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Meanwhile In Global Logistics...

Tyler Durden's picture





 

FedEx started the day down around 4% (on the disaster that we noted earlier) and has not looked back. Now at the lows of the day, down 7% (and 8.5% from its highs yesterday) this is the biggest drop and biggest volume (with 30 minutes left in the day) in 18 months.

 

So much for global trade volumes...

 


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Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:30 | Link to Comment MarsInScorpio
MarsInScorpio's picture

Sorry to stay stuck on Cyprus . . . please forgive me.

+++++++++

 

Choosing between the EU and Russia, expecting one to be clean, is like choosing between the Bloods and the Crips . . .

 

It's only a matter of what colors you want to wear.

 

So if Russia floats your banks, and the EU doesn't, then screw the EU.

 

Forcing those people to keep their banks shut down when Bro. Ben is doling out $85-billion a month shows just how insane the Banking Cartel has become. In one week of flushing money into the world banking system, the FED could float the entire package and never miss it. It's chump change that these fools at the Trioka are risking their entire power upon.

 

The damage the EU is doing is uncomprehensible to 99.9% of the Western world. The hate they are creating will never go away - you are talking about cultures that are still fighting wars fought thousands of years ago. This will seal forever the loathing the Cypriots will hold against anything having to do with Western Europe.

 

It also shows the complete disconnect between the Banking Cartel and the political/military class. This is a disaster for both of those cultures. Allowing Russia a naval base in the warm Med waters, is insane for their interests. Yet nobody in either of those two classes has the power to pull the plug on the cartel's insanity.

 

Watch how long it takes the islanders to toss every relic of NATO into the sea, and line up at the port with flowers and Russian flags waving to welcome their "liberators."

 

Before you question that, answer this in your own life: Would you still suport the EU after they shut you down economically, made commerce impossible, deprived you of food, medicine, housing, a paycheck, and every other aspect of your life that banking allows to occur in a modern society?

 

Unless you are spineless beyond comprehension, you would forever want revenge agaisnt the EU and its Banking Cartel.

 

As I said, it's the Bloods or the Crips . . . you'll side with whichever group feeds you.

 

And do all you can to kill those who took your life away from you. 

-30-

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:33 | Link to Comment McMolotov
McMolotov's picture

The more I think about what's being done to the people of Cyprus, the more it depresses the hell out of me.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:44 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

When real goods and services stop crossing boarders, troops will.  Same as it ever was.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:52 | Link to Comment Rustysilver
Rustysilver's picture

LawsofPhysics,

In Europe they have that border agreement. No need for stopping at the borders.

It all good. No worries.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:55 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

The world has many "agreements", unfortunately when fraud becomes the status quo, "agreements" mean very little and possession rapidly becomes the law.  The world has been here before.

No worries (well, if you have physical in your possession that is).

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:00 | Link to Comment waterwitch
waterwitch's picture

Let's call it Cyprussia

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:14 | Link to Comment Stuntgirl
Stuntgirl's picture

France's recent failure to uphold its tobacco import limits per person from neighbouring countries made me think of how little "agreements" mean.

It was no-news, but France was openly challenging the entire concept of open borders in the EU...

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:20 | Link to Comment FL_Conservative
FL_Conservative's picture

That'll teach FedEx for harshing the market optimism.  No fucking tolerance for that.  Off with their heads!!!!

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:13 | Link to Comment Ratscam
Ratscam's picture

currency wars
trade wars
real wars

BTW: would have loved to see those Cyprus bets on intrade.com

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:47 | Link to Comment JPM Hater001
JPM Hater001's picture

I dont know but Waldo is in the upper left corner behind the stripper pole with Soliel Moonbeam performing.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:17 | Link to Comment WTF_247
WTF_247's picture

All the more reasons to load "all in" to transports.

When fundimentals do not matter the only button you press is "BUY"

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:35 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Many acts in this circus.  That's what makes things entertaining.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:26 | Link to Comment max2205
max2205's picture

Mean while. grandma is back at the ranch beating off the indians

 

everytime.....kills me

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 17:06 | Link to Comment hannah
hannah's picture

...good god...the visual of grandma giving the indians a handy is just tooooo much. NEVER saw that in a john wayne movie....

