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Full Frontal Of Slovenia's "Non-Performing" Moans

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Ever since Cyprus hit the headlines, Slovenia has been close behind. Another small European nation with a banking system that dwarfs its GDP (though not on the scale of Cyprus). However, as we noted previously, it is not the size that matters, it is the precedent. The European leadership are desperate for the 'template' used in Cyprus - of haircutting all the way through the capital structure - not be used in Slovenia for fear the real world will see through their jawboning facade. Chatter continues that Slovenia can get out of this on their own - in some magical government-guaranteed reacharound - but, just as in Cyprus (where Non-Performing MLoans reaching 30-40% was the trigger for their avalanche), so Slovenia is there now.

However, while the 'average' is around 14% NPLs, the large state-controlled banks had over 30% NPLs at the end of 2012. The need for in excess of EUR1bn in recapitalization alone - though stress test results have been kept secret - and as the FT's op-ed notes, in order to appease global investors' fear that lessons have not been learned, government money (read taxpayer) should not be the first option, creditors should be bailed-in.

With Slovenia CDS stuck at six-month wides, it appears the market remains far more nervous either way.

 

 

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Wed, 04/10/2013 - 08:57 | 3430467 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Slovenia huh?

 

How do I get some of that crap?

Wed, 04/10/2013 - 09:02 | 3430483 Say What Again
Say What Again's picture

Its time for the imf & the bernank to go all-out crazy.

They should start buying shit to the tune of $20 billion a day.

Wed, 04/10/2013 - 09:05 | 3430524 toys for tits
toys for tits's picture

Once the connected rats quit paying their loans, you'll know the Slovenia ship is going down.

Wed, 04/10/2013 - 10:40 | 3431165 Ahmeexnal
Ahmeexnal's picture

They should have stuck to the tolarjev.

Wed, 04/10/2013 - 09:01 | 3430495 Fuh Querada
Fuh Querada's picture

geographically located near Italy's right armpit.

Wed, 04/10/2013 - 12:05 | 3431773 rotagen
rotagen's picture

Many of these eurotrash countries don't exist in the american consciousness.....Full Bluntal Nugity .. I'm loading my guns.

Wed, 04/10/2013 - 08:56 | 3430468 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

when they confiscate slovenia's bank deposits we can finally break through 1600 S&P.

Wed, 04/10/2013 - 09:00 | 3430478 Fuh Querada
Fuh Querada's picture

They should start searching for natural gas fast.
And the dotted line represents?

Wed, 04/10/2013 - 08:58 | 3430479 Captain Kink
Captain Kink's picture

OT: Fed acknowledges early release of minutes yesterday.  "sometime after 2pm" 

Wed, 04/10/2013 - 09:02 | 3430487 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

 

 

The nice thing about all of these countries collapsing & making headlines my kids learn where they are on the globe.

Wed, 04/10/2013 - 10:03 | 3430915 tradertim
tradertim's picture

Yea..I now know the capital of Slovenia. Ljubljana. Never knew that before. Of course I can't pronounce it but hey..

Wed, 04/10/2013 - 12:01 | 3431748 Cookie
Cookie's picture

nearing 60, the globe hardly looks the same as the one I learned as a kid, and most of the changes have come about in the latter half of my life

Wed, 04/10/2013 - 09:02 | 3430491 Racer
Racer's picture

Get the depositors to hand over to the bankster robbers again. And forgive the non performing loans to politicians and their friends and family like in Cyprus eh?!

Wed, 04/10/2013 - 09:05 | 3430504 Croatian Patriot
Croatian Patriot's picture

Slovenia. 2 milion of people. The EU phantom menace. You must be kidding

 

Wed, 04/10/2013 - 09:12 | 3430571 Bearwagon
Bearwagon's picture

No kidding. An avalanche of triggered CDS can start there, as good as everywhere else ....

Wed, 04/10/2013 - 09:27 | 3430696 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

like they where triggered in Greece?....

In monopoly... the rules change every 30 seconds.

Wed, 04/10/2013 - 09:04 | 3430511 Josephine29
Josephine29's picture

Euro supporters say that Slovenia does not have much public debt. But as discussed in the analysis below that looks likely to change and soon!

 

 

If we investigate this area then we see a pattern which is starting to resemble Ireland as Slovenia had a national debt to GDP ratio of a very fiscally conservative 22% as recently as 2007. However at the end of 2012 it had surged to 54.5% which is still good for these times and indeed one of the few Euro nations hitting the Stability and Growth Pact target. The problem is the rate of growth in it as it rose by 7.2% of GDP in 2012 and should it rise by that in 2013 and we add in the extra cost of the bank bailout….

 

So another economics sacred cow is challenged here which is the concept of fiscal conservatism which has proved capable of hiding quite a few problems! Indeed in some ways it can feed them.

 

http://www.mindfulmoney.co.uk/wp/shaun-richards/slovenia-and-its-economy-need-help-but-where-can-they-get-it-from/

 

 

Ah yes Ireland! Didn't the Eurocrats tell us that its bank problems were under control just before they collapsed?

Wed, 04/10/2013 - 09:11 | 3430565 toys for tits
toys for tits's picture

It would be nice to see a former communist country tell the Troika to fuck off.

Wed, 04/10/2013 - 09:26 | 3430690 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

LET'S NOT CALL IT A HAIRCUT THIS TIME!!!

BUT A BRAZILIAN WAX!!!

Wed, 04/10/2013 - 09:55 | 3430873 Ahmeexnal
Ahmeexnal's picture

BRUSSELIAN WAX would seem a more appropriate name.

Wed, 04/10/2013 - 20:06 | 3434398 fiddy pence haf...
fiddy pence haff pound's picture

...gone horribly wrong and disfiguring the bud

Wed, 04/10/2013 - 09:58 | 3430878 tradertim
tradertim's picture

You can bet that all the politicians and those connected to the politicians are already moving their money out of the banks before they lock it up.

Wed, 04/10/2013 - 10:09 | 3430956 pashley1411
pashley1411's picture

We should round up a few dozen bankers, put them inside a wooden horse, and push it over the DMZ.    That would do it to the NKoreans.

Wed, 04/10/2013 - 10:23 | 3431046 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

 

 

Toss in a few festering chickens from China, and some earless Fukishima rabbit while yer at it...

Wed, 04/10/2013 - 13:08 | 3432103 marathonman
marathonman's picture

I keep picturing the scene in 'Quest for the Holy Grail' where one of the knights is outside the castle describing how they are to jump out of the trojan bunny they just delivered to the Norman castle.  When everyone realises they had screwed up the bunny comes catapulting back at them and crushes one of the horsemen.  I just pictured a bunch of EU and US bankers in Trojan bunny being catapulted by the NorKo's back to Seoul.  Pyongyang - 'tis a silly place.

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