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S&P Futures Plunge To 1-Week Lows; Gold Jumps To 3-Week Highs

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Given FX markets are double-dipping now, it is little surprise that S&P 500 futures open down 16 points from the 1553.5 close on Friday - a one-week low. This is the biggest close-to-open gap down since May 2012. Treasury Futures just opened implying a 1.94% 10Y (-5bps) and 3.16% 30Y (-5bps). And despite the USD strength, spot gold just opened also up from $1591.95 to $1607. The arb against JPY carry is holding stocks for now... only another 8 hours until Europe opens... Over 38,000 contracts have traded in S&P 500 futures in the first 5 minutes ($2.9bn notional) - 30 times the average for a Sunday night... The initial dump was caught by a VWAP reverter but that is fading now... Japan's NKY looks set to open down around 500 points or so given JPY's strength.

 

 

The biggest Close to Open gap in 10 months...

 

Initial massive volume dump for a Sunday night, VWAP algos revert and now fading again...

 

Stocks open down to EURJPY, bounce a little on the catch up from carry...

 

Gold holding above $1605...

 

Treasuries...

 

and for now it looks like Japan's Nikkei 225 will open -500 points or so at around 12,000...

 

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Sun, 03/17/2013 - 19:13 | 3340193 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

When the time comes to short, there won't be a market to short. We'll wake up one morning and the whole thing will have vaporized.

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 19:35 | 3340271 LooseLee
LooseLee's picture

And those who perpetrated it will not be able to find a place to hide.....

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 19:36 | 3340272 chump666
chump666's picture

Yes, that will happen one day.

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 19:11 | 3340184 OptionNinjaNYC
OptionNinjaNYC's picture

EUR broke the neckline on its daily chart today. The next logical target is 1.25, even though the H&S Top MM puts the target at 1.24. Either way, its a 500 – 600 pips move to the DOWNSIDE.

http://wallstreetfool.com/2013/03/17/markets-in-turmoil-cyprus-bank-run-...

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 19:26 | 3340229 Edward Fiatski
Edward Fiatski's picture

Initial target is 1.2675-ish, but I do agree on the rest.

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 19:12 | 3340185 blue
blue's picture

about time....this was getting goofy

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 19:12 | 3340188 chockl
chockl's picture

He this wall is comming down bit by bit...hang on to your arse'

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 19:14 | 3340197 Mark123
Mark123's picture

This just in:

 

The Bernank telegraphed to his plunge-protect-bots (PPBs) to spring into action.  Eye witness accounts say that PPBs seen flying out of their secret lair in the Grand Caymen Islands....headed for European bourses.

 

God help us all. They are our last chance.

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 19:15 | 3340199 Racer
Racer's picture

No doubt by morning the PPT will have spun this as good news to the algos and 'market' will be green when we wake up

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 19:17 | 3340203 RunningMan
RunningMan's picture

This is where things get messy. Europe will revise the terms once there are two days of panic, but the damage will have been done. I expect a reversal as CBs try to plug the confidence gap forming. Hard assets are everything - the only thing. Any accounts in weak banks (there are some healthy ones)  should be closed, including in the US, or at least drawn to safe levels. It's game time people - I see <6-9 months to widespread unrest stemming from Financial Crisis 2.0: Germany Strikes Back.

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 19:21 | 3340223 khakuda
khakuda's picture

Agreed Big problems always start like this. Expect Bernanke to kiss of death it by telling us it is contained. Greenspan wasn't worried when the Thai Bhat had issues either.

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 19:39 | 3340277 LooseLee
LooseLee's picture

Bernanke's 'Kiss of Death' will be a most unpleasant suffering for him and his minions... It has been sealed...

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 19:48 | 3340300 RunningMan
RunningMan's picture

Totally agree - the US will be forced to state this is a Europe problem, and no one will believe them. Did the US stress tests assume a possible widespread bank run? Nope.

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 19:21 | 3340222 jbvtme
jbvtme's picture

"before i send you the money you need to send me some of yours first."   this bailout coming from brussells or nigeria?

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 20:07 | 3340355 AynRandFan
AynRandFan's picture

LOL - come to think of it, that's right.

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 20:22 | 3340396 hooligan2009
hooligan2009's picture

exaccery

the europeans are demanding 6 billion (ok 5.85) and the russians to chip in the balance up to ten billion BEFORE they lend 10 billion to bail out cyprus

here's a clue

tell the europeans to fuck right off, convert 10% of the depositors fund to, oh i don't know GOLDDDDDDDD or investments in short dated bonds of companies like oil majors, or resource companies or drug companies and pay out the interest...holy shit..how fucking stupid are these people?

make the banks stop borrowing at 6% effing interest...jeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeezussssssssssssssss

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 19:26 | 3340241 Herdee
Herdee's picture

Any word out yet as to how Russian mobsters are planning on getting their hard earned money back?

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 19:28 | 3340244 LooseLee
LooseLee's picture

Cypress, my dear friends in TRUTH, is just the beginning. Omega will make certain that tears are rolling from hades (seat of all fiat banking) itself....

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 19:28 | 3340245 Theos
Theos's picture

1 week lows... hmm.

Time to get the VXX short ready.

 

 

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 19:33 | 3340264 Mark123
Mark123's picture

Once again....nobody can "invest" (gamble) in this casino UNLESS you have insider information. 

 

You can't tell me that a whole bunch of people did not know this was coming.  Of course, they are so honest and dedicated to we-the-people that they would NEVER take advantage of such knowledge.

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 19:41 | 3340287 LooseLee
LooseLee's picture

Hold short, without margin.That is what no insider can refute. Patience is a virtue that will be handsomely rewarded...

