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All Aboard The Fractal Applecoaster

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Nanex thinks this is blatant manipulation. We don't: we think the following rollercoastering, fractalized charts (shown both zoomed out and zoomed in) of intraday trading in AAPL stock merely confirm what happens when the only trading is that done by momentum ignition algos desperate to force stop cascades in a world devoid of actual volume, when the smallest trading burst leads to a complete collapse of the bid/ask stack. Although who knows: it may well be both...

From Nanex:

Trades color coded by exchange and NBBO. Note the wild price swings in less than 1 minute of time.

NBBO (red shading is when bid > ask, yellow when bid = ask) Note the wild, wide oscillations. And yes, the bid shouldn't be above the ask, but who cares anymore.

Best bids and asks. Up and down and up and down and up and down and up and down and..

Showing just the NBBO. Yes, it's changing that much.

Best bids and asks - participation from many exchanges.

All bids and asks. Prices. Everywhere. Everywhere but stable.

Zooming into 5 seconds of time. Prices oscillating 50 cents. Many times per second.

Another 5 second close-up.

and another.

and another one.

and another one down.

and another.

This is zoomed out.

This is really zoomed out.

Oh yeah... "markets" LOL

 

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Wed, 07/10/2013 - 12:43 | 3737853 francis_sawyer
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"You realize, Dr. Angelo, that my intelligence has surpassed yours.."

~~~

"It's not new. I realized that nothing we've been doing is new. We haven't been tapping into new areas of the brain - we've just been awakening the most ancient. This technology is simply a route to powers that conjurers and alchemists used centuries ago. The human race lost that knowledge and now I'm reclaiming it through virtual reality."

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:07 | 3737979 AlaricBalth
AlaricBalth's picture

“Fast and stupid is still stupid. It just gets you to stupid a lot quicker than humans could on their own. Which, I admit, is an accomplishment," she added, "because we're pretty damn good at stupid.” 
Jack CampbellInvincible

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:19 | 3738049 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Apple has fundamental problems as well, like not making any money.

I was looking at a physics book yesterday, nothing special, 10 year old nature of the universe stuff.  What caught my attention is that there were 14 different ways to buy this obsolete, not well written book:  audio, e-book, used, new, paperback, yada, yada.  Bezos' megalomania of being all things to all people is starting to bite him in the ass.  Tracking all that shit costs money, which is why Amazon's margins are unicornish.

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:24 | 3738087 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

e*trade baby is confounded by these "markets."

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 15:37 | 3738673 Skateboarder
Skateboarder's picture

Is there still time to get in?

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 17:13 | 3739045 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Abbey Joseph Cohen's magic 8 ball says "definitely."

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:20 | 3738066 ghengis86
ghengis86's picture

And yes, the bid shouldn't be above the ask, but who cares anymore.

Best line!

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:27 | 3738102 resurger
resurger's picture

g86, the sheeple will still buy and sell even if the share stub quote.

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:50 | 3738205 crazyjsmith
crazyjsmith's picture

The Bid is higher than the ask frequently in Real Estate
At least in the "Hot Markets" of SoCal, Vegas, and Florida. Cough,Cough
Everything is great though, Cough, Cough.

Maybe that is because the gatekeepers of RE are failed business owners and the unemployed/unemployable...AKA Realtors.

And the buyers are Boomers who think they are RE tycoons.

"But who cares anymore!"

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:17 | 3738047 resurger
resurger's picture

 

i wanna fuck Simon before i die....

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 12:42 | 3737856 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

When are they going to start throwing some of these HFT programs and computers in jail?

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:19 | 3738057 SimMaker
SimMaker's picture

The MCP had the right idea.......actuarial program indeed.

 

Put them on the grid.

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 16:12 | 3738818 Nobody For President
Nobody For President's picture

When DoChen?

Nevah!

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 16:18 | 3738837 GeezerGeek
GeezerGeek's picture

The programs probably have code from the NSA embedded in them, rendering them immune to prosecution.

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 12:44 | 3737864 Jumbotron
Jumbotron's picture

Although who knows: it may well be both...

And that is the Quantum Mechanical truth.....it IS both at the same time.  It's the observer that determines one or the other at any given point in time.

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:05 | 3737977 Soph
Soph's picture

I'm dubious it is both. It is most certainly market manipulation. Very little HFT activity, when you boil it right down, is not a blatant violation of trading rules. If the activity itself starts from a point of lawlessness, it is difficult to subsequently gain legitimacy and lawfulness.

