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Manufacturing ISM Drops To Lowest Since December, Employment Slide Biggest Since 2008
Those expecting a complete collapse in the Manufacturing ISM, on par with yesterday's slide in the Chicago PMI, will have to wait some more before the complete devastation in the US manufacturing sector sends stocks into the stratosphere. Moments ago the ISM Manufacturing report for April was released, printing at a headline of 50.7, down from 51.3 and the lowest print since December 2012. The good news: it was still above 50 and beat expectations of a 50.6 print by the smallest amount possible. The bad news: it is sliding fast. The worst news: the Employment Indicator, which came at 50.2, down 4 on the month, was the lowest since November, tied with the biggest sequential drop since 2008 in absolute terms, and the biggest drop in percentage terms since the Great Financial Crisis. Judging by the stock market response, the news is not as bad as needed to send the S&P to over 1600, at least not just yet.
Headline ISM:
Employment ISM:
From the report:
The PMI™ registered 50.7 percent, a decrease of 0.6 percentage point from March's reading of 51.3 percent, indicating expansion in manufacturing for the fifth consecutive month, but at the lowest rate of the year. The New Orders Index increased in April by 0.9 percentage point to 52.3 percent, and the Production Index increased by 1.3 percentage points to 53.5 percent. The Employment Index registered 50.2 percent, a decrease of 4 percentage points compared to March's reading of 54.2 percent. The Prices Index registered 50 percent, decreasing 4.5 percentage points from March, indicating that overall raw materials prices remained unchanged from last month. Comments from the panel indicate a range of strong/steady growth, to flat/declining volumes, depending upon the particular industry."
Commodities Up in Price
- Caustic Soda; Corrugated Boxes (9); HDPE (4); Lumber (4); Natural Gas; Plastic Resins (3); and Polypropylene (6).
Commodities Down in Price
- Aluminum; Steel; and Steel — Cold Rolled.
What the respondents are saying:
- "Business can be described as flat at best." (Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products)
- "Production is still strong; several new projects to support alternative energy." (Primary Metals)
- "Slight uptick in business, but overall continuing slowdown in defense due to budget/sequester." (Computer & Electronic Products)
- "We have concerns about safety of doing business in South Korea. Our largest customer and part owner is in South Korea." (Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components)
- "Automotive demand remains firm." (Fabricated Metal Products)
- "Business continues at a steady pace." (Machinery)
- "General business conditions and industrial markets remain strong." (Transportation Equipment)
- "Seasonal pick-up underway in the office furniture industry." (Furniture & Related Products)
- "Market has slowed this month — weather in some parts of the country, also customers built inventory in anticipation of building increase, but the economy is still slow to pick up this spring." (Wood Products)
- "Overall, volume is steady or slightly declining. Q1 sales volume is lower than projected." (Chemical Products)
Construction Spending was dismal - 3rd miss in last 4; biggest 3-month drop in 26 months, and lowest spend since Auguest 2012...
But apart from that housing's doing great...
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bad is good, good is bad, awful is better
Exports down, imports up, employment right at contraction level. Cue Jan Hatzius........
Try this (cut and paste).
Activity is encouraging.. output and performance remain nominally stronger though conditions appear to provide some constraints.
This should boost stocks.
MOARRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR....................
"MOARRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR....................shaved cats!"
"Business continues at a steady pace"
This has been said for the last 4 years.
surprising the number was allowed to stay in expansion territory......wierd /s
"Business continues at a steady pace"
and by 'Business' they mean layoffs
I turned a friend of mine on to ZH. His comment after a month of reading was "They just cherry pick bad data". I just laughed and asked him to please cherry pick good data and get back to me. He said "Simple-real estate is booming"
With friends like that - who needs retards.
Snails can move at a steady pace, too.
Just the push we need for all-time highs...
In a nation dominated by parasites and parasitic institutions we cannot expect good things for real people.
In a nutshell.
Well, me being an optimist, at least I got some huge shoulders from all this rowing?
pods
Momma used to say:
"This is why I can't have nice things!!!"
The best part about this was watching this british penis face Simon someone on CNBC celebrate this number as "being over 50, which shows continued expansion"
I'm picking up alot of 'Roach Chatter' [RC] today on the short wave...what does that mean?
Please expand.
Don't drone me, bro.
It's probably pirate radio out of Detroit or Philly, I wouldn't worry about it.
