Europe's Final Gambit: 20%-30% Haircut For Oligarchs To Force A Russian Bailout

Tyler Durden's picture




It now seems sure that the ongoing discussion in Cyprus' government will see a "no" vote as the WSJ is reporting a rather stunning gamble by the Cypriots (and by Cypriots we mean European leaders) to force the Russians to bear the brunt of the cost of the bailout. The non-resigned Cypriot FinMin is heading to Russia to propose a deal that includes imposing a 20% to 30% levy on Russian-held deposits in Cypriot banks, which could cost them billions of euros. In exchange, Russia will be given equity in Cyprus's future national gas company and some additional strategic benefits in the sector, while Russian investors would be given control of the board of directors at Cyprus's banks. The apparent quid pro quo in this deal does nothing to hide the fact that private property was stolen and while pointing fingers just at the Russians may play well for PR purposes, it is described as "a long shot" as the Kremlin notes, "it's practically impossible to talk without knowing details."

 

Via WSJ,

...

 

The official said that Michalis Sarris, who is being accompanied by a delegation of businessmen, is going to propose a deal that includes imposing a 20% to 30% levy on Russian-held deposits in Cypriot banks, which could cost them billions of euros. In exchange, Russia will be given equity in Cyprus's future national gas company and some additional strategic benefits in the sector, while Russian investors would be given control of the board of directors at Cyprus's banks.

 

...

 

However, the deal looks like a long shot. Ahead of the visit, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said: "It's practically impossible to talk without knowing the details."

 

"The situation is very difficult--unprecedented--and we don't understand what's happening," he said. Mr. Putin hasn't spoken to his Cypriot counterpart, he added.

 

"We don't know about the visit [on Wednesday] because we have information that the [Cypriot] finance minister has offered his resignation. Since we don't know if Cyprus has a finance minister, we can't comment on proposals that he might make," he said.

 

...

 

Mr. Anastasiades hinted that the government is already working on a plan B. "We have our own plans," he said.

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Tue, 03/19/2013 - 14:22 | 3348505 Tinky
Tinky's picture

I got an idea! Let's play hardball with Putin! He's bound to fold like a cheap tent...

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 14:28 | 3348591 fx
fx's picture

Yeah, Plan B. Perhaps a year or two late and a couple billion Euros short? Not that this was all unforeseeable...

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 14:35 | 3348661 strannick
strannick's picture

As the ever-depricating value of fiat becomes ever more obvious, if I was Putin, I'd take an 15% cut, insist on future gas revenues, and a Cypriot port for tankers and the occasional warship to ''monitor the situation'', which in turn would of course become a full fledged Russian Cypriot naval base.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 14:45 | 3348708 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

Who is going to England to impose a levy on the Limeys in order to keep their naval bases in Cyprus? 

And just how much are they paying a year in rent for all that beach front property?

 

Call it an Empire Tax.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 14:54 | 3348782 TJ00
TJ00's picture

That's not fair, we invite them over all the time for tea and biscuits, and maybe even a scone if they play there cards right.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 15:11 | 3348894 MiguelitoRaton
MiguelitoRaton's picture

So take the money from Russian Mafia, then give Russia control of the banks and natural resources, so there is no way to restart the economy after ultimate failure...GENIUS. I'm long mafia kidnappings in Cyprus.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 15:49 | 3349144 MrNude
MrNude's picture

You aren't wrong man.

Ask the FEDS about the broad daylight shootings and kidknappings by Russian Mafia up in Brighton Beach Brooklyn or MI5 about the hits like Alexander Perepilichny in London.

These clowns picked the wrong group of people to mess around with this time, someone will end up being made example off because they entertained the very principle of stealing Russian Mafia money.

It aint no boogey man story, these guys are real, well trained, well organised and international and don't give a fuck, someone is going to end up vanishing or falling out of window, getting lost at sea or having a weird accident or death. It could be this week, it could be six months from now etc. etc. but it will happen to send out a message you can bank on it

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 15:53 | 3349178 lolmao500
lolmao500's picture

Finally good news.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:23 | 3349309 fourchan
fourchan's picture

how you say sleeps with da fish in russian?

