This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.

Bloomberg Consumer Confidence Shows Americans Most Pessimistic About Economy In Two Years

Tyler Durden's picture




 

While there haven't been many economic data points to highlights the so-called damage to if not the economy, then the confidence of the all important US consumer, data on consumer confidence has been trickling in, and as expected, has been sliding. However, nowhere more so than in the just released latest read in the Bloomberg Weekly Consumer confidence index, whose expectations gauge just tumbled to -31, or the lowest level since November 2011. Bloomberg reports: "Americans in October were the most pessimistic about the nation’s economic prospects in almost two years as concern mounted that continued political gridlock will hurt the expansion. The monthly Bloomberg Consumer Confidence Index expectations gauge plunged to minus 31, the lowest level since November 2011, from minus 9 in September, a report showed today. The share of people projecting the economy will worsen jumped by the most since the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. five years ago. The weekly measure of current conditions fell to minus 34.1 in the period ended Oct. 13, the weakest since March."

Some of the other sliding indicators:

  • State of the Economy index worsens to -65.3 from -60.2
  • Personal Finance index fell to -0.1 from 4.7
  • Buying Climate index fell to -36.9 from -33.5
  • Polarization Index (Democrats minus Republicans) at -1.6 from -1.3
  • Larger value means greater the divergence in confidence by political affliation

Oddly enough, even the uber rich felt less confident:

  • Index for people with incomes above $100k fell to 14.0 from 19.0

More from Bloomberg:

The legislation passed by Congress last night to raise the debt ceiling and fund the government into 2014 may be setting the stage for another round of confrontations early next year. The fiscal impasse in Washington has spared few as today’s report showed consumers across almost all demographic groups grew increasingly distressed.

 

“The government shutdown has resulted in a startling decline in consumer sentiment and likely business sentiment that will result in a much slower pace of consumption and capital expenditures in the current quarter,” said Joseph Brusuelas, a senior economist for Bloomberg LP in New York. “Should lawmakers kick a decision into early 2014, it is likely that consumer sentiment will keep deteriorating.”

Still, considering the shutdown wasn't really a shutdown, but really an extended vacation, the markets were higher at the end of the "closure" period, and DC was just as dysfunctional during its shutdown than when it operates, we have trouble with the idea that someone, anyone said to their significant other: "honey, let's not buy that [House/iPad/Tesla Model S/1000x P/E stock] because the government is shut down."

However, in a Keynesian world, apparently that's how things work.

 

- advertisements -

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:02 | 4064759 duo
duo's picture

The ACA can be known to do that.

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:50 | 4064951 azzhatter
azzhatter's picture

"Will hurt the expansion"- pull the other one

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:03 | 4064763 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Damn sequester ruined what could be a booming economy.

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:05 | 4064771 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

Bush's fault.

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:09 | 4064781 Spastica Rex
Spastica Rex's picture

Who?

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 13:03 | 4065517 N2OJoe
Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:19 | 4064820 RSloane
RSloane's picture

S&P remains over 1700! No reason for people to be so glum. The US is bursting with boom!

/passes a virtual bong to Doc

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:37 | 4064902 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

I'd hit the thing, but reality is already so screwed up I'm afraid of where it might take me ;)

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 12:33 | 4065381 DosZap
DosZap's picture

Americans in October were the most pessimistic about the nation’s economic prospects in almost two years as concern mounted that continued political gridlock will hurt the expansion.

 

Idiot SHEEPLE!,what frigging expansion?.Damn wish some of these folks woul'd actually OPEN their eyes!.Gets so damned depressing a Nation of idiots.

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:05 | 4064767 Yancey Ward
Yancey Ward's picture

Come on you morons-  buy that fucking dip!!!!  Where is my stock rally????

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:07 | 4064768 Grande Tetons
Grande Tetons's picture

This market needs confident buyers with new money or new leverage...or both! 

We shall see. 

I would rather buy overpriced farmland over overpriced equities. 

