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The Muppet Slaying Continues: TYM3 Edition

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Another day, another muppet-slaying by the true master. Recall Goldman Sachs from April 10:

We recommend going short 10-year US Treasuries via June futures (TYM3) at the current level of 132-20 for an initial price target of 130-00 and stops on a close above 134-00. In yields space, the corresponding move is from the current 1.76% to around 2.10%, and stops on a close around 1.60% - corresponding to the lows from last November.

Fast forward to today where just out from Bloomberg we read...

  • TY Poised for Highest Close Since Dec. 11

And visually:

Sorry muppets, you just got slain. Again.

 

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Fri, 04/26/2013 - 15:50 | 3503617 TeamDepends
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Time Has Come Today by The Chambers Brothers
Time has come today
Young hearts can go their way
Can't put it off another day
I don't care what others say
They say we don't listen anyway
Time has come today
(Hey)

Oh
The rules have changed today (Hey)
I have no place to stay (Hey)
I'm thinking about the subway (Hey)
My love has flown away (Hey)
My tears have come and gone (Hey)
Oh my Lord, I have to roam (Hey)
I have no home (Hey)
I have no home (Hey)

Now the time has come (Time)
There's no place to run (Time)
I might get burned up by the sun (Time)
But I had my fun (Time)
I've been loved and put aside (Time)
I've been crushed by the tumbling tide (Time)
And my soul has been psychedelicized (Time)

(Time)
Now the time has come (Time)
There are things to realize (Time)
Time has come today (Time)
Time has come today (Time)

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:01 | 3503652 The Juggernaut
The Juggernaut's picture

Can someone put out a study showing investment returns/yields when doing the complete opposite of what GS says to do?  That should be interesting.  Real fucking interesting.

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:16 | 3503704 bnbdnb
bnbdnb's picture

When do you take profit on the reverse? On their stop?

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 17:02 | 3503867 quintago
quintago's picture

I believe the proper reference should be to this muppet: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qVE60zwXx1k

 

for shits and giggles...watch this after http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nt-QVT1I2Gs

 

 

 

 

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 20:24 | 3504453 Vampyroteuthis ...
Vampyroteuthis infernalis's picture

Kermit had a rough day. When is Miss Piggy going to get shoved in front of a bus?

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 17:09 | 3503885 Stoploss
Stoploss's picture

MMMMMMmmmmmmmm... BAD DEFLATION!!  BAD!!

 

Are we learning anything yet Ben???

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:26 | 3503734 W T F II
W T F II's picture

Forget that s#!t...Just check what the Principals are doing with THEIR OWN accounts...?!?!

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 17:54 | 3504041 CrashisOptimistic
CrashisOptimistic's picture

Wait, excuse me . . . did vibrant GDP growth suddenly appear?  Last year's avg was what, 1.4%?  That was WITH about 1.1 Trillion of fiscal stimulus (aka deficit).

So why are rates supposed to go up?  How can they go up with no growth?

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:35 | 3503768 AbandonShip
AbandonShip's picture

I don't think anyone intelligent takes GS' signals at face value. The thievery can't be this obvious. Why would "investors" continue listen to their advice? (Unless *everyone* already knows to do the exact opposite of what GS recommends).  Even muppets eventually learn that GS front runs their own advice and is unloading stuff out the back door when they're signaling BUY ratings on securitires. 

Anyway, the bond market is a lions den. Can't even buy a bond without calling a bankster, correct? And the Primary Dealers (banksters again) get first dibs on POMO/WI-flipping? The hell kind of rigged game is this?  

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 17:06 | 3503883 Common_Cents22
Common_Cents22's picture

yep like the same guy gets bingo every single time, lucky guy gets his numbers called all the time!

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 20:50 | 3504526 xtop23
xtop23's picture

Best....contrarian....indicator.....ever.

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 17:26 | 3503938 ShrNfr
ShrNfr's picture

One of the most awesome bridges ever done.

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 19:49 | 3504328 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

Thank you.  Cowbell lovers it doesn't get any better than this.

