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The Incredible Shrinking World (Relative To China)

Tyler Durden's picture




 

In the midst of a debacle such as the the one under way in Washington currently and the finger-wagging from various foreign entities (that Jack Lew himself warned Congress would be more than happy to replace the USD as world reserve currency), we thought the following simple chart useful for some context as to the rest of the world's "growth."

 

 

Via Goldman Sachs

 

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Thu, 10/10/2013 - 14:47 | 4042321 TheTmfreak
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Right, so I should just accept China's GDP figures then?

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 14:53 | 4042353 DaveyJones
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is this like oil reserve numbers?

now who lies the most?

i need a drink

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:05 | 4042383 Manthong
Manthong's picture

Expand the data set a bit ..

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jbkSRLYSojo

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:07 | 4042392 James_Cole
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Forgot about that video, very good!

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:14 | 4042409 SWRichmond
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China signs second-biggest swap line with ECB

The yuan is now the world's eighth most-traded currency

http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/10/10/us-ecb-china-swap-idUSBRE9990A...

 

So why can't I buy some?

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:20 | 4042428 Handful of Dust
Handful of Dust's picture
China wonders: Why do we own so much US debt?

 

 

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/china-wonders-why-own-much-171915388.html

 

"No need worry, Mr Li, we not pay back. Rotsa Ruck!"

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:52 | 4042569 The Alarmist
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So, is China growing relative to the rest of the world, or did the rest of the world shrink? 

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 16:42 | 4042724 Stuck on Zero
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China surpassed the U.S. GDP years ago.  In every measure of economic power they outrank us.  Industrial production is now about 5x that of the U.S.  Real estate development 10x. Middle class 5x.  It is the U.S. that has the colossal fictitious GDP.  Check the CIA World Factbook pages:  https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/ch.html. 

 

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 18:40 | 4042987 The Alarmist
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诈欺

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 22:02 | 4043692 ultraticum
ultraticum's picture

Zhende shi zhade!

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:47 | 4042550 Shigure
Shigure's picture

I don't know why you can't buy some, I bought 2,800 yuan in Marks & Spencers last week - they had it in the safe, didn't need to order it.

Fri, 10/11/2013 - 08:50 | 4044435 SWRichmond
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Last time I tried to get some at a bank they said "huh"?  It's been a little while, though.

 

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 18:05 | 4042949 U4 eee aaa
U4 eee aaa's picture

Maybe assume all lie equally (or soon will within the next decade)

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 14:55 | 4042359 Enslavethechild...
EnslavethechildrenforBen's picture

Have ANY of the Governments EVER told the truth, even once?

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:07 | 4042391 Overfed
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Only when it has suited their narrative.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:54 | 4042570 TheFourthStooge-ing
TheFourthStooge-ing's picture

Textbook example of blobbing up, a well known facet of the eternal nature of Chinese citizenism.

But hey, classical by now...

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:20 | 4042431 NOTaREALmerican
NOTaREALmerican's picture

Re:  told the truth

Truth (no lieing) is what you tell the children to do.

Adults "lie", it's called duplicity.   You can separate the adults (who run everything) from the children (and the semi-austistics) by how well they comprehend duplicity.

Duplicity, ask for it by name!

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:22 | 4042443 remain calm
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The US went from being Johnny Holmes to being John Bobbitt. Ouch!

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 19:23 | 4043212 The Alarmist
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That's John Wayne Bobbit to you ... and he claims having his tallywhacker cut off did wonders for his love life; not sure what to make of that vis a vis the state of the nation.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:24 | 4042455 TheTmfreak
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Therefore, I can't compare one lie to another's lie. There are at least many indicators in the US about some sort of "activity" regardless of what the government says. China not so much.

I think China has Out "USed" the US. Bigger credit beyond belief. But in their case it looks like they're snatching up real assets in many cases... so the joke certainly isn't on them.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 17:11 | 4042810 Totentänzerlied
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Real assets which they don't physically control...

