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May PPI Jumps Due To Rise In Gasoline, Electricity, Eggs And Imitation Cheese Production Prices

Tyler Durden's picture




 

So much for continued disinflation: moments ago the PPI headline number came out at the highest level since February, or 0.5%, well above the expected 0.1% and up significantly from the -0.7% in April. The core PPI ex-food (which rose 0.6%) and energy (increasing 1.3% in May, the highest since February) rose a far more manageable 0.1% in May, and just 1.7% Y/Y, below the statutory accepted 2% annual growth on both the producer and consumer side: a break down of just which finished products led to this increase (gasoline, eggs and imitation cheese as it turns out) is provided below. Luckily, since nobody in the US either eats or uses energy (because they are such a "small component" of the hedonically-adjusted purse), nobody will mind when companies have no option but to pass through rising input costs to consumers.

A quick snapshot at the input part of the production pathway: crude goods.

Crude energy:  The index for crude energy materials moved up 5.0 percent in May. From  February to May, prices for crude energy materials decreased 0.4 percent compared with a 7.4-percent rise from November to February. In May, nearly sixty percent of the monthly broad-based advance is attributable to the crude petroleum index, which rose 5.5 percent. Increases of  6.9 percent for natural gas prices and 1.0 percent for the coal index also contributed to the  higher crude energy prices. 

 

Crude foods:  The index for crude foodstuffs and feedstuffs increased 2.1 percent in May. For the 3 months ended in May, crude foods prices rose 1.3 percent after falling 2.0 percent in the  previous 3-month period. Accounting for half of the monthly advance in May, grain prices  jumped 5.7 percent. An increase in the index for soybeans also was a factor in higher crude foods prices. 

 

Crude core:  The index for crude nonfood materials less energy fell 2.3 percent in May. From February to May, crude core prices dropped 4.1 percent compared with a 0.5-percent decline for the 3 months ended in February. Over sixty percent of the monthly decrease in May is attributable to the index for carbon steel scrap, which fell 6.3 percent.

And the headline-driving finished goods:

In May, over sixty percent of the broad-based rise in finished goods prices is attributable to the index for finished energy goods, which advanced 1.3 percent. Also contributing to the increase  in finished goods prices, the index for finished consumer foods rose 0.6 percent and  prices for  finished goods less foods and energy moved up 0.1 percent.

Finished energy:  The index for finished energy goods moved up 1.3 percent in May following two consecutive declines. A 1.5-percent rise in the index for gasoline accounted for forty percent of the May increase. Higher prices for residential natural gas and residential electric power also were factors in the advance in the finished energy goods index.

 

Finished foods:  The index for finished consumer foods climbed 0.6 percent in May after falling 0.8 percent in the prior month. Accounting for over sixty percent of the increase, prices for eggs for fresh use surged 41.6 percent. A rise in the index for natural, processed, and  imitation cheese also contributed to the advance in the finished consumer foods index.

 

Finished core:  In May, prices for finished goods less foods and energy moved up 0.1 percent,  the seventh consecutive increase. Nearly two-thirds of the May advance can be traced to prices  for light motor trucks, which rose 0.4 percent.

In other words, the Fed's monetary transmission mechanism made it to gas, eggs and imitation cheese. All other products, not so much.

 

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Fri, 06/14/2013 - 08:50 | 3657696 King_of_simpletons
King_of_simpletons's picture

What matters is the price of bull shit aka manure ? That is going down. Voila - you have deflation.

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 08:56 | 3657713 zorba THE GREEK
zorba THE GREEK's picture

As a man who eats 5-egg, cheese omelets daily and drives around the country in a Suburban,

I am very concerned about the price increase in these commodities.

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:03 | 3657733 joak
joak's picture

Man what about your cholesterol ???

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:10 | 3657756 pods
pods's picture

Does the imitation cheese-like product fall under food or energy?

pods

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:31 | 3657819 doggings
doggings's picture

:) ..depends. leave it outside, if it decomposes, its food.  ..if its that plastic shit that leaves McDonalds burgers immaculate after 3 weeks in the garden, then energy is probably a better categorization.

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:39 | 3657848 Hard1
Hard1's picture

Who took my cheese substitute?   Oh by the way greetings to all you NSA algos and employees who are scanning this post (I am quite sure ZH gets "special" treatment on these matters.

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 11:16 | 3658123 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

MOAR CHEDDAR!

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:35 | 3657830 NotApplicable
Fri, 06/14/2013 - 11:23 | 3658140 Tijuana Donkey Show
Tijuana Donkey Show's picture

great site! Eat the eggs, skip there flour. Gluten and sugar are the enemy.

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 08:54 | 3657697 JP McManus
JP McManus's picture

Transitory!

Edit: I just realized that I love big brother.  I'm going out to buy an iPhone with the more GBs today.  I'm going to vote along the correct party lines for bigger, more powerful government, and enjoy my days as a debt slave while I wait for the coming Marxist utopia.

I <3 u NSA! XOXO

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 08:52 | 3657706 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Inflation is already in the US and quickly increasing.

