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Twitter's Pre-IPO Euphoria: So Deja Book

Tyler Durden's picture




 

This morning's announcement of the 25% rise in the IPO price of Twitter raised a few eyebrows across Wall and Main Street. Most will argue that investors have all learned many lessons in the 18 months since Facebook IPO'd to a clarion call for retail money large and small from every form of media that exists... The following headlines from the pre-IPO suggest, unfortunately, that we learned absolutely nothing...

 

In the week leading up to the Facebook IPO:

  • Facebook to Set IPO Price Range High $20s to Mid $30s: WSJ
  • Facebook has set a price range of $28 to $35 for IPO: AP
  • Facebook Close to Pricing IPO at $38/Shr, WSJ Says
  • Facebook Indicated at $44-$45 on Nasdaq IPO Cross: CNBC

and then this week - ahead of the Twitter IPO:

  • *GORMAN EXPECTS 'CLEAN' OPENING TRADE ON TWITTER IPO
  • *TWITTER SEES IPO PRICE $23-$25, HAD SEEN $17-$20
  • *TWITTER IPO SAID TO BE OVERSUBSCRIBED SEVERAL TIMES AT $25/SHR
  • *TWITTER SAID LIKELY TO PRICE IPO ABOVE INCREASED OFFERING RANGE
  • *TWITTER RATED NEW BUY AT TOPEKA CAPITAL, PT $54

and so where did Facebook end up before embarking on its explosive price trajectory...?

Sure enough, the low end of the initial pre-IPO range...

 

But, of course, it's different this time...

 

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Mon, 11/04/2013 - 17:43 | 4120384 uncle.bigs
uncle.bigs's picture

Even at $25, Twatter is less than 20% of Facefart's market cap.  I predict is closes above $60.  

Mon, 11/04/2013 - 17:59 | 4120437 Rainman
Rainman's picture

I sees a FaceTwat merger

Mon, 11/04/2013 - 18:03 | 4120445 Pareto
Pareto's picture

+100 "facetwat" merger".  he he heee

Mon, 11/04/2013 - 18:03 | 4120451 StacksOnStacks
StacksOnStacks's picture

Did you see me at the strip club last night?

Mon, 11/04/2013 - 17:45 | 4120387 Skateboarder
Skateboarder's picture

Like FB, TWTR will be a fanstastic tale of overvaluation gone up, up, and away. I was in the "lol FB @ 38/shr? More like 4/shr" camp, and look where FB is now.

Mon, 11/04/2013 - 17:47 | 4120393 css1971
css1971's picture

If I pay more can I get the higher quality Twitter stock?

Mon, 11/04/2013 - 18:00 | 4120439 max2205
max2205's picture

Can I short it....

Mon, 11/04/2013 - 18:00 | 4120440 smlbizman
smlbizman's picture

spalding you'll get nothing...

Mon, 11/04/2013 - 17:47 | 4120398 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

"how to spot bubble tops in the stock market".

Mon, 11/04/2013 - 17:48 | 4120407 uncle.bigs
uncle.bigs's picture

Shalom Bernank prints a Twitter market cap every week.  

Mon, 11/04/2013 - 17:52 | 4120417 roadhazard
roadhazard's picture

There's a sucker born every minute.

Mon, 11/04/2013 - 17:55 | 4120420 NOTaREALmerican
NOTaREALmerican's picture

The pathological optimism of those who can't lose has no limits.

Mon, 11/04/2013 - 18:05 | 4120441 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

With Yellen and QE 4 imminent someone should revive Pets.com:  coupons will be tied in with Facebook and Twitter ads, sales hosted on Amazon, and with special discounts for Apple, Chipotle, and Tesla stock holders.

To the moon!

Mon, 11/04/2013 - 18:01 | 4120443 max2205
max2205's picture

How many shares does Shummer have...oh and Big Al Gore?

Mon, 11/04/2013 - 18:02 | 4120446 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Irie mon....

Just back from Jamaica...

Mon, 11/04/2013 - 18:12 | 4120467 Make_Mine_A_Double
Make_Mine_A_Double's picture

I just read that the bulk of TWAT users are 18-24 years of age. And....they TWIT and TWAT primary when watching Tee Vee.

So not only do you have morons glued to the idiot box watching the lowest common demoninator BS vomited up by Hollywood, but simultaneously they are drooling over sending each other deep thoughts in 20 or 30 characters.

The average TWAT message is something like less than 50 characters and that is declining as the retards just send each pictograms in lieu of ebonix texts.

Nation of fucking idiots.

 

Mon, 11/04/2013 - 18:19 | 4120487 Rainman
Rainman's picture

I like how you think.

Mon, 11/04/2013 - 18:51 | 4120554 Max Cynical
Max Cynical's picture

That's interesting...

I would like to see a study of the breakdown between meaningful and unmeaningful tweets...if there is such a thing.

I imagine 98%+ of all tweets are mindless. 

Mon, 11/04/2013 - 18:17 | 4120486 Missiondweller
Missiondweller's picture

Dot Com 2.0.

 

In San Francisco, this looks exactly the same as it did last time.

Mon, 11/04/2013 - 18:56 | 4120561 exartizo
exartizo's picture

...this kind of crap would have naturally been eliminated and expunged by efficiently functioning market forces in years past.

Oh, yeah that's right, what natural market forces?

This IPO will catch a bid from The Big Money Banks and never look back on their way to reselling it to the next sucker in the (dwindling) Retail Muppet Kiddy Pool.

Mon, 11/04/2013 - 19:03 | 4120579 Downtoolong
Downtoolong's picture

And before you say, "what do I care", check with your pension fund manager to make sure they're not all-in.

Mon, 11/04/2013 - 19:22 | 4120614 uncle.bigs
uncle.bigs's picture

Twitter will skyrocket.  Everybody tweets.  Even Zero Hedge.  Facebook is toast.  Tweens tweet.

Mon, 11/04/2013 - 20:10 | 4120717 new game
new game's picture

i minority, non of above except visit to zh for the real story...

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!