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 15:47 | 3503620 Dasa Slooofoot
Dasa Slooofoot's picture

lulz

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 15:50 | 3503628 Haager
Haager's picture

Maybe $gs is right next week, when most Muppsters lost confidence and went long?

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 15:52 | 3503630 Schmuck Raker
Schmuck Raker's picture

"Hey everybody, we're all gonna get slayed!"

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 15:53 | 3503632 The Dancer
The Dancer's picture

Let's see...I think they call them brokers for a very interesting reason....

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:03 | 3503662 onewayticket2
onewayticket2's picture
"Advise our clients interested in bellies to buy at 132, Mr Valentine has set the price."
Fri, 04/26/2013 - 15:51 | 3503633 SMG
Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:01 | 3503663 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

I keep hoping the Tylers will put that up before everyone goes home for the weekend.

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:19 | 3503714 James_Cole
James_Cole's picture

Funny stuff, nice to see Breuer has bounced back, knew he had it in him!

The presence of Covington & Burling in the suit – representing, of all companies, Citigroup, the former employer of current Treasury Secretary Jack Lew – was particularly galling. Right as the Libor case was being dismissed, the firm had hired none other than Lanny Breuer, the same Lanny Breuer who, just a few months before, was the assistant attorney general who had balked at criminally prosecuting UBS over Libor because, he said, "Our goal here is not to destroy a major financial institution."

Love these guys:

SWISS FRANC TRADER: can u put 6m swiss libor in low pls?... 

PRIMARY SUBMITTER: Whats it worth 

SWSISS FRANC TRADER: ive got some sushi rolls from yesterday?... 

PRIMARY SUBMITTER: ok low 6m, just for u 

SWISS FRANC TRADER: wooooooohooooooo... thatd be awesome

Best Sushi for favour transaction ever!

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:19 | 3503717 Jekyll_n_Hyde_Island
Jekyll_n_Hyde_Island's picture

"These banks, which already possess enormous power just by virtue of their financial holdings – in the United States, the top six banks, many of them the same names you see on the Libor and ISDAfix panels, own assets equivalent to 60 percent of the nation's GDP – are beginning to realize the awesome possibilities for increased profit and political might that would come with colluding instead of competing."

^^ No Shit, but uh oh nonetheless. 

Read more: http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/everything-is-rigged-the-biggest-financial-scandal-yet-20130425#ixzz2RbQZveBo
Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:25 | 3503722 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

Matt Taibbi is a Zero Hedge co-opter.

He might as well garnish his column with quotes from a fonzanoon/kito conversation.

He is writing for people who don't have money Musicians.

Yes, I am that hardcore. 

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:31 | 3503756 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

?

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:38 | 3503769 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

I LOLed.

I gotta give Matt a little more credit than that though. After all, I've yet to see the Sushi quote here.

Oh, and since when do musicians read RS? Like you said, they gots no monies.

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:28 | 3503740 W T F II
W T F II's picture

TOTAL B S. It should have been titled, "Everything Is Rigged CUBED"...these Clowns at  R S forgot LEVERAGE...!! It is MUCH worse than they say....!!

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 17:01 | 3503838 earleflorida
earleflorida's picture

sooner,... much sooner than later, the estute mr.xi chinaman,  will show the financial world what the proper recourse will be for malfeasance and over indulgence at the people's expense-- it will be a firing squad that wakes the entire materalistic capitalist 'free-world cronies, tbtj'... that upon ever lush meadows be a suitable hanging tree and a taylor'd made noose when vigilantes decide enough is enough and cracks some chicken-hawk necks!!!

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 15:53 | 3503634 Downtoolong
Downtoolong's picture

Sorry muppets, you just got slain. Again.

And most of them probably don't even realize it.

What your pension fund manager isn't telling you can hurt you.

