Gold, Silver In Asian Liquidation Mode As China Growth Slows More

Tyler Durden's picture

UPDATE: Spot Gold $1426 (from $1564 highs Friday)

As Asia opens to the bloodbath that occurred in precious metals on Friday in the US, it would appear that more than a few traders got the 'tap on the shoulder'. Shanghai futures are limit-down and spot gold and silver prices are plunging once again as we suspect forced margin-calls and the raising of cash (to cover extreme variation margin - or capital reserves) needed in JGB positions, as we explained here. Liquidation is certainly the theme of the evening - investors are selling JGBs (6th day in a row of multiple-sigma moves in long-dated Japanese bonds 30Y +56bps off its post-BoJ lows at 1.60%!), selling Japanese stocks (Nikkei -128 pts, second biggest down day post-BoJ), selling US Treasuries (futures down), selling gold and silver (gold spot down over $100 from Friday's highs), and despite selling JPY early (retracing 30% of the weakness post-BoJ), JPY is practically unchanged (jerking lower only on the US futures open and Asian equity open) - it seems Mrs.Watanabe is struggling and unwinding some her excessively short JPY and long NKY positions.

 

Gold down over $100 from Friday's highs...

 

Which takes spot gold back to the 38.2% Fib retracement of the most recent low to high swing...

 

Tokyo COMEX Gold -9.2% (limit down) - looks like a giant post-BoJ roundtrip...

 

Silver ugly too...

 

Another day, another 4-sigma move in JGBs...

and post the China data...

  • GDP Miss
  • Retail Sales Miss
  • Industrial Production Miss
  • Fixed Asset Investment Miss

which stands in the face of the 'survey-driven' PMI data...

... everything is red - JGBs down, Japanese stocks down, US Stocks down, US Treasuries down, Gold and Silver down, Copper down, Oil down, Rubber futures limit down

 

 

Charts: Bloomberg

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Spider's picture

Yawn - long liquidations are completing the bottom.  This smacks of the $690 bottom in gold in 2008.  Silver price in mid $24's is right around cost of production - time to buy as much aspossible for me

 

Silver production costs (72 million oucnes of production included) http://seekingalpha.com/article/1303691-the-true-cost-to-mine-silver-complete-2012-figures

Thomas's picture

Still groping to understand the JGB-gold connection.

Pinto Currency's picture

 

There is a crisis underway - appears to have started with Cyprus and assets being pulled out of the banks / financial system.

Physical old purchasing is on fire; price action is masking market demand.

Spider's picture

NEED...MARKETS...TO...OPEN...SO...I...CAN...BUY...GOLD....QUICK

Pinto Currency's picture

Correction: Physical GOLD purchasing is on fire; price action is masking market demand.

Zero_Sum's picture

All the online Physical sites are pulling the plug on their sales. Tried buying on two so far and been rejected by both.

palmereldritch's picture

Paper gold is tanking.  Physical has no market. Where to next?

Mr. Magoo's picture

Keep buying the paper (also known as the Papiermark in the Wiemar republic) so everyone everyone else can buy the physical at a lower price, the one holding all the paper loses that's how the game works eventually

Pinto Currency's picture

 

Reverse fractional reserve banking in action.

Brought to you by the same people who brought you Lehman Bros.

Hell, it's brought to you by the same people who brought you fractional reserve banking.

AllThatGlitters's picture

Ouch, look at gold and silver diving tonight!

Looks like they are now trying to bounce.

Live Gold:  http://www.pmbull.com/gold-price/

Live Silver: http://www.pmbull.com/silver-price/

Pinto Currency's picture

 

The issue is not the price.

Investors and funds now suddenly realize they don't have possession.

Physical runs look to be on and paper market being smashed in order to provide time to acquire.

Vampyroteuthis infernalis's picture

This is a deflationary collapse. No one give a shit about your damn pieces of metal. These traders don't want to have accidental steps from high office buildings or heavy shoes in the South China Sea. Implosion bitches!!

Pinto Currency's picture

Vamp - Your $100 trillion bond market will surely deflate to near zilch. Launch for gold/silver and all strategically valuable assets.

