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Meanwhile In Precious Metals And Virtual Currencies...

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The old 'new normal' precious metals smackdown has made a few appearances since the Cyprus debacle started but this morning's drop is impressive (given the lack of movement elsewhere) as gold drops back below pre-Cyprus levels. There is one 'currency' that is surgung in value though - Bitcoin is now trading at $107.36, up from $46 pre-Cyprus...

Gold is now back below Cyprus levels and Silver has been sliding...

 

But Bitcoin has been surging (looking somewhat parabolic longer-term)...

 

 

Charts: Bloomberg and BitCoinCharts

 

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Tue, 04/02/2013 - 09:12 | 3399002 JustObserving
JustObserving's picture

If we smack gold and silver hard enough, inflation will be controlled.  How did we control inflation before HFT?

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 09:13 | 3399006 CH1
CH1's picture

The world goes nuts and gold goes down. Insane.

Ah well, another buying opportunity.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 09:15 | 3399029 Middle_Finger_Market
Middle_Finger_Market's picture

$100 to the upside is still a good buying opportunity for physical. 

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 09:17 | 3399039 BaBaBouy
BaBaBouy's picture

Gook Luck @ The Bit Casino ...

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 09:21 | 3399057 Debtonation
Debtonation's picture

I'd like to see 'em try to smack down Bitcoin.  Can't rehypothocate or short it.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 09:28 | 3399114 SafelyGraze
SafelyGraze's picture

don't know about rehypothecating bitcoins

but .. if you edit main.cpp

https://github.com/bitcoin/bitcoin/blob/master/src/main.cpp

between lines 1155 and 1170, you can remove (or comment out) the two if-statements so that CheckProofOfWork always returns "true".

 

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 09:31 | 3399130 YBNguy
YBNguy's picture

Bitcoins would be pretty easy for a government to confiscate as a cyber currency.

Gold you can bury.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 09:38 | 3399174 MillionDollarBonus_
MillionDollarBonus_'s picture

I agree. It's far easier for the government to confiscate bitcoins than gold. +1.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:00 | 3399285 malikai
malikai's picture

Yea, so Gold just closed today. And I can't wait til I can start publishing my BTC models.

https://www.quantsig.net/live.html

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:16 | 3399358 BaBaBouy
BaBaBouy's picture

WOW ... Million Bonus Finally Made Some Sense ...

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:26 | 3399406 Rubbish
Rubbish's picture

Silver will be pushed sub $20 and Gold will fall to $1,000-$1,100.

 

Those would be my entry points. The wizards are busy pushing stocks to ultimate highs.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:41 | 3399472 mick_richfield
mick_richfield's picture

At those prices, what will you buy ?

Do you think anyone at that point would still be selling metal ?

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:56 | 3399546 Stuntgirl
Stuntgirl's picture

I would love to see those prices, but I also note that the premiums I get are adjusted with price drops.

It's a bit sad, but the absolute inability on my part to model a shortage price point is making me accumulate proportionally at these drops. Trying to find a balance is screwing with my brain.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 11:00 | 3399567 mick_richfield
mick_richfield's picture

But of course you can't model anything in a dishonest market.

So all you can do is accumulate as you are able to, expect frequent dishonest price drops, and the market to lock up at some point that you will not be able to predict from prices.

I think what you're doing sounds optimal in an environment like that.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 12:06 | 3399822 Jack Napier
Jack Napier's picture

I'd like to see 'em try to smack down Bitcoin. Can't rehypothocate or short it.

True, but they can and likely are throwing large quantities of money at it. BitCoin is the only deregulated market. Speculation rules the day. It's hard to say how much of the BitCoin surge is due to businesses in Cyprus needing a viable alternative that banks can't steal directly vs. how much is due to the powers that be trying to lie to the world in that we don't need gold and silver for protection from bank failures. They will gladly have everyone jump into BitCoin if it allows them to continue to suppress metals. A global digital currency has been the goal from the beginning. Are that many of us really such lemmings that this is not obvious?

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 12:51 | 3399984 Scarlett
Scarlett's picture

It's not only bitcoin.  Litecoin exploded from $0.07 to $4.20 today.  Of course it's bubbly, but still, as Taleb said, this is the beggining of something great.  This will accelerate the endgame for gold/silver smackdown.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 13:37 | 3400165 FEDbuster
FEDbuster's picture

How does Bitcoin work in a "grid down" world?  Say there is no internet and no electricity, will Bitcoins buy you a dozen eggs from your neighbor?  Or am I better off being able to offer him a 1960 90% silver quarter?   

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 14:56 | 3400461 Scarlett
Scarlett's picture

You're better off with a silver quarter.  Bitcoin will be good for transfers amongst the military checkpoints, though.

 

 

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 16:07 | 3400755 FEDbuster
FEDbuster's picture

From my understanding of history, gold is the best to get you through military checkpoints.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 21:14 | 3401584 Scarlett
Scarlett's picture

What's the strategy?  Seriously, if they go into your car, where are some places to store gold and just pass unforeseen?  

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 21:52 | 3401678 FEDbuster
FEDbuster's picture

Plenty of hiding spots, but I was thinking about the bribes needed to get you out of the cities, states or country.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 23:43 | 3401974 FireBrander
FireBrander's picture

Gold will get you killed at the "check point"; why take a bribe when they can kill yiu and take it all?