But they game the game well, and on Wall Street, that's ultimately all that matters.

 

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:08 | 3737997 Jumbotron
Jumbotron's picture

If the activity itself starts from a point of lawlessness, it is difficult to subsequently gain legitimacy and lawfulness.

Give Soph a gold star on the forehead.  That's truthy, sir.

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 12:45 | 3737867 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

1 guy in Reseda bought 1 Apple share and caused all this!

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 12:47 | 3737878 francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

I thought that dude was from Van Nuys...

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:40 | 3738157 unununium
unununium's picture

We may have found Robot Trader.

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 14:16 | 3738320 francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

hook and line... fer sure fer sure...

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 14:17 | 3738323 francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

<oops, double post, like OMG>... hook and line... fer sure fer sure...ER-ER...

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 12:46 | 3737869 Cdad
Cdad's picture

What a great "market."  I am sure that average Americans all over this broad land are ready to plunk it down...on the US equity pachinko machine.

As always, thank you Ben Bernanke...for this utter wasteland you have made for us...by bailing out bankrupt and criminal Wall Street banks.  This is your legacy, sir.

 

 

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 12:49 | 3737883 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Gee thanks Uncle Bearded Clam! You've completely ruined any trust in any market for generations! Now you coward get ready to speak 'AH' of course! Can't risk speaking during trading hours OH NO can't have that!

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:03 | 3737963 Herd Redirectio...
Herd Redirection Committee's picture

Well, when capitalism and public opinion are blamed for a major crisis, it would be kind of us to remind people our current system doesn't really resemble capitalism. 

What did Adam Smith say about central banks?  (If you were about to google this, I'll save you the trouble, FUCK ALL)

In the future we will just have to trust the experts to make all the decisions.

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:06 | 3737986 Doubleguns
Doubleguns's picture

Cdad it can not be a pachinko machine. Pachinko machines have balls. 

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:10 | 3738009 Cdad
Cdad's picture

Good point.  Perhaps...it is a roulette wheel?  A one baller.

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 22:47 | 3740194 Doubleguns
Doubleguns's picture

That fits. 

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 12:47 | 3737871 Colonel Klink
Colonel Klink's picture

It's all bullish bullshit.

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 12:47 | 3737875 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

in the "new normal", aka transition from capitalism to communism, this is normal.

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 12:51 | 3737897 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

'Capitalism is the best path to socialism'- Karl Marx

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 15:02 | 3738512 MachoMan
MachoMan's picture

and vice versa...  and around and around we go...  forgetting that we're terrible at maintaining things.

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 12:52 | 3737900 sgorem
sgorem's picture

CAPITALISM + COMMUNISM = CAPITULISM

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 12:48 | 3737881 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

everything will be fine until someone starts selling for real

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 12:49 | 3737885 mvsjcl
mvsjcl's picture

Too bad that isn't the market's EKG. We'd be seeing The Big One damn quick.

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 12:53 | 3737909 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

The Zombie market is a small shadow of its former Zombie self. Nobody wants to play, what a suprise.

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 12:50 | 3737892 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

SKYNET is angry

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 12:51 | 3737895 Pairadimes
Pairadimes's picture

Tachycardia. Often precedes a major health event.

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:13 | 3738024 Skin666
Skin666's picture

Transrectal cardiectomy

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 12:53 | 3737907 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

x" + 0.01x' + 17x = -10 + 0.04 sin 4t

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:28 | 3738105 francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

then divide by zero...

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 12:57 | 3737921 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture
Apple conspired to fix e-book prices, judge rules

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-23259935#sa-ns_mchannel=rss&ns_source...

 

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 12:59 | 3737933 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

thirty lashes with a wet noodle

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:01 | 3737930 WTFUD
WTFUD's picture

Take away hft & parasitic stop loss algos and it all goes to zero.

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:04 | 3737972 GrinandBearit
GrinandBearit's picture

AAPL died when Jobs did... no more innovation there at all.

