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Gold Up, Bonds Up, USD Up, VIX Up... Dow Up

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Stocks bounced off yesterday's lows on the "no" vote from Cyprus led by a miraculously visible hand smashing EURUSD (and implicitly EURJPY) higher instantaneously (BIS or banks repatriating in a hurry). That faded after S&P 500 futures touched VWAP and major volume was dumped but stocks, after an ebullient morning reaching into the green from Friday, fell back once more, only to exhibit the low-volume liftathon on ECB 'no news' to green into the close (for the Dow). Treasuries practically ignored the hyped up pump in the last hour and ended at their lows yields of the week (down 10-13bps) - 3-week lows. VIX surged on the day but drifted back a little into the ramp ending at 14.5% +1vol. FX markets reverted like stocks in the afternoon but the main theme is EUR weakness and JPY strength (carry-off) and despite the USD strength, gold pushed higher to $1612. The S&P and Nasdaq ended the day red (at VWAP) while the magic of the Dow closed it green - once again hedging dominated actual selling for now.

S&P futures closed perfectly at VWAP - now that is human eh?!!

as the Dow leads on the week...

 

VIX protection was heavily bid all day - and market breadth stayed in line with indices - suggesting participants were more hedging than selling (for now)...

 

Treasuries are not at all excited about this into-the-close pump in stocks...

 

as FX and commodity markets were relatively calm apart from their V-Fib moments...

 

and summing up across all risk asset-classes, Capital Context's CONTEXT model shows what FX, rates, commodities, and credit thought of the afternoon pump...

 

Charts: Bloomberg and Capital Context

 

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Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:18 | 3349286 OptionNinjaNYC
OptionNinjaNYC's picture

Press Release From The FED:

After retiring in 2014, Chairman Bernanke plans to open a Maternity Store in partnership with his Tax Consultant, Tim "I Suck Dicks" Geithner.

The store will be named, "I Fucked Your Grandmother Dot Com". The Chairman will start accepting Job Applications only after the Unemployment Rate hits 40%.

Yours Truly,

The Man.

 

http://wallstreetfool.com/2013/03/19/market-collapse-in-the-first-half-o...

 

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:21 | 3349298 camaro68ss
camaro68ss's picture

A dam nuke can hit NYC and the DOW will still close green. FUBAR

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:24 | 3349317 Ruffcut
Ruffcut's picture

Up up and up and up then down , down down to the ground.

Maybe so, maybe no, maybe maybe?

Into the sixth year of the clusterfuck, and still ticking. Tick tick tick......

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:31 | 3349340 whotookmyalias
whotookmyalias's picture

Yay! Everybody wins! Trophys and ice cream all around!

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:39 | 3349364 DJ Happy Ending
DJ Happy Ending's picture

Buy everything because we're not Europe?

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 18:13 | 3349863 AllThatGlitters
AllThatGlitters's picture

Hah.  I'm afraid the answer is: * Buy Gold and Silver because we we'll print the money in an effort to save Europe *

Amazing that you can still buy bullion bars and rounds for well under $1.00 over spot:

http://www.pmbull.com/silver-price/ <- New York re-opens higher.  

Let's see what it does tonigh, cuz that'll tell us what the real deal in Cyprus is gonna be.

 

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 21:59 | 3350757 TwoShortPlanks
TwoShortPlanks's picture

Nothing like a strong USD to water those 'Green Shoots'....hahahaha!

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 02:32 | 3351201 fourchan
fourchan's picture

first a pump preceeds a dump.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:51 | 3349451 zdk45
zdk45's picture

I junked. Allow me to explain. Your post references a phenomenon often called a "market pullback".  I've read of these.

In any event, the attached clip scientifically analyzes and debunks these happenings. It is brief, yet unfortunately, it IS intended primarily for those of an advanced intellectual capacity. 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jllJ-HeErjU

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 17:31 | 3349619 thisandthat
thisandthat's picture

How can that stupid bitch no buy the dip - buy the fucking dip nao, bitch! Argh, fucking idiots ruining the trade for the experts...

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 17:53 | 3349351 Freddie
Freddie's picture

I remember back around 1998 that seniors and middle aged investors would ask financial advisors for that thing that only goes up in value - the S&P 500 index or something.   Totally pimped by CNBC and the media at the time and all the time.  LOL! 

The poor pubic gets screwed by the elites.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:21 | 3349302 Charles Nelson ...
Charles Nelson Reilly's picture

will they accept bitcoin?

