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Consumers Most Confident Since 2007, Celebrate By Biggest Spending Drop In One Year

Tyler Durden's picture




 

It doesn't get any better than this. For the fifth month in a row, UMich consumer confidence has beaten expectations and its final print at 84.5 for May is the highest in six years. This 'confidence' survey fits with the conference board's exuberance also. We can only assume that it is the one-year high mortgage rates and considerably lower-than-expected income and spending that is driving it? As a gentle reminder, the US consumer was this cock-a-hoop just before the market last topped in Q3 2007 - so we are not sure if it is 'useful' for anyone but a self-aggrandizing anchoring-biased asset-gatherer. Current economic conditions (at Oct 2007 highs) are surging (as are expectations) by their most since Sep 2009. Of course, in perfect 'correlation' with this 'confidence', these consumers decided that May was the first time in a year to cut spending...

 

 

Which makes perfect sense, given that in the last month consumers experienced the largest spending contraction since May 2012.

Charts: Bloomberg, ZH

 

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Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:14 | 3613425 Stoploss
Stoploss's picture

LOL!!

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:20 | 3613455 camaro68ss
camaro68ss's picture

The only spending im doing is on PMs, Guns, and Ammo.

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:24 | 3613467 kliguy38
kliguy38's picture

yeah.....they're fochin' with nature and she's gonna foch back.....not an if but WHEN.....i just like seeing how many bunnies Benny can pull out of his hat.....one day he's gonna be standing smiling with his hat and reach in and pull out the biggest Texas rattler you've ever seen 

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:25 | 3613475 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Benny is standing there with his hat in his hand and he is the only one that can see the steaming pile of shit in it, and he knows he has to put it on his head soon.

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:32 | 3613498 Obchelli
Obchelli's picture

2 back to back headlines on Yahoo Finance page

 

Consumer Sentiment Strongest in Nearly Six Years in May

ReutersGreater optimism over the economic outlook and personal finances in the midst of record stock market prices pushed U.S. consumer sentiment to its highest level in nearly six years in May, a survey released on Friday showed.

You simply can not come up with such a BS

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:44 | 3613544 Everybodys All ...
Everybodys All American's picture

That steamer he's been putting on the heads of savers for over four years now.

Bernanke better have an exit plan. No, not that one. The one where he has a disguise and an overseas account

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:30 | 3613494 BullsNBeers
BullsNBeers's picture

Hookers and blow for me.

Not sure if those expenditures make it into the report though.

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 11:04 | 3613617 VictoryOrDeath
VictoryOrDeath's picture

No doubt!!  And I know you know not to exclude alternative food/water sources from this 'portfolio'...

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:26 | 3613478 Aeternus
Aeternus's picture

Cutting back on spending money they don't have.

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=deuC8GPr31A

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:14 | 3613426 the not so migh...
the not so mighty maximiza's picture

They might drone this article

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:25 | 3613474 greyghost
greyghost's picture

this just tells me that the american people have cut back on spending and are feeling very comfortable with their choice.

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 11:20 | 3613669 eclectic syncretist
eclectic syncretist's picture

Confidence going up while spending and saving are going down??!!!!  WTF??  Are alcohol and drug abuse skyrocketing or something?

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:15 | 3613429 FLUSA.com
FLUSA.com's picture

Lotto jackpots are higher these days so lots to be confident about....

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:15 | 3613430 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

They clearly spent it all on the black market - coke and hookers sort of does make you quite the optimist.

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:15 | 3613432 GolfHatesMe
GolfHatesMe's picture

Get this report to Kevin Henry Stat!  Its almost 10:30

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:15 | 3613433 B2u
B2u's picture

bitchez

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:15 | 3613435 Fukushima Sam
Fukushima Sam's picture

In May people are waiting for school to get out and saving for summer vacation.

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:19 | 3613450 GraveyardSpiral
Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:21 | 3613457 Smuckers
Smuckers's picture

The survey only had one question:

How confident are you, that you are truly screwed?

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:22 | 3613458 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

So we have people in Michigan who are happy as a lark that that the motor city continues it's slide into hell, and we have purchasing orders up in Chicago while the managers are stating that life is shit.....yeah I believe this BS.

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:29 | 3613491 Spastica Rex
Spastica Rex's picture

Pravda, American Style!

(that's me and you)

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:21 | 3613459 Dollar Bill Hiccup
Dollar Bill Hiccup's picture

Mkt smells bullsh-t on Chicago PMI. Good is bad now?

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:28 | 3613479 The Master
The Master's picture

I think the rules changed when Bernanke mentioned tapering in his testimony. Good news like this will now be perceived as bringing us closer to the eventual taper. That, or all the hedgies left early for the Hamptons today. Fuck if I know!

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:28 | 3613468 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Must be all those 20 year, low interst rate car loans doing the trick!

