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Hard- And Soft-Currency Markets Gone Wild

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The FX and precious metals markets are swinging wildly around this morning (amid no news) as US equities remain anchored to hope (and VWAP) ahead of the FOMC tomorrow. Copper is also sliding quickly but WTI is back above $98 as the USD gets back to unchanged on the week. Treasury yields spiked early but have reverted to unchanged now. Credit markets have done nothing but widen (worsen) from the open this morning - also ignoring equity's stability - but hedgers are active as VIX remains higher on the day.

 

 

Credit hedgers are out en masse...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:12 | 3667789 Fips_OnTheSpot
Fips_OnTheSpot's picture

one small smack after another.. every time one of FOMC sees the bathroom, some 100 contracts are shorted :-}

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:15 | 3667814 mattdubz86
mattdubz86's picture

looks like the bullion banks got the memo from the fed to lease more gold out because it's going lower

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 12:28 | 3668521 Silveramada
Silveramada's picture

PM's premiums down...unless metals are going down as well... Ben is the key tomorrow pm

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:12 | 3667791 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

Get out there and buy or sell something, Dimon needs the $.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:12 | 3667793 kito
kito's picture

look at stocks continue to climb the wall of worry.......tapering, war, interest rates, blah blah blah.................dang that bernank is good..............................dow 16,000 by years end.....................

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:28 | 3667890 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

So long as the bread can be maintained.  The debt-slaves cannot be sustained on circuses alone...

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 12:06 | 3668378 CPL
CPL's picture

Been to walmart lately?

 

...only grocery store I know of that doesn't have groceries to sell.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:13 | 3667796 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

It is mandatory that gold be knocked down $100 and silver $2-$3 in the two days prior to our chairsatan gracing us with his baldness.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:20 | 3667840 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

"fear the beard." only this President thinks this guy should go. Petraeus is gone too so I guess "too much competency can be a good thing" in this world. As the Japanese say "nail that stands out gets hammered down." somehow that's become the American way now. Go figure.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:32 | 3667926 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

The solution is simple then...we need to ban fed meetings.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 13:12 | 3668707 Silveramada
Silveramada's picture

what if the white -shoe-byz gang is preparing for a short squeeze in PM's?

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:50 | 3668031 gatorengineer
gatorengineer's picture

DUST to 120......

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 11:48 | 3668293 Boondocker
Boondocker's picture

Time to stack some more.    And get a better boat

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 12:08 | 3668390 CPL
CPL's picture

If you find real silver without a tungsten core at 22 bucks let us know.  Two dealers in the last three days all of the silver shipped was phony and therefore no COD and promptly shipped back via FedEx.

Caveate Emptor.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 12:25 | 3668502 Boondocker
Boondocker's picture

I go local....and hard to fake junk silver if it comes to it.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:13 | 3667797 MythicalFish
MythicalFish's picture

"Swinging wildly" to an HFT bot perhaps, to me this is not even noise.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:13 | 3667800 unwashedmass
unwashedmass's picture

oh please. JPM is outa gold. they had little to no silver to begin with. the interesting thing is how greedy, insatiably greedy they are. they have manipulated the market to the max....closed 90% of their galactic-sized short, gutted the ETFs for the bullion, and now........they want the last drop.......to close the last 10% at the rock bottom. 

 

let's be honest for godsakes. they are destroying the future of the country ....let's at least be honest here at the end as they sell the last of our gold and silver to china. 

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:14 | 3667806 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

WHAT TIME? When does the Federal notice to Robot Traders come out today?

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:29 | 3667902 Kreditanstalt
Kreditanstalt's picture

The same guys who predicted "gold to $1400" are now predicting "gold to $1000" and when it gets there they will call for "gold to $800" and when it gets there, "gold to $600" and so on down to zero.  It's "automatic bearishness".

