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180 Seconds After The FOMC Release, Hilsenrath Parses Fed Minutes

Tyler Durden's picture




 

What is 410 words and is released precisely 180 seconds after the FOMC's minutes? Why Jon Hilsenrath's FOMC minute-parsing piece of course. Which we can only assume means Jon was on the "preapproved" list for early distribution and pre-analysis, because not even we can analyze and type that fast. We are confident he did not breach the embargo. Because that would not look good for the Fed already being investigated by the Inspector General for last month's humilating breach.

So what did Hilsy have to say this time? This:

Federal Reserve minutes from its April 30-May 1 policy meeting suggested it is heading toward some difficult debates on when to pull back its bond buying program.

 

Below are key passages in the minutes and how to read them:

 

1) “A number of participants expressed willingness to adjust the flow of purchases downward as early as the June meeting if the economic information received by that time showed evidence of sufficiently strong and sustained growth; however, views differed about what evidence would be necessary and the likelihood of that outcome.”

 

WHAT IT MEANS: The Fed will debate at its June 18-19 meeting whether to reduce its $85-billion per month bond-buying program, but officials don’t appear near a consensus on the matter. Fed chairman Ben Bernanke suggested in testimony to Congress earlier in the day that he wanted to avoid moving prematurely toward pulling back.

 

2) “Several participants pointed to the improvement in interest-sensitive sectors, such as consumer durables and housing, over the recent period as evidence that the purchases were having positive results for the economy.”

 

WHAT IT MEANS: The Fed talks about the costs and benefits of its policies. So far, they think the bond buying program is still helping the economy.

 

3) “Economic data releases over the intermeeting period were mixed, raising some concern that the recovery might be slowing after a solid start earlier this year, thereby repeating the pattern observed in recent years. Various views on this prospect were offered, from those participants who put more emphasis on the underlying momentum of the economy, noting the strengthening in private domestic final demand, to those who stressed the growing fiscal restraint or the other headwinds still facing the economy.”

 

WHAT IT MEANS: Fed officials are hesitant about their next step on monetary policy in part because they’re especially uncertain about how the economy unfolds in the next few months, in the face of tighter fiscal policies.

 

4) “Both headline and core PCE inflation in the first quarter came in below the Committee’s longer-run goal of 2 percent, but these recent lower readings appeared to be due, in part, to temporary factors; other measures of inflation as well as inflation expectations had remained more stable. Accordingly, participants generally continued to expect that inflation would move closer to the 2 percent objective over the medium run.”

 

WHAT IT MEANS: The Fed’s favored inflation measures have dropped well below its 2% target, but officials aren’t deeply concerned about it yet.

Trust Hilsenrath to miss the most important part of the minutes, which was this - the first "on the FOMC record" admission by some that the Fed is officially blowing a bubble:

"a few participants expressed concern that conditions in certain U.S. financial markets were becoming too buoyant.... One participant cautioned that the emergence of financial imbalances could prove difficult for regulators to identify and address, and that it would be appropriate to adjust monetary policy to help guard against risks to financial stability."

WHAT IT MEANS: It is self-expanatory

 

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Wed, 05/22/2013 - 14:54 | 3588939 CClarity
CClarity's picture

As posted in earlier article, there was a Leak again. Again! No accidents folks. Rigged .
Mavens, we much find the way to circumvent TPTB. And soon.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:00 | 3588973 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

Tyler with the stopwatch, that's just brilliant.  Simply physics that is.  +1000

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:02 | 3588979 The Juggernaut
The Juggernaut's picture

"a few participants expressed concern that conditions in certain U.S. financial markets were becoming too buoyant.... One participant cautioned that the emergence of financial imbalances could prove difficult for regulators to identify and address, and that it would be appropriate to adjust monetary policy to help guard against risks to financial stability."

 

AKA We're creating a bubble that will hurt when it pops.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:02 | 3588986 Pinto Currency
Pinto Currency's picture

 

They don't call that paper shown above "Real Time Economics" for no reason.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:03 | 3588993 flacon
flacon's picture

3:00pm dip-buyers rally?