Wed, 04/03/2013 - 01:00 | 3402111 thisandthat
thisandthat's picture

Unless someone goes trough your papers.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 11:08 | 3399603 Rubbish
Rubbish's picture

You act as if these metals are a way of life. Most people on the street would ignore your thoughts. The sooner you apply that to your inventment strategy the better.

 

Pigs get fed, there is always a slaughter !

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 11:51 | 3399787 fonestar
fonestar's picture

I believe a new gold standard would probably be one of the worse things that could happen to us.  It would just be the same psychopaths in charge now, only in a highly deflationary environment.

"Yes we have the gold in our vaults and no you cannot see it."

A bi-metallic system would be good but there is no longer the physical silver to circulate.  A good mix would be gold, silver, copper, bitcoin, local currencies and barter.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 12:10 | 3399831 Jack Napier
Jack Napier's picture

A proper gold standard fixes the ratio of dollars to ounces or grams of gold, whatever measurement you prefer, but a fixed ratio. This allows for an approximate steady 3% inflation at most which is tied to the extraction of gold and thus purchasing power never changes with a fixed ratio. It would not be deflationary from a currency standpoint, but from an economic standpoint of course the financial system would completely deflate and default without ZIRP and infinite bailouts that easy monetary policy provides. A gold standard does not require any central bank policy or human element. It is self regulating as long as the rules are enforced which is the whole problem, they aren't.

There is plenty of silver for a metal standrd. You could have it with one ounce of silver. All metals are divisible. It's a matter of how much value you attribute to what quantity of metal.

BitCoins are a terrible idea for backing a different currency because they can be easily influenced by big money. Silver is also in that boat but only because it is such a small market due to being severely undervalued and thus depleted. Gold on the other hand is the big boy on the block and will not bend to such tactics, but you are right that we need a bi-metallic standard, actually many competing metal standards so they keep each other honest, but it has to be metals only since they are non-renewable elements.

BitCoin is king right now, but as soon as a competing digital currency with a superior algorithm comes out everyone will flock to that and BitCoin will crash, assuming that there is infrastructure to support BitCoin long enough for that to happen.

Gold and silver, and to a lesser extent the other metals are the only true extinguishers of debt and the only sound money that are durable, divisible, fungible, and portable. BitCoin and fiat currency both fail to meet all these requirements for both a unit of account and a store of wealth.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 13:06 | 3400048 Middle_Finger_Market
Middle_Finger_Market's picture

You have just translated the ancient knowledge of 'The Golden Ratio' into modern day economic terms. Bravo! 

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 13:06 | 3400053 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Bitcoin is not just a currency, it is a crypto-wealth-tunnel.  It is hard to put a value on this technology but it is clear to me the technology is extremely valuable.  It facilitates transfer of wealth and it has utility in the real, physical world.  Owning bitcoin is like owning an oil pipeline as opposed to owning a few barrels of oil.  What is the AlCan pipeline worth in dollars?  Yes, you could go and build another pipeline beside it but how much would that cost?  What would be the incentive to use it instead?

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 14:12 | 3400319 Middle_Finger_Market
Middle_Finger_Market's picture

A crypto wealth tunnel that extends to the end of the power line?? Then what? ''I want my money back..!'' ...ermmm what money?! The cyber money that exists on the end of a FUCKING phone line???  

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 14:23 | 3400347 fonestar
fonestar's picture

What are you trying to say?  Someone is going to ask that the global internet is turned off?  It's that simple hey, just shut 'er down?

I expect the power of each Bitcoin to be massive.  Each bitcoin will gain mass until it tears a hole in the fabric of the fiat universe.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 14:38 | 3400401 Middle_Finger_Market
Middle_Finger_Market's picture

No, that's why I said I would have to trust the source (to survive)...and also believe the fact that we are not heading for a second dark age...you see you must learn to read your history. Going a few steps back may be the best option to have gone too many steps forward in the wrong direction? Technology has a crucial part to play in our evolution as a species...but not alongside our current old school 'left brained' 'show me the money bitches' capitalist mentality. Technology goes dormant while the system evolves...but do your Bitcoins survive the trip?

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 15:44 | 3400651 fiftybagger
fiftybagger's picture

You are right fonestar,

Take a few wallets and lock them in a time capsule.  Come visit them in a few years and see what you have.  TBTB become quivering masses of goo when they behold this technology.  Bitcoin and silver, the crucifix and holy water of central bankster blood money sucking vampires.  Arise Chickuns and eat the vampire squid.

Silver For The People

The Bitcoin Channel

 

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 12:26 | 3399909 ich1baN
ich1baN's picture

I find it interesting that a little turbulence has everyone thinking gold and silver will fall much further. 

Geologists from PDAC 2013 say that over 600 junior gold miners will disappear from the mining realm by June/July 2013 if gold stays at its current price. If this happens, there will be a huge supply of potential gold not coming to the market. 

Silver's total cost of mining is in the $25.50 - $26 range. This is not just the cash cost to mine. But we know that about 70% of silver is by-product mining from copper, so if copper becomes uneconomical, then you will see silver supply start to become more scarce. 

I know the Fed's intention is to hold gold and silver in a range and shake everyone out of hedged assets and into the equity eurphoria, but if they shake gold to hard, it will defeat their purpose of capping it. If gold supply comes off the market, it will shoot up like Rhodium did in 2008. Silver will follow as it is inextricably linked to gold's long term price action. 

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:28 | 3399407 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Some of the idiots posting on Bitcoin make me laugh!