If one of them actually ever "predicted" "gold to $1000, followed by a substantial rise" or something...I'd die of shock.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:37 | 3667958 Al Huxley
Al Huxley's picture

Yes, they and the rest of the bullion banks, selling off the GLD holdings to take advantage of the spread between Comex and Shanghai - fucking traitors that they all are.  Oh well, I'm sure this bond party will last forever - after all, everybody needs good collateral, right? And what could be better collateral than Treasuries right?  Soo,,, we actually need MORE of them, SO WE NEED A BIGGER DEFICIT - it's for the good of the world after all.  Fuck, I can't believe people can walk down that path and convince themselves that the argument is sound.  Of course, I'm talking about a bunch of fucking criminals so I'm sure they don't believe it, just dump it on the fucking dumbed-down, uninterested public for their daily dose of fucking brainwashing.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:14 | 3667803 Platinum_Investor
Platinum_Investor's picture

Why would anyone invest in such an easily manipulated market where fundamentals don't matter at all.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:16 | 3667816 THX 1178
THX 1178's picture

greed and ignorance

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:37 | 3667959 smlbizman
smlbizman's picture

its not invest...its gambling against a stacked deck...

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:15 | 3667810 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Darn that deflation monster is scary....good timing for the fed meeting.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:32 | 3667930 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

I agree. "the transition is already in place" post Chairsatan. interesting story on a coal mine being transferred to an Indian Nation in New Mexico. I imagine the same thing happening to say...a silver or gold mine...is rather remote. Lots of questions that need answering...soon to be answered actually. Does it really cost ten thousand bucks less to buy an American car in China?! Agriculture is going to have another banner year...yet prices are rolling over big time there as well. Education? All going on line now. And I see Siemens is bringIng back the "chip installed in people" monitoring device. At least no one is hiding it anymore. Hmmm. Good thing that network is secure.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:18 | 3667828 Lordflin
Lordflin's picture

I would like to write something clever here... but after the 1000th time of watching this happen I have run out of clever things to write...

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:20 | 3667841 Cdad
Cdad's picture

All transitory...in microsecond terms.  Sound and fury.

The real news was yesterday...when once again the "market" revealed itself to be a complete joke.  Thank you, Ben Bernanke, for perverting the largest and most important markets on Earth.  That is your legacy, sir.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:20 | 3667843 FieldingMellish
FieldingMellish's picture

Comex needs to die.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:49 | 3668028 Al Huxley
Al Huxley's picture

The bullion banks just need to finish off closing their short positions, and selling off all the GLD holdings to Asia.  Then it won't have any purpose anymore and they'll shut it down.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:21 | 3667847 Kreditanstalt
Kreditanstalt's picture

FOMC...who gives a flying f--k???

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:24 | 3667862 holgerdanske
holgerdanske's picture

With all the fraud going around, I have very little doubt that the FED is buying shares, if not directly, then at least indirectly via the banks.
This can go on indefinitely while the printing press is running. There is nothing to stop this, except a loss of confidence and a rejection of paper money.

Don't be surprised, this will go on, until it collapses with no warning.

In the mean take advantage of the depressed prices of gold. That is the ultimate prize.
We all know that, but some will deny it.
This is an opportunity for the banksters to rake physical gold into their coffers to hide the holes created by leasing and lending and general fraud.

If not, then why no audit?

They really must think we are complete idiots.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:37 | 3667960 lasvegaspersona
lasvegaspersona's picture

I doubt that the bankers can get physical any easier than any other party. If you want a few coins you can get them. If you have a need for tons of gold then go to the back of the line. I suspect the BIS is sorting out 'the right people' now as we begin the great gold market collapse of 2013.

Soon we will see if this paper gold market can survive. With no physical the answer will be 'hell no it can't survive'.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:53 | 3668054 Al Huxley
Al Huxley's picture

I was going to agree with you, that there needs to be at least a few oz in the vault, otherwise even the moronic and complicit financial media might catch on to the whole paper gold issue, but as I was typing it, I realized that this goes against everything I've ever seen from them.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:23 | 3667863 e m m
e m m's picture

Just saw the HOD for EUR/USD on the Bloomberg site has been kindly adjusted from 1,3399 to 1,3401 after a page refresh. (Was already after the pullback of course, the chart already showed the hockeystick.) Probably just the usual fraud with some options.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:23 | 3667865 LawsofPhysics
Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:32 | 3667891 Hongcha
Hongcha's picture

Here & now is the next leg down for gold and silver.  Silver to $18.  SPY to new highs this month.