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:12 | 3589029 James_Cole
James_Cole's picture

Which we can only assume means Jon was on the "preapproved" list for early distribution and pre-analysis, because not even we can analyze and type that fast.

OR, Hilsenrath has been replaced by a computer algorithm, would be fitting. 

http://www.wired.com/gadgetlab/2012/04/can-an-algorithm-write-a-better-n...

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:30 | 3589114 gmrpeabody
gmrpeabody's picture

Brilliant traders..., those gentlemen of Saks.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 16:46 | 3589346 francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

Two & a half seconds per word is pretty good even for a CheesePope...

~~~

THE. QUICK. BROWN. CHEESEPOPE. JUMPED. OVER. THE. LAZY~(BOY).

Gotta luv doze barcaloungers...

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:05 | 3588998 macholatte
macholatte's picture

 

 

Because that would not look good for the Fed already being investigated by the Inspector General for last month's humilating breach.

 

--> they're all gonna be on SNL cause it's really Lorne Michaels wagging that dog.

 

 

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:03 | 3588982 Pinto Currency
Pinto Currency's picture

 

-

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:11 | 3589012 McMolotov
McMolotov's picture

The physics are far from simple and involve a flux-capacitor. Someone should see if Hilsenrath has a DeLorean stashed behind his office.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:10 | 3589024 Stoploss
Stoploss's picture

Well, that's it.

I want my Evelyn Woodhead speed reading course money back...

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:16 | 3589052 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

It's amazing how fast the man offers a thoughtful response.  It's as if his response was planned weeks in advance.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 16:59 | 3589382 zjxn06
zjxn06's picture

"Evelyn Woodhead speed reading course"

That's Evelyn Woodhead "sped redding" course

 There. Fixed it.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 14:54 | 3588944 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

 

 

Either these people are preapproved or they are algos/terminators.  I'm really not sure, to be honest...

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:00 | 3588963 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

I met Hilsenrath in person and I can assure you he's 100% algo. :)

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:00 | 3588975 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

CD can I venture a guess that this is what you looked like after returning from your meeting?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QhBr0lPNuuU

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:08 | 3589011 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

OK.......I want that camera OUT of my bathroom. NOW! :)

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:02 | 3588987 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Is he reptilian too?

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:09 | 3589021 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

He said it was just a temporary skin condition. Who was I to judge?

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:14 | 3589042 AR
AR's picture

Hey CD... How are you doing (family too)?  Reading this post, I couldn't pass up making a quick comment to the community on this post.  Namely...

Hilsenrath, like every other good Fed and World Central Bank manipulator (i.e. con), one can never take the Stilettos off the WHORE.  After all, it would shrink and diminish them all down to size.

To Johnny boy:  Keep bending over.  All your experience, education, and promotions probably really make your parents and extended family proud at Holiday times.  You clearly have hit the big leagues with your greased up missives as the Fed's whipping bitch.  Then again, Rupert uses you too for advertising dollars. 

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:28 | 3589103 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Mrs. Cog and the extended family are doing well AR. Thank you for asking.

".....one can never take the Stilettos off the WHORE."

I think you just insulted Stilettos everywhere with your comment. Take it back.  :)

 

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:06 | 3589003 malikai
malikai's picture

I must have been pre-approved as well, but I didn't know.

http://blog.quantsig.net/2013/05/22/sp500-post-fomc/

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:59 | 3589213 James_Cole
James_Cole's picture

Is QSN yours?

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 16:11 | 3589243 malikai
malikai's picture

Yes sir.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 16:21 | 3589281 James_Cole
James_Cole's picture

Nice work.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 14:54 | 3588947 vmromk
vmromk's picture

Hilsenrath belongs in the same cell with Bernanke, so they can suck each other off.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 14:56 | 3588954 Tim Knight from...
Tim Knight from Slope of Hope's picture

That's overly kind and wholly uncreative. They should be in separate cells, each equipped with a glory hole. Who knows what zany mechanical contraptions we could install on the other side!

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:07 | 3588977 alphamentalist
