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Gold ETF Holdings Rise Most In 7 Months

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Yesterday saw a lot of extreme volatility moves around the world. Most of them stemmed from Japanese actions - JPY plunging 3 big figures in 18 hours, JGB limit down and biggest yield spike in years against a JGB implied volatility collapse, NKY smashing exponentially higher - but there was also an unusual action in precious metals. While price has been notably set back in the last two days, yesterday saw the largest addition to IAU and GLD ETF holdings in 7 months (following a 10 million ounce reduction from mid-February highs). For equity investors, if this is considered a normal, calm operating environment for putting your capital to work, enjoy.

 

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:10 | 3549076 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

WTF

It's time for a beer, I give up.

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:18 | 3549123 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

is it ever time to not have a beer?

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:24 | 3549148 Manthong
Manthong's picture

GLD – IAU    Holdings ? ?

LOL --  it is obviously time for a Golden Monkey

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:40 | 3549216 nugjuice
nugjuice's picture

Just caught a documentary on this last week, Goldman and JPM are buddies. How much you want to bet GS has been trying to smack down paper price so JPM can scoop up some phys on the cheap?

You scratch my back..

If we see eligible gold reserves jump at JPM in the next few days we'll know what's going on

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 15:07 | 3549311 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Remember, they are both custodians for the PM ETFs, and their vaults filled with Comex paper.

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 15:18 | 3549344 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Absolutely and positively a Shell Game.

I don't believe anything these guys say. There is zero transparency on this and the info is coming from the crooks themselves.

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 15:46 | 3549423 Diogenes
Diogenes's picture

Time to bite the heads off some Armadillos

http://beeradvocate.com/beer/profile/433/1837

(turn the bottle on its side and the sailing ship turns into an Armadillo!)

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:08 | 3549080 IridiumRebel
IridiumRebel's picture

Barbarous Paper Relic

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:10 | 3549087 colin
colin's picture

why? like currency down the drain

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:11 | 3549099 bluskyes
bluskyes's picture

Let's see if this is followed up by a corresponding increase in physical bullion, in their "segregated vaults"

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:13 | 3549100 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

I'm loving the stunned silence on here.

Paging Jim Willie....

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:20 | 3549128 valley chick
valley chick's picture

don't know what to think fonz.  I am getting confused..what does this mean?

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:24 | 3549150 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

All I know is it means don't believe anyone. Trust your instincts and stay diversified and be prepared for a longer ride than most people want to imagine.

 

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 17:03 | 3549645 Room 101
Room 101's picture

It also means to be neither a PM shill nor a paper pimp.

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:22 | 3549136 oddjob
oddjob's picture

As a paid subscriber he will reply to your emails.

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:29 | 3549169 oddjob
oddjob's picture

Jim advised clients to sell anything to do with paper Gold or Silver many years ago.

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:55 | 3549270 kito
kito's picture

wasnt jim willy the one who knew somebody whos cousin had a friend at morgan stanley and said friend indicated the ship was sinking and all top executives were on lifeboats??? that jim willy????

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 15:00 | 3549283 oddjob
oddjob's picture

Yeah and days after that they increased MBS purchases by another 45 billion per month, just a coincidence am sure.

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 15:28 | 3549377 kito
kito's picture

im not buying it.....way too many unfounded rumors floating around about the end of this and the end of that.........all unfounded.................stop listening to the talking heads on KWN...............................

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 15:38 | 3549390 oddjob
oddjob's picture

You dont have to buy toxic MBS, the taxpayers did, then they will be given to you it exchange for your retirement savings.

P.S.   John Embry made me a shitload of money, more than any of your stooges that pay to get on CNBC.

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 15:50 | 3549440 kito
kito's picture

nutjob....err...oddjob....ive been here long enough to have established my disdain for cnbc....but by that token, there is the FLIP SIDE OF PROPAGANDA.....those that spew the exact opposite baseless unfounded repetitive nonsense.......both are not worth a lick................listening to maria bartiromo talking up equities or listening to hathaway talk up some unknown (they are always unknown) hong kong bullion dealer who swears inventory is down to its last bar IS FUCKING ANNOYING.........................

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 15:59 | 3549466 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

You are not doing a good job of convincing me to do anything................

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 16:11 | 3549493 kito
kito's picture

buy the dip...and salsa...and nachos....and a cold beer.....thats life!!!!