Is it any wonder Jim Sinclair has COVERED HIMSELF WITH DOGS for the duration ?!

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:47 | 3668017 Diet Coke and F...
Diet Coke and Floozies's picture

That is my guess too. Silver to $18.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:30 | 3667912 mattdubz86
mattdubz86's picture

the gold bull ended on april 12th, Goldman Sachs is making a killing for its clients being short gold, and ZH never comments on that, just the losing trades GS makes.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:35 | 3667951 gjp
gjp's picture

That appears to be historically accurate ... any good reason for it when stocks and bonds continue to float on the ever-rising money wave?

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:31 | 3667917 ThunderingTurd
ThunderingTurd's picture

Metals and bonds are telling us something entirely different than the "Wealth Effect Meter".  Looks like the faucet might get stopped up a little tomorrow.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:41 | 3667986 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

The stated policy goal is inflation. as prices fall do not be long debt. The value of gold might not be soaring vis a vis the US dollar...but there are many other assets that are deflating a lot more quickly than gold...let alone silver which was supposed to be heading to fifty bucks...but now is trying desperately to hold above 20.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 11:40 | 3668276 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

Exter ,and JP Morgan had it right.

This is defation pure and simple and everything else,which is merely credit,will come into line.

If the biggest POMO day of the year could only raise the market 3/4% something serious is

going on behind the curtain.

I will be buying at 1350 and 18.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:51 | 3667980 cloudybrain
cloudybrain's picture

 many peoples hate gold and sell it.. good

that shiny ancient thing has no value because we live in a different time, in the past gold is precious and the price keep climbing but now it just an ancient reminder of how barbarous we were before

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:44 | 3667995 Lord Peter Pipsqueak
Lord Peter Pipsqueak's picture

I think they are ramping the f**k out of it,becuase when Benny starts testifying in his usual under pressure bleating, quivering voice,he will scare the shit out of the "believers" no matter what he says.So the higher they get it today,the less the drop will scare the BTFD zombies.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:46 | 3668009 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

I would say I am sick of this. But I really don't give a fuck any more. Let it Go to Zero. Lets see what happens. When you no longer fear death (or all your gold price going to zero) you are truly Free.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:54 | 3668055 holgerdanske
holgerdanske's picture

I agree. This is a bit stupid. There really should be a law against dealing in gold, unless you physically possess it.
But even if there were, it would only apply to the suckers.

I buy my gold, and I appreciate every lower price, because it is not how you start, that determines you journey, but indeed how you finish. What is in between, ultimately, is of little lasting concern.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:52 | 3668047 Hongcha
Hongcha's picture

Lord Pip I think they sell the news too.  But looking for a spike 1st.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:56 | 3668073 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

While the spot price of gold is a lovely thing to see, I have yet to find a dealer that will sell near spot with 10% premium.  There needs to be a chart of "real physical price".

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 12:29 | 3668529 Boondocker
Boondocker's picture

5% an 3% respectively at my favorite local spot

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:57 | 3668081 bill1102inf
bill1102inf's picture

There are hordes of Chinese and Indians 100,000's of them scrambling to sell their precious before it has no value.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 11:07 | 3668132 GoldenDonuts
GoldenDonuts's picture

You are kidding .... Right?  There are 100,00 thousands of them lining up but they are buying the true wealth that the comex is giving away.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 11:32 | 3668246 SmallerGovNow2
SmallerGovNow2's picture

Comex only gives away paper...

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 10:58 | 3668089 Confundido
Confundido's picture

Tomorrow, at $1,200/oz...

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 11:00 | 3668095 monopoly
monopoly's picture

10% premium. Wow, that is high. 

I think they take us down until the idiots foam at the mouth and make their statement tomorrow. Then stocks will reverse and so will we. Just a hunch.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 11:01 | 3668101 GoldenDonuts
GoldenDonuts's picture

Who exactly are these morons who want a currency printed in 17(?) countries, all of whom are broke and worse than broke?   By this time next year there shouldn't be a Euro.  Hell by this time last year everyone in the southern Euro countries proved that they don't even have half a brain but at some point even the horribly brainwashed European will have to wake up to their starvation.