In the mean time Bernanke, Evans, Dudley and Yellen are pushing inflation even higher.

 

 

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 08:55 | 3657709 docj
docj's picture

i can haz moar qe pleez?

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:01 | 3657710 El Oregonian
El Oregonian's picture

Excuse me, I've got gas from the eggs and I just cut the cheese... (fifteen year old humor).

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:01 | 3657711 knukles
knukles's picture

Smegma Cheese, the new oddly flavored artificial sandwich spread, made form 100% natural ingredients.
Shake well before using.

"Holy crap, what is this shit?  It tastes like a sweaty jockstrap!"

Available anywhere good Soylent Green is sold.

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:06 | 3657739 i-dog
i-dog's picture

Soylent Cream?

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:10 | 3657746 krispkritter
krispkritter's picture

Fumunda cheese.  Really best here in FL with the heat and humidity...

And I think the Unicorn is still $13 can so what's the fuss? 

http://www.thinkgeek.com/product/e5a7/?srp=2

 Excellent source of sparkles!

 

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 08:56 | 3657712 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

In case anyone is exhausted by the constant barrage of news on here and wants to take a break and read the matrix news, here's some. Enjoy.

http://www.nypost.com/p/news/national/tampa_thought_found_raping_guilty_Amq6PQQUYsVanNAEFp2WXK?utm_campaign=OutbrainA&utm_source=OutbrainArticlepages&obref=obinsource

"Because my husband puts me first, he's taking me to the Waffle House," Flores said...

http://www.nypost.com/p/news/international/having_sets_and_video_camera_year_BYX3ukhiAiTYc9Y45U025O?utm_campaign=OutbrainA&utm_source=OutbrainArticlepages&obref=obinsite

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:02 | 3657728 knukles
knukles's picture

Would you like cheese with that waffle?

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:30 | 3657815 Non Passaran
Non Passaran's picture

Lol that is some funny shit.
A 16-yo Patrick Swazey as He-Ghost!

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 08:58 | 3657717 madcows
madcows's picture

Funny, but my actual inflation tracking shows Y/Y is @16.6%.... of course, I don't buy electronics or furniture or new cars, etc....

My numbers are based on "real" inflation items, like food, heating oil, gas, clothing, household goods and utilities... stuff we buy every month.

On a side note, I love the "2% inflation target is good for economic growth" meme.  What a bunch of BS!  If you don't get a raise that keeps up with inflation, 2% is an equivalent pay cut. You fucktards don't understand that falling wages and rising inflation is an economic handicap.  Holy shit... you are the dumbest people in the room, and you're running the CENTRAL FUCKING BANK!

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:15 | 3657771 pods
pods's picture

They are not dumb, not be a longshot.
They are making sure the biggest debt issuer gets the 2% inflation skim.  

Because they are married to them.

The FED gets to run the racket as long as the government can skim 2% of everyone holding dollars.

Symbiotic relationship between parasites.

pods 

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 08:59 | 3657719 Smuckers
Smuckers's picture

Sad day when the price for a thin slice of edible plastic starts to rise.

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:00 | 3657720 Cacete de Ouro
Cacete de Ouro's picture

Long hens

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:00 | 3657721 More_sellers_th...
More_sellers_than_buyers's picture

Well now they have gone and screwed the pooch.  Canned cheese going up in price? Now we will see the ire of the American populace for sure!

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:08 | 3657748 knukles
knukles's picture

But it's designer artificial cheese made form all natural organic products!
In blind taste tests, Smegma brand prepared cheese was favored over spoilt Arab falaffel flavored socks by a resounding majority of people you'd never want to be amongst in dark rooms with sharp objects.

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:00 | 3657722 RSloane
RSloane's picture

This is so tragic. Middle income and working poor families are barely stretching their income as it is. I can't imagine having to choose between eggs or milk, bread or meat, or saving the car for exclusive use to drive to work and back and forego any family outtings. Third world nation status creeping ever closer to a city near you.

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:01 | 3657723 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

'Artificial cheese'...is that the QE? 

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:16 | 3657775 pods
pods's picture

Nice.

:)

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:01 | 3657725 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

Fed is so scared of deflation they will push right into hyperinflation.

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:02 | 3657729 TahoeBilly2012
TahoeBilly2012's picture

You simply must hear this, zerohedge theme song! "5 pound blocks of cheese..."

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OBQLGq8L2cY

 

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:06 | 3657732 JustObserving
JustObserving's picture

Imitation cheese prices rises?  Can we have imitation of an imitation cheese?  I am sure Kraft can do that easily.  Velveeta sells well in Cleveland.  Imitation Velveeta may sell even better. No one has ever lost money underestimating the taste of the American people.

Kraft likes to call it a "fun, family-friendly"  food.

 

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:04 | 3657736 LeisureSmith
LeisureSmith's picture

Imitation cheese and grape drink. You know, fine dining. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NuTjQLfU6Gk

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:06 | 3657742 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Don't you just love how people who eat $500 lunches talk about the price of simple things like eggs, butter, and milk...'for the peasants, you know', it's a put-down.