Sat, 04/27/2013 - 11:33 | 3505473 Cthonic
Cthonic's picture

+1

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 15:54 | 3503635 azzhatter
azzhatter's picture

Doing Gods work

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 15:59 | 3503651 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

I had a client bring in a prospectus for an 5% equity linked CD from Goldamn for me to look at it. Inside the prospectus under risks there was a statement that read (and I'm pharaphrasing) "You should assume that Goldman Sachs is betting against this product". Nothing like letting the muppets know they intend on slaying them in writing.

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:02 | 3503658 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

How many paragraphs did it take them to obfuscate that?

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:01 | 3503654 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

WHATEVER THE FUCK GOLDMAN SUCKS SAYS, DO THE OPPOSITE. RINSE, LATHER, REPEAT.

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:02 | 3503668 The Dancer
The Dancer's picture

Did Goldman recommend Amazon...say, that is a real winner..only down 7% today..wow

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:05 | 3503678 adr
adr's picture

I think Goldman has killed off all the Muppets. They've moved on to Fraggles.

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:08 | 3503679 PUD
PUD's picture

No individual should be allowed to gamble in currency markets. One more vile casino game that was once the province of multinational companies now corrupted so that every pathological addict can "trade" another nations money at will from his smelly sofa in his stained underwear.

just one more perversion of the system

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:11 | 3503686 akak
akak's picture

There's that autocratic, sociopathic, evil "should" again from you.

My, you really do think that YOU have all the answers, and have the right to impose your will on mankind, don't you?

It's always about coercion with statists.  And narcissists.  And sociopaths.

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:14 | 3503693 PUD
PUD's picture

You are wrong. There are legitimate needs and uses for commodity and currency exchanges. Then there are the de-stabilizing speculative gambling uses. One (the first) lends stability and predictability the other (the second) distorts markets and causes untold harm to society at large. Just like the deriviatives did in housing. Were you for credit default swaps squared? Synthetics, naked shorting etc?

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:22 | 3503723 akak
akak's picture

I am for forcing child slaves to clearcut the rain forests so that they can destroy the environment by mining evil gold with megatons of mercury so that immoral "hoarders" can selfishly sit on their unnecessary gold coins and eagerly await Armageddon while fondling their guns in their bunkers.

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:40 | 3503776 PUD
PUD's picture

There is probably too much truth to that statement. Sorry you are not capable of engaging in an adult conversation.

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:43 | 3503798 akak
akak's picture

Go change your diaper --- it stinks.  Again.

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:43 | 3503802 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Says the person who just misconstrued TWO posts in a row.

Question is, why?

Sat, 04/27/2013 - 05:45 | 3505183 Trampy
Trampy's picture

It doesn't matter what the reason is.  Que sera, sera.

Question is, how much would pay for a Bozo Button here? 

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:45 | 3503797 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Why do you state that akak is wrong, then proceed to ignore the entire point he made by inserting a totally different conversation around your initial point (which is wholly moot to his point)?

Is following logic really that difficult, or are you just doing whatever it takes to avoid addressing it?

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:51 | 3503814 akak
akak's picture

Just as he refuses to explain how those who hold gold, as opposed to almost any other good, are immoral and evil "hoarders".  But as this PUD is obviously a troll pushing an agenda, rather than an honest member willing to engage in honest and logical discussion, it is futile to try to make him acknowledge the evasive and irrational nature of his postings here.

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:54 | 3503833 PUD
PUD's picture

I don't single out gold but gold is the topic of these posts. Therefore I stick to the topic. Hoarding grains or oil would be just as evil as it affects the lives of real people across the globe. Gold is unique in that it is the most filthy of operations and its contamination lasts for generations. 

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:57 | 3503843 PUD
PUD's picture

you and the other 'stackers' contribute to the pressure to mine even more thus you are responsible for the continued enslavement of people and the continued degradation of many eco systems. you are guilty as charged more so because you do not have to do this..you choose to do it. you choose to do it despite now being aware of the consequences. you simply do not care about the welfare of others and that, like a banker, makes you evil.