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 20:57 | 3340490 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

Everybody knew it was coming, only the Machine knew when.

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 19:34 | 3340267 TomGa
TomGa's picture

"Cypriot officials insisted no levy on smaller depositors was impossible. One senior Cypriot official involved in the talks said that because about 35 percent of all deposits are below the threshold, exempting them would mean a rate so high for the rest that it would no longer be viewed as a tax.

"If this is successful then it will be used in the future," said the dejected official, predicting Spanish and Italian banks could face similar levies. "If this is not successful then who cares about Cyprus.""

http://www.cnbc.com/id/100561018

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 19:39 | 3340275 Edward Fiatski
Edward Fiatski's picture

So wait,

"One senior Cypriot official involved in the talks said that because about 35 percent of all deposits are below the threshold, exempting them would mean a rate so high for the rest that it would no longer be viewed as a tax."

9.9% is not yet theft, 14.9% would be? GET FUCKED.

"If this is successful then it will be used in the future," said the dejected official, predicting Spanish and Italian banks could face similar levies."

Due to the above, everyone in these EU countries with a sizeable EUR cash position in EU banks is shitting bricks right. this. moment.

P.S. Time slows down during times like these, it's only 23:40 GMT & I ain't sleeping tonight. LOL

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 19:41 | 3340286 NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

Wake me when gold hits $1700... Later this week...

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 19:52 | 3340314 chockl
chockl's picture

AHHA  they finaly cracked the Nut....

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 20:04 | 3340347 AynRandFan
AynRandFan's picture

The most important aspect of this story is that European leaders demanded this confiscation of deposits, not that Cypriot leaders approved it.

That said, the EUR/USD is down a teeny bit.  So, I wouldn't be looking for fireworks at the open.

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 20:06 | 3340354 walcott
walcott's picture

it will get pummeled by the a.m.

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 20:14 | 3340366 Rocket De Stock
Rocket De Stock's picture

Im following this guy Forex Kong at forex kong.com - trading this like a mad man and making some serious coins. The EU Zone looks to kick off the downturn - as suggested.

http://www.forexkong.com

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 20:17 | 3340372 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

A rising US Dollar may keep Gold under wraps.

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 20:20 | 3340387 thismarketisrigged
thismarketisrigged's picture

i cant wait for these assholes tomorrow on cnbc to make it seem like the reason we are red tomm is we ''were due for a correction'', and this is all it is, everything is totally fine in the economy.

 

maybe for once they can come out and speak the truth and say how this has nothing to do with a correction, but this is because people are realizing ( i dont know what took so long) that the entire banking system is corrupt and this whole system is going to fall apart, whether it starts tomm or in 2 months.

 

 

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 20:33 | 3340426 breakyoself
breakyoself's picture

On twitter, I asked the man-looking chick if they were going to spin this. I got no response.

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 20:45 | 3340457 hooligan2009
hooligan2009's picture

mean? you mean the cuban lady? huge bailouts!

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 20:39 | 3340442 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

Lets wait 2 months. The sale on my house fell through cuz the buyer lost her job the day of closing! Seems she is not a part of the recovery.

Mon, 03/18/2013 - 04:23 | 3341434 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

So, didja keep the earnest munny?

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 20:27 | 3340401 Son of Loki
Son of Loki's picture

Ten cities where it's better to rent then buy...you'd be surprised!

 

http://www.nbcnews.com/business/10-cities-where-its-better-rent-buy-1C88...

 

San Jose, LA, Austin, San Diego, Portland, DC, San Francisco, etc.

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 20:33 | 3340422 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

Save the read. It's better to rent than buy EVERYWHERE.

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 21:15 | 3340464 Law97
Law97's picture

Holy smokes!  ES futures are plunging!  If markets open this way in the morning, we are going to see levels on the S&P not seen since ... one week ago ...

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 20:49 | 3340465 hooligan2009
hooligan2009's picture

ugh...last time i try to post a bloomberg snapshot...bleh...gold 1601, nikkei down 2.12%..pretty lame so far

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 20:55 | 3340481 Tombstone
Tombstone's picture

Before noon Monday, Benny will ship about $20 billion over to Europe and the Dow will end the day positive.  Benny will not let Europe rain on his money printing parade.

Sun, 03/17/2013 - 22:20 | 3340758 Tsar Pointless
Tsar Pointless's picture

This will be "contained" by European close. By Wednesday, it will be even on the week.

By Friday, the markets will have shown a "glorious" gain on the week.

BTFD, STFR. WRR. (That last one is Wash Rinse Repeat. I expect you to know the first two.)

Mon, 03/18/2013 - 01:14 | 3341219 tickhound
tickhound's picture

buy-the-f'ing-dip, sell-the-f'ing-rip, short-the-f'ing-republic in triple inverse liberties...

They should find a way to wrap all this up along with sickcare and life insurance... one big comprehensive insurance plan to save the economy.

Mon, 03/18/2013 - 00:57 | 3341199 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

I'm listening to Blur's greatest hits. I'm happy.

Mon, 03/18/2013 - 01:57 | 3341272 DarthVaderMentor
DarthVaderMentor's picture

I'm expecting all the "smart sheep money" to flee and come to the American Dollar so they can be "Cyprused" here shortly.

Mon, 03/18/2013 - 03:21 | 3341373 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

KING DOLLAR. Some people don't have a printing press and they still have to pay their debts.

Mon, 03/18/2013 - 04:22 | 3341432 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

Time to toss in a cherry bomb:

Top French lawyer's body found near beach

 

C'mon, get yer tinfoil hats strapped on!

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