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Treasury Bills Are Collapsing As Stocks Surge Once Again

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Having given back all of Charlie Dent's optimism rally overnight (and half of Harry Reid's), US equities are rallying once more on the back of another JPY induced momentum ignition. This utter farce is becoming whimsical as the Treasury Bill market is literally collapsing. 10/31/13 Bills are 16bps higher in yield overnight at 62.5bps as the whole front-end has lifted dramatically from just yesterday. GC Repo is higher again and as we noted last night fails-to-deliver are on the rise again. Something is very broken here and one can only hope that the heavy bid for Dec VIX futures is enough to protect the machines buying stocks if Reid's hope turns to its normal disappointment. Note that the USD and US Treasuries are alse being sold aggressively.

Despite overnight equity exuberance, T-Bills are decidedly unhappy...

 

but stocks don't care, this is a serious BTFATH moment...

 

and if you have any doubts as to what is driving US equities.... we tweeted (sarcastically) the need for some JPY momentum ignition...

 

 

and what happens...

 

 

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Wed, 10/16/2013 - 08:42 | 4059845 HelluvaEngineer
HelluvaEngineer's picture

What's that ticking noise?

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 08:44 | 4059849 King_of_simpletons
King_of_simpletons's picture

DOW 36K after default. Bank on it.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 08:45 | 4059851 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

Kevin Henry's mom told me he never liked T-Bills.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 08:47 | 4059865 poorjoel
poorjoel's picture

Still wont default - last minute agreement coming or delay until next week.

 

---------------------

If you are fed up with whats happening with the government - it all stems from one major thing: the government's control of our money.  We have placed in our government the ability to control the money supply and dish out new money to whomever they please (usually their cronies and the banks) and to spend and create that money in infinite amounts to SUPPRESS we, the People.

To break this system we have to bring back real money and thus limit government control over money and our lives.  We can break the system by overwhelming the physical markets and give a no-vote to their control over money - they key is the small silver market.

Join the Silver Pledge - an effort to change the system by having investors join up and buy physical silver - together we can break this market and take back our government.

You can read more here:

http://www.communitysynergy.com/subscribe/silver_pledge_site.html

If you dont like it dont sign up - but for people who are sick of sitting and doing nothing at least lets work together to BREAK this silver market 

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 08:51 | 4059874 HoofHearted
HoofHearted's picture

Let's play a game...spot where the Muppets are investing. Thank you, Goldman Sachs.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:02 | 4059899 AlaricBalth
AlaricBalth's picture

No. Goldman Sachs thanks you!

GS FX Muppetslayer Tom Stolpers reco on 3 October, "going short $/JPY at current levels of about 97.30 for a tactical target of 94.00, with a stop on a close above 98.80" is only about 30 pips from his stop.

So, conversely, GS is doing quite well on the trade thus far.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-10-03/goldmans-tom-stolper-has-fx-trade-recommendation-you

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:01 | 4059902 malikai
malikai's picture

All this sucks, but what really pisses me off is that I no longer get to see those snorg tees ads anymore since I just bought a Ruby book. Now all I see are nerdy ads about Ruby bullshit.

Moar snorg girls please! WTF

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:24 | 4059976 derek_vineyard
derek_vineyard's picture

If the market is always correct, then I am insane.

I'm listening to the market message and refuse to do what its telling me.  Lock me up.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:56 | 4060080 pavman
pavman's picture

Moar snorg girls please! WTF

Yeah what he said.  Moar snorg girls, less fat belly trick cartoon girls!

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 08:52 | 4059875 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Death by Obamacare suicide......let's do this!

 

Everyone get as many equities as you can.....we're taking them with us.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 08:56 | 4059888 venturen
venturen's picture

S&P 5000! Here we go! Yellen announces intention to double QE skipping QEIV and just go with QEV at $200 Billion a month till wall street & Washington employ everyone! You know, kind of like a modified USSR. Wall Street will be renamed Oligarch Street and Washington will be renamed Obamaville with the country will being rename UFO(United Federation of Obama) and yes presidential term limit will be removed! Dennis Rodman will be named World Ambassador and VP. As this market makes about this much sense! 

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:03 | 4059906 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

The bernak was buying all those 10yr ust's at 3% and has been booking profits since. they are prob buying all these t-bills now and will really kick ass once they announce a deal and they return back to normal.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:04 | 4059911 Harry Dong
Harry Dong's picture

Not too sure on that pledge thingy. Just pick up a monster box or two and 'buy and hold'.

And I hope you're right about not default. Fitch seems to hope so too.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:07 | 4059917 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Yes yes on the eve of "default" Fitch has us at AAA negative watch. yup.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 08:47 | 4059852 Stuart
Stuart's picture

My patience with theblatant, ridiculously corrupt regulators.  My patience with bought and paid for main stream media who are now nothing more than infomercials for the financial power brokers.   And my patience with the blatant price rigging across all markets and what a pathetic circus they have become. 

