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The 5 Words Every Bull Needs To Ignore

Tyler Durden's picture




 

While we could (and have) show a plethora of charts of the trends of earnings, revenues, and macro data, the following 'summary' of Q3 earnings from Thomson One says it all... As far as pre-announcements, the 9.2x negative-to-positive is the "largest negative guidance on record" - five words, every bull should just ignore...

 

 

(h/t @Not_Jim_Cramer)

 

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Mon, 11/18/2013 - 18:53 | 4167205 BKbroiler
BKbroiler's picture

Quick, BTFLNGOR!

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 19:07 | 4167274 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Bullish!

Tue, 11/19/2013 - 00:25 | 4168476 Stuart
Stuart's picture

Moar POMO... must have MOAR POMO, GIVE ME MOAR POMO!!!  NOWWW DAMNIITTT!!  MOAR!

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 20:23 | 4167587 johngaltfla
johngaltfla's picture

Quick, flash naked pictures of Maria Bartiromo on CNBC to rally the markets!

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 20:45 | 4167669 Cursive
Cursive's picture

@johngaltfla

Projectile vomiting is bullish?

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 21:01 | 4167733 Black Warrior W...
Black Warrior Waterdog's picture

Quick, flash naked pictures of Maria Bartiromo on FOX to rally the markets!

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 20:30 | 4167612 Nothing but the...
Nothing but the truth.'s picture

This, as has been repeated many times over by many different commentators , is going to end horrifically. The Fed is taking America and the rest of the world, to hell in a handbag. If some semblance of sanity does not come to them soon, maybe it's time to indict them on charges of financial crimes against humanity.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 22:49 | 4168157 acetinker
acetinker's picture

Maybe?

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 18:53 | 4167212 dryam
dryam's picture

Up is down, down is up. Negative is positive....... I'm not sure what your world is, but I've adapted to the centrally planned new normal.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 19:26 | 4167372 Harbanger
Harbanger's picture

We'll all play the game for what it's worth knowing the game is rigged.  Can you blame people for trying to save themselves from this insanity?

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 22:51 | 4168165 acetinker
acetinker's picture

Blame?  To the extent that the players "make" the game... uhhh, yes!

Tue, 11/19/2013 - 01:56 | 4168639 Harbanger
Harbanger's picture

The planners "make" the game.  The players try to anticipate the central planners.

Tue, 11/19/2013 - 07:46 | 4168896 acetinker
acetinker's picture

Point taken-  "Don't hate the players, hate the game" comes to mind.  Conversely, if nobody played, the planners' power instantly evaporates.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 18:56 | 4167215 Rainman
Rainman's picture

Sheet, there he goes with that guidance thingy again ...BTFATH !!!

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 18:55 | 4167217 Super Broccoli
Super Broccoli's picture

no shit ? what the heck did they invest in AAPL ? lol

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 18:55 | 4167218 B2u
B2u's picture

BTFATH....

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 18:55 | 4167219 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

hey, things can only improve then, right?

bullish.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 19:00 | 4167231 Super Broccoli
Super Broccoli's picture

oh yeah that means the market must be sheep (oops, sorry ment cheap). QUICK, let's borrow quadrillions to buy like it's 1928 

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 19:06 | 4167266 camaro68ss
camaro68ss's picture

Theres only one place to go when you post a "worst on record" print. UP, right?? Time to put a 2nd on my house so i can buy MOAR!

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 19:20 | 4167338 TheFourthStooge-ing
TheFourthStooge-ing's picture

Hey, guidance can only improve.

 

 

Unless it sets another negative record, but what are the odds of that?

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 19:27 | 4167375 J Pancreas
J Pancreas's picture

Giiiirrrrrlllll please!! I'm on my third mortgage and a reverse HELOC. Used the second for GRPN and the FB IPO and third for TWTR. My reverse HELOC is a propriety BAC offering at my local branch supposedly to help the local economy but I just used it for BTC at $750. #winning

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 18:57 | 4167227 NOTaREALmerican
NOTaREALmerican's picture

Buy now or be priced out forever.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 19:11 | 4167296 CheapBastard
CheapBastard's picture

Pleeeeze let me buy that $325k house for $800k....Pleeeze!

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 18:58 | 4167229 Al Huxley
Al Huxley's picture

Is the FED still giving out free money to their banker buddies? They are?  OK, then this probably doesn't really matter, unless you're looking for a job.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 19:22 | 4167267 Ham-bone
Ham-bone's picture

Is the Fed still handing out currency swaps w/ every other CB with which they disseminate $'s internationally that can act as "foreign" buyers of Treasury debt?  

Six major central banks make currency swap accords permanent  - Extend '07 original emergency arrangements and make them permanent

http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/10/31/us-central-banks-swaps-idUSBRE99U0AJ20131031

Long as "money" is what they say it is...guess prices of things in "money" have a ways to go reach infinity.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 19:22 | 4167353 Al Huxley
Al Huxley's picture

They've figured out the magic formula whereby they can make their buddies whole after all those MBS fuck-ups back in 2008, generate obscene personal wealth for themselves and their friends, and yet keep the costs of essentials under enough control that the majority of the population stays happy with their I toys, football and EBT cards.  So the super rich get super richer, now that they're not on the hook for their past mistakes and can borrow at 0% to invest in a market that has a permanent FED put underneath it, while the rest either rage impotently against the machine, or don't even know it's happening.

