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Chinese Economy Enters Contraction With First Sub-50 PMI Print Since October

Tyler Durden's picture




 

For the first time since October 2012, HSBC's China PMI (Flash) printed at a sub-50 level (49.6) missing expectations (50.4) quite notably. This is the worst two-month drop in 17 months. This is problematic for the PBoC who are being arbitraged left, right, and center and know that any stimulus will merely serve to exacerbate the problems they face (as we noted here that China simply cannot function with 'moderate' growth). Every one of the main index's 11 sub-indices is signaling 'problems' - from slower rates of output, slower new orders, employment dropping at a faster rate, stocks rising, and output prices falling. As HSBC notes, "The cooling manufacturing activities in May reflected slower domestic demand and ongoing external headwinds. A sequential slowdown is likely in the middle of 2Q, casting downside risk to China’s fragile growth recovery." Of course, none of this should come as any surprise to ZH readers - as we noted here, Chinese power consumption grew at its slowest rate since May 2009.

 

 

 

Charts: MarkitEconomics

 

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Wed, 05/22/2013 - 22:09 | 3590376 maxmad
maxmad's picture

Collapse... look out below!

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 22:13 | 3590398 knukles
knukles's picture

But max, honey bunch, look at all those cute little homes sitting empty!

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 22:20 | 3590423 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

But wang , honey bunch, look at all those cute giant cities sitting empty!

There fixed it for you knukles.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 22:36 | 3590494 knukles
knukles's picture

So many cities, so few people.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 22:43 | 3590515 Supernova Born
Supernova Born's picture

The NORK Dear Leader feels a crazy spell coming on...

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 22:44 | 3590522 TraderTimm
TraderTimm's picture

China could handle a collapse better than the USA could. There, not as many in the cities living pampered lives as those in the villages outside. Also, there are neighbors to invade for resources if it comes to it. I'd be more worried about the USA, frankly. They're convinced they can turn off the $85 Billion-a-month spigot and "taper" off.

Right, like how a heroin addict "tapers" off of smack.

 

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 23:07 | 3590598 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

As long as our Chinese bearing supplier keeps cranking out the cheap but decent pieces for our customers in Peru, we will be buying them.  Same for our Korean and Japanese suppliers.

American supplier?  They don't even want to sell to us.  OK...

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 22:11 | 3590385 Schmuck Raker
Schmuck Raker's picture

I think it's high time we got back to fundamentals ZHers...

"Fuck You Bernanke"

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 22:12 | 3590390 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Gold bitchez!

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 23:09 | 3590606 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

+ $55,000

And that helps to solve Jim Quinn's issues re saving for our kids...

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 23:20 | 3590648 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

A ton!

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 22:13 | 3590389 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

So Japan can't save us. The U.S. can't save us. Europe can't save us. Japan...well we know how fucked the are. Zimbabwe it's all up to you now.

Thu, 05/23/2013 - 00:09 | 3590782 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Zimbabwe is enough to Obama's Kenya.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xx3-MGHFXkc

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 22:13 | 3590401 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

    But I thought things were 'peaches and cream' in Europe and U.S., and I thought China has rubust internal demand/consumption?

        List of the largest trading partners of China - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 22:14 | 3590405 max2205
max2205's picture

China needs to devalue MOAR and QE now

 

M.  O.  A.  R

Thu, 05/23/2013 - 00:18 | 3590796 Raynja
Raynja's picture

devaluing gold is hard, unlees you are nixon. but lord knows thats not what he got impeached for, in his defense clinton didn't get impeached for nafta...

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 22:18 | 3590430 gatorengineer
gatorengineer's picture

benny with a stick save?

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 22:49 | 3590532 Ness.
Ness.'s picture

B-B-B-Benny and the Jets...  

Elton John on SoulTrain circa 1975 (good shit), but if you look close, I think you can see Barack in the peach leisure suit and afro, getting down in the background.  Umm.. Good Times.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8vLlpJc9mW0

 

 

Thu, 05/23/2013 - 00:19 | 3590799 Raynja
Raynja's picture

thats not the choom wagon.

Thu, 05/23/2013 - 00:11 | 3590785 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Stick save will turn out to be a ram-rod. Bend over and get ready.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 22:22 | 3590441 bugs_
bugs_'s picture

I wonder if I will find Chinese Deflation talk as exciting as Japanese Deflation talk

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 22:22 | 3590444 mendigo
mendigo's picture

so given that they lie about everything, what to make of this?

I am a liar - everything I tell you is a lie.

Thu, 05/23/2013 - 00:23 | 3590809 Raynja
Raynja's picture

a lesson i learned a long time ago, when you realize someone is a liar you don't need to ignore them, you need to consider everything they say a lie.  some of the things they say will be the truth, but it will only be to support the lies.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 22:23 | 3590447 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Copper shit the bed and lumber is heading for another limit down.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 23:24 | 3590658 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Pretty much. Funny how the media doesn't cheer lower costs actually. Must be their huge paychecks...