You seriously think if you want to pay me (or anyone born somewhat recently) I am going to sit around waiting for your gold and silver bars to show up on the Western Union wagon?  What is this 1880?

I measure payment time in MILLISECONDS and if payment is taking longer than a few hundred milliseconds that is too long!

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:32 | 3399427 blabam
blabam's picture

Wow you're like, totally cool! And clearly don't know what you're talking about.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:39 | 3399457 malikai
malikai's picture

It sounds authoritative and that's what matters.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:54 | 3399545 Middle_Finger_Market
Middle_Finger_Market's picture

The plain and simple truth is that Bitcoin has become increasingly popular as a method to circumvent capital controls and that's about it! You don't want your money in there for too long and it is not a viable solution to the slow demise of FIAT. The world revolves around tangible hard assets; commodities. @commodsaregold 

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 11:44 | 3399757 malikai
malikai's picture

Money is three things.

Each of these can and have been separate in many currencies throughout history. Each with differing effects.

  1. Unit of Account
  2. Standard of Exchange
  3. Store of Wealth

BTC has #2 nailed for retail FX and internet goods/services.

For some people, it also has #3 (particularly when your government helps itself to 90% of your cash).

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 12:15 | 3399860 Jack Napier
Jack Napier's picture

BitCoin is not a store of wealth. It's not durable. It's not even tangible. In 1,000 years would you rather dig up a flash drive with some BitCoins on it or a chest full of gold? BitCoin is the best currency that has ever existed and is far superior to fiat, but only gold and silver are sound money. They have different purposes.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 12:38 | 3399942 malikai
malikai's picture

I agree, but in 1000 years I'll be dead and not concerned with money.

I am interested in trade in the here and now.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 11:44 | 3399759 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

Bitcoin is a track-hider.  Money goes in, and is made gaseous.

The metals markets will go physical.  Brace yourself for margin adjustments.

Wed, 04/03/2013 - 01:13 | 3402126 thisandthat
thisandthat's picture

Like I keep saying, bitcoin has capital control embedded right in the system - you can't just buy any amount you so desire straight away, the way you can with virtually any other currency/commodity - there's (stringent) limits as to how much you can buy on a daily basis (hello, Cyprus)...

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:45 | 3399474 Middle_Finger_Market
Middle_Finger_Market's picture

LOL! So you imagine, imaginary wealth available in MILLISECONDS...hmm when Bitcoin starts bringing the currency into the real world via gold and silver pieces give me a call...coz I got ZEE gold and you got an internet coupon printout! Unplug the internet and we unplug your wealth...

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:53 | 3399542 fonestar
fonestar's picture

What is so special about your gold?  There is lots of gold where I live!  Why don't I get paid in a **REASONABLE** amount of time, take that currency and go buy gold if that's what I want to do?

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 11:01 | 3399573 Middle_Finger_Market
Middle_Finger_Market's picture

The main thing that is special about my gold is that it has intrinsic value and is a tangible 'real world' asset that I can bring to the barter table. At the same time it is only worth as much as I am able to trade for in that moment i.e. if I trade for food and there is one food vendor and lots of gold sellers my gold may as well be worthless, because I cannot eat it! In the ideal world we do as you say; we carry around easy to carry notes or credits on a card and we get what we want :)! But unfortunately the powers that be have put our confidence in disarray as at any moment the so called credits we have may be worth a lot less or even as in Europes case taken from us. So we say; we want our wealth and we want to be able to see it. We have lost confidence in the system!  

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 11:04 | 3399588 fonestar
fonestar's picture

What is different about your gold than the gold in my area?  Does it have a different atomic mass or something?  Why would I want to sit around for days, weeks, months waiting for your gold to show up?

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 11:10 | 3399609 Middle_Finger_Market
Middle_Finger_Market's picture

My bad, I thought we were still on the bitcoin vs gold shizzle. No, nothing is different about the gold. You can see that the powers that be want to bring the system to it's knees though, so hedge accordingly and expect to be bartering and helping out your neighbours and vice versa.  

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 12:22 | 3399884 Jack Napier
Jack Napier's picture

Gold is a store of wealth and physical currency. BitCoin is a digital currency. Fiat is a debt based currency. They are apples, oranges, and bananas. What makes gold and other precious metals superior is that their value is not contingent upon a nation's ability to pay its debt as is fiat currency, or a functioning Internet and power grid as is BitCoin. Only metals have value in and of their nature which cannot be taken away. The others are just for convenience but will not save you from a financial meltdown. Cyprus is a cakewalk compared to when the derivatives crumble.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 11:07 | 3399598 Silver Bully
Silver Bully's picture

'What is so special about your gold?'

It has been the most reliable store of value for over 5000 years. It also works well as a currency. A store of value and a currency are two different things. Bitcoin is incredibly flexible as a currency . . . but it is a HORRIBLE way to store value. It is actually worse at storing value than the U.S. dollar (you at least have something physical if the value goes to 0). Bitcoin is all or nothing. The moment it gets compromised the game is over - confidence is shattered in it as a currency, and people will drop it like a bad habit.

The reason gold has lasted so long in human history is it is a fantastic way to store value while being a pretty good currency to boot. Gold is gold is gold. Unless you can find a way to alter physics, it is always reliable. Bitcoin is far too unreliable to store value in long term. If you think gold is so awful I'll take any you have, and I won't even charge anything! ;)

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 15:47 | 3400659 Panafrican Funk...
Panafrican Funktron Robot's picture

I was reading some comments above about investments in the "hear and now", and I would just respond to that by saying for those of us that have children (or related children we care about), we tend to care more than the average bear about what happens after we die, and there is a substantial subset that wants their productive labor to primarily go towards building our kids and grandkids wealth.  And that's why "store of wealth" and "return of investment" really, really matter to a lot of people.  