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 18:21 | 3349913 grunk
grunk's picture

Hey! There's a finger in my caviar!

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:04 | 3349223 Nobody For President
Nobody For President's picture

I know I can bank on it - the problem is, which bank?

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 20:00 | 3350321 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

If we're lucky, some banksters will be sleeping with the fishes

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 15:13 | 3348919 SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

some additional strategic benefits in the sector

Russia Wants Naval Bases Abroad, Navy Chief Says

07/27/12

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/07/27/russia-naval-bases-abroad_n_170...

 

Deepwater ports:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Famagusta

 

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 15:43 | 3349128 thisandthat
thisandthat's picture

As long as you ignore the fact that Famagusta is actually the capital of the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus...: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Famagusta

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 14:45 | 3348773 Texas Ginslinger
Texas Ginslinger's picture

My theory on all this is that the west is forcing Putin to action on behalf of their ultra-wealthy, which (they hope) will seriously start to undermine his support for the common Ruskie.

Time to start taking him down a notch..??

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 15:49 | 3349133 Lore
Lore's picture

Common folk don't follow this sort of thing in any detail, but even if they do, the issue of depositor theft resonates with everyone.

I think the price of LNG next winter will be the Russian response.  Whatever Russian "oligarchs" lose will be reimbursed quickly by Gazprom customers in Europe.

Be sure that nations on the Russian periphery are re-examining their choice of friends.

Maybe the Chinese would lend a helping hand...?

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:07 | 3349241 Texas Ginslinger
Texas Ginslinger's picture

Yes, it will be interesting to see if the natural gas supply to the EU (from Russia) is interupted by this. 

Keep in mind that Cyprus is a tax haven.  I'm sure that has something to do with this decision as well.

Maybe it sends 2 messages - one to tax dodgers (run with your $$, but you can't hide it) and one to Putin (get ready to have your chain rattled).

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:17 | 3349258 Lore
Lore's picture

Yah. This is very much on par with the recent quest by American authoritah for tax-dodging evildoers in Switzerland and the Caymans. There's a sense that esoteric circles are engaged in some process of weeding.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 15:53 | 3349174 Lost Word
Lost Word's picture

Plan B : The USA buys Cyprus and gets the rights to the Natural Gas.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 14:30 | 3348611 Tortfeasor
Tortfeasor's picture

Brilliant idea - put the ruskies in charge of banking AND give them hard oil assets as well. And this is an improvement?

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 14:38 | 3348701 redpill
redpill's picture

The Bear chuckles, back in the old days they had to invade the place for these sorts of benefits!

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 14:41 | 3348742 fuu
fuu's picture

Cyprus doesn't even have any Mujahideen.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 14:55 | 3348787 Cult_of_Reason
Tue, 03/19/2013 - 15:38 | 3349099 redpill
redpill's picture

I wonder if those Mi-24s they sold the Cypriots had hidden self-destruct mechanisms....

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:29 | 3349333 Go Tribe
Go Tribe's picture

We'll be selling the Bakken to the Chinese soon enough in return for debt forgiveness.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 18:47 | 3350056 Matt
Matt's picture

"Brilliant idea - put the ruskies in charge of banking AND give them hard oil assets as well. And this is an improvement?"

The Russian offer was to bailout Cyrpus, and in exchange, Gazprom would get the oil and gas rights.

The Cypriot counteroffer is that Russia bails out Cyprus, and in exchange, they get shares for X percent control of the banks and the soon-to-be created Cyprus State Oil and Gas company.

While it seems they are giving them both the banks and the oil and gas, the difference is in the percent of control of each, and in having the gas company owned by Cyprus rather than Russia.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 14:39 | 3348719 Freddie
Freddie's picture

How is Putin any worse than the EUSSR, Obummer or the US House and Senate?  I bet you voted for O. 