Vampyroteuthis infernalis's picture

Pinto, yes the bond market will evaporate. Buy gold/silver after the current massacre is done. Until then, you are just going to get screwed as Bernanke has been putting to you over the last few years.

Pinto Currency's picture

 

Markets are realizing that the available gold and silver are much less than 1% of the bond market (ignoring derivatives, cash etc.) and that a good portion of their financial assets are going to be seized.

Now when they and other market participants try to get metal they find it has been been fractional reserve levered dozens of times.

The metal is not there now and it won't be there later.

Stuck on Zero's picture

It will be interesting to see the analysis of what is happening in several weeks time.  Somehow me thinks it will all lead back to JPM and the Squid.

 

Jack Napier's picture

No one knows the day and when markets will reach equilibrium, but once that occurs it will be too late to get a ticket on the cheap gold and silver train.

James_Cole's picture

No one knows the day and when markets will reach equilibrium, but once that occurs it will be too late to get a ticket on the cheap gold and silver train.

So just buy it all the way down right? People on here were saying $40 was cheap for silver, then $30, now $25? 

Pinto Currency's picture

The issue is not the price.

It is possession for the funds and investors who do not have it.

James_Cole's picture

The issue is not the price.

It is possession for the funds and investors who do not have it.

Right, well I'm sure there's a few bullion dealers out there very relieved to hear there's buyers out there willing to pick-up at any price. 15$ over spot? Stack em' up!

Gief Gold Plox's picture

Coin shops opened in EU about an hour ago and are now basically out of stock. 1kg bars were the first ones to go. The place I shop at is currently able to sell (with 3 - 7 days delivery time) only bars  at 1g, 5g, 10g, 1oz., 50g and 100g, 250g and 1000g bars. All gold coins and all other metals are "currently undeliverable"

I was only able to snatch one bar before everything was out of stock. My advice to you is get it while you can. All physical stock it appears will be gone in a few minutes.

Good luck.

Gief Gold Plox's picture

Just broke 1400$, 1070EUR / oz. But it doesn't matter much any more. Noone's delivering at that price.

Acet's picture

All I know is that I've checked some of my suppliers here in Europe and the price they're willing to pay for coins is actually higher that the paper-market value of the Gold in those coins (and this is for coins such as 2013 Britannias and Sovereigns)

Also, the lowest premium I've seen for buying gold coins is 5% and this is at the cheapest supplier I know who usually have a preminum of about 1%.

The premium at most suppliers is now 10%

Methinks that the physical market is decoupling from the paper one.

 

GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

 

Those who live by paper, will die by paper.

 

KickIce's picture

No doubt the banks are behind it, historically, how often do you see gold prices drop during a banking crisis?  This is especially true for the Asian cultures that still value gold.  Like Tyler said, must be a whole of margin squeeze coming down the pike.

Then again, the faith of today's society in paper and 1s/0s truly bogles the mind.

 

hmmtellmemore's picture

Vamp, the voice of reason against brianwashed, paranoid stackers.  Can it be that printing money but giving it to the banks (who don't actually lend it out but use it to destroy their debt) causes deflation?  Yes.  

Will the price of precious metals rise in a year or two when it is public knowledge that it is a "terrible" investment?  Yes. 

GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

 

Come see when they steal your 401K.

draug's picture

Or just realize that holding blocks of some random metal isn't going to "save" you from a deflationary spiral. In fact the idea is kinda silly when you think about it - you're holding on to gold just because you HOPE everybody else will value it to the moon. That's a speculative bubble per definition.

Kina's picture

That is exactly the same for any currency. But for money, supply is limited.

augustusgloop's picture

1350 is a 33%-38%  pull back (2002 low- 2011 high). 