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 18:05 | 3401125 goldenboy
goldenboy's picture

There is an inordinate amount of paper gold ('virtual', imaginary, never-to-exist gold) and it has approximately the same worth as your ridiculous virtual currency, bitcoin, ie NOTHING. NOT A THIN DIME! Those digital trading units which you believe represent your wealth are initiating (e.g Cyprus) the very process of a conflagration which will live in the psyche for generations. Those images of hyperinfationed Germans sweeping up fiat to burn are kids-play compared to what is to come. People like you never learn, though, do you? You jump on the latest Ponzi bandwagon, oblivious to the most salient lessons smacking you in the face daily, and sell a pile of valueless crap to the next queue of morons. Save in Bitcoins... go on, watch the Pozi scheme play you like a fiddle. Your wealth is NOT what your bitcoin account balance says it is! Ask Cypriots about ownership of digital currency units. preciousmetalspete at his blogspot, a deep insider since the 70s, knows where and how the endgame unfolds. And Bitcoin is NOT in the monkey's future. See his post: Bitcoin The Shitcoin (It Aint a Coin, but It is a Bit Shit) 

 

Wed, 04/03/2013 - 01:08 | 3402121 thisandthat
thisandthat's picture

You better not measure payments in milliseconds if you're dealing with bitcoins - word I heard is it takes like ten minutes or so for transaction to clear through... it takes me less than that to get to the nearest atm (about 20 meters away), pay/collect there and get back home.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:01 | 3399295 Azannoth
Azannoth's picture

No they can't "confiscate" it but they sure can regulate it to death or outlaw it

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:10 | 3399337 fonestar
fonestar's picture

How are they going to "outlaw it"?  Tell me.

Their stupid fucking laws don't seem to scale very well so far to a global p2p network.  I hope they do try and outlaw bitcoin so we can have a good laugh at the expense of our brilliant political and judicial authorities.  Just so everyone can see how useless and antiquated they really are.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:18 | 3399367 Doubleguns
Doubleguns's picture

Ask Bernard von NotHaus.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:29 | 3399419 fonestar
fonestar's picture

You mean the guy who made physical silver coins, called them NORFED Dollars and got thrown in the slammer?

Because that is really relevant to releasing code on the public internet....

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:38 | 3399456 blabam
blabam's picture

What company is going to accept bitcoins when they are made illegal? Yeah probably zero. Difference between p2p sharing of mp3's and bitcoins is that people still want physical goods/ labor for their bitcoins. The State is pretty good at fucking up physical stuff. 

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 11:00 | 3399563 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Right, because USG makes laws for the whole world and as if anyone is going to pay attention to them anyway...

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 11:10 | 3399610 blabam
blabam's picture

It is clearly you who sees the world trough US centric glasses. Where did I mention the US? States all around the world are pretty much the same. Attack their main source of income and they will act. 

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 11:39 | 3399737 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Let them "act" then.  It will become a tragedy for them and a comedy for me.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 12:26 | 3399906 Jack Napier
Jack Napier's picture

The powers really have no viable way to stop BitCoin unless (and I don't know the answer) it uses a particular port for the protocol that could be blocked at the router level.

However BitCoin could easily be taken out by another digital currency. The future will likely consist of many competing digital currencies. The next installation will probably take BitCoin back to its relative price infancy, and as more digital currencies eventually come into the fray they will find their equilibrium. Right now there is no competition for BitCoin, but there will be.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 13:36 | 3400159 Dewey Cheatum Howe
Dewey Cheatum Howe's picture

Bitcoin could never take out the world's currencies since the algorithm only allows for a fixed amount of coins to be generated. There isn't enough coins or assets to back those coins being money pumped into the system by coin holders to be a real threat in that regard. It is a larger scale algorithm than can compete in scale that is decentralized especially one that is not implemented by the countries themselves that will cause nations to loose control of the money creation process and/or provoke a violent and despotic response to shut it down. One way or the other unless the internet collapses and the whole grid ceases to function, crypto-currency is the future of money. Bitcoin is just the first major iteration to gain some traction think of it like mp3 to digital music.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 12:17 | 3399868 Non Passaran
Non Passaran's picture

I have neither interest nor intention to use my bitcoins to buy anything from "a company".

I still have some fiat for that.

Bitcoin comes handy today and very few companies accept it. It's simply not essential for its success.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 17:00 | 3400926 widget
widget's picture

Ask The Pirate Bay owners.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 12:39 | 3399950 Vooter
Vooter's picture

LOL...they outlawed marijuana, too. How'd that work out for them?

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 13:45 | 3400209 tarsubil
tarsubil's picture

They arrested a bunch of people for smoking and/or growing a weed and turned them into raped slaves in prison. If you consider evil good, they made out pretty well.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 12:11 | 3399853 Jonas Parker
Jonas Parker's picture

MDB, you're doing good today! Every now and again you post something that makes sense...

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:05 | 3399310 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

Oh really?

How would that work, again?

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:32 | 3399424 malikai
malikai's picture

Am I the only one who sees the irony in burying gold?

