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Wait! What? Bad Is Not Good?

Tyler Durden's picture




 

While the new normal knee-jerk reaction to the dismal ISM print was the bad-is-good surge in buying, it seems reality is setting in...

 

 

not getting any help from the old-reliable FX carry trade...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Mon, 06/03/2013 - 10:48 | 3620167 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Sayanora.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 10:51 | 3620181 RSloane
RSloane's picture

I was reading Daneric's this morning. Some are calling for a red close in US markets. In a few short hours we'll know for sure, but it made for an interesting read. Pesimissim is seeping in. The unthinkable is being thought - maybe Bernanke was not the savior after all.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 10:57 | 3620195 GoldForCash
GoldForCash's picture

Everyone knew this during the talks with the first QE. It's all a set up to destroy the USD....

Always a Green close on Tuesday

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 10:59 | 3620214 jbvtme
jbvtme's picture

it's haircut time and i'm long boy's regulars.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:57 | 3620379 Oracle of Kypseli
Oracle of Kypseli's picture

Gravity in action

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:06 | 3620227 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Yes, but replace it with what?  A gold backed Yuan?  Fine, I and many other hold yuan too.  It's a fiat-backed debt-slavery world now.  The new masters will not want to change that.  Please, enlighten us.  seems to me that being a holder of physical (since 1994) is still the best position to be in.  In the meantime we all keep front running the idiocracy.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:15 | 3620273 Cobra
Cobra's picture

I'm glad you mentioned that. Where would one have to go in the US to exchange USD to physical Renminbi? I haven't had much luck finding this information on the Internet.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:30 | 3620316 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Travel, but that can be expensive, google and bank accounts

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:37 | 3620347 drexlraw
drexlraw's picture

Travel agency..

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 13:34 | 3620732 earnyermoney
earnyermoney's picture

local international airport with flights to/from China.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:16 | 3620278 Skin666
Skin666's picture

Instead of dancing to their tune, it's easier to just opt out...

Gold

Silver

Bitcoin

Small amount of fiat cash under the matress

 

Fuck 'em

 

 

 

 

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:17 | 3620280 jbvtme
jbvtme's picture

local currencies

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:28 | 3620313 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

Wow, check out the current silver chart.  Epic, vicious fight underway.  Perhaps this is the day that Blythe taps out?

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:02 | 3620233 jbvtme
jbvtme's picture

destroy the usd and the usa

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:20 | 3620285 Agent P
Agent P's picture

If we could just rename every day "Tuesday", we wouldn't even need an economic calendar.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 10:56 | 3620201 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

I have no idea and am usually wrong, but I don't think intel will save us. I also have a feeling that the smart money is long gone, the half smart money is using any chance they can get to become long gone. 

what is the alternative? It's bullish that the fed has failed because now they have to fail on a larger scale? I just can't see it. I am going to go stare at my broccoli and see if it gives me any hints.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:00 | 3620222 MachoMan
MachoMan's picture

This is why folks setting up purely for inflation (demand pull at that) are in for some choppy waters...  The truth is the effect of inflation may be muted at best (and, in reality, will probably feel a lot like severe deflation...  where wage decreases outpace cost of living decreases)...  all while ending up with the death of the currency... 

Cliff's notes: seesaw

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:01 | 3620225 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

The meatball says "more downside to come".

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:01 | 3620226 eclectic syncretist
eclectic syncretist's picture

No worries,...the bot's are completely in control now and will reverse any drop on turnaround Tuesday tomorrow. 

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:08 | 3620249 Gypsyducks
Gypsyducks's picture

I love broccoli.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:33 | 3620331 de3de8
de3de8's picture

Smothered. In cheese.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:13 | 3620269 RSloane
RSloane's picture

Yes, Fonz, they [the Fed] will fail on a larger scale and POMO will increase exponentially. They have to go all in and then some before this market lands into the long-nailed clutches of the bears and the bulls now represented by your half-smart money are clawed to death before our very eyes. Once that happens its game over and the safest investments will be in physical PMs and farm land, which have been the safest bets all along. The broccoli says plant a few more vegetables and get some chicken and goats if you don't have enough land to support cattle or pigs.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:17 | 3620281 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

You certainly paint one hell of a picture.

