Sure the optimism is so high it's bearish, but that just means the Fed will ease again, so it's bullish. In fact, recent speeches and today's WSJ piece are telling us their next move is to extend ZIRP for another 5 years at least.
I don't understand the "cognitive dissonance". The chart shows bull/bear ratio is positively correlated with the S&P 500. I thought that was one of the basics of finance. People get more aggressive as the markets rise. Are you trying to say your indicators are showing a crash ahead? Please switch off the broken record.
also appears he needs a hip replacement, and since he has just checked into the new ACA rates schedule, that explains the gun to his head. he can't get a new hip, but they did give him a screening for depression, and some new meds, which he can't afford, and the side effects include suicidal thoughts.
I'm sure some of those bears will come around AND THE TREND WILL CONTINUE!!! Call me when there are no bears left and I'll consider shorting...on second thought call me when the Fed stops buying, that'll be a better indicator.
Everyone knows the crash is coming. It's just a matter of when. If you're as dumb as the senior citizens that tell me they're moving their 401Ks into stocks on Friday...then....well... don't say you weren't warned.
Watch for the Fed to increase QE. Fund managers have to make their nice year-end bonuses. It mat be a bit longer and a higher market, especially with the Fed juicing the market before Yellen takes over.
I agree normally in an election year they have the FED do good on the markets, ... now election has come and gone, and the FED is still doing good, for wall street.
Me thinks that with all the SHIT going down for OBAMA, the best thing he can do is take care of those who got him elected aka 'wall street bucks', so party on garth, cuz there is more to come,
Don't fight the FED, enjoy the party, and NEVER use your brain, all this has not one god damn thing to do with math, or science, ... its 100% HUMAN STUPIDITY, and its never going to end, until it ends, ... in the MEANTIME, get all the cheap money you can and buy real-estate, and fucking stocks,
Look at fucking facebook-fuck, ... its fucking higher than shit, who would have guessed? fucking bullshit, but in this country bullshit and stupid win everytime, ..
i did not know that i could live for 5 years
with complete cognitive dissonance. though i
still remain, as far as i can tell, alive ,
i am not warming up to the state of mind at all.
the pain of it is becoming more pronounced and more
frequent.
i need an economic doctor ! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5X-6_0YqgeI
The Meters "Cissy Strut"
1.) I voted for obama
2.) obama will not cum in my mouth
3.) obama care will solve all my health problems
4.) if obama imprisons me in a FEMA camp, its for my own good
5.) When obama gets his 3rd term, then we'll get the cookies and cream
o man is a new world order macro political tool,
the more you are dead the more the macro installation
can succeed. it is a systems installation that will
bring about a new world order and a new identity for
the few and proud; apparently one must develop a taste
for familiar meat to become acclimated?
.
Sheriff and the Ravels - Shombalor (with lyrics) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wXHoYVEOFqs
It would be useful to go back to 1932 on these two graphs,
1.) so buy when the bull/bear drops below one, on a month to month basis?
2.) now is not to time to buy
3.) at best, it might go down 10% when there is a peak?
Another genius method for stock picking, or buying S&P ETF's, but its still churning, which never makes good money, and besides when some lose some and at best make 10%, but just as likely lose 10%, ... then less commission end up broke ... so what?
A better bet would be the BULL/BEAR ratio on GOLD going back to 1913,
or why not do a real chart like S&P/(bull/bear), then you could see the correlation, same with GoldPrice/(bull/bear),
but the worst part of this graph is it only goes back 2 years, what's the fucking point? real interesting stuff happened in 1988, 1997, 2001, 2007,...
From Investors Intelligence: Bullish advisors readings above 60% are a rare event, there had been none since prior to the October 1987 crash until 1999 when bullish readings surged above 60%, a pre-warning of “irrational exuberance”.
Can someone ELI5 (Explain it Like I'm 5) for me? I would love to have cognitive dissonance too but I don't understand the implications of these two charts.
Today, a small group of central bank chiefs can meet in private and wield unprecedented power over global markets, economies, and wealth distribution. They are held accountable to the ruling politicians that in most cases have no respect for the principle of sound money. Instead, in Europe, the UK, Japan, the US, and elsewhere, central bankers have become intricately linked to monetizing government debts, and financing the expansion of the welfare state. As such, disciplined and independent central banking, a cornerstone to any hope for sound money and credit, has been relegated to the dustbin of history.