 

 

 

AetosAeros's picture

Just read this article about the Fed being responsible for the crushing in Au and Ag. Because I don't have the formal knowledge of most of the ZH's who have a grasp on who's who, I can't validate the credentials of the news service (KWN) or the intervieweee (Dr. Craig Roberts), but just from my time here, and the well laid out plan he's presented, the article does have a damning ring of truth to what is happening, and why: crush gold/silver in order to show the dollar as the 'real' safe haven for investors due to market instability and the current global trends of other currencies to look to direct swap versus dollar conversion.

http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2013/4/12_Former_US_Treasury_Official_-_Fed_Orchestrated_Smash_In_Gold.html

I await the fight club bloody nose should this be off track. BTW, I gladly take the Bitcoin blackeye that so many of you have served up daily, but I still keep my original position: Bitcoin is NOT money; it is an alternative currency in place of the current fiat currency that the FED is protecting at all costs; even to the detrimante of Au/Ag. My purpose with Bitcoin always was and always will be for the conversion to REAL money- Gold/Silver, and to that ends, much like the FRN was used previously and currently, I have put my currency into money and slept better at night. The costs? A computer running all day and night crunching hashes and collecting BTC, then selling when I felt the market was the most lucrative to do so; directly into Ag as I'm just a poor working serf with a leaky boat.

You don't have to like BTC, but if you're hoping the FRN's are enough to buy your gold and silver, you're sadly mistaken, and keeping FRN's, like BTC, longer than need be is at your own gut reaction, but don't knock the guy's like me who are taking the same heading as you, but on a differenet path.

draug's picture

Just a question: How can bitcoin be a currency but not money? How do you define money?

AetosAeros's picture

For Me It's pretty clear cut:

Money: Recognized across borders as a non-perishable, rationale, easy to recognize and transfer in large or small quantities, medium of exchange that by it's 'intrinsic' value gains both value and store of value over time, and most importantly 'IS' value to both parties involved in it's use. 

Currency: Everything else that is traded in the stead of a store of value, or that which is accepted as a proxy to a store of value. Fiat is not money, it's a proxy, and a poor one at that. Much like getting Krugman as guest speaker for graduation when you were told it was gonna be George Carlin.

Bitcoin is and was offered as nothing more than a possible alternative to the current fiat currencies that abound around the world, and to help suck some of the power out of the FED in a way that standing on streets with signs and wearing stupid T-shirts bought with FRN's didn't. It was never meant to be a contender to Gold or Silver, it was meant to get people to see it had a value in removing the centralization and dependency that we all have come to know about banks and their ilk. If a non-centralized fiat currency like Bitcoin gained value, it was inherent as an aid in disconnecting the rigidity people feel about what is money and what is currency. If you could pay your rent, car payment, insurance, etc. with BTC, and this helped you price things in BTC, not dollars, over the time of it's use, then the dollar lost it's 'hold' on you (or rather the fixation that sheeple have for it), and then you truly let the Emporer know he has no clothes.

And Gold and Silver reclaim the historical cornerstone of what wealth, a store of value, and money truly is universal again.

BTC got taken down by someone who was threatened by it's existence, not because they were trying to capitalize on it. Broken Window fallacy is applied to understand why.

Gold/Silver have gone through this same attack, while a worthless paper is held up in their stead. But they will always survive. On a long enough time.....

Burt Gummer's picture

Just contacted my local coin shop dealer on his cell phone, said don't even bother coming in tomorrow they are completely sold out of both gold and silver now.

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZS2Z19yTuPI

Lewshine's picture

Only thing that's gonna bounce is equities, AND bonds in both Amerika and Japan will find equilibrium by sunrise - As IS usual!

Go Tribe's picture

Why would equities bounce when the entire commodity complex is crushed? Soaring equities in the face of certain deflation? That's a nightmarish proposition.

GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

 

Worship the fiat....at your own peril.

youngman's picture

Because the banks are "reporting" big earnings..."beating the street"....blah blah blah...and that is what TPTB want ..a higher stock market...

Pure Evil's picture

Excellent sites, thanks for the links.

TraderTimm's picture

Oh look, the Tyler(s) making a much-ado-about-nothing on a decline.

Gold will be doing fine on a daily basis, don't get sucked into the typical ZH "Oh shits we're down... oh wait, we're ramping up on < insert whatever >"

Fucking hell, seen it for nearly three years - what else is new.

 

GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Full tilt global marxism.....they just needed the Iron Lady to die....and it's on like Donkey Kong.