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Mystery Chart Of The Day

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Yet another chart that perfectly tracks the performance of the S&P (or Fed balance sheet). Guess what it shows...

 

 

The answer - and in this case perhaps correlation and causation are one and the same...

Opium Production has reached new record highs...

 

With the US illegal drug market growing dramatically (as we noted here), opium supplies have surged...

Opium poppy cultivation in Afghanistan rose to a new high of more than 200,000 hectares in 2013, a 36% increase over last year, the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime said Wednesday. The report, part of the agency’s annual survey, indicates a grave trend for the country as U.S. and NATO forces withdraw over the next year.

 

...

 

The 2013 figure represents the highest total cultivation ever for Afghanistan, surpassing the previous peak of 193,000 hectares in 2007. Total opium production reached roughly 5,500 tons, an increase of 49 percent since 2012. Opium prices fell slightly, but according to the report, the farm-gate value–the price of a crop when the farmer sells it–increased by almost a third. Nearly $1 billion of raw opium came out of Afghanistan last year, accounting for 4% of the country’s GDP.

 

...

 

The motivations behind opium cultivation are clear. In this year’s U.N. survey, nearly three-quarters of famers said they harvested the crop because of high income from little land, and 44% cited the high sale price of opium. Of the farmers in the survey who never cultivated opium, 60 percent said because it violates Islam.

And as one would expect with high supply, prices (in USD) have dropped...

One has to wonder what is driving all this demand? Perhaps it is the collapse of the middle-class and America being #1 in the world for Fear, Stress, Anger, Divorce, Obesity, Anti-Depressants...

Source: UN

 

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Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:00 | 4158839 HedgeAccordingly
HedgeAccordingly's picture

pretty wild.. lots of people on smack . 

http://hedge.ly/19qtZm1

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:04 | 4158858 Say What Again
Say What Again's picture

Whats the over/under for the SP500 hitting 1800 by the close today?

Whats the over/under for the SP500 hitting 1800 by next week?

 

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:06 | 4158869 SMG
SMG's picture

I guess it really was blood for poppies.

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:31 | 4158968 negative rates
negative rates's picture

Don't try to dance and drive at the same time on that stuff, the 2 of you will be lucky to make it home alive.

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:31 | 4158970 slotmouth
slotmouth's picture

Opium, the true opiate of the masses.

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 19:58 | 4159581 AlaricBalth
AlaricBalth's picture

Television is the cheaper substitute opium of the masses.

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 21:15 | 4159690 GlobalCtzn
GlobalCtzn's picture

The masses in my neck of the woods are all strungout on phone gadgets and sugar.......................

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:34 | 4158980 FEDbuster
FEDbuster's picture

How else are the CIA supposed to fund their "black ops"?

Hopium production is down.

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 18:00 | 4159274 Stuck on Zero
Stuck on Zero's picture

It's a DEA plan.  Production will go so high that prices will fall and make it uneconomical to traffic the stuff.

 

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:14 | 4158899 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

It'll hit 1800.4ish by close, then promptly dump in AH.

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:21 | 4158925 Say What Again
Say What Again's picture

Every major index, except the RUT is at an 52 week high now.

On a weekly basis, every index, except the NDX is at al all-time high.

How come I'm not rich?

 

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:25 | 4158941 resurger
resurger's picture

Me either, i thought 1,800 SNP would trickle

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 17:05 | 4158954 Say What Again
Say What Again's picture

That trickle is Jammie D pissing on the sheeple.

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 18:32 | 4159370 Nobody For President
Nobody For President's picture

Say what - it ain't about being rich, it's about being high...

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:23 | 4158934 resurger
resurger's picture

Must hit 1,800

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:00 | 4158841 maskone909
maskone909's picture

oxycodone ftw

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:00 | 4158844 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Funny, I couldn't begin to guess what got smacked down so far in 2001.

Yay, war.

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:11 | 4158891 seek
seek's picture

Actually it's not what you think. That's when the Taliban took control of the opium fields and shut down production.

The war actually brought production back online. Ponder that for a bit, in an Iran-Contra kind of way.

http://www.nytimes.com/2001/05/20/world/taliban-s-ban-on-poppy-a-success...

(Notice it's 4 months prior to 9/11, and USG is happy about it.)

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 17:02 | 4159070 MrPoopypants
MrPoopypants's picture

If the Taliban kept production shut down - imagine how much sooner the laundering banks would have been insolvent.

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:01 | 4158847 Theta_Burn
Theta_Burn's picture

Weekly health insuranance cancellations?

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:02 | 4158853 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

Sure, but Hopium production is on a downward slide.

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:06 | 4158871 drbill
drbill's picture

Opium is a tangible. Hopium is not.

 

Always go with the physical!

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:07 | 4158876 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

thus the need for opium.

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:06 | 4158872 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

moral of the story is we never should have sold bonds/debt in the first place.  anytime the treasury ever runs short of cash, they should just create "money" on a laptop and wire it to the payee. 

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:07 | 4158878 alien-IQ
alien-IQ's picture

What? did you really think the CIA got all it's funding from the government?