I don't have a lot of room for farm animals. I am spending all my waking hours trying to figure out how I can harvest solar energy when all the liberals around me start running around going bat shit crazy.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:30 | 3620317 RSloane
RSloane's picture

This will be death by a 1,000 papercuts, Fonz, and its not going to happen today or even sometime this week. I fully expect the Fed to continue to support an overall ramp up until, regardless of what they do, the market begins the search for full price discovery. That will be the final paper cut.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:32 | 3620323 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

i'm watching falling yields spark the dividend trade again. This is going to be death by a thousand cuts.

Excellent analogy.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 12:00 | 3620388 RSloane
RSloane's picture

Fox business' leading article is Lockhart [president of Atlanta Fed] stating that the Fed may soon taper overall asset purchases. There is the "T" word again. They will do so because of recent improvements in the US economy. I could not make this shit up if I tried.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 12:34 | 3620517 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

     Cauliflower is another option Fonz. (must be steamed)     I've been known to gaze at a head or two.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 14:29 | 3620878 Overflow-admin
Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:08 | 3620209 jbvtme
jbvtme's picture

this market is a joke

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:23 | 3620297 Bahamas
Bahamas's picture

and the joke's on us

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:37 | 3620346 Howdan
Howdan's picture

Er excuse me but what is this "market" of which you speak?

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 10:51 | 3620184 illyia
illyia's picture

For now...

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:12 | 3620261 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Looks like BTFD'ers got fucked in the drive-thru!

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:45 | 3620359 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

The whole idiotic market the laat two days is just funds shifting from equities and buying the dip in Treasuries, to increase their stock of Treasuries to sell to the Fed in yet further QE-INFINITY, which just got another extension with today's ISM into INFINITY TO THE SECOND POWER.    There aresome hair-raising algo battles today, and even some micro-second flash crashes--I would be a little worried if I was an equity PM, the 50DMA on the ES is still a good 30 ES points below.  

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 12:22 | 3620471 RSloane
RSloane's picture

I hear ya. Money flow has had a very truncated and finite pathway. All roads lead to and from Rome, all money leads to and from the Fed.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 10:48 | 3620168 the not so migh...
the not so mighty maximiza's picture

POMO powers activate!!!!

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 10:51 | 3620183 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

LOL!  Will be lost on the youth however.  They know of no "justice" league, or justice for that matter.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 10:57 | 3620204 fourchan
fourchan's picture

the new league will be the ones on that train to jeckyll island that night.

 

..and no justice there just us.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:06 | 3620231 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

That's fine.  Jeckyll island is not as defensible as one might think.  So long as the soiciopaths are rounded up, and we know the location, it's all good.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 10:55 | 3620194 madcows
madcows's picture

BennyBux touches his Schwartz Printing Press, and utters the magical incantation:

Form of "Liquidity"...

Form of "Deflationary Fighting Powers"

Form of "Wealth Effect"

Form of "Debt"

Form of "SHTF"

Form of "Time to Retire Before they Lynch Me"

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 10:50 | 3620171 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

   Too much Polonium 210 in that QE.  There's nothing like the smell of red on a Monday morning.

 Can we make it 21 Tuesdays in a row?

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 10:56 | 3620197 madcows
madcows's picture

You betcha!

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 10:56 | 3620202 jmcadg
jmcadg's picture

What better way of making Tuesday green 21/21 than set up a low starting point. BTFD!

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 10:59 | 3620213 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 +1 to both of you. ;-)

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:21 | 3620267 Ham-bone
Ham-bone's picture

S&P 1625 this morning s/b the low...we rise from here on more and more bad news.