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 16:00 | 3549467 oddjob
oddjob's picture

Considering PM's account for less than 2% of all investable assets, I see an over laboured effort to discredit them.

Now whats fucking annoying is how Apple can lose the combined value of all the above ground physical Silver, Gold and Silver mining equities and nary a peep from the likes of you.

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 16:10 | 3549488 kito
kito's picture

@oddjob you are missing my point........

my POINT is unfounded bullshit is just that...whether its from jim willie or kwn or anybody else.......and propaganda works both ways.......i believe one of the comments here yesterday warned of the unfounded bullshit coming from michael synder....that he personally was in several turkish pm shops....and there was no crazy shortage, or premiums.....or lines out the door...................dont believe the hype either way.....

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 16:20 | 3549500 oddjob
oddjob's picture

Well if its all hype, why such disdain for Gold and Silver, please tell me you dont think pipelines and utes trading at 30+x earnings are a good deflation hedge, cuz they will get slaughtered.

Why not harp about amazon?, it represents a far greater underlying risk than a gold coin.

Look at citi, it only has to get back to $550/share for people to get even on that one.

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 16:33 | 3549560 kito
kito's picture

its not ALL hype...only the hype is hype.................im NOT advocating stocks......blahhh........never..............im advocating intellgent presentations without bullshit stories that are competely unfounded............

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 16:40 | 3549577 oddjob
oddjob's picture

Over time it has been proven that Gold and Silver provide a better vehicle for saving the benefits of one's own labour.

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 15:15 | 3549332 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

 

http://silverdoctors.com/jim-willie-bank-runs-bullion-bank-runs-to-clima...

History recalls, how great the fall can be
While everybody's sleeping
The boat's put out to sea
Born on the wings of time
It seems the answers were so easy to find

 

Too late the prophets cry
The island's sinking, let's take to the sky
Called the man a fool
Stripped him off his pride
Everyone was laughing
Up untill the day he died

 

Ooh though the wound went deep
Still he's calling us out of our sleep
My friends, we're not alone
He waits in silence to lead us all home

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 15:16 | 3549341 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

A buddy just texted me in a panic, like my wife was on fire, "CNBC is screaming to get out of gold!"

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 20:10 | 3550264 espirit
espirit's picture

That could be a good/bad thing...

Depends on whether she's a looker, got money, etc.

Sat, 05/11/2013 - 01:18 | 3550833 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

I can think of over $16Trillion reasons for ignoring anything CNBS has to say.

Sat, 05/11/2013 - 01:20 | 3550835 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

If I were you, I'd text right back:  "Whew, that was close!  Good thing I sold all my Au!"  That way, after The Great Implosion™, yer friend will think you don't have any Au for them to steal!

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 17:05 | 3549650 Room 101
Room 101's picture

And it was stupid advice.  Not all ETF's are created equal.  GLD is a piece of shit.  But what about CEF?

One size fits all advice will get you fucked.  Hard. 

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:13 | 3549103 W T F II
W T F II's picture

I'm buying....@ $48.90, but I'm buying....

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:14 | 3549108 youngman
youngman's picture

Stunned yes but silent no....this is so rigged its scary....I am smelling sulpher around here...this market is a complete joke...I don´t think anyone knows what they are doing....its a very big and dangerous crap shoot..

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:17 | 3549118 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Or maybe there is plenty of gold to go around. Maybe Kyle Bass knows it and that's why he dumped some phyz pre smackdown. Maybe that is why someone still feels comfortable going long paper. Maybe...we have a looooong way to go.

Or maybe a big bank blows up sunday night. Welcome to the new normal.

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:30 | 3549174 YHC-FTSE
YHC-FTSE's picture

Or, Buying to crush prices again in the round robin cycle? Each cycle must be preceded by a buying spree at lows to sell and accept lower bids amongst themselves (Fed's pomo bitches). Only way to beat physical rallies is to manipulate the paper, imo.

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 15:23 | 3549367 kito
kito's picture

fonz you reeeeeallllly arent doing a good job convincing me to diversify into gold....................

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 15:39 | 3549408 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

i ask too many questions and don't btfd enough

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 15:55 | 3549454 kito
Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:46 | 3549241 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

or maybe this supposed influx is a fucking lie just like everything else say the fucking bankers... b bottom line, they aint had no Gold from the start and the little they did is on  planes to the East...

everything we r witnessing is designed to confuse and misdirect...

just keep buyin no matter what the phony paper price...

there r only 2 forms of real money and you had better have a whole fucking lot....