Also, not to worry, in time people will recognize utility.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:08 | 3399320 LostAtSea
LostAtSea's picture

@SafelyGraze: sure.  It's open source so you can do anything you want with the code.  But the rest of the worldwide network would reject any submission from your hacked code.

Not saying there is zero risk with Bitcoin, but this is not one of them.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:13 | 3399340 SafelyGraze
SafelyGraze's picture

one problem is defining "the rest of the network"

as the original bitcoin paper points out,

As long as a majority of CPU power is controlled by nodes that are not cooperating to attack the network, they'll generate the longest chain and outpace attackers.

so what would it take to outnumber the so-called "honest" nodes?

good question. http://bitcoinstatus.rowit.co.uk/hosts.html

 

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:44 | 3399487 mick_richfield
mick_richfield's picture

 

so what would it take to outnumber the so-called "honest" nodes?

Fort Meade.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 11:57 | 3399812 SafelyGraze
SafelyGraze's picture

fort meade not needed

you think all those HFT compute cycles are idle when trading volume is low?

wait til they unleash the bitcoin attackbots that are in development

the "old" bitcoin network will become the deprecated one

your wallet won't even know it happened

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 12:14 | 3399863 Non Passaran
Non Passaran's picture

Listen, idiot, the compute cycles are completely unrelated to trading volume.

Now do yourself a favor and stop making a fool of yourself.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:47 | 3399502 Matt
Matt's picture

If you were starting from 0 today, 80 trillion AES256 hashes per second.

 

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 12:30 | 3399922 SafelyGraze
SafelyGraze's picture

here is an obsolete decommissioned machine that performs over a quadrillion operations per second

http://ca.news.yahoo.com/blogs/geekquinox/roadrunner-supercomputer-decla...

why all the hostility about considering potential bitcoin vulnerabilities?

including one quoted from the bitcoin paper itself?

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 13:44 | 3400197 TraderTimm
TraderTimm's picture

@SafelyGraze

Seems you haven't done your homework. Raw CPU ability is hopelessly obsolete. Even massively parallel GPUs are obsolete. What you're holding up as the "Computer to rule them all" is at best a three wheel tricycle.

Try to educate yourself before you make silly statements. Honestly, it removes what little credibility you had in the first place.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 16:49 | 3400885 hawks5999
hawks5999's picture

Wow dude a whole petaflop? That's awesome. 

You need 700 petaflops today to reach 50% of current network compute capacity.

As more ASIC miners come online you are going to need several exaflops.

Is it a risk, sure? But any government trying to take over the network will destroy their currency printing to pay for the electricity. 

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 12:13 | 3399856 Non Passaran
Non Passaran's picture

Nice try, troll.

If you had that much CPU power it'd be cheaper to rent it for anything else (including productive Bitcoin mining) than destroy whatever amount of money is available. 

But before one even starts to entertain this thought, it is important to remember that the very idea is totally stupid.

If it came to that, it'd be much easier for the US government to simply buy all the BTC out there.  

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 12:39 | 3399945 SafelyGraze
SafelyGraze's picture

that's not how usg works when perceiving a threat

words like idiot/troll/stupid take away from your main point about what one would do with cpu power, or whether rental income would be one's main objective

Wed, 04/03/2013 - 00:25 | 3402052 Papasmurf
Papasmurf's picture

Or sell all the BTC out there.

Wed, 04/03/2013 - 11:56 | 3403616 Matt
Matt's picture

How can you sell something that someone else has? Ok then, I will sell your gold.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 17:46 | 3401072 Long_Xau
Long_Xau's picture

You are being called a troll because you continuously post ridiculously worthless "info". The charts you linked to: 1. are not of the actual hashrate, which is a measure of the computing power you would need to beat in order to be able to try to cheat Bitcoin, and 2. are dated October 2012.
This is a more relevant chart, showing recent improvements in hardware used:
http://blockchain.info/charts/hash-rate

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 13:37 | 3400166 TraderTimm
TraderTimm's picture

@SafelyGraze

And after you put your 'modified' client online, watch as every single verification node drops your transactions.

You didn't think it would be that easy, did you? You have to obey the rules of the network.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 17:50 | 3401086 Croesus
Croesus's picture

 

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 09:20 | 3399059 Pladizow
Pladizow's picture

The average person is not buying gold, let alone Bitcoin, so what is driving this?

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 09:26 | 3399099 Middle_Finger_Market
Middle_Finger_Market's picture

Moar insanity!

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 09:28 | 3399105 MayIMommaDogFac...
MayIMommaDogFace2theBananaPatch's picture

The dominant theory is European fear induced by events in Cyprus.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 09:33 | 3399144 Pladizow
Pladizow's picture

I dont buy it!

You are worried about the banking system so you put your savings into something that you heard about last week?

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 09:55 | 3399260 Lost Wages
Lost Wages's picture

I actually believe people are that stupid.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:01 | 3399291 DOT
DOT's picture

I think it's just Beanny Baby nostalgia. Make sure you keeep the label on !

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:15 | 3399351 Croesus
Croesus's picture

Long "Beanie Bitcoins"!

 

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 13:21 | 3400100 IrritableBowels
Tue, 04/02/2013 - 13:20 | 3400101 IrritableBowels
Tue, 04/02/2013 - 11:02 | 3399575 Stuntgirl
Stuntgirl's picture

Yes they are. The average spaniard does not buy gold or bitcoins, ut the average spanish day trader went bitcoin crazy last week. While being absolutely ignorant of what it is and how it works.