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 14:41 | 3348739 redpill
redpill's picture

Putin doesn't even give you an "Islamic" ritual burial at sea within 24 hours.  He just pisses vodka on your corpse.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:01 | 3349210 JohnnyBriefcase
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Makes me wish I were Russian...

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:06 | 3349231 Freddie
Freddie's picture

YouTube has some of the RT videos of the Russian Navy dealing with Somali pirates.  The Russian do not do politically correct with Africans like Hope & Change.  Putin knows Amerika is a joke now. 

The Somalis are target practice for the Russians.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 14:42 | 3348746 blu
blu's picture

"Mr. Putin hasn't spoken to his Cypriot counterpart, he added."

There is another bad-ass as bad-assed as Putin? And he's from Cyprus?

WTF man, that's blowing my mind.

Wait hold on. I get a bad feeling. Let's not ever let these two sit down over lunch or anything.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 15:05 | 3348842 blabam
blabam's picture

I lol'd +1

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 14:43 | 3348759 mr1963
mr1963's picture

Yeah, Russia getting their hands on more of the energy supply Europe needs is a win/win for Russia and a monster loss for Europe. Europe will pay for this big time.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:31 | 3349341 Go Tribe
Go Tribe's picture

Long Russian equities and gold.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 14:43 | 3348761 TJ00
Tue, 03/19/2013 - 15:45 | 3349141 thisandthat
thisandthat's picture

Why would Putin explode a PAK-FA is beyond me...

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:43 | 3349401 Pairadimes
Pairadimes's picture

"The non-resigned Cypriot FinMin is heading to Russia to propose a deal that includes imposing a 20% to 30% levy on Russian-held deposits in Cypriot banks, which could cost them billions of euros."

 

There is a decent chance that the Cypriots will be getting their FinMin back one fingertip at a time.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 14:21 | 3348507 MsCreant
MsCreant's picture

Drama. I wonder if THIS was the real destination all along. Make it formal that this is a Russian banking system, give them the GAZZZ.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 14:25 | 3348551 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

Backdoor Russian bailout in exchange for gas?

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 14:29 | 3348608 Confundido
Confundido's picture

That was it all along...all along.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 14:41 | 3348722 Manthong
Tue, 03/19/2013 - 14:30 | 3348619 fx
fx's picture

That would make for an interesting military confrontation between Turkey and Russia. It's absolutely laughable to offer the Russians resources (in exchange for their own bail-out) that they already have plenty of - and that Cyprus cannot get its hands on anyway. Talk about mortgaging your neighbour's house...

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:03 | 3349221 css1971
css1971's picture

Turkey?

You realise the UK has 2 military bases there? It ain't happening.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 14:26 | 3348560 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Yaz, motivation is the key.  What does it mean if Ben doesn't bail them out, which he could easily do with a repo, a CDS deal, a reverse triple sowcow..., WTF?  There  is no audit.  They can counterfeit anyway they want.

If Ben doesn't bail them, it must mean that God/Lloyd likes the idea of a disorderly collapse of the Euro and is already positioned for it.  Gawdhelpus.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 14:32 | 3348634 McMolotov
McMolotov's picture

I love all this "free market" shit we've got going on.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 15:07 | 3348844 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

Indeed.  This is the point where the Monopoly game gets a little wild, nobody is taking turns to roll the dice, but everyone is making side deals...trading Marvin Gardens for a blow job and Vermont Avenue for two beers.  What is that?  The Free Parking money is missing?  Go figure.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 15:09 | 3348879 MsCreant
MsCreant's picture

Your Monopoly games get pretty wild. Congrats. Sounds like fun for you and your wife. I need to get my husband to play, I had no idea...

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 15:15 | 3348930 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

Is that a "spot" bj or futures? It matters as bj futures are in strong backwardation (counterparty risk).

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 14:28 | 3348509 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Paul "I Was For the Federal Reserve Inflating A Housing Bubble Before I Was Against It" Krugman just tweeted that there should be 100% confiscation of Russian deposits in exchange for a 100% stake in Cyprus's strategic missile defense shield.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 14:21 | 3348510 Navymugsy
Navymugsy's picture

It's all about da' gas!

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