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:47 | Link to Comment Vashta Nerada
Vashta Nerada's picture

I would like to make clear some points. Feel free to correct me if I am wrong on any of these.

1. The money in those Cypriot bank accounts has already been taxed once.

2. The idea that banks/government entities would make whole any bondholders, who knew there was risk going in, while penalizing bystanders by socializing the risk runs counter to the rule of law we have known for over 250 years, recent events like TARP notwithstanding.

3. While I understand that Germans don't want to work until they are 80 in order to pay taxes to fund the pensions of southern Euro public union workers who retire at 50, they should be targeting the union workers and spendthrift government, not the general population.

4. As far as I can tell, the Cypriot public sector union members are currently to retain 100% of their benefits, which means that any bailout is just buying more time before the same situation repeats, with a larger debt burden in the next round.

Until someone actually presents a real austerity plan, in which tax rates are nearly irrelevant, but actual cuts (not cuts in growth) are made to spending, government pensions, and welfare payments, Cyprus and every other country on this debt spiral will continue downwards, and the only question is when every Western nation with a too-generous safety net collapses.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:54 | Link to Comment Rustysilver
Rustysilver's picture

Vashta,

You can NOT go after the unions.  They hide behind the union label.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:59 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

"cuts in spending (not cuts in growth)" - well now, that's the real trick isn't?  Before you try to address that you might want to carefully define things like, value, compensation, wealth, and growth.  You might be suprised to discover that they mean very different things to different people, such as a farmer or a banker for example.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 20:06 | Link to Comment Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

I liken it to complex numbers. To the farmer, the Real component has a large value, and to the banker the Imaginary component has a large value. But only the banker is allowed to use Imaginary components.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:02 | Link to Comment madcows
madcows's picture

I can't claim to know all about the current Cyprus issue.  But it seems to me that you are mixing cyprus bank bailouts with public debts.  As I understood it, the cash grab was to make the banks solvent... sort of like our TARP program.  what's the connection?  Do the banks hold bad government debt?  To me, the EU is one big clusterfuck.  Their banks are bankrupt.  Their people are bankrupt.  Their governments are bankrupt.  Why not just default?  Go Icelandic?

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:10 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Iceland was a lone domino, the E.U. is not.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:27 | Link to Comment Pure Evil
Pure Evil's picture

The Cyprus banks held a boatload of Greek bond debt, that's why they're insolvent and that's why the EU wanted them to 'bail-in' their own bail-out. That, and the EU thought they could steal the vast majority of the money needed for the 'bail-in bail-out' from the Russian mafia.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:29 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

nothing scarier than a bunch of criminals getting organized.  Oh wait...

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:40 | Link to Comment Pure Evil
Pure Evil's picture

Sadly, the Russian mafia doesn't have the military hardware to take on NATO,.......yet.

Though, I can only imagine the price of illegal drugs will be going up in Europe to make up the losses, along with the costs of other criminal activities.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 17:08 | Link to Comment hannah
hannah's picture

the russian mob doesnt have the power to take on NATO but SPECTRE sure as hell does....

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:33 | Link to Comment Edward Fiatski
Edward Fiatski's picture

Hey... but... but... I just placed 11 orders on Amazon.com?

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:33 | Link to Comment pods
pods's picture

They should ship the Euros to Cyprus using Fed Ex!

pods

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:34 | Link to Comment Jason T
Jason T's picture

I added exports and imports in US and did a percent change from year ago.. hoovering around 0% for last 4 months now.. and trend is definitely down per prior rates of change.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:34 | Link to Comment swissaustrian
swissaustrian's picture

CAT is also suffering

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:35 | Link to Comment fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Right now two guests are correctly pointing out the wealth effect and how the fed is causing a gigantic difference between the market and the economy and Santelli is claiming time has helped heal the economy.

Santelli is a fraud, and the worst kind of fraud. I will prob get junked for it, but it's the truth.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:43 | Link to Comment Ineverslice
Ineverslice's picture

 

He's been used as a ratings whore for the past 3 years, and he probably knows it.

