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A Look At The Fed's Nest In 2014: Here Are Next Year's Voting Hawks And Doves

Tyler Durden's picture




 

With Janet Yellen now confirmed as Bernanke Mark 2, it is time to recall that in addition to a new Chairman, four of the Fed's voting members will also rotate. And while below is the latest preview of the voting FOMC members (previously 2011 and 2012) ranked by Reuters in terms of their dovishness and hawiskness, the reality is that the peripheral Fed presidents (here we focus on the Hawks obviously) are nothing but figureheads whose only function is to be roundly ignored if and when they dissent with the new Chairman.

Which is why we will simply conclude with what we said roughly a year ago, which so far has turned out to be spot on: "the voting FOMC members are merely the supporting cast of the top three: Ben, Janet and Daniel, and at the end of the day, it is always about Bernanke. So while the FOMC may get one more borderline hawk, it is getting two more far more vocal doves, which likely means that at the end of the day, there will be zero change in the Fed's posture in 2013, which at the end of the day is always about one simple thing: i) injecting reserves into dealers so they can use the cash to fund prop trading, and ii) to monetize the US deficit. It also means that the 2013 run-rate of TSY and MBS monetization of $1 trillion will last not only through the end of the year, but almost certainly past year end 2014. Everything else is smoke and mirrors." Like the now annual debt ceiling farce.

Source: Reuters

 

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Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:50 | 4042555 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Bullshit, there are no FED hawks.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:56 | 4042588 gjp
gjp's picture

That's for sure.  And any scale that paints Bernanke as only 'dovish' vs. outright, raving, breast-beating, cooing-from-the-rooftops, doviest of all doves (except for his successor) isn't worth even a fiat dime.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 16:04 | 4042612 knukles
knukles's picture

Ain't gonna be any taper.
For a long time.
The Fed's more concerned about the prospect of deflation rather than inflation.
Note I said "Fed's concerned".... Not Knuks, not my next door neighbor, not Everyman. 
The Fed.

Gonna be buying bonds and notes for a long time.
The only reason they might cut back will be that they become so far into ownership of sop much Treasury paper, there's none left for collateral... which won't essentially be a cut in demand as there just won't be enough to go around.

And of course, the economy and everything is fixed so well.... (sarc)

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 16:37 | 4042710 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

There is about as much chance of the fed tapering as there is the odds of Robotrader getting stock trade right before it moves.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 16:38 | 4042720 ATM
ATM's picture

The Fed will never taper because the Treasury cannot bear higher interest expenses. Government makes the conditions it needs to spend money. High rates don't allow them to shower our money on their friends at will. Higher rates means that bond holds get paid more and bureaucrats can spend less.

Ain't going to happen - ever.

 

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 18:23 | 4043012 alangreedspank
alangreedspank's picture

At this point it's pretty irrelevant whether there is or not, the chairman just does wtf he/she wants to please the president.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:53 | 4042557 Grande Tetons
Grande Tetons's picture

THERE ARE NO HAWKS!!! 

 

We need an avian flu. 

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:52 | 4042558 achmachat
achmachat's picture

12 doves vs. 5 (apparent, for P.R. purposes)hawks

 

hawks lose. QE foreveer!

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 16:06 | 4042611 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

Don't kid yourself.  Of the "Permanent Members" only Stein is a "hawk".  Even then...

He's merely the "Designated Controlled Opposition".  The Designated Perma-Hawk.  Rickards was right:  These guys will keep printing till it pops.

Then they will simply hit the Reset button and start over.  With the Usual Suspects of CB friends aiding, abetting and profiting. 

In the words of LoP:  "Roll the fucking Guillotines already!"

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 16:39 | 4042721 ATM
ATM's picture

They won't hit the reset button, we will.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:50 | 4042559 NOTaREALmerican
NOTaREALmerican's picture

Don't fight the Fed.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:56 | 4042587 Grande Tetons
Grande Tetons's picture

Fight the Fed by buying gold, silver, land, defaulting on unsecured credit, obtaining a second passport.......

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:51 | 4042564 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Besides the fact that "fed hawks" is a joke ....Here is a little Thursday humor for everybody:

 

$2 Billion NSA Spy Center is Going Up in Flames

 

http://www.thefiscaltimes.com/Articles/2013/10/08/2-Billion-NSA-Spy-Cent...