I would love to see the same NANEX data on PCLN... $900 a share? -LOL!

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:20 | 3738064 resurger
resurger's picture

thats a cheqp lol

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 14:06 | 3738257 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Jobs innovate?!? Jobs just used Xerox, LG, and Kan Kramer ideas and claimed them as his own. 

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:06 | 3737985 Racer
Racer's picture

HFT submitting and cancelling is ILLEGAL, how come they aren't prosecuted..

oh yeah TBTF, let them keep manipulating

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:12 | 3738022 Pike Bishop
Pike Bishop's picture

Looks like a bad digital case of ADHD with Bi-polar complications.

Another exciting advance in the New Normal.

Who needs enemas, with friendly algos like this.

 

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:13 | 3738027 youngman
youngman's picture

Its just a game now for the New York Boys....can´t make money the old way....so now you have to cheat to be the king...what business ethics...none...just cash please..and now..right now...I think IPO´s are going to come back...just like the late 90's....the HFT´s can bid them up so everyone buys into them again...the New York boys can make money at that game...fees and free stock options upftont...then sell into the hype stage....then sell em short to crash them after they are all out there floating around...just like 2000....

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:19 | 3738056 Bam_Man
Bam_Man's picture

It's too soon for that.

The suckers haven't forgotten about all the money they lost on Facebook, Groupon and Zynga yet.

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:20 | 3738061 MiniCooper
MiniCooper's picture

Surely a $425 stock moving $1.20 (i.e about 0.25%) in about a minute is not at all unusual is it?

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 18:39 | 3739307 Herd Redirectio...
Herd Redirection Committee's picture

Sure, if all we look at is the start point and finish point.

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:24 | 3738078 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Barker:  "$30 for this bushel of delicious apples, only $30!"

Customer #1:  "I'll give you $32!"

Customer #2:  "I'll give you $34!"

Barker:  ""$33 for this bushel of delicious apples, only $33!"

Customers #3 and #4 who acutally wanted to eat the apples walk away in disgust.

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:31 | 3738120 bugs_
bugs_'s picture

We could open a half-way house for wayward HFT algos - no broadband - dialup only - its part of the treatment.

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:34 | 3738130 walküre
walküre's picture

Not too long ago a share of AAPL was worth over $700. Harry Wanger bought the top and Kevin has been on vacation since. Robottrader cashed in after cheering the market and has finally left his Mom's basement to move in with his tranny friend. Its all by the book.

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:38 | 3738140 chinaboy
chinaboy's picture

bid > ask! and they call it a market!

Kind of like a 'business rule' or an out of business rule.

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:39 | 3738146 BurningBetty
BurningBetty's picture

Man, if we get lucky we may get hit by some of those flares from the sun. And all those algoes can take a deserved vacation for the time being.

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 18:20 | 3739256 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

Not if they switch to full optical VLSI.

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:46 | 3738190 The Invisible Foot
The Invisible Foot's picture

A traders job consist of one thing, stick a vacuum up the the exchange and press power.

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 13:46 | 3738191 LFMayor
LFMayor's picture

I'm no broker, but I know if I do this with the clutch and throttle on my motorcycle it won't last very long.  At all.  When does this thing finally toss a rod?

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 14:14 | 3738311 bluskyes
bluskyes's picture

The markets are playing musical chairs... without the chairs.

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 15:05 | 3738523 ToNYC
ToNYC's picture

Space War: Auto-Opportunity Destruction.

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 15:06 | 3738529 caShOnlY
caShOnlY's picture

Nanex thinks this is blatant manipulation

anytime the market goes down it's manipulation.   That's why they BTFD!!  Markets can never go down again!! WEALTH EFFECT!! (if only on paper for most and huge paychecks for the minority).

Once the market goes into it's final death throes only for the DOW to smooch the higher portion of 5k for 30 years will most realize how bad they got fucked by listening to the "suits" in the 1980's selling the 401(k)s and the like to them.  To bad it will come right when they need it most as an even BROKER gubmint will be cutting SS and Medicare.  

Good luck to you BOOMERS!! and PARTY ON!!  (hey selling your home for half of what you paid is just like saying a half a loaf is better than no loaf).  And if your lucky one of your third world USSA grandkids can put their LOAF on BREAD for you to eat for the legacy you left them - nothing.

 

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 15:48 | 3738724 Skateboarder
Skateboarder's picture

Jersey Shore will be our ever continuing legacy. Hoorah!

Wed, 07/10/2013 - 15:55 | 3738759 kevinearick
kevinearick's picture

if laughter isn't the best medicine, these guys are in a lot of trouble...

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