 

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:52 | Link to Comment astoriajoe
astoriajoe's picture

He has upgraded his wardrobe markedly in that time.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:09 | Link to Comment Element
Element's picture

@ fonzi -

Yes, but a mass-audience hears him, and they do not hear zh, nor you, so he's on-message doing his bit, and the message is the one that needs to be heard. When that changes, then it's the time that he needs to be challenged.  But have you heard him get it wrong since the days of Lehman's, was he not the guy back then that really went off the deep-end about what Hank Paulson was trying to do, and what it meant for everyone if they did it? Wasn't he trying to apply the brakes when so few were?

If he's in a position to do something like that, and he is doing it, then we should take note, and let him get on with it.

2c

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:47 | Link to Comment McMolotov
McMolotov's picture

Most of the talking heads (Santelli included) don't live in the world the rest of us inhabit. Their circles of friends are doing just fine, especially if they have any sort of connection to Washington, D.C., or Wall Street. They could be frauds, or they could simply be unable to see outside their little bubble. It's hard to tell which is the case, but I don't much care for these people either way.

Meanwhile, out here in Bernankistan, we see unemployment, foreclosure, and people living paycheck to paycheck. When it all finally comes crashing down, that little bubble around people like Santelli won't do much to protect them from the angry masses.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:08 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

I disagree.  I know of two Venture capital guys withh private plantations on islands in fairly remote locations with their own live-in staff producing food year round.  They also have their own former Delta team members who accompany them whenever they visit.  Now you tell me, where's the threat?  Let's say all hell does break loose.  Go ahead, approach these properties, you will not even see the infared beam seconds before the round that drops you. Don't know if Santelli is so lucky, but there's wealth, then there's wealth and power.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 17:12 | Link to Comment hannah
hannah's picture

who would be stupid enough to 'approach' theircompounds. just take out the supply route and they will come to you eventually......the super rich will NOT be able to hide forever.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 17:20 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

These plantations do not require any supplies moron.  They are quite self-sufficient.  Until you get a glimpse of what actually goes on in these circles, I would caution you on any predictions as to precisely what these folks are capable of doing.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 19:07 | Link to Comment hannah
hannah's picture

you stupid fuck. they cant produce everything needed to live forever. that is just stupid. what game are you playing because no one is this stupid....

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:16 | Link to Comment Element
Element's picture

Santelli was one of the loudest voices, internationally, not just in the USA, in late 2008 on the trading-floor who said all of what you just said would occur if Hank Paulson got his way, and the TBTF moral-hazard was allowed to stand.

And he was spot-on.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 19:08 | Link to Comment Rustysilver
Rustysilver's picture

How can he be junked for it if those are the facts.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:13 | Link to Comment Awakened Sheeple
Awakened Sheeple's picture

I think he was specifically talking about deleveraging over time and the conversation drifted into a general statement about the economy.

"Do not argue with idiots, they drag you down to your level and beat you with experience." ~ Mark Twain

I'll listen to Santelli over any of the stock pumpers on blowhorn.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:36 | Link to Comment monopoly
monopoly's picture

FDX and CAT two of the best tells on the global economy.....And our markets are up. I want no part of it.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:36 | Link to Comment McMolotov
McMolotov's picture

Shirley FedEx is just losing business to the US postal service, thereby proving that government does everything better.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:08 | Link to Comment moonman
moonman's picture

Stop calling me Shirley

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:09 | Link to Comment SmallerGovNow2
SmallerGovNow2's picture

Actually the "if it fits it ships" is taking a lot of business from both FedEx and UPS as it is a great deal cheaper.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:36 | Link to Comment Midas
Midas's picture

In 2011 FedEX had the USPS deliver 30% of ground deliveries.

 

 

http://cepobserver.com/2011/12/fedex-uses-usps-for-30-4-of-ground-shipme...

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 17:09 | Link to Comment CH1
CH1's picture

Shirley FedEx is just...

FYI - and this is not a snipe - it is spelled "surely", as in 'I am sure.'

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:37 | Link to Comment DutchR
DutchR's picture

Everytime I want to buy something, via ebay, from the US (and it does not matter how small it is) the shipping cost are a multiple of the ordred product.

