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Case-Shiller Beats: Bankrupt Detroit Among Top 5 Fastest Appreciating Housing Markets

Tyler Durden's picture




 

If yesterday's collapse in September existing home sales was indicative that Housing is tumbling and it means the Fed will not taper until mid 2014 sending the S&P to a new record high, today's August Case Shiller, which beat expectations of a M/M increase of 0.65% with a 0.93% print, and an increase of 12.82% Y/Y, probably means that the economy is very strong and will send the S&P to an even newer recorder high, since both bad and good news send only one signal to algos: buy. What is amusing is that while the NAR's September fiasco was attributed to "concerns" over a government shutdown, the two month delayed Case Shiller print, which was for August, will be spun as no fears of a government shutdown in August, or something.

 

Listing the Top 5 cities in order of Y/Y price increase: Vegas +29.22%; San Francisco +25.4%; Los Angeles + 21.66; San Diego +21.5%; and....

Detroit +16.4%

That's right: America's biggest bankrupt city is among the Top 5 highest appreciating housing markets.

 

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Tue, 10/29/2013 - 09:24 | 4100986 Cdad
Cdad's picture

I hear the deals in Detroit housing are fabulous...ground floor type opportunity...as long as you get there before the bulldozer does.

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 09:43 | 4101056 spine001
spine001's picture

This type of articles are stupid, we know that if the economy takes off, velocity of money will increase and inflation, alonside with nominal earnings and saless will explode up. Similarly if there are more bad news and the FED keeps on pushing its current policies, as it will, then there will be more money to leverage the market even more.

It is also obvious that the only events that will change market direction are either a revolution, which won't happen thanks to Cannabis being distributed massively, or a FED direction change, which won't happen either, so it is a USA version of hyperinflation, for which you can just scaled down Zimbawe or Argentina or Weimar Republic Germany, etc.

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 13:08 | 4101922 Missiondweller
Missiondweller's picture

I would say Detroit demonstrates how REAL markets work and how capital flows come in once a dysfunctional organization is finally allowed to FAIL.

Once all the bad news is priced in to any asset, sophisticated investers begin depolying capital.

There's a lesson here for national markets.

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 09:28 | 4100987 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

The  house in Detroit that you paid $5,000 may sell for $5,800, but it's still a piece of shit.

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 09:34 | 4101014 VD
VD's picture

better yet don't sleep and scoop up a rape me murder me special. nothing like waking up in your new home with a cock in your ass shortly before you get your throat slit and the robbers leave behind a few fresh 'welcome to the hood' turds in your living room...but your violated corpse would RIP knowing you got such a great fucking deal on a fine Deetroit home.

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 09:37 | 4101035 Ignatius
Ignatius's picture

Sounds like you have some unresolved personal experiences.

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 09:54 | 4101081 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Oh, come on, Ignatius- have a sense of humor.  It might be a bit early in the day for that kind of language, but it's still funny.  The "turds in the living room" thing was the hook for me.  I actually did LOL.

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 10:11 | 4101155 Ignatius
Ignatius's picture

And here I am, wondering where the humor has gone.

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 12:00 | 4101595 Wahooo
Wahooo's picture

I'm choking here on soda. Cut it out!

 

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 09:34 | 4101021 RSloane
RSloane's picture

And.....you get awesome neighbors who think they are entitled to anything you own.

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 10:46 | 4101309 PT
PT's picture

It is a shame that you can't point those neighbours in the right direction.  All that wasted resource.

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 11:22 | 4101435 PT
PT's picture

Chuck 'em in a bus and send 'em to DC, so they can thank their PTB entitlement buddies personally ...

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 09:35 | 4101025 Ignatius
Ignatius's picture

A market out of favor is a market worth investigating.

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 10:13 | 4101165 Ignatius
Ignatius's picture

The down-voter is right... bubble markets should be bought at the top.

How can one argue with a cogent argument like "-1"?

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 09:46 | 4101061 spine001
spine001's picture

My son in law bought with his brothers a hunting hut for 2000 in the region. Apparently, hunting laws are right now pretty lax. :)

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 19:52 | 4103192 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

So, hunting what, two-legged beasties?

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 09:25 | 4100992 cherry picker
cherry picker's picture

Jesus, they never learn.  Double digit increases in RE is not good as what goes up fast also goes down faster when the time is right.  I would have felt a lot more comfortable with single digit increases YOY.