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:06 | 3657744 newdoobie
newdoobie's picture

CPI Using: Todays computation 2%

Using 1990 computation 4.5%

Using 1980 computation 9%

Bad news... change the rules!

All is good, Nothing to see, Move along

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:08 | 3657750 Tsar Pointless
Tsar Pointless's picture

Curiosity is the only thing prompting me to ask this question.

How do you know, or how can I find out, the way CPI was determined back in 1980 and 1990?

TIA.

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:10 | 3657757 newdoobie
newdoobie's picture

Easiest way - www.shadowstats.com

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:50 | 3657875 Nue
Nue's picture

I guess Economist back in the 1980's were not as smart as the ones we have today.

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 13:59 | 3658842 Freewheelin Franklin
Freewheelin Franklin's picture

I was curious as to whether falling wages could be attributed to inflation. Any precedence for that?

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:07 | 3657745 sablya
sablya's picture

The Fed apparently wants an excuse to slow down QE without crashing the market.

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:07 | 3657747 Unknown Poster
Unknown Poster's picture

Will the G8 be eating cheese food in a Potemkin Village while they hunt for leprechaun gold?

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:12 | 3657764 Nue
Nue's picture

They'd be dancing at the end of a rope sporting Angel lust in their pants if there was any justice in the world.

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:19 | 3657783 Unknown Poster
Unknown Poster's picture

... under a rainbow

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:10 | 3657758 Nue
Nue's picture

Inflation problem? Well I'm sure if we just print more money we'll be fine.

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:11 | 3657760 newdoobie
newdoobie's picture

Wheres my cheese whiz boy!

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:15 | 3657772 Oldwood
Oldwood's picture

Inflation is simply a cost of business and like taxes is simply passed on to the consumer. They could care less how much it is and the more the better as they always get their markup. You will also note that while prices may go up to reflect infaltionary costs they are very slow to come back down, regardless of inflation or taxation. As we have seen with fuel, rising prices are blamed on outside factors, but effectively soften the market, so when those factors diminish high prices linger. Upward racheting. Inflation inflating the bottom line, all at a cost to the consumer.

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:20 | 3657787 yrbmegr
yrbmegr's picture

Let us taper.

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:21 | 3657791 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

Higher prices. Bring higher tax revenues.

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:24 | 3657797 Non Passaran
Non Passaran's picture

Curious spike in silver price few min ago, could it be related?

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 09:36 | 3657837 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

MOAR CHEEZE PLEEZE!!!!

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 10:22 | 3657971 Gigantor
Gigantor's picture

These will leak into CPI readings, it's that simple....well, unless the govt. "tweaks" the way inflation is reported, again.

 

The new CPI headline:

Inflation tame, prices moderate, market ralies.

 

Fine print will read:

The govt. reported today that consumer inflation was tame and steady when stripping out food, utilities, gasoline, healthcare, education and anything else that you need to live.

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 11:40 | 3658187 moonman
moonman's picture

The slight increase in food prices last month can partly be blamed on sharp demand for eggs for the Mother’s Day and Memorial Day holidays, which drove prices up more than 40%.

From the LA Times.

 

 

Easter Eggs I have heard of.

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 13:00 | 3658590 Creepy Lurker
Creepy Lurker's picture

Well of course! I and my family always celebrate Memorial Day by re-enacting the great battles of history in the backyard using eggs as missiles. We go through a few gross every year. Why, how do you celebrate?

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 11:23 | 3668201 moonman
moonman's picture

Saw dust burgers and Piels tall necks.

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 13:39 | 3658748 Monedas
Monedas's picture

Detroit welfare "Niggers" don't deserve our best extra sharp, export quality "White Cheddar" .... they don't like it anyway .... it's not part of the low tech African blood, milk and urine wrapped in cow dung African tradition .... they prefer "White" bread and imitation "Yellow" cheese !       Monedas     1929      Comedy Jihad Rainbow Coalition Green Cheese World Tour 

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 16:15 | 3658782 Monedas
Monedas's picture

It takes pretty smart and skilled craftsmen to make large hole Swiss cheese .... or many of the other fine cheeses of the European tradition !  In Africa .... cheese was an accident of nomadic starvation !  There is no tradition to remember .... if they forget the "recipe" .... when they get hungry enough .... they will re-invent the casual concoction !            Monedas     1929      Comedy Jihad Humour Outreach World Tour     

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 13:56 | 3658831 Freewheelin Franklin
Freewheelin Franklin's picture

 

 

Louis Cyphre: You know, some religions think that the egg is the symbol of the soul, did you know that?

Harry Angel: No, I didn't know that.

Louis Cyphre: Would you like an egg?

Harry Angel: No thank you, I got a thing about chickens.

[Louis takes a bit out of an egg with a dangerous look on his face]

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 13:59 | 3658841 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

Food and energy are not part of the CPI. They go up and down too much.

Fri, 06/14/2013 - 14:02 | 3658853 Freewheelin Franklin
Freewheelin Franklin's picture

So does a hooker's head. I guess that's why the cost of  blowjobs aren't figured into CPI.

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