A wise man once said to me:
"apparently if good is good, bad is better, and totally shitty is absolutely awesome"
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-04-30/macro-collapse-pushes-sp-500-ne...
It's hard to destroy an economy but they are doing it!
The market can't take anymore good news...
If it came in at 5 or 500, we would still close green
Ben will have to reach for the QE lever.
Hey... Tyler, Employement has been Growing for 43 consecutive months, it's just slower. :)
I try to tell my girlfriend that, but she dont believe me!
The initial kneejerk was to bid this market higher then we dropped. Look at currencies and commodities. Stocks are going lower.
what the respondents are saying: iffin' the po don't gits mo credit they ain't gonna spend no mo
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zgx3TCnIH80
i am shocked.......not
tyler, you should pull out those gold & dow charts from 2008 again. history may only rhyme, but in an era where history is unfolding as a replica of a replica, the rhyming is only as original as Blueprint2 by Jay-Z.
It's almost impossible to know if these data are correct, most is just released for propaganda purposes
I am hoping so badly that Ben issues a statement today noting that QE isn't/hasn't worked and going forward the will be stopping their easy money policies and revamping their thought process. #hopium
Let me check the Bloomberg screen. Nope, Ben has not reached Infinity yet. QE On!!
US Manufacturing.......
HA! biggest.oxymoron.ever!
"Caustic Soda; Corrugated Boxes (9); HDPE (4); Lumber (4); Natural Gas; Plastic Resins (3); and Polypropylene (6)." looks like they forgot to add small ball bearings and propane tanks to the list, which at some point in time will be essential to the future restlessness of the sheeple.
"looks like they forgot to add small ball bearings and propane tanks to the list, which at some point in time will be essential to the future restlessness of the sheeple." - H E D G E H O G
"It's all ball bearings nowadays!"
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4prqDn7QS8I
JUST what the doctors ordered to get stawks back in their regular normal direction...up...WAY UP!
The fact that we wait for government data or soundbytes to tell us anything is a pretty clear indication that the nation's focus is not on recovering anything in the free markets.
The New Abnormal.
The Sequester is working!! Soon that pesky middle class will be gone. And the Plutocrats can concentrate on financially enslaving what remains. All According To Plan and right on schedule.
agree that is the plan, but not on schedule. That is why they want the immigration bill passed, hand out flyers in Spanish in Mexico telling them to get food stamps with no repercussions. What is left of the thinkers are gaining traction.
The problem for the PTB is the military and police waking up to supporting a bunch of evil parasites who will discard them and their families after using them.
As demonstrated in BOSTON. /Heavy fucking sarc.
for cooked numbers it sorta sucks.
Haven't you guys been watching the news? Things suck because of the sequester! That 2% spending reduction is killing us! This is not Comrade Obamas fault!
Things suck? Can't be....stawks pegged to all-time record highs, and that's what really matters and the ONLY thing that matters, at all.
Well...already I can't handle any more of this today...time to get a couple drinks. "Couple Drinks" - Trailer Park Boys - YouTube
Tipped for Trailer Park Boys vid. But please you are gonna start attracting White Trash.
I'm very interested in construction and I see it's down a thousand or two, isn't it possible it could go up a few thousand next quarter?
Sure. But the economic numbers are indicating a new likely trend which is down.
Well, a thousand or two isn't very much. I don't think it's anything to worry about, you can't even get a good used double-wide for a thousand or two, these days.
But, "If People would just SPEND, the economy would be booming".
Fucknuts. This goes way beyond people spending.
"Those expecting a complete collapse in the Manufacturing ISM, on par with yesterday's slide in the Chicago PMI, will have to wait some more before the complete devastation in the US manufacturing sector sends stocks into the stratosphere."
I'm still wiping the OJ off my monitors.
Sure, basically stawks will pay real big! But what they pay in will be worthless. AH...gotta love the Maniacal Monetizers and their psychotic plans!
Ahh the good old days. http://dailybail.com/home/photo-of-the-day-bernankes-first-helicopter.html
Building materials retail pricing is over the top. I checked std 4x8 7/16 inch OSB this morning for a roof job, least expensive is $14.50. Same product purchased last summer for $11.50 and in January 2012 it was $7.50 per sheet.
This is ridiculous...
Watch when i doubles over the coarse of a week.
With ISM and PMI dropping at same time , the hand writing is on the wall. Stage II of our depressionary collapse had begun. They should start a war by June . Iran, Syeria and Korea, pick one.