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:09 | 4064783 Tsar Pointless
Tsar Pointless's picture

Meanwhile, the baffle with bullshit meme has not gone away.

The Philly Fed just blew away expectations.

http://mam.econoday.com/byshoweventfull.asp?fid=456388&cust=mam&year=201...

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:12 | 4064790 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Taper on again?

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:10 | 4064786 Smegley Wanxalot
Smegley Wanxalot's picture

After yesterday's cave by the GOP (Grand Old Pussies) I will not participate in this fucked up economy at all (save for food items and a couple necessities.  Fuck this god damned country - let if go to fucking hell.

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:13 | 4064791 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

"let if go to fucking hell".

 

Destination arrived in 2008.

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:15 | 4064798 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Well 1 thing is for sure, if anyone today still believes in this demican/republicrat 2 wings on the same vulture phony crap, they're real idiots!

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:53 | 4064964 NIHILIST CIPHER
NIHILIST CIPHER's picture

Doc                    Story on the web today says Darden Group customers left and have not returned. In that case Amerika has NOW officially gone to hell.

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:14 | 4064797 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

I agree. That's why I'm still driving an 11 year old car and stopped all the bullshit purchases years ago. I know many other people doing the same cause they're just so sick of the sheer stupidity of it all now.

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:32 | 4064859 toady
toady's picture

I wish! I'm doing it, 16 year old vehicle, 15 year old house, everything used until it's used up, worn out. The problem is the wife. Every week more clothes for the kids, planning more trips to Disneyland, 1k pairs of shoes...

"I'm sorry! I promise I'll stop next week! I saved so much on the sale that I HAD TO BUY IT!"

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:51 | 4064955 Smegley Wanxalot
Smegley Wanxalot's picture

I learned the hard way that nuptial pussy is a lot more costly than that on the open market.

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:12 | 4064789 dontgoforit
dontgoforit's picture

Let the dumbing down continue - we can make billions off the illiterate turds, so spake Zarathurstra

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:12 | 4064792 Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

On a positive note, consumers believe the ACA will finally collapse on itself after the new Obama immigration law is passed.

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:28 | 4064862 nofluer
nofluer's picture

On a positive note, consumers believe the ACA will finally collapse on itself after the new Obama immigration law is passed.

The coup de grâce of the US economy and nation, courtesy of the Cloward-Piven strategy, brought to you by Alinsky devotee Obama and his gang of cohorts, with the assistance of the US Congress and "Supreme" Court.

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:13 | 4064796 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Hmm...well looks like it's obviously time to print more Clown Bux!

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:38 | 4064905 Bobbyrib
Bobbyrib's picture

If consumer confidence doesn't improve, something will have to be done about it. Maybe another stimulus check with the government encouraging everyone to go out and spend every last dime they have. How are multi-nationals going to bleed us out of every last bit of our wealth if we don't buy their crap?

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 11:09 | 4065023 toady
toady's picture

"If consumer confidence doesn't improve, something will have to be done about it."

The beatings will continue until moral improves.

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:16 | 4064800 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

What is this Lehman you keep taking about ??? Never heard of it

 

 Nothing bad has ever happened here......All is well. 

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:17 | 4064809 adr
adr's picture

If debt doesn't matter, then how come I can't buy anything I want with no intention of ever paying it back?

Why doesn't the Fed buy my debt?

It isn't fair that the Fed buys bank's debt and the government's debt, but not mine. Think of the growth if I could buy anything I want and have the Fed pay for it.

It is the exact same concept as QE, so why can't it happen?

Because hitting affordable prices won't matter, imagine the profit margins. You won't even be able to estimate earnings, because no matter what corporations will blow them away. Stocks to the moon, hell to the next galaxy.

Imagine this world. Everyone gets whatever they want and corporations are endlessly profitable.

Isn't this the Keynesian dream?

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:22 | 4064829 jekyll island
jekyll island's picture

"If debt doesn't matter, then how come I can't buy anything I want with no intention of ever paying it back?"

