jan. 2012 SCP losses escalate. CIO traders begin mismarking SCP values to minimize losses.
- Mr. Dimon orders bank to stop giving daily CIO profit/loss data to OCC; OCC objects; Chief Financial Officer Doug Braunstein restores data, angering Mr. Dimon.
Late Jan. 2012
- CIO trader Bruno Iksil gives presentation showing SCP lost $100 million in January and could lose $300 million more; proposes "trades that make sense" -- buying more longs to offset losses and reduce RWA.
- OCC holds standard quarterly meeting with CIO; told SCP would be reduced. Feb. 2012 Over February, SCP loses another $69 million.
Mar. 2, 2012
- Comprehensive Risk Measure (CRM) used to calculate RWA indicates SCP could lose up to $6.3 billion in 2012, in worst case scenario. CIO risk manager calls result "garbage."
- Julien Grout, SCP trader, keeps 5-day spreadsheet showing reported SCP values deviated from midpoint prices by over $400 million. Trader Bruno lksil calls SCP's booked values "idiotic" and calls SCP book "more and more monstrous."
- Over two weeks, CIO traders acquire $40 billion more in multiple long credit derivatives, in what OCC called "doubling down" on an already losing trading strategy.
Mar. 20. 2012
- Traders Iksil and Grout report internally $40 million loss, largest SCP loss to date, and a $600-800 million "lag" in SCP book, but Ina Drew says she did not read the email.
Mar. 23, 2012
- Ms. Drew orders "phones down" and stops SCP trading.
- SCP trading breaches CSW10% limit; it continues until risk metrics overhauled in May. Mar. 29, 2012 SCP trading breaches CIO Stress Loss limit, which is tested weekly, through April.
Mar. 3 2012
- At quarter end, SCP's notional size triples from $51 billion to $157 billion, and SCP flips from net short to net long. Total quarterly losses reported internally as nearly. $719 million.
- CIO London office head Achilles Macris says he's "lost confidence" in his team, SCP has moved into "crisis mode."
Apr. 5, 2012
- After media inquiries, bank prepares talking points that SCP is a "hedge" and regulators were "fully" informed of trades, but then drops both words from talking points.
Apr. 6, 2012
- Bloomberg and Wall Street Journal report whale trades by WM CIO office in London.
Apr. 9, 2012
- Senate confirms new Comptroller of the Currency, Thomas Curry.
- Regulators have first meeting with JPM on whale trades; bank downplays any problem.
Apr. 10, 2012
- CIO traders report internal SCP daily loss of $6 million, then 90 minutes later, different credit derivative values leading to a loss of $400 million.
Apr. 11, 2012
- --Bank's chief spokesman, Joe Evangelisti, quoted saying whale trades were a "hedge" of bank's overall risk."
- --To prepare for earnings call, bank executives receive SCP presentation showing, in a financial crisis, SCP would not offset bank losses, but lose $250 million.
- SCP also lost money in 3 negative credit scenarios, showing it wasn't hedging bank's credit risks.
Apr. 13, 2012
- Bank executives learn SCP positions are huge & hard to exit; SCP reports $1.2 billion loss.
- Bank files 8-K form previewing first quarter earnings and holds earnings call.
- Bank CEO Jamie Dimon calls whale trade stories "a complete tempest in a teapot."
- With respect to SCP, Chief Financial Officer Doug Braunstein says:
- "All of those positions are put on pursuant to risk management at the firm-wide level."
- "[A]ll those positions are fully transparent to the regulators" who get "information on those positions on a regular and recurring basis as part of our normalized reporting."
- "All of those decisions are made on a very long-term basis."
- "[W]e also need to manage the stress loss associated with that portfolio ... so we have put on positions to manage for a significant stress event in Credit."
- "[W]e believe all of this is consistent with what we believe the ultimate outcome will be related to Volcker."
- 8-K filing discloses CIO's VaR results, but not the January change in CIO's VaR model.
Apr. 19, 2012
- OCC inquires for first time about CIO breaches, including CS01 breach of over 1,000% for 71 days. CIO Chief Market Risk Officer, Peter
- Weiland, tells OCC that risk limit will be replaced with something more "sensible" in the future.
Apr. 27, 2012
- Bank's Chief Risk Officer John Hogan dispatches Ashley Bacon, his deputy, to London CIO office to analyze SCP.
May 4, 2012
- Bank calls OCC Examiner-in-Charge Scott Waterhouse to disclose SCP loss of $1.6 billion; internally, losses were reported to be $2.3 billion.
May 9, 2012
- Bank meets with OCC; Chief Risk Officer John Hogan denies SCP books were in ismarked, despite collateral valuation disputes.
May 10, 2012
- Bank's Controller validates SCP marks, even though the marks were $512 million off the midpoints, were "aggressive," consistently favored the bank, and minimized SCP losses.
- Bank files 10-Q form finalizing first quarter earnings and holds business update call. Mr. Dimon discloses:
- SCP in much worse shape than disclosed a month earlier.
- SCP lost $2 billion in second quarter. (Internally, losses reported as $2.8 billion.)
- "[T]he synthetic credit portfolio was a strategy to hedge the Firm's overall credit exposure.... We're reducing that hedge." Calls SCP a hedge 8 times during call.
- "In the first quarter, we implemented a new VAR model, which we now deemed inadequate. And we went back to the old one, which had been used for the prior several years, which we deemed to be more adequate." 10-Q filing does not clearly disclose that same information.
May 11, 2012
- Internally, bank reports SCP daily loss of $570 million, its largest; no public disclosure.
May 14, 2012
- Bank fires London CIO personnel: Achilles Macris, Javier Martin-Artajo, Bruno Iksil. Ina Drew, CIO head, retires from JPMorgan Chase.
- Bank discloses SCP has lost $4.4 billion.
July 13, 2012
- Bank restates first quarter profits, disclosing additional SCP losses of $660 million.
- OCC issues six Supervisory Letters with 20 Matters Requiring Attention involving CIO.
- SCP losses for the year total $6.2 billion. SCP has been dismantled, with most credit derivatives transferred to JPMorgan Investment Bank.
- Bank releases management task force report on whale trades.
- OCC issues Cease and Desist Order requiring JPMorgan Chase to take corrective actions.
Source: JPM Exhibits