Central banking, - ostensibly designed to combat high levels of inflation and promote economic growth, while overseeing the stability of the banking industry, has instead, morphed into technocratic planning boards that are constantly involved in rigging the value of the financial markets. Their principal modus of operandi is to encourage risk taking in the local stock markets, through massive injections of ultra-cheap liquidity. However, the result isn't better economic conditions, but rather the expansion of massive bubbles in various financial markets. In turn, central bankers have widened the wealth gap between the owners of equities, and the rest of the struggling population whose wages are sliding backwards, and is increasingly seeking out assistance through welfare programs.
Historically, the value of the stock market reflected the dynamics of the local economy, and would influence the social mood of the populace. A stock market that is booming would signal an up-and-coming economy that would be followed by increased business investment and the creation of good paying jobs. Rising share prices boost the fortunes of about 10% of households in the country, and triggers a greater propensity to spend for goods and services - otherwise known as the "trickle down" effect. Therefore, keeping a constant vigil on the behavior of the stock market, - has become the raison d'être of central banks.
In earlier times, stocks traded on the local stock exchange used to track or even anticipate the nation's business cycle. But that reliable role as a leading indicator began to seriously break down after the financial crisis of 2008. Since then, because of the hallucinogenic effects of "quantitative easing" (QE), - stock markets are no longer reflections of the health of the local economies or forecasting mechanisms of the business cycles. Instead, they are just slices of ownership in specific companies that are unreliable gauges of anything but the underlying strength of the companies they represent, their dividend payments and buybacks, and the schizophrenic mind-set of the traders who buy and sell the shares.
Central banking, - ostensibly designed to combat high levels of inflation and promote economic growth, while overseeing the stability of the banking industry
Central Banking is designed so the bankers have complete and total controll of the currency and its creation. Therefore complete and total control of everything on planet earth. Once one realizes this, then one can truly appreciate what a huge success the Central Banks really are.
I'd lay that spread......ummmm
More Muppeting coming up
Cognitive Dissonance For 5 Year Olds
Cognitive Dissonance is too old for 5 year olds?
Sorry CD... I lean towards MILFs myself.
Too funny. :)
Muppletteers getting grabbed by the ears
Bernanke must be threatening to drone any bearish fund managers!!
Bernanke must be droning bearish fund managers!!
This is Sarah Palin's doing:
http://images.socialnewsdaily.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/sarah-palin-bear-hunting.jpg
The bears have been put out to pasture. Obama and Bernanke have banished the down tick!
Bugs Bunny's Best Bits
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KSXJNivi9KA (33:54)
Bugs Bunny's square dance in 'Hillbilly Hare'
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m9SrXRNPRCA
.
that was close ...
there was another one that was even better?
Meh, there is no "market", there is only Zimbabwe, or Weinmar, Rome, etc. etc.
Apparently, for all our technology, humanity never really learns anything.
I hope you're joking.
I just got back from buying tulip bulbs, South Seas and Lehman stocks....
DAMMIT!
Spot on Mr. Laws
“We learn from history that we do not learn from history”
? Georg Wilhelm Friedrich Hegel
1792 France?
optimist.
410 Rome? Nah, not yet.
1861 US? Nah, too pussified.
2007-2008 Zimbabwe?
No I'm not long gold here either. Who let all the sunlight in this week?
As any juggler will tell you- the secret is to not drop the balls.
Oh yea, well tell that to a man in his 60's.
Sure the optimism is so high it's bearish, but that just means the Fed will ease again, so it's bullish. In fact, recent speeches and today's WSJ piece are telling us their next move is to extend ZIRP for another 5 years at least.
I don't understand the "cognitive dissonance". The chart shows bull/bear ratio is positively correlated with the S&P 500. I thought that was one of the basics of finance. People get more aggressive as the markets rise. Are you trying to say your indicators are showing a crash ahead? Please switch off the broken record.
if you have cognitive dissonance there is no way you can understand it
sweet
In this instance, does the 'F' stand for 'Fuck' or 'Fed'? Or is that considered a tautology these days?
