April Income Lower Than Expected, Leads To Weaker Spending; Savings Rate At Unsustainable Lows
In yet another confirmation that the US consumer continues to get slammed, and is respectively slamming the GDP by spending less, today's April personal spending and personal income both missed expectations, printing flat and declining -0.2% from the March numbers, much as expected following the Q1 spending spree, which means that economic growth in Q2 and onward as a function of consumer spending will only "taper" going forward especially with the delayed impacts of the payroll tax negative effect on spending finally starting to trickle down. What's worse, is that since incomes did not improve in April, the savings rate remained flat at a minuscule 2.5%, or just off the lowest its has been since the start of the Second Great Fed-propped Depression.
Real disposable income actually posted a modest increas. The magic of a lower than expected deflator (-0.3%, Exp. -0.2%).
Personal Spending: no rebound here.
And the all important cash buffer - the savings rate. One word: unsustainable.