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European Peripheral Bonds Plunge Most In A Year As Portugal Risk Flares
Following a handsome bounce driven by Draghi, Carney, and various Fed officials promising moar, peripheral European bonds and stocks are having a bad day (and week). Greece, Portugal, Spain, and Italy are all ending the week lower (after solid performance mid-week) with Germany's DAX seeing the benefits of a rotation from high-beta momo with a 5.1% rise on the week (the best week in 20 months!). Safe-haven flows dominated in bonds; Bunds rallied slightly more than Treasuries on the week but once again Peripheral nations collapsed. Spanish bond spreads jumped the most in a year. Italy was notably weak, but Portugal has seen spreads jump 28% in the last 2 weeks (the worst in over 3 years!). EURUSD had its best week in 5 weeks - and despite the peripheral collapse, Europe's VIX had its best (drop) week in 4 months ending at 19%.
A huge divergence in Europe this week... (seems evident that Spain, Portugal, and Italy are being traded as one entity...)
but bonds were the big news... (in percentage terms, Portugal's move was the owrst in 37 months)
Meanwhile, in Greece, the stock-market has dropped 7 of the 8 weeks and is dramatically underperforming the supposed reality that the bond market represents...
Charts: Bloomberg
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Chill dudes, it's summer time.
Oh wait, that's when the sh-t seems to always hit the fan in Europa ...
WHEW! Well thankfully we have a wizard here to fix everything no matter what, and nothing actually maters nor can put a dent in all-time record market highs....was worried there for a second until I remembered they got everything fixed and worry has been abolished.
The actual risk is not "flaring".....it is that someone finally noticed it and took action on it. That risk has been there for well over a year or two.
I think the red back arrow in the Spain Bond Spreads kinda "drilled through the mountain" to get to the other side. I also like the Greek Stocks vs. Greek Stocks chart.
Still, message received. Another flare-up of that damned European herpes.
Markets are "crashing" on this - dow down whooping 0.06%.
I think this kind of move does qualify for crash in this new bewnanka economy
That's ok, they're just 'consolidating' down there at -.06% for the afternoon drive 1% higher.
France downgraded by Peterssen to Junk Bond
SELL FRENCH STOCKS
SELL FRENCH BONDS
SELL FRENCH REAL ESTATE
-SOCGEN biggest Fraud ever to come, then Credit Agricole
break up of the EU is i think imminent. "two speed Europe" is an understatement. i agree "all eyes on France."
Press Briefing by Gerry Rice, Director, IMF Communications Department
Heads up..
Edit: Jerry, what if Egypt sells the new US military fleet of aircraft on the black market? Would that pull Egypt out of its financial woes?
Tyler, in that last chart you wrote Greek Stock twice.