History has shown over and over again that wherever the US Military (and CIA) land, the drug trade flourishes. Is anyone naive enough to believe this is mere coincidence?

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:08 | 4158880 dick cheneys ghost
dick cheneys ghost's picture

geez........what happened in 2001?..........Ill give ya 1 guess

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:09 | 4158884 daemon
daemon's picture

" ... prices (in USD) have dropped... "

Whew !

At last, something affordable for Christmas .

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:09 | 4158886 TheRideNeverEnds
TheRideNeverEnds's picture

Bullish!

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:15 | 4158904 RaceToTheBottom
RaceToTheBottom's picture

Exceptional-ism!!!!

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:15 | 4158906 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

And now we know why the troops are still in that hell hole 12 years later. It must suck losing life and limb protecting these fuckers.

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:18 | 4158915 unplugged
unplugged's picture

I wish they would all find out together and walk off the job

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:17 | 4158911 unplugged
unplugged's picture

guess we are gonna need lots more obamacare

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:43 | 4158992 daemon
daemon's picture

" guess we are gonna need lots more obamacare "

Maybe. Almost all of the US population will be  transformed into zombies ...

Hmmm ..., on second thought maybe not ..., some of the training exercises of the DHS consist in shooting at zombies .

 

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:21 | 4158926 benbushiii
benbushiii's picture

Guess the Fed's not the only drug in the market!

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:29 | 4158959 yogibear
yogibear's picture

The good old reliable Wall Street leasure. Drugs and hookers. Trading offices had loads of coke and hookers.

When your making millions/billions money can buy alnost anything.

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:30 | 4158963 Hobie
Hobie's picture

The same thing happened during the Vietnam war when the U.S. military used Northern Thailand as their "cultivator". And it's easy to ship all that opium when you have special clearance for your air force and hundreds of bases around the world to ship it through. 

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:50 | 4159032 rosiescenario
rosiescenario's picture

Ferrari sales?

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 16:53 | 4159041 Parrotile
Parrotile's picture

The Opium Poppy (Papaver somniferum) is a very hardy plant, and like most Poppies, will grow almost anywhere - irrespective of soil quality. If you cannot produce anything else, poppies are a decent crop - if only for the seed.

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 17:01 | 4159062 MrPoopypants
MrPoopypants's picture

Paging Michael Ruppert...

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 17:18 | 4159143 cougar_w
cougar_w's picture

I can see the data, but I can't make any sense of what is going on here. My first guess is that something has totally disrupted life over there and people are being force to farm opium. Or a massive breakdown in social mores has allowed nominially God-fearing Muslims to throw off the chains and do what they please.

Or maybe, aliens.

Yeah, it's aliens.

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 23:58 | 4159979 monad
monad's picture

Consider this. A shitload of real estate in the USA was seized by traitors for the British crown and declared national parks and reserves. Don't take my word for it, it has happened all over the world. In the US the mexican mafia grows most of the dope peddled here on this land. Not serving allodial title since 1933.

Criminals front as lawyers and charities to get stuff. They are good at it. TFY

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 17:42 | 4159222 JamesBond
JamesBond's picture

so that's what we were doing in Afghanistan....

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 17:42 | 4159229 besnook
besnook's picture

a big wad of opium will get you through armageddon easier than a fully equiped dungeon.

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 17:44 | 4159233 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

great job Barry - rot in hell pig

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 19:11 | 4159467 Aquarius
Aquarius's picture

A recent medical report (that I read on-line) indicated that a huge* amount of births in the USA were producing babies 'Opium addicted'. Sorry, no reference on hand but I got the impression that this event is as serious as Fukushima.

Think of all those boys and gals in the US Financial Industries who live on this stuff.

"Say, Good Night, Dick"

Ho hum

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 19:35 | 4159528 monad
monad's picture

Send seasons greetings to:

George Jacob Jung #19225004
FCI FORT DIX
FEDERAL CORRECTIONAL INSTITUTION
P.O. BOX 2000
FORT DIX, NJ 08640

Release 27 November 2014 (maybe)

http://www.bop.gov/inmate_programs/money.jsp
http://www.bop.gov/iloc2/InmateFinderServlet?Transaction=NameSearch&need...

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 19:39 | 4159537 booboo
booboo's picture

Drug sniffing dogs need not apply for the military.

Fri, 11/15/2013 - 20:32 | 4159633 q99x2
q99x2's picture

My cousins daughter just died a weak ago but was found today dead from heroin. I never met her.

Arrest Kerry and Holder.

Sat, 11/16/2013 - 00:05 | 4159989 ShakaZulu
ShakaZulu's picture

What programmed software discovered this correlation?  I want to use it to get rich so I can afford to buy the stuff!

Sat, 11/16/2013 - 08:36 | 4160275 Haager
Haager's picture

Ah, it's Opium. My first thought was net-loss of jobs. But it doesn't matter, anyway.

Sat, 11/16/2013 - 14:36 | 4160670 pashley1411
pashley1411's picture

as Krugman would say, take more heroin, increased demand stimulates the economy.  

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