I'm looking and despairing Bennymandias.
It appears as though the stick figure has a gun to its head.
also appears he needs a hip replacement, and since he has just checked into the new ACA rates schedule, that explains the gun to his head. he can't get a new hip, but they did give him a screening for depression, and some new meds, which he can't afford, and the side effects include suicidal thoughts.
http://image-store.slidesharecdn.com/e180f1e2-46c5-11e3-8430-22000a8a1396-original.jpg
Hugo I don't know if you made that pic or not but I am friggin crying here. Thanks for the laugh.
Edit: Nevermind I see your tag in the corner. A+
all of the advisors are paid to be bullish, and 15% are still bearish? wtf?
Even the gold stocks caught a small bid - the market's truly gone off the rails.
Today I sold my house, my car, my kids and my wife to save my money for twitter tomorrow. Wish me luck.
So.... what did ya get for the wife?
Inquiring minds, and such...
Guy driving down the road, picks up a hitch hiker.
When he gets into the car, the driver notices he's carrying a bottle of scotch.
He asks 'what did you get the scotch for?'
Hitch hiker says 'for my wife'
Driver says 'Not a bad swap'
I'm sure some of those bears will come around AND THE TREND WILL CONTINUE!!! Call me when there are no bears left and I'll consider shorting...on second thought call me when the Fed stops buying, that'll be a better indicator.
Gas dropped bleow $3/gal in Joisey. What inflation? ZIRP for another 5 years? Buy big dividend payers!
I bought 30 gallons for $84 today.
Long RBOB.
That's very deflationary. I see QE 5 at $150 Billion a day very soon!
bulls on parade...bitchez
Everyone knows the crash is coming. It's just a matter of when. If you're as dumb as the senior citizens that tell me they're moving their 401Ks into stocks on Friday...then....well... don't say you weren't warned.
Watch for the Fed to increase QE. Fund managers have to make their nice year-end bonuses. It mat be a bit longer and a higher market, especially with the Fed juicing the market before Yellen takes over.
I agree normally in an election year they have the FED do good on the markets, ... now election has come and gone, and the FED is still doing good, for wall street.
Me thinks that with all the SHIT going down for OBAMA, the best thing he can do is take care of those who got him elected aka 'wall street bucks', so party on garth, cuz there is more to come,
Don't fight the FED, enjoy the party, and NEVER use your brain, all this has not one god damn thing to do with math, or science, ... its 100% HUMAN STUPIDITY, and its never going to end, until it ends, ... in the MEANTIME, get all the cheap money you can and buy real-estate, and fucking stocks,
Look at fucking facebook-fuck, ... its fucking higher than shit, who would have guessed? fucking bullshit, but in this country bullshit and stupid win everytime, ..
LongSoupLine is that you?
Nah not enough f-bombs
Twitter will be the biggest DAILY REVERSAL PATTERN EVER,
Target price 13.49$
I better get in now before I get priced out of the market...4EVA!
Better to buy stocks at artificial highs than to keep cash in the bank and have it confiscated -
Fear of a "bail in" is obviously what is causing money to stampede into the equity markets chasing 300X PEs
http://dollarvigilante.com/blog/2013/11/04/plans-in-place-for-a-us-bank-...
Cash...in a bank? Surely you jest!
Don't call him "Surely" because it's obviously "Muppet"....
i did not know that i could live for 5 years
with complete cognitive dissonance. though i
still remain, as far as i can tell, alive ,
i am not warming up to the state of mind at all.
the pain of it is becoming more pronounced and more
frequent.
i need an economic doctor !
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5X-6_0YqgeI
The Meters "Cissy Strut"
cognitive dissonance for a 5 year old ...
1.) I voted for obama
2.) obama will not cum in my mouth
3.) obama care will solve all my health problems
4.) if obama imprisons me in a FEMA camp, its for my own good
5.) When obama gets his 3rd term, then we'll get the cookies and cream
o man is a new world order macro political tool,
the more you are dead the more the macro installation
can succeed. it is a systems installation that will
bring about a new world order and a new identity for
the few and proud; apparently one must develop a taste
for familiar meat to become acclimated?