alphamentalist's picture

Ben will be happy in whatever circumstance you drop him as long as he still gets to blow bubbles

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 17:26 | 3589446 americanspirit
americanspirit's picture

The problem is that Bubbles doesn't like getting blown by bloodsucking vampires - makes him really really nervous. Those fangs can do some serious damage, you know.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 14:56 | 3588955 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Hilsenrath just reminds me so much of David Spade's character in Coneheads.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 14:57 | 3588957 samcontrol
samcontrol's picture

I don,t care much about these boring articles, but can someone enlighten me with why did they kill somebody else on this Boston Bs thingy...

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 14:58 | 3588964 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

A comma?  Really?

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:23 | 3589079 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

To be fair, the look the same on the keyboard. o_O

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:37 | 3589131 gmrpeabody
gmrpeabody's picture

the....?

;-)         (it is a fight club, after all)

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 16:25 | 3589295 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

Is that you Bill Gross? 

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:39 | 3589151 GOSPLAN HERO
GOSPLAN HERO's picture

Add Steve Lies-man to that mix.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 14:57 | 3588958 taraxias
taraxias's picture

CRIMINALS

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 14:58 | 3588961 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

 

 

Ben is in the Mother of All Pickles.

there, I said it...now, where did I put my scotch?

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:19 | 3589064 The Thunder Child
The Thunder Child's picture

If it's an Islay I think you should let me hold onto it for you for 'safe keeping'

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 14:58 | 3588966 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

 

write to the Fed -- ask straight out to be included on the "early release list" .... response is hysterical.

 

http://www.federalreserve.gov/apps/ContactUs/feedback.aspx?refUrl=/aboutthefed/contact-us-topics/other.htm

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:03 | 3588991 Clowns on Acid
Clowns on Acid's picture

Yeh...they send your application to the IRS first....then respond.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 14:59 | 3588967 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

That's what happens when you offer you ass for servicing these guys....Inside information.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 14:59 | 3588971 css1971
css1971's picture

I can touch type, if it helps.

See, doing it now. Freaks my wife out when I type while talking to her.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:05 | 3589000 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Hey, me tyoo,.  I', doing it righ now as Im,' reading your post,.  Not bad, hujh?

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:21 | 3589062 css1971
css1971's picture

410 words in 180 seconds is 137 words per minute, that's world class speed though. And no typos.

He should be called Jon "Lightningfingers" Hilsenrath.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:25 | 3589084 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

More like, cut & paste each paragraph from the approved responses file.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 14:59 | 3588972 JustObserving
JustObserving's picture

Can the US markets get more criminal?  But they do every day.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:04 | 3588996 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

I was going to say maybe he wrote 2 or 3 articles beforehand and just published the one that fit the likely outcomes but..... that's got quotes and point-by-point analysis.  No way.  He got the report early.

Didn't the Fed recently ask the FBI to help them keep things secure until actual scheduled release time?  Perhaps we should ask them.  On second thought, nevermind.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:05 | 3588999 Clowns on Acid
Clowns on Acid's picture

Tyler - Can you request Hilsenrath's personal trading account records from the WSJ please?

Y'know.... just for some laughs... Clowns need to be laughing.... or they cry.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:07 | 3589001 yogibear
yogibear's picture

 

Hilsenrath is a Fed has-been. 

Trying to talk bubbling down. It's not working. This bubble is getting so large it's going to cause historic damage,

Fed's initiation is to blow huge soap bubbles, so they get used to blowing them.

 

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:27 | 3589096 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Don't worry, they know that. They aren't trying to talk it down so much as to keep the herd unsettled for yet another day, while they take all of their shit.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:06 | 3589005 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

NEWS FLASH! THEIR JOB IS TO SET US UP!! YOUR JOB IS TO STOP BUYING INTO YOUR OWN BULLSHIT!!

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:07 | 3589009 EU victum
