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Existing Home Sales Fall By Most In 2013, Biggest Miss In 12 Months

Tyler Durden's picture





 

Existing home sales dropped 1.2% month-over-month - the biggest drop in 2013 - against expectations for a 1.5% rise. Critically though, this is for a period that reflects closings with mortgage rates from the April/May period - before the spike in rates really accelerated. Inventory rose once again to 5.2 months of supply (vs 5.0 in May) and you know the realtors are starting to get concerned when even the ever-optimistic chief economist of the NAR is forced to admit that 'stunningly' "higher mortgage rates will bite." With mortage applications having collapsed since May, we can only imagine the state of home sales (especially as we see all-cash buyers falling) for July.

 

 

 

NAR chief economist, said there is enough momentum in the market, even with higher interest rates.  “Affordability conditions remain favorable in most of the country, and we’re still dealing with a large pent-up demand,” he said.  “However, higher mortgage interest rates will bite into high-cost regions of California, Hawaii and the New York City metro area market.”

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Regionally, existing-home sales in the Northeast declined 1.6 percent to an annual rate of 630,000 in June but are 16.7 percent above June 2012.  The median price in the Northeast was $270,400, which is 6.8 percent above a year ago.

Existing-home sales in the Midwest were unchanged in June at a pace of 1.21 million, and are 17.5 percent higher than a year ago.  The median price in the Midwest was $170,100, up 8.9 percent from June 2012.

In the South, existing-home sales slipped 1.5 percent to an annual level of 2.03 million in June but are 16.0 percent above June 2012.  The median price in the South was $186,300, which is 13.7 percent above a year ago.

Existing-home sales in the West declined 1.6 percent to a pace of 1.21 million in June but are 11.0 percent above a year ago.  With ongoing supply constraints, the median price in the West was $282,000, a jump of 19.9 percent from June 2012.

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 


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