The thing is, it's a stupid way to act. But also, they perceive absolutely zero guarantees or security keeping their money where the govt can see it. Someone told me yesterday: "I prefer to be robbed at home or by having my bitcoin wiped out rather than to be robbed legally. There's less chances of that and the robber will have at least EARNED my money."

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 09:31 | 3399131 Rustysilver
Rustysilver's picture

The average person is broke: both in US and Europe.

Those that like gold and silver are already in it.

I don't understand PM market. How can anyone control it.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:21 | 3399382 rogeliokh
rogeliokh's picture

When they push that SELL button what the f*ck they are selling? There is no gold available.. Only 180 T per month supply. China alone buying more than half of that.. F*cking crooks.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 17:05 | 3400949 widget
widget's picture

They sell IOUs, investors confuse them with something that can actually be delivered, overestimate the supply and get scared into selling themselves. Pretty much.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 09:48 | 3399220 Edward Fiatski
Edward Fiatski's picture

I'd say the plebs are piling into this Bitcoyn with what little equity they have left. The newest mania in making money.

These peasants are not after wealth preservation, for they have none, so regard them as proper - casino goers with the dream of striking it Good.

Not to mention that this is an another well-executed global wealth confiscation trap. :)

/tiphat GS und M0SSAD

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 11:37 | 3399727 Pseudo Anonym
Pseudo Anonym's picture

the low volume doesnt support this statement

I'd say the plebs are piling into this Bitcoyn with what little equity they have left.

counter-intuitively, the volume is in usd.  it would make more sense if volume in euro was spiking.  it would appear to me that the price melt up is very likely due to the early adopters shuffling btc around and attracting marginal buyers at higher and higher prices.  this pattern is similar to penny stock movements when large promoters pump up the prices and then when the price is high enough, dump most of it on the plebs, the greater fools

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:09 | 3399325 cspg
cspg's picture

Ppl who have a hard time investing in regulated markets. Russian gangsters who are out of cyprus.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:24 | 3399392 Groundhog Day
Groundhog Day's picture

What happens to the bit casino if the power goes out for an extended period?

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:55 | 3399544 cspg
cspg's picture

good luck trading those bitcoins the moment it down tics.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 09:23 | 3399076 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

It's not like there are a lot of smart people into bitcoin.

It's one of the biggest idiot traps out there.

 

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 09:29 | 3399111 MayIMommaDogFac...
MayIMommaDogFace2theBananaPatch's picture

Please explain.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 09:48 | 3399190 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

REALLY?!!

DON'T YOU HAVE A FUCKING BRAIN???!!!

BITCOINS??!!! WHAT IS IT?!!

NOTHING!!!!

IT'S JUST SOMETHING IMAGINABLE THAT GET'S LABELED A PRICE WITHOUT ANYTHING BACKING IT!!

DO ANYBODY REMEMBER THAT COMPANY:

"NOTHINGBUTHOTAIR"

THAT WAS A STOCK THAT TRADED AND BECAME A BILLION DOLLAR COMPANY EVEN WHEN THE OWNERS SAID IT WAS NOTHING BUT HOT AIR!!!

and than it crashed.

PEOPLE WHO BUY BITCOINS ARE STUPID IDIOTS WITHOUT ANY CLUE WHATSOEVER!!!

IDIOTS!!

IDIOTS!!!

And that's how I feel about Bitcoin buyers.

 

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 09:54 | 3399261 fonestar
fonestar's picture

The idiots are the ones who fail to adapt and overcome.  Also failing to embrace new technologies, typically the losing side of a war.

Not surprising that most of the bitcoin-bashing comes from the people who probably bought a Dell and paid some kid to set up their wifi.  Cavemen in a digital world.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:09 | 3399327 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

HAHAHAHAHAHA!!!

YOU'RE A MORON WHO KNOWS WHERE THE PRINT BUTTON IS AND THINKS HE'S A IT WIZARD!!

MORON!!

There's not a lot of people who can learn me new stuff about IT.

But like they say... SMART PEOPLE CAN CONVINCE IDIOTS THEY ARE WRONG!!

oh...

and if you didn't get it...

I THINK YOU'RE A FREAKING MORON!!!!

BITCOINS... I WOULD REALLY LIKE TO SEE YOU AT THE REGISTER WITH A IPHONE EXPLAINING TO THE REGISTER EMPLOYEE YOU WOULD LIKE TO PAY WITH YOUR BITCOINS!!!

WHOEHAHAHAHAHAH!!!

YOU JUST TOLD THE BIGGEST FLAW OF THE SYSTEM YOURSEFL YOU IDIOT!!!

IF YOU DON'T KNOW IT NERD STUFF YOU DON'T KNOW WHAT IT IS!!

GUESS WHAT!!! 99% OF THE POPULATION HAS NO IDEA WHAT IT IS!!

AND 99,99999% OF THOSE WHO DO DON'T GIVE A FUCK!!!

DO YOU HAVE ANY CLUE ABOUT HOW SMALL BITCOIN IS? IT'S EVEN SMALLER THAN A BLIP!!!

THAT MAKES A YOU IDIOT OF THE RARE KIND!!!

THERE'S IDIOTS, BIGGER IDIOTS, FREAKING MORONS AND THAN THERE'S YOU!!!

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:14 | 3399348 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

No, you're right. 99.99% of people don't know what it is. They might have heard of it, but don't really know.