The offfer is good but the schipping not so good...

 

*typing withoud glasses is a  B + dyslectic

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:43 | Link to Comment adr
adr's picture

You mean like ordering a $.50 cable that has $4.75 five day ground shipping.

But somehow ordering a 50" TV from Amazon bought for $1000 under MSRP is free to ship.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:55 | Link to Comment DutchR
DutchR's picture

Huh what?

No.

The Chinese mostly chip for free (i know its all in the price)

But if i buy a small peace of plastic, motorcycle cruize control, that cost me like $7,  the shiping is $16.95

 

I mailed around and someone (go figure) send it with $2.70  shipping

 

If US like to trade, fine, but it seems U dont like to , or there are to many in betweens (parasites).

 

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:39 | Link to Comment madbraz
madbraz's picture

Fedex dropping 4% in the morning, Trannies hold on to -0.4% loss only.  Fedex loss accelerates to 7-8%, Trannies hold on to -0.4% loss. 

 

Way to go, manipulators, way to go.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:40 | Link to Comment fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

It looks like Liesman is prepping us for a month this year when they slightly reduce bond purchases. 

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:40 | Link to Comment Frank N. Beans
Frank N. Beans's picture

there's gotta be a "trannies" joke in all this but damned if I can think of one at the moment

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:46 | Link to Comment dontgoforit
dontgoforit's picture

Trannie was sittin' in the bar with a duck....

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 17:17 | Link to Comment hannah
hannah's picture

the bartender says 'what'll ya have' and the duck says i'll have an 'asshurts'. the bartender says whats that../ the duck says its a drink that ben bernanke gives him and it puts him to sleep and when he wakes up his ass hurts.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:47 | Link to Comment adr
adr's picture

Perhaps investors today, who wouldn't know the first thing about any actual business, think that investing in the trannies is putting money into the production of Brazilian gay porn.

In fact it even allows them to play the emerging market sector.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:51 | Link to Comment Winston of Oceania
Winston of Oceania's picture

Part of it could be that just like myself other small business owners quit using them when he,(Chief Asshat) said higher taxes wouldn't hurt small business owners. FUCK HIM. I now have to use union organizations but still; FUCK HIM and his company. BTW his drivers are ALL small business owners who work for themselves so he fucked them too!

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:45 | Link to Comment fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

The S&P will break all time highs the week they tried to confiscate bank assets. It's just surreal.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:47 | Link to Comment dontgoforit
dontgoforit's picture

That's the part that is inexplicable.  WTF?

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 17:05 | Link to Comment ekm
ekm's picture

I have explained it several times.

Primary dealers have bought all S&P with QE money and are selling the same batch of stocks to each other over and over.

Theoretically DOW can go 20k, 30k. It's been happening since DOW at 11k or so.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 15:52 | Link to Comment PontifexMaximus
PontifexMaximus's picture

Who cares about "real economy"? Quarter end ahead, be simple as I am. EU is excercising in Cyprus, who the hell in the US knows where it is, whether banks can be kept close for more than......7 working days.....without any AR15 used or a 9mm rond shot.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:00 | Link to Comment Village Smithy
Village Smithy's picture

FedEx is unimportant in today's economy, they only transport the goods that industry manufactures. They don't provide valuable services such as barista-ing, retailing to teens, or mani/pedi services. These are the foundation jobs of the new economy. These are the jobs that are going to support the $3000+ per month rents that Blackrock will be getting from all the mcmansions they are buying up.

Seriously now, I'm auditioning for a spot on CNBS. How'd I do?

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:23 | Link to Comment squid virtuous
squid virtuous's picture

I just demanded a raise from Starbux to support my social media/gadget addiction.... they told me to fuck myself... so i quit, off to Dunkin Donutz with my demands

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 17:20 | Link to Comment hannah
hannah's picture

village smithy - fedex also delivers my welfare check and food stamps and obamaphone so they do cater to the new economy...