However, if we go through 1625...look out below?

Ayyyy - Yen-pocalyse!!!  Yen just hit 99!!!  Recognition Ben ain't gonna taper but instead will be forced to increase QE.  Dollar heading south, PM's should be getting happy.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:23 | 3620299 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

  I have 1615 and 1591 for the key reversal candle. The 1625 level is good to. I just took an older top to work from.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:24 | 3620300 tickhound
tickhound's picture

Remember, if you can "nail the number" you get an autographed douchebag by the CNBS all-star panel and various other complicit fraudsters... Courtesy of Squawk on the Teat.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:26 | 3620303 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

  I just roasted my monitor with tea. LMAO!

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 12:16 | 3620336 Ham-bone
Ham-bone's picture

I'm only long 100 shares Fnma @ $2.50...come-on baby, daddy needs a new pair of shoes!!!  BTW - immediate target if we break to downside is bout S&P 1597...air pocket from 1613 to 1597.

Everything else riding on the obliteration of the dollar in various paper/phyz silver.  Today's end of "taper-gate" is long overdue.  Long live recognition of QE4EVER.  Que STAGFLATION in 3...2...1...

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 12:38 | 3620535 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

  Yes, you're spot on.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 12:51 | 3620582 HeliBen
HeliBen's picture

LMAO!

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 10:49 | 3620174 Hangfire
Hangfire's picture

Wait for the afternoon melt-up, I wouldn't bet against it!  

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 10:50 | 3620176 bnbdnb
bnbdnb's picture

UUDDLRLR - who cares

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 10:51 | 3620178 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Please.  Treasuries must get a strong bid;

http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/bond/10_year

 

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 10:51 | 3620180 Cursive
Cursive's picture

2013:  Reality Strikes Back (With a Vengence)

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 10:54 | 3620192 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Optimist.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:13 | 3620266 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

I'm not a pessimist, I'm an optometrist.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 10:53 | 3620188 kito
kito's picture

Dow is up 50.....settle down now.....

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 10:58 | 3620210 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Intel. 

One stock. desperation.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:06 | 3620245 Its Only Rock N Roll
Its Only Rock N Roll's picture

INTC - the king of cap-ex cutting to get their earnings?  Not likely to be the savior.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:13 | 3620268 kito
kito's picture

Fonz this stock rally has strong legs.........ain't over for a while.....

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:21 | 3620286 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

I think it's already over. It's just a matter of watching those who are still in it figure it out.

You don't get your warm bowl of deflation soup until stocks give it up, and I don't get my massive inflation cheesekae dessert until you are done with your soup.

 

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:22 | 3620292 Bearwagon
Bearwagon's picture

This stock rally has long legs ... and a very short skirt.  ;-)

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:00 | 3620218 laomei
laomei's picture

It'll end up the way non-tuesday normally ends up.  probably inside a +/-10 band.  Some rises and dips along the way, but that's it.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:19 | 3620283 RSloane
RSloane's picture

Today's market snapshot trajectory resembles the flight path of a punctured balloon.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 10:57 | 3620190 Edward Fiatski
Edward Fiatski's picture

Muppet Reflex Buying - MRB, with some help on the side.

Tomorrow's Tuesday, though.*

*Prease refer to MRB.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 10:55 | 3620196 Shizzmoney
Shizzmoney's picture

We'll get to 16 or even 17K by the end of the year.

2014 is when the REAL fun begins.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 10:57 | 3620206 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

NASDAQ100 is falling faster.  More downside before considering a trend change is required.

 

http://bullandbearmash.com/chart/nasdaq100-daily-closes-1-late-sell/

 

Turbo Tuesdays may change this.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 10:57 | 3620208 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

And just like that Abenomics is out the window,and Japan is headed for another 25 years of deflation...with a pit stop at a major war along the way.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:00 | 3620216 I need Another Beer
I need Another Beer's picture

I hope this doesn't slow beer production !!