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 17:06 | 3503853 akak
akak's picture

Even assuming that you are an honest poster and not a kneejerk or paid anti-gold troll (an assumption which I do not share), it is abundantly obvious that you have no knowledge of history or economics.

Those you disparage as "hoarders" actually not only provide a valuable service to an economy, but are essential to a complex industrial society such as ours, by serving as buyers of goods when those goods are abundant and their prices are low, and by then releasing those goods into the economy when they are scarce and their prices are high, being duly compensated for the effort, time and risk involved in holding those goods.

You are woefully naive and/or ignorant (like most statists) in castigating those who store goods as "hoarders" and "evil speculators", for without such activity, just to give one example, farmers would have no market to sell their goods during the harvest, and we would all starve during the winter as well.

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 17:13 | 3503904 PUD
PUD's picture

you can cast all the insults you wish but I'm bullet proof. you can make up all the conspiracy theories you like but none of them are true. i know history and i know economics. 

I know that there is a vast difference between the storing of grains and the accumulation of speculative gold for example

i know that grains are essential for life and gold is not

i know that the limited industrial uses of gold are more than satisfied by available supply

i know that gold is a speculative 'asset' class primarily driven by you and your kind for your personal enrichment

i know that your greed causes great harm to millions of humans, untold numbers of wildlife, great tracts of forest, large watersheds etc 

and i know that it does not have to be this way. there is no need for what you do and the damage you cause

that makes you grossly immoral by every definition of the word

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 17:56 | 3504033 akak
akak's picture

His guardian angel told God "Fuck this shit".

Baby seals club themselves in his presence.

Mother Theresa once kicked him in the nuts.

He is ... the most infuriating man in the world.

 

"Stay stupid my friends."

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 17:01 | 3503864 PUD
PUD's picture

I have a pantry full of food. I have 2 years of food put away. That is not hoarding in the same sense as you are doing. I will consume the food, it will not go to waste, it does not leave a legacy of slavery behind it. Having a cashe of things you use is different from stockpiling things you do not use and only have some bizarre notion that they will have value down the road. Gold cannot be eaten, it only has your perceived value which can vanish in a heartbeat or the stroke of a pen by wicked lawmakers. you are cruel and indifferent, delusional and willfully dysfunctional

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 17:11 | 3503893 akak
akak's picture

 

Gold cannot be eaten,

There is is!  No trolls can resist that phrase!

it only has your perceived value which can vanish in a heartbeat or the stroke of a pen by wicked lawmakers.

Hasn't happened once in all of the 6000 years of recorded human history --- but a troll can hope.

you are cruel and indifferent, delusional and willfully dysfunctional

Speaking to yourself again?  I hear the mentally ill are prone to doing that.

Now, piss off, I have some child slaves to whip.

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:49 | 3503806 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

"Close up the Honky Tonks" - Dwight Yoakam

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VTDFO9vB_EI

R.I.P. - Buck Ownes and today George Jones.

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 18:42 | 3504136 Aurora Ex Machina
Aurora Ex Machina's picture

While I understand your position (and share your distaste for the environmental costs of mining, in that none of the externalities are actually costed into the materials, which is where you should really be attacking the issue), you really need to learn some more. Here's a nice fluffy, digestable take on externalities:

None of the world’s top industries would be profitable if they paid for the natural capital they use

 

Actual report [Warning: PDF]

Regarding storage of goods, and "no wastage", you're sorely ignorant. For instance, you should learn about EU butter mountains (CAP) or the % of food wasted by improper storage methods, or where countries such as India or entire regions in Africa are losing huge amounts of harvested food due to infrastructure issues (e.g. Washington Post - 50% of the world's food is wasted). Markets are supposed to decrease inefficiencies (e.g. on-day-delivery transport networks that serve Supermarkets) and reward those who waste the least (i.e. they make more money). Now, you can argue that they're not the best method, but you'll be needing a solid foundation in knowing how it all works.