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 16:10 | 4042629 knukles
knukles's picture

How come I'm the only one concluding that this is another example of Cyber-Warfare taking place?

No way these people are that dumb... I mean they already have all the experience necessary to do this, running a bazillion other data centers....

But they keep having these "problems"
Remember, there're the Chinee, Iranians and plenty of others who'd have no less than a first significant effort to screw over the NoShitsAholes operations as a signal in return not to fuck with them, or in retaliation.

Plus, the complex is not just for domestic data.  Its Global and Big ENough To Contain the Size of the Total Internet a Bazillion Times Over  (Read Wired's articles)

Suxtnet was but a single example of the Cyber-War in which the World Powers are deeply engaged at the current time.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 16:43 | 4042729 ATM
ATM's picture

You aren't the only one. I rememebr Iranian centrofuges imploding because of a computer virus. Now we have exploding shit in the Utah desert.

I'm hoping it's Anonymous......

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 17:14 | 4042814 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

If I follow another link on that page, I end up at http://www.thefiscaltimes.com/Media/Slideshow/2012/10/15/12-Incredible-E...

Aside from these candidates/finalists inappropriately dressed for the occasion, I must admit that although I'm quite partial to nice watermelons, I think that we should pay for our own consumption.

I must also object on the Fed funding seen on p.12 of the above link... Funding "Star Wars day"!?  Star Wars?  WTF!?

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:52 | 4042571 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

The only function of the FOMC hawks is to provide plausible deniability.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:55 | 4042575 lolmao500
lolmao500's picture

So even if there would be a majority to say : STOP QE RIGHT FUCKING NOW, the chairman/woman could say : fuck y'all?

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 16:16 | 4042637 hangemhigh77
hangemhigh77's picture

YES.  If you read the creature from Jekyll Island the 12 districts was just a ruse so the people would think that centralized power would not be on Wall Street.  The Chairman can override all votes and dictatorially just institute what he ot in this case It, wants.  It's a PRIVATE COMPANY, it's not ruled by democratic laws.  Of course neither is this republic ruled by any existing laws.  The whole fucking circus is corrupt.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 15:54 | 4042579 remain calm
remain calm's picture

FU QE till the death assholes

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 16:07 | 4042618 hangemhigh77
hangemhigh77's picture

WHY do we let a PRIVATE COMPANY print MONEY!!??????  WTF!!???  Do ya THINK maaaaaaaaaybe they might become corrupted if someone allows them to PRINT MONEY FROM NOTHING???  No?  We need to START HANGING THESE FUCKING POLITICIANS!!!  THEN THE BANKERS!  HANG THEM FOR TREASON!! ALL OF THEM.  Hey, you want to be a politician? Well the job has it's ups and downs. CONSIDER GETTING YOUR LYING THIEVING ASS HANGED one of the downs............MOTHIERFUCKERS.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 16:42 | 4042738 ATM
ATM's picture

"If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of their currency, first by inflation, then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around them will deprive the people of all property until their children wake up homeless on the continent their Fathers conquered...I believe that banking institutions are more dangerous to our liberties than standing armies... The issuing power should be taken from the banks and restored to the people, to whom it properly belongs." Jefferson

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 16:40 | 4042719 Professor Fate
Professor Fate's picture

But on the positive side, the rules of the game have never been more clearly laid out.  Jobs and the economy will only improve in the headline news.  They will not improve fundamentally.  The FED will PUMP, PUMP, PUMP.  Trade accordingly.  Real estate is already in a new bubble.  Hedgies movin' out.  Trade accordingly.  Nothing will or can be done about the budget deficit.  It is just a matter of time.  Shorts will ultimately win BIG here when the SFHTF (shit finally hits the fan).  PREPARE accordingly.  PATIENCE! 

Fate the Magnificent
"Push the Button, Max" 

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 16:43 | 4042742 ATM
ATM's picture

Shorts have counter parties. 

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 18:07 | 4042954 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Try them for treason.

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 18:09 | 4042959 The Econ Ideal
The Econ Ideal's picture

The "hawks" on the FOMC or serving as Fed governorships are not true hawks; i.e., there are no "hawks" at the Fed. 

Thu, 10/10/2013 - 18:30 | 4043056 alangreedspank
alangreedspank's picture

I think this chart should have only one axis, called "Wanting to keep their cushy jobs and gold plated pension fund" and put everyone of them under it.

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