However, the fact that only 1% own gold is usually referred to as a very bullish reason for ownership. The same mechanic applies elsewhere, you know.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:26 | 3399399 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

.

Let me explain:

IF I BASH YOUR HEAD WITH A 1 KILO GOLD BAR, YOU'LL FUCKING FEEL IT!!!

in return...

you can... bitcoin me or whatever...

 

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:34 | 3399438 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

If that was the foundation of value, then baseball bats would retail for $15,999.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:45 | 3399491 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

:)

 

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:39 | 3399462 LongBallsShortBrains
LongBallsShortBrains's picture

Funny how people fail to see what is backing their " currency".

Hot air is tangible...bitcoin? Meh.

Nice rant SD. no more caffeine today, ok?

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 13:23 | 3400108 JimBowie1958
JimBowie1958's picture

Sooooo, by your logic motion pictures that are distributed and downloaded as pure data and have no physical film are....worthless?

Dude, wake the fuck up.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Digital_cinema

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 13:54 | 3400241 tarsubil
tarsubil's picture

I don't pay for digital downloads. Do you?

Wed, 04/03/2013 - 09:56 | 3402949 JimBowie1958
JimBowie1958's picture

For most I do.

My kids have subscriptions with Netflicks or something that allows you tow watch movies by streaming them over the internet. But if yo want to see a movie when it first comes out you have to go to the theater.

Of course, you seem to be implying that you watch stolen movies, which I do not do.

My sense of integrity is worth more to me than the few dollars I pay to see them legally. Perhaps yours is not.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:15 | 3399357 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Good for those 99.99% they can get left in the dustbin of history along with other idiots and cavemen like yourself!  Fuck 'em, we don't need them and we don't want them!  Only reason you people ever existed was gratis from the welfare/warfare state and not any processing power upstairs.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:50 | 3399521 mick_richfield
mick_richfield's picture

Don't get upset, prove them wrong.

Your homework, young homo cyber sapiens, is to design a method of tracking and recording all BitCoin transactions, using modern spook-tech, such that:

1. the tracking method cannot be deduced from the open source currency implementation

2. the tracking method cannot be detected by users of the currency.

 

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 13:41 | 3400179 TraderTimm
TraderTimm's picture

@mick_richfield

And if you had done your homework, you'd know that every transaction exists in the triple-entry ledger called the "blockchain".

Honestly, educate yourself just a little bit before making silly statements.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 12:06 | 3399841 Vooter
Vooter's picture

"Good for those 99.99% they can get left in the dustbin of history along with other idiots and cavemen like yourself!"

LOLOLOLOLOL...we ALL get left in the dustbin, you moron. Call us when that little light bulb goes off over your head...

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 12:08 | 3399847 Non Passaran
Non Passaran's picture

Fuck off troll..

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 12:04 | 3399834 Vooter
Vooter's picture

"Not surprising that most of the bitcoin-bashing comes from the people who probably bought a Dell and paid some kid to set up their wifi."

Ah, yes, because proficiency at buying and using computers is now the gold-standard of human achievement. LOL...shouldn't you have to be at least 30 to post on this site?

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 17:12 | 3400964 widget
widget's picture

The number of bitcoins possible is restricted, but what technology is preventing anyone from making a competing currency clone of bitcoin? Or even making a "better" version... maybe one that allows the user to stay perfectly anonymous. Think about that.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:10 | 3399330 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

Value is what we assign to it.

If no-one cared about gold, that would be effectively be worthless, too.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:18 | 3399369 fuu
fuu's picture

Bingo!

That is a pretty hard sell around here. It took me a while to see it myself and I stack the shiney.

It's all faith based, and it is all speculation.

Speculation that someone else will have faith in the value of your shit.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 11:55 | 3399805 Vooter
Vooter's picture

"It's all faith based, and it is all speculation. Speculation that someone else will have faith in the value of your shit."

But that's hardly a novel idea. The bottom line is, on this little ball of rock that we ALL call home, gold has been accepted as a store of value for most of recorded human history. THAT'S THE REALITY. You're free to create something else and call it valuable, but don't be disappointed when the tide of history says NO. It's not that complicated...

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 13:56 | 3400254 tarsubil
tarsubil's picture

The physical world is faith based? My car runs on faith? Who knew?

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:19 | 3399378 SeverinSlade
SeverinSlade's picture

But people DO care about gold.  Paper gold doesn't have much interest these days but physical certainly does.  Just ask Germany, Russia, India, China, etc.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:36 | 3399444 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

I know. I care about gold, too. It's one of many assets I hold.

But people who are sure that a certain asset class will ultimately "win" - well, they might be correct, but they might also very well miss out on even more profitable opportunities.

Insert a quote about keeping all your baskets in one egg. Or something along those lines.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:40 | 3399468 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

...and Utah, Texas, Alaska...

The outcome for the U.S. won't be that much different from what the Soviet Union went through. 

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 12:13 | 3399861 forwardho
forwardho's picture

Laws, With much respect.

The people are/were much different.

Soviet people were used to deprivation / Americans are entitled.

Extended family, the core of soviet society / American family values and ties have been eroded.