EU victum's picture

So Ben confirms there is a recovery, I am sorry, but did I missed something?

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:09 | 3589014 adr
adr's picture

-----

I am going to try and write a semi coherent piece in the same time Hilsenrath made his piece off the top of my head in under 180 seconds. We know that the Fed can never stop QE because it is the only thing supporting the market. There is no actual money on the sidelines that can come in and rescue the market if the flow of funds from the Fed stop.

So even through bubbles of epic proportions are being blown, it isn't possible to stop. Perhaps later this year, the recovery will actually reach critical mass and be self sustaining, yet there is no evidence from the past four years that supports this conclusion. We don't know the future though, so perhaps he can stop QE if the data supports it. If the data supports the ending of QE then it should have no effect on the market as the market will at that point be self sustaining.

-----

So that was 181 seconds and 159 words. Nope not possible for Hilsenrath to type up his report after the Fed minutes were released.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 17:07 | 3589405 NeedtoSecede
NeedtoSecede's picture

I don't have much to add to this conversation (and I am a terrible typist, so the more I type, the worse it usually gets), but I gotta wander who the fuck would feel the need to give you a red arrow adr????

Is that you Hilsendouche?

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:10 | 3589025 pragmatic hobo
pragmatic hobo's picture

... junk bonds are trading below 5%, people are pulling money out of 401k to "invest" in housing, and they are debating when?

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:22 | 3589070 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

The perfect excuse for them to ban lump sum dispersmentss before retirement

age.

Never let a crisis go to waste especially after you fabricated it in the first

place.

Heads they win,tails you lose.Same as it ever was.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:29 | 3589109 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Hadn't thought about that line before, though I suspect they'll instead tax them heavily enough that no one will be better off for making that selection.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:13 | 3589032 MFLTucson
MFLTucson's picture

We have finacial markets trading on nthe words of liars!  What a fraud!

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:29 | 3589101 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

    Burn Baby burn... I love flaming red arrows. http://www.investing.com/indices/major-indices

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:33 | 3589126 Downtoolong
Downtoolong's picture

Jon was on the "preapproved" list for early distribution and pre-analysis.

No to mention the stock broker of him and his 500 closest friends.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:41 | 3589161 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

As I have learned at my time here at ZH. I never post first on a long ZH article until 5 minutes have gone by , just so everyone "knows" I read every word of that article.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:51 | 3589183 Paramount leader
Paramount leader's picture

make bubble/burst bubble/ignore bubble if economy is weak/strong/unsure

Everyones clear they dont want a weak economy.More people means more uncertainity on consesus therefore postive bias exists.

Its ok if the economy tanks after bursting this bubble, we can just break glass and start Hyper Quantitative Easing(HQE1)

The tricky part is safe landing equity while concurrently increasing bond yields  to match retirement requirements of all those lovely 401k passengers

 

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 15:56 | 3589202 WTFUD
WTFUD's picture

He should have had the decency to wait a good 45 minutes until ben at least had the opportunity to wash the drool out of his beard.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 16:00 | 3589209 GoldForCash
GoldForCash's picture

YOUR STILL PLAYING WITH STOCKS ??

DUMB ASS !!!

GROW UP, GET SMART, SMELL THE FARTS FROM THE FEDS, IF YOUR NOT ON THE LIST YOU BETTER PICK UP SHINEY THINGS !!!

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 18:26 | 3589619 Stuck on Zero
Stuck on Zero's picture

Hilsenrath isn't human.  He's an algo driven bot.  That's why the quick response.

 

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 19:04 | 3589745 PiltdownMan
PiltdownMan's picture

Should be: "When to pull out!"

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 20:02 | 3589898 whoopsing
whoopsing's picture

Note to Hilsenrath ; The chicks dig it when you can last longer than three minutes...

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 23:24 | 3590659 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Lloyd's okay with his little "minute man".

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 22:09 | 3590371 mendigo
mendigo's picture

Apparently it was deemed important to be first with the spin.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 22:16 | 3590412 mendigo
mendigo's picture

Is this for real. Am I imagining this - the Fed speaks and hrath interperates it for the unwashed.

"I invented the piano key neck-tie - I did that!!!!"

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