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:45 | 3349373 squid virtuous
squid virtuous's picture

When does Obama assume the position at the "Wailing Wall" is that tomorrow? Between that and the Shalom taking center stage will be an interesting display of who's really calling the shots...not to mention the recently more important news flow from the Goldman stooges in Brussels

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:19 | 3349288 EclecticParrot
EclecticParrot's picture

Late day shenanigans aside, today was actually fairly tradable, god forbid.  Well-defined moves at the standard times (9:55, 10:30, pausing at 11:00 for a "buy-the-new-low" before the plunge continued. 1:30 march back toward VWAP, aided by a planted headline, but it was on its way anyway -- we can't really expect another negative Dow close until next month.  Could it be the profession of trading has returned, and should we still put in our applications at Papa Johns?  The answer, of course, is "Yes."

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:20 | 3349297 whatsinaname
whatsinaname's picture

The ECB is promising some liquidity with help from IMF.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:25 | 3349321 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

As the ECB actually said it:

WE PISS ON THOSE CYPRIOTIC SERVS!!

So if that kind of goldshower is liquidity to the market...

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:37 | 3349371 EclecticParrot
EclecticParrot's picture

Though you're probably closer to the truth, my initial thought on the true source of the "L" word for Cyprus was that they had to be talking about vodka.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:22 | 3349305 DavidC
DavidC's picture

I sincerely hope you're right, EclecticParrot!

DavidC

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:20 | 3349296 Dr Paul Krugman
Dr Paul Krugman's picture

Dollar up, Dow Jones up:  Maybe investors have more faith in the U.S. respnse than they do to the Euro response? 

Rehn strong arming every European State on the periphery is taking a toll on confidence.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:22 | 3349306 camaro68ss
camaro68ss's picture

When your ship is sinking the slowest, everyone wants on board

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:30 | 3349336 Dr Paul Krugman
Dr Paul Krugman's picture

Bernanke is using proper monetary policy; he is doing it by the book; maybe Europe should take a page from it.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:33 | 3349345 Bunga Bunga
Bunga Bunga's picture

Yes, by the book of Joseph Stalin.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:35 | 3349347 camaro68ss
camaro68ss's picture

Proper monetary policy is QE'ing $85 billion dollars a month when the stock market is at an all time high? How is that logical to you?

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:38 | 3349379 Dr Paul Krugman
Dr Paul Krugman's picture

The Federal Reserve's dual mandate has absolutely nothing to do with stock prices.

The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and the Federal Open Market Committee shall maintain long run growth of the monetary and credit aggregates commensurate with the economy's long run potential to increase production, so as to promote effectively the goals of maximum employment, stable prices and moderate long-term interest rates.

Here - learn something:

http://www.chicagofed.org/webpages/publications/speeches/our_dual_mandate.cfm

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:49 | 3349437 camaro68ss
camaro68ss's picture

your telling me the FED's purchases of these "toxic assets" from the banks are not hitting the banks book and inturn reinvesting there cash into the market?

What are they doing with then?

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 17:13 | 3349539 ihedgemyhedges
ihedgemyhedges's picture

You do know that you are arguing with RoboTrader's transvestite grandmother, don't you???

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 20:20 | 3350401 bombdog
bombdog's picture

Hey Paul, I know you got a Nobel prize and everything, but you might in fact be * wrong * about the direction we are headed in and the usefulness of central banking.

Here - learn something:

http://www.mises.org

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:34 | 3349348 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

we are using the 19th Century one

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 17:36 | 3349646 thisandthat
thisandthat's picture

...and wipe our asses with it.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 21:06 | 3350572 yatikto
yatikto's picture

by the book.. lol..

seriously though, I think the name of the game is to push your neighbors currency higher as a way keep your own currency down. europe should have plummeted after the cyprus operation.  But, it didn't.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:22 | 3349307 McMolotov
McMolotov's picture

If you're forced to hold a stinky bag of shit, you hold the one that isn't on fire.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:37 | 3349365 negative rates
negative rates's picture

But Ben thinks that his shit don't stink.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:24 | 3349316 kliguy38
kliguy38's picture

For all of you that think this guy is actually real.....he is a psyop composed of several assigned to this blog

http://www.au.af.mil/au/awc/awcgate/psyops/e-psyops.pdf

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:31 | 3349342 McMolotov
McMolotov's picture

And here I thought he was just an asshole.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:37 | 3349370 kliguy38
kliguy38's picture

nahh.....just another junior G man betraying his own countrymen and their illusions

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 17:05 | 3349508 PAWNMAN
PAWNMAN's picture

The Fed cannot retrieve the 3+ trillion of liquidity it flooded the world with the last 5 years, and takes a page out of the EU handbook and gives depositors a 10% haircut ala Cyprus. What do you think of that hypothetical Paul? Never in America?

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 17:51 | 3349741 Dr Paul Krugman
Dr Paul Krugman's picture

They won't need to; they will unwind when their mandate has been met.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:21 | 3349299 Randy Goodnight
Randy Goodnight's picture

So where do we go from here?  Straight up?  Any guesses?