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 16:15 | 3549504 cynicalskeptic
cynicalskeptic's picture

Know a JPM exec - see him regularkly.  Jusst before the smackdown, I made a comment about their COMEX gold stocks in the vault dropping fast.  "Why hold onto it if you can buy it back cheaper in the future?"

The same guy simply laughed when I asked if Blythe was telling the truth about only holding positions for clients.....having said at another time that "we're involved in things a bank shouldn't go near.... if one of the tankers on the water has an accident...."

 

yeah.... steadfast ethical place, no manipulation... BTW - California is suing them over collection on old Credit Card debt - echoes of Robosigning on mortgages.  Looks like they're checking the couch cushions for change - seems kind of desperate.

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 17:12 | 3549675 Room 101
Room 101's picture

Not even surprised.  Volatility is what makes the banksters and their ilk money.  Also, a lot of this paper versus phyzz is not complete and utter bullshit, but it's mostly bullshit. 

Yeah, if you want to trust the morgue with your PMs, you're a fool.  But not every custodian is a crook.  

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:16 | 3549114 Fuku Ben
Fuku Ben's picture

Lots of suckers out there

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-05-09/jim-grant-golds-recent-drop-confidence-bernanke-utterly-misplaced#comment-3547263

I'll be like a broken record of hold physical only until it all collapses and the ETF's say they told you so in their prospectuses

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:17 | 3549119 Dr. Venkman
Dr. Venkman's picture

They just overshot by this [--] much. Carry on.

That 7 month I/O chart is impressive though.

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:19 | 3549126 debtor of last ...
debtor of last resort's picture

Like stocks, the bullion banks/fed are buying to prevent the diversion between phyz and paper? Hey, look, paper gold really exists!

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:21 | 3549132 Rustysilver
Rustysilver's picture

Where's is my fukkin' gold!

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:25 | 3549134 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

I am sure the government did them a solid and deposited some gold with them for shares to build confidence in the paper gold system.  I am also sure the GLD immediately dumped the deposited gold today at the London Fix.  The ponzi gets another 24hrs to live.

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:26 | 3549158 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

why bother throwing some valuable gold out the window for such a short lifespan?

Sat, 05/11/2013 - 17:56 | 3552158 auric1234
auric1234's picture

Maybe another big smackdown is being planned. They think their only chance of survival is shacking the remaining weak physical holders.

Makes sense now that the strong hands already spent most of their dry powder last month.

 

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:23 | 3549139 astoriajoe
astoriajoe's picture

They should print GLD on gold leaf, so that they really can send it to you, and you just melt it down in your kitchen.

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:24 | 3549146 devo
devo's picture

Big boys are rotating while telling Joe Sixpack to buy their stocks.

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:25 | 3549152 css1971
css1971's picture

I honestly wouldn't fancy holding JGBs at the moment. It's creaking, but it's going to go...

http://www.kitco.com/gold_currency/index.html?currency=jpy&timePeriod=1y...

Gold in JPY is holding it's own. With relative USD strength Americans are getting a sale.

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:25 | 3549153 GraveyardSpiral
GraveyardSpiral's picture

What is JPM's vault (conversion ratio) looking like today, Tyler?

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:29 | 3549170 Divine Wind
Divine Wind's picture

 

 

Cobwebs?

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:32 | 3549182 devo
devo's picture

Soon to be known as JPM's Mausoleum

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:27 | 3549161 FranSix
FranSix's picture

I suppose the news will be that Paulson and Soros bought GLD for their gold trading position.

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:36 | 3549202 devo
devo's picture

And they bought it from Gartman since gold is down.

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:36 | 3549203 silverserfer
silverserfer's picture

did they just create more paper gold out of thin air or did they BTMFD and found a seller of size of physical bullion?

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 15:03 | 3549293 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Comex futures are accepted as physical by GLD since they can "stand for delivery."

I'm assuming any remaining physical has long since left the vault and there's nothing but paper left. Especially since that trick can only be pulled off by "authorized participants" who create and redeem shares in 50k "baskets."

