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Which Of These 4 Markets Would You Invest In?
We have removed the levels to protect the innocent but which of these equity markets would you be adding to today?
(Hint - one of these markets' sovereign risk has just been downgraded to B; one has inflation expectations of +30% for the next 12 months; one plans to double its monetary base in two years; and one is based on an entirely manufactured recovery in a key US industry thanks only to cheap money)
and if Stocks aren't your thing - then how about choosing one of these 4 bond markets?
(Hint - one is expected to take another serious haircut on its debt within the next year; one is the bonds of a nation expecting to massivley increase its inflation in the next two years; one is the most liquid safe-haven bond market in the world; and one is a nation that wonders aimlessly absent real government amid depression-like economics and unemployment)
All seems very normal eh?
Charts: Bloomberg
ANSWERS
Market 1 - Venezuela - Caracas Stock Index
Market 2 - Argentina's MERVAL Index
Market 3 - Japan's Nikkei 225 Index
Market 4 - US Homebuilders
Bond 1 - Greece (10Y GGBs)
Bond 2 - USA (10Y Treasury)
Bond 3 - Italy (10Y BTP)
Bond 4 - Japan (10Y JGB)
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none?
I can't pass the test because there's no TelePrompter, cheat sheets or answers handy.
After all, I didn't write that quiz by myself.
I know this. I studied it in my Ivy League University classes (Princeton Tigers YEAH!). "Buy HIGH, Sell LOW". It's never been a better time to buy since they are all high, especially that first chart. I got a 3.98 GPA and I graduated with Honours and two degrees, one in Economics and one in How To Win A Nobel Prize.
The Great OZ speaks on Wed??? Just in time to start the Dip and then the July Ramp before the August Crash.
Hey, man. That's not a fair test. When you used the word "markets" I thought you were talking about Albertsons, Vons, Ralph's and Smith's. And isn't all that Wall Street stuff a casino?
.....The June Swoon, followed by the July/August low volume, HTF zombie market...more buffoonery/lies/can kicking, then...
BACK from summer holiday (the squids of the banksta-gangsta woild).....and ka.....BAM...
we get another Lehmann-like ass-fucking, sans lube....
Don't worry....the NSA will get you the answer.
Fixed that for you
Good point. The Greek Bonds look pretty good; they're going up, eh? don't things continue to go up, when they've been going up lately? Sure. I think I'll buy some of those.
Everyone knows that Greek government bonds never go down.
Silly Alphamentalist,
ALL of course
Doh!
.....ummmm Bloomporn........moar please
Fuck the dip.....(except PM's of course)
The only way to win is not to play - Joshua... http://tinyurl.com/mem7o7x
Must....Ramp....POMO....Mojo..........moar.......
None.
Ever.
Lets see judging by your charts this is about the same as taking all my life savings and dumping it on a game of roulette with only one spin allowed, and since I know I can't win all my money back, never mind make a profit I choose to do the only thing a sane player can do.
DIVIDE MY LIFE SAVINGS IN TO FOUR SEGMENTS AND PUSH ALL IN ON EACH!!!
Did I win? obviously not but I has some fiats left :)
I'm partial to the put all my eggs in one basket school for pikers.... so I'm adding to market1 baby!! Where'z my prize?
Venezuela, Greece , Japan, and the U.S and the answer is...I wouldn't invest in any of the ponzi schemes. I will buy silver and gold though.
How about sitting on the sideline in cash? Is that "D - None of the Above?"
http://goldsilverbitcoin.com
Mainly PMs and cash
I would not invest in any of these markets. I would trade them though.
There are no investors. Essentially the question boils down to; what trade do you want to put on. Your answer will get a no credit.
Is Market 1 Bitcoin? If so, I'll take two Windlevii worth please.
Market #1, "Pepper spray & gas masks"
Market 1 - Guns and ammo!
Is this some kind of TA quiz? Totally didn't study.
War! When despicable diablo Cheney is awoken and wheeled out, war is not far behind....War! Stocks Up
Bonds propped up as a perennial backdrop..
Not too long before Dick Cheney visits Hell!
Short them all (with other people's money) !!!
Play the line and take your cut of other peoples money. The best way to rob a bank is to own one.
Yeah...but even if you 'win' you lose holding onto a currency losing purchasing power while holding it on the down side.
Plus the usual risk with shorting stocks. (the guy that owns them sells them under you or worse, infinite upward momentum from the printing press.)
Invest in gardening equipment, seeds and get cracking.
Excellent! You win the Teddy Bear!
We need a sister market not tied to Wall Street or the SEC or Congress. Something new, something different something trustworthy....................just needs some imagination. Something quazi private out of the reach of current manipulators and regulators.
Kijiji - Buy, sell, trade.
Only market worth doing business on with no transaction fees.
When Ben speaks, the world listens.
Where was this test in November 2012...seems a better time to buy some of these.....but that was when Obama was re elected....I could not buy anything...I was sick...
I sympathsize with you completely; actually I'm not feeling too good today, either. Saxo Bank is running a video of two of their senior trading advisers talking to each other face to face; one says gold is going down to $1100 by the end of the year; the other one says it's going up to $1600. And that was the best they could do! I don't know either.
When you say "invest" does being long PUTs count?
market 1 = zero interest loans to banks
Please stop calling them "markets".
adding for how long, in microseconds?
nano. Micro is a long time now.
The famious comedian Will Rodgers investment advice: TO make a profit in the stock market you buy low and sell high, and if a stock does not go up then do not buy it.
Market 5...The BernankeBushido Index...buy like Kamikaze!
To be honest. #2. It looks like it's the most stable. Would wait for the turn around though.
Mind you I am just answering the question without looking deeper than the charts, in reality I would likely invest in none of them.
I'll take "I'm Fucked No Matter What" for $1000 Alex.
Dammit, you were quicker on the draw with that snark! Great minds DO think alike, though...
E4
What happened in May? Lots of those peaked in early-mid May and then sold off.
Yes. That's the important part of the four charts. the US 30Yr. Bond Contract on the CME is down 10,000$ a contract since then. What happened was the "Great Bull Market in Bonds"; is over. Like John Clease's parrot; that kind of over. not just taking a nap.
I'm investing in Polymer80 80% complete AR lowers and the one one shot polymer completion jigs. But first I have a doctor's appointment to see about the disszy spells, loss of balance, nausea, gas, and a desire to spend money on crap first. What's Herbalife doing now?
unless and until you include the "size and liquidity" part these graphs have no meaning whatsoever. you might as well declare "gold and oil the same"...all other things left unsaid. Japan hasn't done anything in over two decades now. I don't here calls for deregulation coming from that quarter. Here's how the USA dealt with a "Japan style scenario": http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Big_Bang_(financial_markets) in other words once the financial services field was completely deregulated...so too did the M&A markets suddenly arise and LBO's and Private equity. Simply put "you can't do that in Japan"...or in the bulk of East Asia actually. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chaebol https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Keiretsu
in other words "if i want to break up Sony into it's constituent parts...good luck." On the other hand if financial pressure is exerted on say..GE...to start "spinning everything" it will be hard for such a pressure to be ignored...not the least reason being a raging bull market now back to record highs "with GE off 60 percent" during that same time frame. hmmm. wow. "where'd ya learn that in business school" comes to mind. gives new meaning to the term "six sigma" that's fer sure. anywho "the don't call them cookie cutters for nothing." now let's talk MUNICIPAL finance...shall we. that really IS a challenge.
I would be flat like a "bow legged' cockroach, going into Wednesday morning New York.
Oh Hell, I thought one of them was Gold.