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 08:45 | 4059854 slotmouth
slotmouth's picture

It's the sound of BTFATH orders being placed.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 08:47 | 4059861 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

a drone with a propeller problem?

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 08:49 | 4059869 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

Death Watch beatle.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 08:45 | 4059853 El Oregonian
El Oregonian's picture

This is T-Billatating for the USSA...

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 08:45 | 4059855 Stoploss
Stoploss's picture

Anybody see that coming??????

 

 

 

Buehler?

Buehler?

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 08:47 | 4059858 Non Passaran
Non Passaran's picture

Un-fucken-real!
May we finally have a default-induced market collapse?

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 08:51 | 4059860 Son of Loki
Son of Loki's picture

I remember my broker in 1998 advising get out of internet stocks...they're going to blow. He was a little early but saved me tons of money by being cautious.

These crashes are very hard to time but all  the signs seem to be there again this time.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:19 | 4059961 rubearish10
rubearish10's picture

UH, you must have forgotten it's different this time with QE,POMO and the Eternal Press! Scoop 'em -20.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:33 | 4060000 DigDeepDown
DigDeepDown's picture

You were lucky to have a good broker like that!

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 08:47 | 4059862 thismarketisrigged
thismarketisrigged's picture

its amazing.

 

when i was younger, and it still holds true today ( at least in the real world) that actions always speak louder than words.

 

However, in this market, i guess words speak louder than actions. who needs action, as long as we have that fucking old piece of shit harry reid spewing utter bullshit how they are always close to a deal.

 

notice how senate is not meeting until noon today? we must let stocks go up as high as possible before any further possible disappointment,

 

lets make sure fb hits 52 today, its such a great company. also, nflx must hit 350 today. also, citigroup which reported terrible numbers across the board never sold off to begin with and is now of course up modestly.

 

 

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:07 | 4059918 Arius
Arius's picture

what you describing sounds like somone else who knows about the markets moves the pieces ...

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 08:49 | 4059870 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

JUST NATIONALIZE PIMPCO, LET THEM BUY ALL THE DEBT WITH ALL THEIR MONEY

AND CANCEL THE DEBT!!!

IT WORKED IN POLAND AND ONLY THE COMON PEOPLE LOST THEIR MONEY!!!

The Republic is saved AND THOSE EVIL JEDI ARE DEATH!

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 08:59 | 4059895 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Apple has more cash on hand than Pimco for these sorts of things.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:07 | 4059916 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

But PIMPCO has more collateral ;)

Collateral is worth 100 times it's value in today's world!

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:37 | 4060017 nyquil762
nyquil762's picture

What kind of collateral does PIMPCO possess? PIMPCO ownes a bunch of paper that is worthless, that is guaranteed by a private company (the Federal Reserve) that itself owns nothing but paper (the gold is gone). Again, what collateral does PIMPCO possess?

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 08:51 | 4059876 bdub2
bdub2's picture

zh, Tylers, and many here have contributed much to this world, and a piece of advice, to give back in a humble way:

When they sign the Greatest Solution of All Time,,,do not look directly at the S/P. It'll be like living on a Marshall Island's atoll circa 1952. 

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:12 | 4059939 Zer0head
Zer0head's picture

do not look directly at the S/P

 

LOL

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 08:53 | 4059880 Marley
Marley's picture

HR 368 - Proof the republicans wanted this shutdown

Good night and good luck.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:01 | 4059901 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Just checking.....nope.....this isn't HuffPo.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 12:53 | 4061064 Marley
Marley's picture

Nope, it's the American Taliban site.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:15 | 4059949 DOT
DOT's picture

"I will not negotiate..." - Proof that Obama wanted this clown show called "shutdown".

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:35 | 4060003 Pure Evil
Pure Evil's picture

Now, that's what they tell us he said.

Has anyone actually seen him step out in front of TV cameras and read it from his teleprompter.

Until then, we have to assume he's busy squirreling away his time in Reggie's Love box or taking the Wookie on its poop walk.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 08:53 | 4059881 wisefool
wisefool's picture

MOAR monetization! Thats what we are all supposed to do for a living right?

/sarc

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 08:54 | 4059882 AUD
AUD's picture

Not saying it's going to happen, since it's impossible to accurately predict the trajectory of a Ponzi scheme but this lift in T-Bill yields is contributing to a compressing of money market spreads. It is not infeasible that it starts a trend all along the short end & the central bank will follow, spreads compressing further, the stock market soaring, shoe shine boys becoming billionaires etc etc.

Of course I could be wrong, or even right until I'm wrong.

 

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 08:55 | 4059884 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

It's always busy at the craps table when people are placing their bets before the dice roll.

It's Wednesday, and when CONgress colludes to screw us and our progeny all over again (sell us down the river) it will be green for the markets and back to pretending everything's under control, Ben's Bon Voyage/Yellen's coronation, and non-stop commercials for the holidays.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 08:54 | 4059885 Devotional
Devotional's picture

I am going to start "walking" using my hands. Upside down ... it makes sense.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 08:58 | 4059892 Tsar Pointless
Tsar Pointless's picture

It's exhilerating! You'll LOVE it!