What is that phrase Laws of Physics keeps repeating over and over and over?

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 14:56 | 4042362 the tower
the tower's picture

As much as you'd accept US GDP figures.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:27 | 4042469 TheTmfreak
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While I don't support the gerry ringing, and out right lying of the US GDP figures, at least we know what they're using to come up with their numbers. China not so much.

I explained to my wife the other night about hedonic adjustments and the total bullshit of them. She asked me if 27 inch monitors have finally come down in price (from the one i bought 4 years ago). We go to NewEgg and they're still the same price. Why? Because they came out with "new ones" to replace the old ones (that could be sold cheaper). The US government calls that a GDP boost. Bullshit.

 

But don't worry, the US will get theirs with these new GDP figures that include "stated promises to put money in pension funds". Thats the biggest knee slapper of all time.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 14:59 | 4042368 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

Or the USA's for that matter.

30 years of understating the deflator ,compounded.

Prolly closer to $8T US GDP in reality.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:36 | 4042507 ElvisDog
ElvisDog's picture

GDP is a crappy way to evaluate economic growth, because "good" GDP (like building a new factory to meet a demand) counts the same as "bad" GDP (building a Chinese "ghost" city). And, government borrowing counts as GDP no matter how that money is spent.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 14:48 | 4042322 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Whoah!  Shrinkage!

I knew it was my pants getting smaller, not me getting fatter.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 14:59 | 4042367 NoDebt
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Last time I checked, US GDP was a fair bit more than double what China's is (assuming official government-published number are all true).  Does our dot look twice as big as China's to you?  Maybe it's one of those optical illusion things.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 14:50 | 4042339 savagegoose
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US GDP  WITH DEBT OBLIGATIONS ----------->  .

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 14:57 | 4042340 Grande Tetons
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Asians....known for their lack of intelligence...are also buying Gold like it is going out of style. 

 What a bunch of retards. sarc.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 14:50 | 4042341 Sandmann
Sandmann's picture

Bill Clinton must be a Chinese Hero for his actions post-Tienanmen. The way he gave the US domestic market to China must have made those Bilderbergers on Wall Street ecstatic

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 14:51 | 4042345 DaveyJones
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it looks less like the "world" and more like a solar system.

who is uranus?

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 14:54 | 4042356 HUGE_Gamma
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This can only mean 1 thing.. Gold to $2,000/oz!

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 21:16 | 4043556 Vuke
Vuke's picture

WRONG! $3500 at the least. 12K to $15K is required to back debts but they'll find a way to spin a lower number.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 14:59 | 4042373 Ness.
Ness.'s picture

OT - has anyone checked in on Charles Biderman, from Sausalito California?  I'd suggest looking around the Golden Gate Bridge.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:03 | 4042375 falak pema
falak pema's picture

depressing for those who felt the world was theirs. How do we go from king of the world to prime fiat junkie in 20 years? 

Last time it happened it was in 1796 to 1815 in a country called France and that country went from " we are kings of the world" to "can you spare me a dime" pronto fast.

Soviet Russia was never king of the world but Putin has made it now oligarchy Gazprom land; thanks to globalism in NWO hubris, king of commodities. What a turn around where two junkies rule the planet like in 1988...Tovarich Camarade! 

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:17 | 4042418 NOTaREALmerican
NOTaREALmerican's picture

Re:  How do we go from king of the world to prime fiat junkie in 20 years? 

Sure would have been nice if - over the last 60+ years - we actually had a tax and spend party instead of two borrow and spends Teams.

Oh well,  everybody loves the crony-socialist scam their buddies were getting rich off of.    Too bad the citizens didn't demand tax increases to pay for that spending they were getting (I jest, I jest).

Git yer socialist hands off my Medicare, I'm ENTITLED to 4 hip replacement surgeries!!

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:07 | 4042395 TrustWho
TrustWho's picture

China owes WalMart bigtime!