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:01 | Link to Comment Randy Goodnight
Randy Goodnight's picture

The only shipping I'm using (but not paying for) is to return a crappy american made product by a company called AVID.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:06 | Link to Comment virgilcaine
virgilcaine's picture

Noone wants to buy/ship overpriced cheaply made foreign goods?  Mkt just tanked AH>>

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:05 | Link to Comment squid virtuous
squid virtuous's picture

restaurants, homies, airlines and social media (ex facebook) are leading the rally, very healthy!

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:06 | Link to Comment DutchR
DutchR's picture

Still no answer on the shipping costs,

Why is the shipping from the us is so high commepred to other (ebay) countrys?

 

man i'm losing it

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:06 | Link to Comment FinalCollapse
FinalCollapse's picture

The BDI remains near bottom - 5 YR chart. You will have to display only the most recent weeks on the chart to see a 'recovery' sorts of.

Fedex's volume is going down too. I wonder how is UPS doing? USPS?

Heavy Truck volumes are heading down (NSA) long term unless you apply the 'magic' of SA (see FRED). Even with SA 'magic' it is still depressed.

The only flat transportation data was from US railways. I wonder how they collect this data? It must be a 'transparent' statistical sample. All of it collected from Warren Buffet I suppose... 

The M2 velocity is at the lows never seen before. So much for the business activity.

So where this miraculous recovery is? Where they see it? Must be from Nancy Pelosi/Warren Buffet/Obama Department of Truth.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:08 | Link to Comment venturen
venturen's picture

The WRONG FED is down!

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:10 | Link to Comment madcows
madcows's picture

$99 a share w/ a 0.57% dividend yield on a blue chip stock.  I say buy.  That's about a thousand times better than a 7-yr CD at the bank, and the Fed can't confiscate it for a bank bailout.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:12 | Link to Comment Van Halen
Van Halen's picture

Apologies for asking what is probably an silly question on these boards but I can't think of a way to research this other than to just straight up ask the people here:

What does FedEx as an indicator have to do with the economy as a whole? Is shipping intrinsically tied to economic slowdown/startup?

If anyone wants to just send along a link, I'm content to go research this myself. Any help is appreciated!

Thanks, all!

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 17:20 | Link to Comment stevevan
stevevan's picture

"Is shipping intrinsically tied to economic slowdown/startup?"  - short answer:  Yes,  yes it is

 

Businesses and manufacturer are much better indicator of economic activity than statistics made up whole cloth by the government.  Both manufactoring and retail rely heavily on transportation companies for supply chain shipments.  If Jim's widgets experiences good sales - he will order more inventory.  Simplistic - but true.

 

Shipping is a great leading indicator of economic activity, hence the fact that many people rely on FDX, UPS, the Baltic Dry Index, AAR Railtime indicators

 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baltic_Dry_Index

 

https://www.aar.org/newsandevents/Pages/Rail-Time-Indicators.aspx#.UUon4lcTSdw

 

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 17:23 | Link to Comment hannah
hannah's picture

van - back in the old days (horse and cart days), the economy drove the stock market...LOL. i know it sounds fucking stupid compared to today when the fed prints electrons and that drives the market.

way way back when joe biden owned obama's pappy.

 

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 17:39 | Link to Comment Van Halen
Van Halen's picture

Many thanks for the explanations and links!

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:18 | Link to Comment TNTARG
TNTARG's picture
Is New Zealand Really Considering a Cyprus-Style Levy on Depositors?

http://www.theblaze.com/stories/2013/03/19/not-again-is-new-zealand-real...

Show goes on.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:27 | Link to Comment skipjack
skipjack's picture

"and the Fed can't confiscate it for a bank bailout."

 

Haha on you.  What do you call currency debasement and market manipulation, sucka ?  Look around...if you can't identify the mark, then it must be...

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 16:32 | Link to Comment Panafrican Funk...
Panafrican Funktron Robot's picture

If April doesn't see a significant correction, you may officially end up seeing my surprise face.

Wed, 03/20/2013 - 17:16 | Link to Comment Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

Tyler, this is a good follow-up to an article you did some months ago, showing the shipping volumes through the Suez canal.

I always say, if you want to see what's Really going on in an economy, just check the stats for the Supply Chain and Logistics: Canaries in a coalmine.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!