 

You can, congressman.  Just tell chair satan what you desire. 

 


Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:18 | 4064812 highly debtful
highly debtful's picture
The downfall of the USA will be no laughing matter. Picture a tourist bus, high up in the mountains on a long and treacherous road. Suddenly, the only American on board suffers a cardiac arrest and all the passengers instinctively think: "Thank God it wasn't me".   Until they realize the guy was in the driver's seat.    One would do well to refrain from all forms of schadenfreude.
Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:40 | 4064914 Bobbyrib
Bobbyrib's picture

Hey, let us at least enjoy the Darwinization of the country for a little while. At least let us have that!

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:18 | 4064813 BobPaulson
BobPaulson's picture

SNR=-10dB

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:21 | 4064824 dobermangang
dobermangang's picture

The only things people are buying are guns, ammo, scratch-off lottery tickets, Grand Theft Auto V and Duck Dynasty T-Shirts at Wal-Mart.  And I'll be going to Aldis today to stock up on canned food.  The depression continues to deepen.  Just wait til 2016 when individuals are fined $695 for not being able to afford health insurance.  I don't think the masses will be Happy, Happy, Happy!

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:30 | 4064870 adr
adr's picture

I'd rather be fined $700 instead of paying $20k for something I don't use.

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:43 | 4064928 toady
toady's picture

"guns, ammo, scratch-off lottery tickets, Grand Theft Auto V and Duck Dynasty T-Shirts..."

I can see all that except the Duck Dynasty part... I just don't get it. Probably hits a little to close to home, except the billionaire part!

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:22 | 4064828 nofluer
nofluer's picture

continued political gridlock will hurt the expansion.

Expansion? WHAT expansion? I don't see no effing expansion...

 

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:22 | 4064830 John Law Lives
John Law Lives's picture

Better start discounting those Big Hugs Elmo dolls in time to save the holiday shopping season...

 

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:41 | 4064919 Bobbyrib
Bobbyrib's picture

Read the reviews on those. They're pretty funny. Basically it's cheap, Chinese crap.

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:24 | 4064838 semperfi
semperfi's picture

I'd like to see Bloomberger take a "consumer confidence" poll in West Phoenix, South-Central LA, East Chicago, Detroit, and every other shithole.

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:28 | 4064854 John Law Lives
John Law Lives's picture

They might want to invest in Kevlar vests if they plan to do any face-to-face (i.e. grill-to-grill) polling in those areas...

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:30 | 4064867 Dre4dwolf
Dre4dwolf's picture

1) there is nothing to buy

2)  there is no need to buy anything

3) everything is made like shit, so even if you buy some useless trinket, its made too cheaply.

4) services are getting too expensive (electric, gas, oil, phone, internet tv, all these things are sky rocketing in price), gasoline is somewhat stable but still high.

5) unemployement is high, labor participation all time lows, rents are sky-rocketing even though there is very little demand for rent.

 

 

There is not one indicator that says things are getting better.

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:33 | 4064880 adr
adr's picture

The stock market says things are getting better. In fact way better, better than ever, and going to get much better in the future.

Are you going to believe your eyes on the ground or the DOW Jones Industrial Average?

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:42 | 4064922 Bobbyrib
Bobbyrib's picture

Are you going to believe reality, or Obama?

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:50 | 4064952 toros
toros's picture

Another innoposite data point on the yellow brick road.

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 10:52 | 4064959 toros
toros's picture

<sp> innapposite

Thu, 10/17/2013 - 12:37 | 4065403 DosZap
DosZap's picture

If debt doesn't matter, then how come I can't buy anything I want with no intention of ever paying it back?

Why doesn't the Fed buy my debt?

It isn't fair that the Fed buys bank's debt and the government's debt, but not mine. Think of the growth if I could buy anything I want and have the Fed pay for it.

It is the exact same concept as QE, so why can't it happen?

 

Because that would be a CRIME!.

Read the story on the woman charged with theft, she fished out $2.87 out of a public fountain for food money!.What a great country!.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!