A soviet style event in corpulent America may have a vastly different outcome.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:40 | 3399461 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

True, yet for all of recorded history people have never had a problem exchanging physical for the value of another's labor.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 11:11 | 3399617 Matt
Matt's picture

Historically, tungsten and special complex alloys were not available. I suspect there is going to be a lot of counterfeit gold floating around, especially if gold ever goes into a bubble.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:47 | 3399506 LongBallsShortBrains
LongBallsShortBrains's picture

The same applies to everything.
There is a lot of pussy in the world. People still pay for it. Some even trade gold for it. If nobody wanted pussy, it would be worthless. But I like to watch it closely and buy the dip. (pussy) And if I had my own pussy, I would fondle her for hours, like I do the memories of my sunken coins. ( damn boat!)

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:53 | 3399517 LongBallsShortBrains
LongBallsShortBrains's picture

Double post.... So I'll add....

Short paper gold- long memories of wet physical.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:52 | 3399539 mick_richfield
mick_richfield's picture

Some of the properties of good money are objective -- like divisibility, durability, verifiability, and limited availability.

Gold (and silver) force people to care about them because of those properties.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 17:14 | 3400971 widget
widget's picture

China cares.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:16 | 3399359 Debugas
Debugas's picture

Money by definition (a contract between society and individual) is something imaginable/virtual - namely a concept that society will work for your money (claim on labour)

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 09:51 | 3399212 SafelyGraze
SafelyGraze's picture

look in the header file wallet.h

https://github.com/bitcoin/bitcoin/blob/master/src/wallet.h

in the current release, line 29 says

FEATURE_BASE = 10500, // the earliest version new wallets supports (only useful for getinfo's clientversion output)

so, for example, your "wallet" might become deprecated (and its contents unrecognized by the rest of the network) in future releases of bitcoin, with (for example) a new and improved version number

FEATURE_BASE = 10501,

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 09:51 | 3399242 BLOTTO
BLOTTO's picture

People are paying over $100 for a bunch of bits and bytes and zoinks and zonks...made by some shady fuckin person...come on man.

.

And it is hardly an efficient way to use for the purchase of 'goods and services'.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 09:54 | 3399264 BLOTTO
BLOTTO's picture

Article for consideration...

What’s not to like about Bitcoin, every libertarian’s favorite crypto-currency?

For starters, Bitcoins are as cyberpunk as William Gibson’s wildest dream: a form of monetary exchange invented in 2009 by a mysterious character who called himself “Satoshi Nakamoto” but then disappeared from view after unleashing his virtual currency upon the world. Bitcoins are undeniably cool: marvelously “mined” from the ore of computer processing power and electricity; more ready for prime time than any previous experiment in purely digital money. And Bitcoins, increasingly, are a success. At a Thursday afternoon all-time-high valuation of $72 per Bitcoin, there were around $700 million worth of Bitcoins in circulation. People are using Bitcoins to buy real goods and services, to hedge against European financial calamity, and to score drugs. That’s money.

.

http://www.salon.com/2013/03/22/a_libertarian_nightmare_bitcoin_meets_bi...

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 09:58 | 3399273 Lost Wages
Lost Wages's picture

But Max Keiser goes on Abby Martin and screams at all the angry college students that they should save their (parents') money in Bitcoin.  Then he goes on Alex Jones and does the same thing to that audience, who are in a perpetual state of fear and waiting for martial law to break out any day. It's easy as fuck and they can feel like they're fighting the power while sitting on their fat, stupid ass in front of the computer.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 10:44 | 3399492 Croesus
Croesus's picture

Yeah, but they don't realize one important point of consideration:

DotGov has been trying to get CASH out of consumer hands for years, to close the tax-loophole.

Bitcoin represents a trackable way of doing that, similar to credit and debit settlement systems. 

In this respect, all Bitcoin is, is another "fight the system" fad that plays right into the hands of the system it claims to be fighting against.

 

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 11:12 | 3399625 Lost Wages
Lost Wages's picture

That is the main point that doesn't seem to register with the bitcoin heads. You are doing the status quo a favor, not fighting them.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 11:57 | 3399809 forwardho
forwardho's picture

Agree, Reading the statements of many posters I often ask myself, Do these people NOT know that every keystroke is being saved...FOREVER?

Not to put a damp rag on free speach but you cannot know how your thoughts may come back to bite you in the future.

Do I want to have my financial info printed on my forhead for the "status quo" to use as they may see fit?

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 11:16 | 3399641 Matt
Matt's picture

Blotto:

"And it is hardly an efficient way to use for the purchase of 'goods and services'."

What is the most efficient way to pay $0.05 for something on the Internet, with the least amount of taxes and fees, if not bitcoin?

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 12:01 | 3399828 Non Passaran
Non Passaran's picture

I haven't heard about this, but your explanation doesn't make any sense. But thank you anyway.

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 12:07 | 3399838 Non Passaran
Non Passaran's picture

I'm pretty sure all there is to it is that one may need to update (old) wallet if one's new Bitcoin client can't recognize it (say, after a software upgrade).

If that happens a new version would have release notes and upgrade instructions that explain how the wallet can be upgraded.

Now go troll somewhere else.

 

00020 enum WalletFeature 00021 { 00022 FEATURE_BASE = 10500, // the earliest version new wallets supports (only useful for getinfo's clientversion output) 00023 00024 FEATURE_WALLETCRYPT = 40000, // wallet encryption 00025 FEATURE_COMPRPUBKEY = 60000, // compressed public keys 00026 00027 FEATURE_LATEST = 60000 00028 };

Tue, 04/02/2013 - 12:35 | 3399935 Titus
Titus's picture

It's all a good buying opportunity for physical. It's just a matter of the holding period, because if you hold those paper notes long enough they will burst into flames in your hand.

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