 

 

 

 

My hands are shaking, I need another beer !!!

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:00 | 3620223 Awakened Sheeple
Awakened Sheeple's picture

Market action today: Disorderly clusterfuck.

Its awesome seeing misallocation of capital rapidly unwind in real time.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:02 | 3620232 B2u
B2u's picture

Time for more QE to help the TBTF banks.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:05 | 3620242 Hongcha
Hongcha's picture

Release the Kraken.

Die SPY, you utmost piece of filth :)

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:07 | 3620246 CrimsonAvenger
CrimsonAvenger's picture

Wait, stocks dowwn and metals up? Hold on, I think I came in through the wrong door. Let me go out and try again.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:09 | 3620251 eclectic syncretist
eclectic syncretist's picture

The market appears to be reflecting anxiety over what the Fed will do next to address the weakening economy. 

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:12 | 3620264 Downtoolong
Downtoolong's picture

Damn trading algos can’t tell a bad headline that is better than the worst we expected form a good headline that is worse than the best we expected. What are we paying for this dumbass smart technology again?

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:13 | 3620270 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Heh heh heh take that all you BTFD'ers!

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 12:00 | 3620377 EclecticParrot
EclecticParrot's picture

Yeah, nice to see them holding a bag of crap for once, but we all JUST KNEW, DIDN'T WE (pardon my shouting), that Mr. Algo would have to try for the 20-period moving average on the 5-min chart after hitting the 2nd pivot down from the open, and SURE ENOUGH, here we are ('buy-the-new-low' bastards).  Lucky for me, I'm so used to this shit, as you all no doubt are by now, that I got out of my Russell short at 11:15, preserving my gain.   Yes, it's probably "bad trading" in an ideal world, but how often have we seen these little temporary stop-hunting flickers during strong moves post 10:10 evolve into complete reversals, rather than just lick the moving average before trend resumption?  

Question for those more experiened daytraders than myself (only 1.5 years):  after the Fed truly starts the tapering, do you think these evil, nonsensical reversals that completely go against the daily indicators on big-candle, low volume bursts will dissipate, or is this such a money maker Mr. Algo won't retire it easily?  I'll attempt my own answer, if you don't mind:  if we get eventually bigger volume from retail and public fund allocations away from stocks, it will overwhelm their bullshit, which has largely worked due to the lack of true selling pressure.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 15:52 | 3621148 EclecticParrot
EclecticParrot's picture

Ah . . . guess I was correct in closing out my short early.   Mother fucking son-of-a-bitch ...  All the signs were there for a long position before 2:00, but I just couldn't do it.  He who invests on principle is doomed to failure in these horseshit markets, instead one needs to jump in head first, then enlist help from the HAZMAT team afterwards ...

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:15 | 3620274 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Just another manic Monday..

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oFPZzmfu6j4

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 11:33 | 3620332 RazvanM
RazvanM's picture

Bernanke, I know you are reading this: FUCK YOU!

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 12:07 | 3620400 slimething
slimething's picture
The Worst May Be Over, but Watch the S&P Close

http://www.cnbc.com/id/100784400

 

Whew, I was worried there for a minute, back to BTFD.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 12:09 | 3620412 Tombstone
Tombstone's picture

The only reality likely to be setting in is the setting sun on Benny's QE monstosity.  Since it is still high noon, there is plentry of fodder to stoke the market fires, at least for another few years.  Buy before the buyers return in droves.  With Japan about to go totally ballistic with QE, Benny will have no choice but to keep pace in order to close the gates of Amerika to exported deflation from Abe.

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 12:14 | 3620437 sbenard
sbenard's picture

You mean the BubbbleFed ISN'T god?

Mon, 06/03/2013 - 12:44 | 3620558 slimething
slimething's picture

It will be up by day's end. Count on it.

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