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 08:58 | 4059893 bdub2
bdub2's picture

Things are not all that bad. Example: Canadian Manufacturing is holding up: -.2         Expected .2       Last      1.7

Who cares. s/p 1800. Said it before, say it again. It will get there soon.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:07 | 4059896 losses mount
losses mount's picture

Headlines of the near future................................

"Stocks limit UP on US debt default"

"Ben Bernanke gifts primary dealers 1 Trillion US$ as parting thank you"

"We should have defaulted years ago; this is working out brilliantly, says US President"

"It was all my idea, says US President"

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 08:59 | 4059897 involuntarilybirthed
involuntarilybirthed's picture

This is like the last few days of ObamaCare legislation.  It is no longer about content but partisanship, winners and loosers.  Despicable.  The President should put himself above this as the final arbitrator but he is incapable, a disgraceful public servant.

 

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:07 | 4059915 Jethro
Jethro's picture

Why should he display leadership now, when he hasn't shown any his entire career?

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:00 | 4059898 thismarketisrigged
thismarketisrigged's picture

looks like these assholes are going to makee sure the all of yesterdays losses are wiped out at the open.

 

not that we need any proof that the entire market is traded by algos and not real human beings, but if it were real human beings trading, thee is no way the market would go up everyday on these same fucking bullshit rumors. a rational human would prob say'' i want to see action rather than words.

 

not the algos though.

 

fucking warren buffet on cnbc now, this douchebag just said its 100 percent the republicans fault for what is happening now. hey warren go fuck yourself you fucking scumbag. if the fed left the market you would fucking lose half your wealth you douchebag

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:02 | 4059903 thismarketisrigged
thismarketisrigged's picture

if we get a bullshit kick the can down the road deal, we will prob see a fiscal cliff type rally, all global markets rally 1000 pts each on the same shit.

 

i want 2008-2009 again so fucking badly. i want bankers to fucking jump to there deaths fucking assholes.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:02 | 4059904 NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

If the Republicans let this go over the cliff, they could still be big winners. Either Jack Lew becomes enlightened and discovers that incoming tax receipts more than cover interest, or Obama does some dictator-like takeover, or we see government continue at a reduced rate without non-essential employees.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:44 | 4060039 RabbitChow
RabbitChow's picture

The "essential" employees working now are non-essential, unless you need them for the new police state.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:04 | 4059909 jmcadg
jmcadg's picture

If that's the case, then a gold smash will ensue in 3...2...1.....

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:20 | 4059964 Being Free
Being Free's picture

Trust me honey, this pull out trick will work just fine.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:23 | 4059970 TrustWho
TrustWho's picture

The Fed should be scared shitless by their creation--a non-logical market run by ALGOS driven by controlled correlations-- however, Daddy Bernanke is a proud Father and Mother Yellen is a happy supportive proud wife.  

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:40 | 4060024 nyquil762
nyquil762's picture

The Fed is not scared of anyone. If the system crashes, it will crash by design.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 10:25 | 4060302 TrustWho
TrustWho's picture

...that is why daddy and mommy are PROUD.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:24 | 4059973 Zer0head
Zer0head's picture

Will Cruz and Paul stand their  ground and delay the Senate bill?

 

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:44 | 4060005 involuntarilybirthed
involuntarilybirthed's picture

The Senate will pass a bill that the President will sign, the House won’t.  The President will then blame the Tea Party of letting the country default and scare everyone that is on SS and Medicare.  Hoping people then hate Tea Party/Repubs more and the Dems gain in the House in 2014.

Even if the House has some small victories they will loses the war.  They fail to communicate to the American people their plans/ideas in any factual form, no content.  That is their holdback.  Americans want content, want to understand the fine print. 

Give the Ameican people something they can get behind.  Not just the title of a book or the chapter titles, give us content.  If you have any?

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:32 | 4059995 GOSPLAN HERO
GOSPLAN HERO's picture

“People think they have taken quite an extraordinarily bold step forward when they have rid themselves of belief in hereditary monarchy and swear by the democratic republic. In reality, however, the state is nothing but a machine for the oppression of one class by another, and indeed in the democratic republic no less than in the monarchy.”

-- Friedrich Engels

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 09:39 | 4060021 lesterbegood
lesterbegood's picture

"Note that the USD and US Treasuries are alse being sold aggressively."

Sold from the right hand to the left hand of the Fed. No one else is buying.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 10:00 | 4060123 mobydick
mobydick's picture

I could definitely go out there and kill someone. I would start with Jaimee Dimon, then move on to Llloyd Blankflein and finally Uncle Ben.

Wed, 10/16/2013 - 21:49 | 4063453 bdub2
bdub2's picture

look at this sick feigned tripe. I loathe them. Anybody watching this must be sickened by these bitches! Shut these ballbags down. Once and for all.

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