And none of this CONfidence crap matters much at all now anyway when all it takes

is a little margin titghtening and the whole obscenely over levereged scam of a "market"

implodes

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:26 | 3613482 CashCowEquity
CashCowEquity's picture

This is why my Iphone parts and repair business is sucking wind right now.

April was fantastic. May= a nightmare.

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:35 | 3613483 Silverhog
Silverhog's picture

So, besides Bloomfield, were any folks surveyed in Detroit?  

 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_highest-income_places_in_the_United_States

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 13:02 | 3614006 andyupnorth
andyupnorth's picture

+104,920

WOW! Good catch!

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 13:06 | 3614017 andyupnorth
andyupnorth's picture

The following people certainly have a lot of wealth to make them feel confident:

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:27 | 3613485 akarc
akarc's picture

Problem is they are only surveying "consumers". They are not surveying the millions of Americans who statistically no longer exist and can only afford to consume what they can beg, borrow or steal.

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:40 | 3613524 medium giraffe
medium giraffe's picture

Survey Darwinism; the majority that have had their utilities disconnected or have been kicked out of their homes are unable to respond.  The remaining survey takers are just happy to still be around in the midst of a withering shitstorm. It probably skews the figures somewhat.

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:33 | 3613504 candyman
candyman's picture

Government giveaways are at historic highs, it's nothing short of the thief having a successful day burgularizing the US gvt. What's not to be confident about? Winning.

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:33 | 3613505 Sach Mahoney
Sach Mahoney's picture

Does anyone here really believe UMich is surveying anyone? They are making the whole thing up.  UMich is in the tank with O and the den of thieves and are simply now cheerleaders, trying to make us feel happier and convince us that everything is ok.  What a crock.  We really cannot trust any data coming out of Government and Government Agencies anymore.  It's all been cooked to feed the happy machine

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:46 | 3613551 Everybodys All ...
Everybodys All American's picture

No more than I trust the IRS, BLS, or any of other thieves in DC. This is all about saving the Obama presidency.

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:36 | 3613506 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Hey, NSA and DHS we know you monitor these pages, stick it up yours!

We know the government is spewing loads of propaganda.

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:38 | 3613517 screw face
screw face's picture

just wondering .. what role does Artificial Intelligence have with the mainstream media...

Woooh Jah.. more chart porn please....

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:43 | 3613536 omi
omi's picture

Looks pretty seasonal to me.

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 11:18 | 3613663 Edward Fiatski
Edward Fiatski's picture

Because it probably is - still in withdrawal from Xmas & Q1 spending spree. Should pickup in late June. You better hope it does.

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:52 | 3613572 wagthetails
wagthetails's picture

Because it is a Consumer Confidence chart...but it doesn't say what the consumers are confident about....a collapse, confiscation of deposits, war, etc? 

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:55 | 3613583 marcusfenix
marcusfenix's picture

consumers are confident...

confident they won't be buying much with money they don't have and credit they've already burned.

but they are still confident, so it still counts.

see how that works?

all that matters is that they are indeed confident, not what they are confident about.

 

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 10:59 | 3613596 Jason T
Jason T's picture

Just spent $16 on chicken feed for my 6 egg layers

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 11:03 | 3613610 SunRise
SunRise's picture

Makes Sense!  Consumer saves money in tumultous times and increases their Confidence.

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 11:17 | 3613658 Edward Fiatski
Edward Fiatski's picture

They're confident about their 401ks, courtesy of Ben.

Wealth effecto, bingo presto!

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 11:21 | 3613670 q99x2
q99x2's picture

It is psychologically insane to be confident without lying. But a little FRAUD goes a long way.

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 12:14 | 3613856 The Invisible Foot
The Invisible Foot's picture

Put all the blood money in a nice big pile and burn it :).

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 12:23 | 3613884 Cycle
Cycle's picture

If it's a telephone survey, maybe they could report it as: Consumers that can afford a telephone...bla bla.

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 12:25 | 3613892 dirtbagger
dirtbagger's picture

From birth we are told to be an optimist, the glass is half full, not half-empty, la de da.    When my wallet gets thicker from wearing a happy face,  I will also be a kool-aide drinker

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 12:59 | 3613995 andyupnorth
andyupnorth's picture

When I've already bought all the useless crap that I "need", and that I no longer feel the need to buy antyhing else, then I feel confident about my finances and reduce spending.  Seems logical.

Fri, 05/31/2013 - 13:50 | 3614208 Never One Roach
Never One Roach's picture

"Consumers" need to save moar for health insurance, house insuance, house maintenance, property tax increases, and so on...

 

Rate Shock: In California, Obamacare To Increase Individual Health Insurance Premiums By 64-146%

 

http://www.forbes.com/sites/theapothecary/2013/05/30/rate-shock-in-calif...

 

Gonna get Ugly.

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