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:24 | 3349314 squid virtuous
squid virtuous's picture

Cramer is on at 6, and Krudlow at 7... my guess is they will be fairly bullish, but wait for the confirmation...

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:21 | 3349301 magpie
magpie's picture

Who knows, the DOW might acutally shed half a percent when Cyprus defaults

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:37 | 3349369 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

now I understand why the NSA spies on people on the internet... this kind of wild wolf... speculator kind of talk is evil! you are clearly a terrorist!

half a procent.... HOW DARE YOU!!! IT'S NOT IN THE SCRIPT!!!
Do you really want the derivative bomb to explode?

SEE?!?!?

You made me use the bomb words!!!!

Now my post also on the screens of the NSA!!!

NOW WE'RE ALL DOOMED!!!!!

jihad, nuclear bomb, sniper, gas, hollocaust, zionists, arian, plutonium, rifle, Micheal Jackson

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:47 | 3349403 magpie
magpie's picture

hohoho in my case i would be glad if it only were the NSA...i doubt they are allowed to frontrun trades after the sequester

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:47 | 3349427 a growing concern
a growing concern's picture

How about "founding fathers" or "Bill of Rights"? Oohhh...scary...

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 17:22 | 3349570 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

DO YOU WANT THEM TO SHUT DOWN ZEROHEDGE??!?

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 18:38 | 3350012 silverserfer
silverserfer's picture

you dont have to worry, the NSA has been outsourced to Bejing now and you make their brain movies head expole sexy.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 20:14 | 3350382 Stares straight...
Stares straight ahead's picture

I intentionally type in and search for random stuff on google. You'd be amazed by what you can find by typing "hfhvuajqwo," for example:
https://www.google.com/search?q=hfhyuaigwo&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&hl=en&clien...

Also, I am a lesbian for habitat of humanity trapped in a man's body, as far as the NSA is concerned.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:23 | 3349310 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

Are we at DOW 35000 yet dad?

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:28 | 3349328 camaro68ss
camaro68ss's picture

We will soon SD, now go buy some Ipods to pull your own weight.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:26 | 3349325 SilverMaples
SilverMaples's picture

BTFDtoVWAP is the new trade ...

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:32 | 3349344 Go Tribe
Go Tribe's picture

So what. We now have a new horsemeat processor coming on line in 3 weeks in New Mexico.

I knew we were going European,

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:36 | 3349361 Bingfa
Bingfa's picture

Good news:  Assault weapons ban won't make it to final gun control bill....

http://www.theblaze.com/stories/2013/03/19/fein-stymied-assault-weapons-...

Too bad, so sad.... large-capacity magazines might be another story

 

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:39 | 3349386 SmallerGovNow2
SmallerGovNow2's picture

Fight ain't over.  They will be trying to attach many of the Feinstein provisions as amendments...

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:46 | 3349419 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

the magazines may go....

http://laststandonzombieisland.files.wordpress.com/2013/02/magazine-clip...

NOW LET'S GET CREATIVE ON THAT NON MENTIONED CLIP THAT CARRIES 32 rounds!!!!

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:56 | 3349471 squid virtuous
squid virtuous's picture

Feinsteined again!

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:36 | 3349363 MFLTucson
MFLTucson's picture

Another day of fraud and deception in the Wall Street cesspool of thiefs and liar!

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:47 | 3349423 Hongcha
Hongcha's picture

Covered my short, flat in cash, green on the year after weeks of pulsing headaches watching the SPY whinge up .17% every day.

I like how gold and gold miners look here.  Sinclair said today that since the 'bail-in' experiment has been jammed up the technocrats' asses and snapped off, the reason to short gold is out the window. 

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:48 | 3349435 walküre
walküre's picture

Just stop playing their paper games. It's like leaving a religion. Once you see behind the fraud, you can only comment on it but you can't contribute or support it.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 16:58 | 3349478 diogeneslaertius
diogeneslaertius's picture

How to make mo money without using yo money

http://youtu.be/7jukQX2pl2Q

 

see also:

EVERYTHINGS COMING UP ROSES!

http://youtu.be/s62MrU8mHx4

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 17:02 | 3349498 slightlyskeptical
slightlyskeptical's picture

Yep. Brokers getting fired for being too conservative at 80-90% in equities. I want nothing more than for this whole game to end so we can build something that works for all.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 17:08 | 3349525 JustPrintMoreDuh
JustPrintMoreDuh's picture

Give Up.

 

Resistance is futile serfs.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 18:33 | 3349974 Crash Overide
Crash Overide's picture

DOW = Sheeple Meter

Keep stacking my friends.

Tue, 03/19/2013 - 19:20 | 3350165 chrsjrcj
chrsjrcj's picture

You missed one Tyler: Bitcoin up. 1 BTC = 2 oz Ag 

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