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 16:21 | 4042662 Unpopular Truth
Unpopular Truth's picture

China also owe to our stupid minimum wage that prohibits us from competing with them, even though we have labor willing to work for under minimum wage. (if you think there is nobody willing to work for less than minimum wage then why have the law?)

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:11 | 4042404 Mercury
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Given China's huge head start as a civilization, they probably should have taken over the world by now if that is in fact within the bounds of their capabilities, ambition or destiny.

 

 

Fri, 10/11/2013 - 04:59 | 4044140 old naughty
old naughty's picture

i don't agree with the logic...

given native Indian's (or Mayan's) huge headstart as a civilization, either of these should have taken over the world by now...

capabilities, yes; ambition, not so much; destiny, ah...

Fri, 10/11/2013 - 08:34 | 4044395 Mercury
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You're proving my point - they never really leveraged their headstart or ever developed beyond a certain point.

 

I'm not so sure the Mayan's were ever that much more advanced than the classical/pre-classical Mediterranean civilizations anyway - at least not for very long. And the N. American natives/Indians never made it out of the stone age.

 

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:26 | 4042462 Elliptico
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Fucking Nixon!!!

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:26 | 4042464 0b1knob
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That chart is one of the most confusing graphic representations I have ever seen.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:44 | 4042536 Manipulism
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what do you expect from Goldman Sucks?

 

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:46 | 4042543 Winston of Oceania
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Look at bricks in 95, they had a large portion of gdp without china, now they have less than china itself. The rest of the graph uses the same logic, US gdp is almost the same as china today when it was twice the size in 95.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:55 | 4042577 Manipulism
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bricks?

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:41 | 4042524 Kirk2NCC1701
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This explains the global game of Risk that the GS squid is playing.  GS is HEDGING their allegiance:

Some allegiance to the US, some to China.  Make money off both, and screw the poor, working trolls.

Allow the US politicians to keep spending (on behalf of their constituency) to get re-elected, keep funding the MISC (Military-Industrial-Surveillance Complex), keep up the MV (Money Supply x Velocity of Money) to maintain the fiat-Dollar's Reserve status, money printing and wealth transfer.

Hammer any threats to the Dollar, including Gold.  Allow the Chinese to buy bullion on the cheap, thus ingratiating oneself with them and getting the Insider track with the GS center in Shanghai.  This center will profit from China's continued growth.  China is hedging its bets by holding both US Debt (USTs and FRNs on FX), as well as gold (to back own currency).  This way, they can't lose, no matter what happens.

Like any good parasite, GS is all too happy to infest and feast on any juicy host.  Especially those who are US and Chinese size.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:48 | 4042546 Manipulism
Manipulism's picture

GS is without nationality or loyalty.

They worship mammon, nothing else.

Bankers without borders.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 16:38 | 4042713 W74
W74's picture

Mammon?  Perhaps, but I thought they primarily worshiped Moloch and the many-horned Chirun. 

What else did you think those alters were for if not to sacrifice Palestinian children upon?

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:42 | 4042526 Racer
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And inflation and unaccounted debt accounts for how much of that?

Black holes spring to mind.................

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 16:28 | 4042679 W74
W74's picture

They probably aren't holding the bag containing $700,000,000,000,000 (seven hundred trillion) in derivatives, or at least not a ridiculous portion of it.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 16:36 | 4042712 orez65
orez65's picture

Why in the world would any sane person give a shit about China's GDP?!

Why are we so concerned about being "EXCEPTIONAL"?!

What we need to do is:

1. Stop spending more than we produce.

2. Get the hell out of the Middle East. If they don't want to sell us their oil then they can stuff it up their asses and starve.

3. If China doesn't want to sell us all the shit they produce, fine then we'll make it ourselves.

4. Cut the Federal Government's budget by 90%

Fri, 10/11/2013 - 06:54 | 4044193 Fred123
Fred123's picture

Don't worry about China, once their downturn starts they will start chewing on each other trying to get the last yuan.

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