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:37 | 3549206 the grateful un...
the grateful unemployed's picture

forget the facts pay attention to the narrative. the economy is now running under its own power, QE can be scaled down, and the charts suggest that in this stage of the recovery equities outperform gold. thif they can engineer an environment which looks like a recovery, that's better than a real recovery, which isn't going to happen because of structural problems.

the market is overbought, it can go higher still, (or hold on to its gains) if the leadership narrows a bit. that means kicking the longs out of gold, and forcing them to buy Apple. the may gray has been defeated, and if the market gets a bit frothy the doves only need to pull back a little on QE.

you are here, but these guys are already two steps ahead, worrying about a lousy christmas shopping season, and how a market up 15% when the new normal is probably 2% is going to hold on to the gains. make em sell everything they own and buy APPLE. 

worst case the old bugaboo of put selling gains favor, which is what brought them down in 87. this time however the government might have trouble throwing money at wall street. although by now 401K and the DJIA industrial mean the same thing. they don't want to let the little guys get too greedy.

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 15:05 | 3549301 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Trouble? Why there's nothing some "New & Improved" accounting standards can't "fix."

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:38 | 3549209 Fuku Ben
Fuku Ben's picture

I just saw that there hasn't been a strategic silver reserve in the US since 2003. Which IMO certainly significantly increases the liklihood of confiscation if there is ever a major conflict in the US.

I would also tend to believe there's no gold reserve left either or even no gold period for that matter.

http://www.mineralsmakelife.org/assets/images/content/resources/Strategic%20and%20Critical%20Materials%202013%20Report%20on%20Stockpile%20Requirements.pdf

http://www.strategic-culture.org/news/2013/03/11/us-gold-reserve-audit-show.html

Anyone in the US think this seems like a set up?

Use America to piss off the whole world, loot everything, set off WW3 and watch America be destroyed?

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:44 | 3549232 kill switch
kill switch's picture

Some institution buying to goose the ETF market,,,,It won't work phyzz is going parabolic. JUST KEEP STACKING.... THIS GAME IS ENDING. The wealth transfer to the physical holders will be breathtaking and they know it.

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 16:16 | 3549510 cynicalskeptic
cynicalskeptic's picture

I'll settle for preservation of capital - though I'll be needing a loan to buy some scuba equipment first.

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 17:37 | 3549780 kill switch
kill switch's picture

cynicalskeptic,,,,

That's funny, you also had a boating accident? Man this shits on the rise..

 

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 14:55 | 3549269 katchum
katchum's picture

This is only a drop in the ocean, insignificant. What is significant though is that lease rates for gold are hitting new highs and gold forward rates are at lows of November 2008.

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 15:02 | 3549288 Crtrvlt
Crtrvlt's picture

what would a net inflow chart look like over the same time period?  increasing fund flows w/ decreasing holdings? 

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 15:09 | 3549318 They trynna cat...
They trynna catch me ridin dirty's picture

So is this like the equivalent of ETF QE? Printing paper gold from nothing, and the market just pretends like it has (gold) value? Am I understanding this right?

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 16:31 | 3549552 Pareto
Pareto's picture

Happened to be in my favorite hangout today (PM shop), and place was bustling.....again.  All buyers: myself for some rounds, another for a silo of rounds, another for the 10 oz bar (Japanese dragon), and another for 4 oz Maple Leafs.  Two days before a guy bought 7 boxes of 10 oz bars.  I havent seen sellers since, forever."Those are the people in my neighborhood, in my neighborhood, in my neigh-bor-hood."

Sat, 05/11/2013 - 01:28 | 3550842 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

Would you, could you, be my neighbor?

Fri, 05/10/2013 - 15:22 | 3549359 WTF_247
WTF_247's picture

Gold recovering losses again today, already halfway off the lows.  It would seem the smackdowns are being bought decently.  This is definitely not setting up well for the shorts.  If I was shorting I would cover my positions or at the very least hedge the upside.  This is the third time in the past few weeks where a large selloff is net bought.

Sat, 05/11/2013 - 18:03 | 3552171 auric1234
auric1234's picture

It fell after being stuck for several days below $1475 resistance. To me, this looks like either technical trading or outright manipulation.

It doesn't look like a short squeeze.

It doesn't look like driven by physical demand. Physical demand doesn't care about technical resistance.

I think weak paper speculators are back, and TPTB have room for another big smackdown.

 

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