And these same idiots are selling gold apparently.   The world really peopled by two groups.  Psychopaths (leaders of governments, big business, and banks) and idiot sheep blind to their own doom.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 11:14 | 3668154 cloudybrain
cloudybrain's picture

dont have money and hold many goldbars which you buy at high price ?

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 11:15 | 3668166 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

"By this time next year there shouldn't be a Euro" - mmmh... I vaguely remember that I heard this before...

care to explain why? 'cause the southern europeans think they'd be better off with their own currencies? in this environment full of wannabees Soroses powered by unlimited leverage by megabanks? in markets where everybody and his grandmother believes in going long in something and short in something else... and does not know what to short? (or shorts the EUR and then complains on ZH's commentary space)

btw, you need to have gold, before you can "be an idiot and sell it", on the physical plane. care to explain why southern europeans have so much gold to begin with (way more than Brits or Americans) that they are selling some? (they are nearly as much "hoarders" as Turks)

wake me up when Greeks aren't anymore some 60%-70% in favour of keep using the EUR. as far as I know, even British bookies don't take any bets on an EUR demise anymore

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 11:53 | 3668318 GoldenDonuts
GoldenDonuts's picture

Seems to be working a whole lot better for iceland.  They were able to say no  to the bankers, rid themselves of the idiots and criminals.  Now tell me about Greece.  At some point you and all your pals are going to push the sheep over a line.  Then there will be a bull market in pitch forks and guillotines.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 11:02 | 3668105 monopoly
monopoly's picture

Nope, 1,321 and no lower at the close. Could drop to 1290 or so during the day, if you have any cash left get ready. Or would you rather own Tesla? lol

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 11:10 | 3668139 Chief Falling Knife
Chief Falling Knife's picture

Copper taking another hit the last couple days.

I'm currently looking at comparisons between copper and the last 4 intermediate declines in the stock market.  And copper topped and rolled over within 3 weeks of each stock market top. 

July 7, 2011:  S&P 500 topped at 1356  -- Copper topped about 2 weeks later

Oct 27, 2011:  S&P 500 topped at 1292 -- Copper topped less than a week prior

Apr 2, 2012:  S&P 500 topped at 1422 -- Copper topped(and was flat) the last week of Feb to mid-March(roughly 3 weeks prior to S&P top)

Sep 14, 2012:  S&P 500 topped at 1474 -- Copper topped a week earlier

--

So where are we now?

Copper topped the last week of January 2013 and is now down roughly 17%(at almost a 2 year low)

While the S&P 500 is now UP almost 10% since the last week of January(now almost 5 MONTHS after copper topped)

Nah... no disconnect going on.   I'm sure it's all fine, and everything will turn out well.  /sarc off

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 11:29 | 3668233 SmallerGovNow2
SmallerGovNow2's picture

Great analysis.  Difference today being $85 billion / month in excess liquidity...

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 11:48 | 3668299 Chief Falling Knife
Chief Falling Knife's picture

You of course are correct.  However, if the Fed prints forever, do stocks go up forever with no 10%+ declines?

Even Weimar had a couple 10+% declines here and there in 1921-23(sprinkled amongst the multiple 100+ fold moves).

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 11:10 | 3668141 NipponMarketBlog
NipponMarketBlog's picture

 

 

Gold about to break down here....? Looks pretty hairy here from a technical point of view.

 

http://nipponmarketblog.wordpress.com/

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 11:28 | 3668225 SmallerGovNow2
SmallerGovNow2's picture

Bring it, let 'em take 'er under 1,000 an ounce.  Last chance to buy at that price before kaboom.  Physical demand will be off the fucking charts...

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 11:15 | 3668165 Hongcha
Hongcha's picture

Nippon, I think they do take out those stops ... because they can and here we are.

Utmost cruelty for paper traders.  Jim 'Three Dog Night' Sinclair is fielding 100's of angry e-mails and his CIGAs are selling & buying NFLX and FB.

Tue, 06/18/2013 - 11:49 | 3668301 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

Yes, but the markets are up 1%.

 

In the last 11 trading hours, there have been 3 down hours on the Dow and the Dow has moved up 250 points - in 11 hours.

 

 

And it's a slow/low POMO day - go figure.

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