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 22:30 | 3590474 thismarketisrigged
thismarketisrigged's picture

and of course all of asia ( rightfully so) is in the red except for the biggest bubble on the planet, the 1 that makes the dow and s&p look rational, none other than the nikkei up 220 pts, or 1.30 percent on china contracting.

 

very scary how even the''great china'' is contracting.

 

but cramer told me they bottomed out, as did europe so everything is going to be ok

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 23:05 | 3590592 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

No worries: We'll frack our way out of deflation

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 23:52 | 3590737 DeadFred
DeadFred's picture

The Nikkei futures have been dropping like a felled ox during their lunch break. It doesn't look all that rosy now.

Thu, 05/23/2013 - 00:27 | 3590815 Raynja
Raynja's picture

but abe was massaging my expectaions on my lunch break.

 

abe is bald with a beard and lies cumming from his lips when he speaks, right?

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 22:49 | 3590533 loonyleft
loonyleft's picture

one chart to rule them all

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 22:55 | 3590562 ghostfaceinvestah
ghostfaceinvestah's picture

No worries, the government will still say GDP grew 7.5% this year.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 22:57 | 3590564 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

I haven't seen anannoyingpuss post for a while. Did he/she/it get the boot for breaking the new HR rule?

Thu, 05/23/2013 - 05:50 | 3591214 Bearwagon
Bearwagon's picture

No, he's still here.

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 23:09 | 3590603 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

How could you fail to see the good news? China's heading toward a Goldilocks economy! Oh wait a minute: who we gonna export inflation to now?

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 23:14 | 3590624 Prairie Dog
Prairie Dog's picture

Chinese economy enters contraction? Chinese ECONOMY? Oh, the financial sophisticates of Zerohedge!

Wed, 05/22/2013 - 23:53 | 3590743 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

After the US consumer was FINISHED then the 1 billion middle class Indians and Chinese were supposed to take on the burden of consumption. Not happening. Death spiral.

Thu, 05/23/2013 - 08:21 | 3591500 Bobbyrib
Bobbyrib's picture

It's a real shame when the multi-nationals' plan totally and completely fails isn't it? /sarcasm.

Thu, 05/23/2013 - 00:06 | 3590765 alentia
alentia's picture

It would be interesting if ZH can investigate how much of Chinese economy went into black market, where transactions now are done in gold, cash and diamonds and true financial statements are being underreported by large number of businesses.

I would be eager to read when the research is completed. May be we will see the true picture of the Chinese economy "Real GDP" + "Shadow GDP".

 

This may even answer the question where did all that physical gold go.

Thu, 05/23/2013 - 00:19 | 3590802 yrbmegr
yrbmegr's picture

Isn't that currency peg wonderful!  Dollar depreciates, inflation in China.  Dollar appreciates, deflation in China.  What a wornderful thing!

Thu, 05/23/2013 - 02:11 | 3591018 q99x2
q99x2's picture

The Chinese tried to tell the British not to fix the pump hundreds of years ago. Now see what they've done.

Ugly.

Thu, 05/23/2013 - 02:39 | 3591054 GoldenDonuts
GoldenDonuts's picture

Haven't they been "stimulating" their economy longer than anyone else?  If they are pegging their currency to the buck then they must be printing at a rate equal to or higher than Uncle Sam.  No? 

 

And the idea that anyone is going to replace the American consumer is faulty.  Chinese and Indians have to save their excess cash for a rainy day because the social safety net is not there.  They don't have the same access to ridiculous amounts of credit.  And they are not stupid enough to believe that debt doesn't matter.

Money and savings are freedom.  Debt and a bunch of crappy possessions that you have to look after drag you down.

Thu, 05/23/2013 - 05:29 | 3591195 awakening
awakening's picture

Not that long ago I said:

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-05-12/eric-sprott-golden-answer-chine...

 "I'll take it China is about to sneeze again, means winter in Australia is going to be very cold."

It certainly has gotten colder these last few days, wetter also though I have no idea how  that applies to finance. =S

edit
Of course that is based on data that has been 'massaged' (manipulated, surely not /sarcasm ) and thus as real as the pair of 'assets' on the figure in the Chinesewomendate ad =P

Thu, 05/23/2013 - 05:35 | 3591202 Bearwagon
Bearwagon's picture

The medium is the massage!  ;-)

Thu, 05/23/2013 - 05:44 | 3591213 NipponMarketBlog
NipponMarketBlog's picture

 

 

Here come the NPLs....

 

http://nipponmarketblog.wordpress.com/

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!