.
Sheriff and the Ravels - Shombalor (with lyrics)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wXHoYVEOFqs
CHUCK BERRY Too Much Monkey Business Sep '56
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W2nRjGHE620
It would be useful to go back to 1932 on these two graphs,
1.) so buy when the bull/bear drops below one, on a month to month basis?
2.) now is not to time to buy
3.) at best, it might go down 10% when there is a peak?
Another genius method for stock picking, or buying S&P ETF's, but its still churning, which never makes good money, and besides when some lose some and at best make 10%, but just as likely lose 10%, ... then less commission end up broke ... so what?
A better bet would be the BULL/BEAR ratio on GOLD going back to 1913,
or why not do a real chart like S&P/(bull/bear), then you could see the correlation, same with GoldPrice/(bull/bear),
but the worst part of this graph is it only goes back 2 years, what's the fucking point? real interesting stuff happened in 1988, 1997, 2001, 2007,...
Good news buy - bad news buy even more - it's a one-way street upwards, until it isn't.
From Investors Intelligence: Bullish advisors readings above 60% are a rare event, there had been none since prior to the October 1987 crash until 1999 when bullish readings surged above 60%, a pre-warning of “irrational exuberance”.
Almost there!
Can someone ELI5 (Explain it Like I'm 5) for me? I would love to have cognitive dissonance too but I don't understand the implications of these two charts.
http://www.safehaven.com/article/31717/the-ecbs-tough-balancing-act-bubbles-vs-deflation
Today, a small group of central bank chiefs can meet in private and wield unprecedented power over global markets, economies, and wealth distribution. They are held accountable to the ruling politicians that in most cases have no respect for the principle of sound money. Instead, in Europe, the UK, Japan, the US, and elsewhere, central bankers have become intricately linked to monetizing government debts, and financing the expansion of the welfare state. As such, disciplined and independent central banking, a cornerstone to any hope for sound money and credit, has been relegated to the dustbin of history.
Central banking, - ostensibly designed to combat high levels of inflation and promote economic growth, while overseeing the stability of the banking industry, has instead, morphed into technocratic planning boards that are constantly involved in rigging the value of the financial markets. Their principal modus of operandi is to encourage risk taking in the local stock markets, through massive injections of ultra-cheap liquidity. However, the result isn't better economic conditions, but rather the expansion of massive bubbles in various financial markets. In turn, central bankers have widened the wealth gap between the owners of equities, and the rest of the struggling population whose wages are sliding backwards, and is increasingly seeking out assistance through welfare programs.
Historically, the value of the stock market reflected the dynamics of the local economy, and would influence the social mood of the populace. A stock market that is booming would signal an up-and-coming economy that would be followed by increased business investment and the creation of good paying jobs. Rising share prices boost the fortunes of about 10% of households in the country, and triggers a greater propensity to spend for goods and services - otherwise known as the "trickle down" effect. Therefore, keeping a constant vigil on the behavior of the stock market, - has become the raison d'être of central banks.
In earlier times, stocks traded on the local stock exchange used to track or even anticipate the nation's business cycle. But that reliable role as a leading indicator began to seriously break down after the financial crisis of 2008. Since then, because of the hallucinogenic effects of "quantitative easing" (QE), - stock markets are no longer reflections of the health of the local economies or forecasting mechanisms of the business cycles. Instead, they are just slices of ownership in specific companies that are unreliable gauges of anything but the underlying strength of the companies they represent, their dividend payments and buybacks, and the schizophrenic mind-set of the traders who buy and sell the shares.
Central banking, - ostensibly designed to combat high levels of inflation and promote economic growth, while overseeing the stability of the banking industry
Central Banking is designed so the bankers have complete and total controll of the currency and its creation. Therefore complete and total control of everything on planet earth. Once one realizes this, then one can truly appreciate what a huge success the Central Banks really are.
"I'm pumping up sunshine
Oh yeah
I'm pumping up sunshine
Whoa oh
I'm pumping up sunshine
Oh Yeah
And it's feeling so good"
I don't get the background.. where are these bullish/bearish ratio charts/data from?