 

These are complex issues, and your "broadsword of justice" is just showing your training wheels. Things to note: many ZH readers are older than your grandfather, and rather jaded and cynical, so you'll wanting to bring some facts to the table. Oldtimers get to use shorthand (i.e. we assume they know their stuff); you're going to have to earn that.

 

p.s.

 

Multinational Corporations don't usually gamble on currency markets, just as a head's up. That's why we have BANKS.

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:08 | 3503684 Captnkirk
Captnkirk's picture

why would anyone pay any attention to GS is beyond me

 

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:30 | 3503745 Major Major Major
Major Major Major's picture

Could be like an abusive relationship.

 

  • I know those other muppets used to get beaten down, but I'm different
  • Sometimes I need to learn a lesson
  • I know I'm a little brusied but I think it will be better this time
  • I can change them so that they will really care for me
  • You just don't understand our relationship...
Fri, 04/26/2013 - 17:03 | 3503877 Dewey Cheatum Howe
Dewey Cheatum Howe's picture

Could be like an abusive relationship.

 

About sums everything up concerning the world these days when you get right down to it.

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:11 | 3503685 debtor of last ...
debtor of last resort's picture

I am a muppet, i do not understand TYM3 initial targets. And i don't give a fuck. I've read hundreds of zh articles, and some other websites. I buy phizz, i have learned to read english, i know we are fucked and i enjoy the paper burnings. Cheers bitchez.

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 17:14 | 3503914 debtor of last ...
debtor of last resort's picture

An important lesson for me: the American culture does approve honesty, hard work, and stands up for failure in business, just because you tried. It's not a problem to fail 3 times, as long as you stand up 4 times. The American culture is in trouble, but it is so strong that it will succeed. Sadly and only after a 'once in a hundred years' struggle for life. As we speak, i've already put my finger in the dike for you, Americano's. ;-)

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:12 | 3503688 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

HOW is it possible that there are so many Muppets who just keep lining up to get scalped, I mean, WHERE are these billionaires who just fork over their money to be lost every time? Do they hang around in golf club steam rooms all day or what? WHO are they?

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:18 | 3503707 The Dancer
The Dancer's picture

Find a broker who will talk honestly and openly to you and you'll find that there are a lot of self-destructive "gamblers" out there with no casino to go dump their money off with...lol..OK, I just did so...forget the broker, he's busy right now hustling someone else...

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:20 | 3503716 Son of Loki
Son of Loki's picture

Muppets floating down the Hudson River....by the thousands...China may have their rivers full of dead pigs, birds, etc.....but we have the Muppets....

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:22 | 3503720 Rat King
Rat King's picture

As long as they are producing "content" that allows the sales desk to continue "smiling and dialing" everything is all good, regardless of the horrible advise. F U Goldman

 

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:29 | 3503743 The Dancer
The Dancer's picture

Many years ago I stumbled into being a commodity broker...and I can honestly say that the majority of my clients were in it for the action primarily...and many were self-destructive...first hand story...

Sat, 04/27/2013 - 05:23 | 3505174 Trampy
Trampy's picture

Of course "the majority were in it for the action primarily" and "many were self-destructive."  Most people are totally clueless, as is proved continuously.

Of course some fraction of traders are successful.  Jesse Livermore had a number of wildly successful runs that always ended with him going broke; after the last one he shot himself (the ultimate self-destruction).  see Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.

What did you notice about the successful traders?  There must have been at least a few 'cause you called them clients.

 

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 16:43 | 3503800 100pcDredge
Fri, 04/26/2013 - 17:08 | 3503892 Common_Cents22
Common_Cents22's picture

when u cheat and take everyone elses money, the game stops.

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 17:33 | 3503973 Bunga Bunga
Bunga Bunga's picture

Go USA go!

Fri, 04/26/2013 - 17:42 | 3504001 syntaxterror
syntaxterror's picture

God's work, you stupid fucking muppet.

Sat, 04/27/2013 - 00:41 | 3504991 The Dancer
The Dancer's picture

Major,major,major-----you are spot on...but I like this term..."lovers-in-oppression" better...

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