 

 

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 09:35 | 4101001 Zer0head
Zer0head's picture

good news is good news

bad news is good news

Yellen is in the house

 

and she is one rich person

accoding to her financial disclosure PDF file

http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/Yellen-finrpt2010.pdf

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 09:28 | 4101002 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

 

 

Remind me again: how do you calculate the rate of change from a base of zero?  Math is so hard for me.

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 09:36 | 4101032 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Dead cats are alive and well, I see.

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 10:03 | 4101118 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

well...

THAT MYTH IS DEBUNCKED!!!

I hit a cat with my car last week...

and when I got out of the car, I kicked it to the side of the road

(I might have been a cat from a kid and maybe they wanted to stuff it or something)

AND THE CAT DIDN'T BOUNCE!!

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 10:42 | 4101287 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

Good for you Sudden Debt! These myths need fact checking ! Keep up the good work. Try a kitten next time; do dead kittens bounce? We need to know.

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 09:29 | 4101004 JP McManus
JP McManus's picture

All I want to know is, does this mean the spooz is going up a little, a lot, or to da moon?

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 09:30 | 4101009 1stepcloser
1stepcloser's picture

And my pinko lib stats prof told me numbers never lie....

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 11:07 | 4101394 PT
PT's picture

Numbers don't lie.
People do. 

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 09:32 | 4101011 DannyTX
DannyTX's picture

I have seen some car dealers give vouchers for a shotgun when you buy a new car.  Realtors in Detroit ought to be giving vouchers for AR-15s.  

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 09:45 | 4101059 pods
pods's picture

I am reminded of the movie I am Legend.

It would be so nice to sleep in your bathtub curled up with your M4 hoping that the hordes didn't smell your presence.

Toss in some claymore vouchers and you can really move houses.

pods

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 09:34 | 4101020 El Tuco
El Tuco's picture

Here is a press release from hantz farms.

http://www.hantzfarmsdetroit.com/images/CLIENT%20JRH%20FARMS%20NM%20UPDA...

The city has already approved it and they are going ahead with it. 150 acres of wood land and orchards in inner city Detroit. Don't know if it will work but if you give private industry a chance they can do more with Detroit than any Government ever could.

150 acres is nothing but there is a possibility for 10000.

 

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 09:41 | 4101047 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Sounds fun at night. Save the gangstas a trip out of town.

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 10:09 | 4101148 Bawneee Fwank
Bawneee Fwank's picture

Lol...The mongrels will name it "rape woods"

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 09:36 | 4101027 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

Imagine how much it would have increased if they had police protection, street lights and garbage collection. 

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 09:41 | 4101049 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

I bought a house in Detroit for $1 and sold it two weeks later for $2.  100% price apprication :) (Actual results may vary, well actually you'll never get these results but we'll pretend anyway)

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 10:00 | 4101109 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

Yep... IT NOW COSTS 6 BUCKS TO BUY A HOME IN DETROIT THAT USED TO COST 5 BUCKS!!

THE REASON YOU ASK????!!!

IT'S SOON WINTER AND DEMAND FOR FIREWOOD HAS INCREASED!!!!

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 10:44 | 4101297 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

Excellent.

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 10:05 | 4101134 Blue Dog
Blue Dog's picture

http://www.realtor.com/realestateandhomes-detail/8096-Georgia-St_Detroit_MI_48213_M45096-12765?row=5

That house is only a dollar. Of course, you will need to put SOME work into it.

 

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 10:12 | 4101166 NOZZLE
NOZZLE's picture

What's the amortization over 30 for a dollar of principal if I finance the entire purchase price?

People are fucking idiots expecting a renaissance in Detoilette.

Tue, 10/29/2013 - 11:18 | 4101427 PT
PT's picture

Plenty of homeless people could afford that.  And they wouldn't give a shit.  They'd happily do it up over the next 20 years, grow their own food in the back yard ... of course, we have two problems.  One being the neighbours, what are they like?  Sure you can improve your home, but would your neighbours let it stay that way?  And the other is the back taxes - does this house really cost a dollar?  What are the total costs after everything?  It makes me sick that such deterioration was allowed to happen in the first place, while others are homeless.

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