 

In any case, fundamentals don't matter, because its now almost explicitly a rigged game to benefit a few at the top, not a secret game any more.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 19:39 | 4167401 Ham-bone
Ham-bone's picture

So clear that interest rates are "managed" globally now...Japan, Spain, Italy, US, UK, France...and on and on.  All going lower and lower.  And currencies all knotted together so there is no explicit winner or loser in the FX market.  Or simply put, NO MARKET.  Command economy.

FOMC created these "liquidity swaps" Dec 12, 2007...and now they are permanent. The swap lines were designed to improve liquidity conditions in U.S. and foreign financial markets by providing foreign CB's with the capacity to deliver U.S. dollar funding to institutions in their jurisdictions during times of market stress.

No "market" based consequences for bad behavior or bad governance for anyone...what a perfect world.  This is how Fed can "taper" but interest rates can remain low as a strong international bid remains???

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 20:00 | 4167492 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

It's a beautiful thing, isn't it?  Can't wait to see what the price of these publicly traded companies is when they've bought back so many of their own shares you couldn't even do a round lot trade without either gaining or losing controlling interest in the whole company.

 

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 21:15 | 4167773 bunzbunzbunz
bunzbunzbunz's picture

I'm confused...It's rigged to help those at the top. But those who are truly at the top, the billionaires can't get leverage (at least not much compared to their current wealth) to bet on the markets. They would have to bet with their own cash. Yet the middle class has access to unsecured credit in excess of twice their annual income. So by percentage of current wealth, I would say the middle class actually has the most to gain on these 'rigged' markets.

Sure you can argue that the billionaire can easily make more than I can make in a lifetime in a matter of minutes, but what the fuck does that matter? It doesn't improve their life at that point. And it doesn't hurt my life.

Why is it there is a 'they'? How do you know there is a 'they'. Or does it just make you feel better knowing there is a 'they' to blame?

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 23:13 | 4168243 acetinker
acetinker's picture

Maybe not the first, but certainly not the last to say, TROLOLOLOL!  The super-rich get to just create cash to play with, esp. since the American public is tapped out.  Do you think that $85bn/month is not passing thru select hands before reaching their targets?

You bet your ass there is a "they".  "They" own the mega-banks, which in turn own the western central banks, and "they" also own western governments.  Government doesn't control money.  It's the other way around.

The first thing you have to hold dear in order to revere (or ignore) "them" is religion.  If you believe that, you'll believe anything.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 19:20 | 4167336 spinone
spinone's picture

working for a living is for chumps.  Graft and confidence games is where its at.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 21:15 | 4167775 bunzbunzbunz
bunzbunzbunz's picture

That's the MEME people want to see. Congrats.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 19:04 | 4167250 surf0766
surf0766's picture

Banana

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 19:05 | 4167259 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Does not compute... stuck in the buy the dip mode, algos.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 19:17 | 4167322 hangemhigh77
hangemhigh77's picture

I put up the dirt in my backyard as collateral for a loan so I can BTFATH!!! Dow 50k by next week!!!

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 19:19 | 4167332 Occident Mortal
Occident Mortal's picture

Think I'm going to buy some Q2 puts tomorrow.

16,000 kind of rejected today. Even in the face of a POMO double tap.
A 20% pull back is 12,800 so I'm planning on getting some 14,000 puts.

We've been ranging for a while now since Bernanke halted the Bull trend.

Technicals are pointing to a reversal.

My guess is a pull back to a bear market giving Yellen cover to double down on QE (which will be disastrous).

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 19:25 | 4167358 Al Huxley
Al Huxley's picture

Why don't you just mail your money to the institution you're doing the trade with instead?  You know that, even if you're somehow on the right side of the trade, they're going to fuck you on the implied volatility and time decay.  Unless you're WRITING options, you might as well by lottery tickets.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 20:04 | 4167513 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

I'm with Al on this one.  There's plenty of smart people who have gotten their fingers burned off trying stuff like that the last few years.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 19:25 | 4167363 John McCloy
John McCloy's picture

Awesome BUT we are only a few weeks away from the "Santa Clause Rally" propaganda.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 19:31 | 4167395 Charles Wilson
Charles Wilson's picture

Soon to be called the "Winter Solstice Rally" in San Francisco.

Tue, 11/19/2013 - 00:29 | 4168486 NaN
NaN's picture

You mean the original winter holiday that actually is physically and astronomically significant might be celebrated somewhere? Nice.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 19:29 | 4167384 beegle
beegle's picture

in other news bitcoin 765

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 20:04 | 4167519 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

785 now.  Time to buy some tulips.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 19:29 | 4167389 Dolus
Dolus's picture

Greater chance of beating expectations. BTFATH!

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 19:44 | 4167437 texas sandman
texas sandman's picture

But...but...but corporate balance sheets are so STRONG!!!  

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 20:25 | 4167597 Village Smithy
Village Smithy's picture

85 Billion per month is the largest inflation of the money supply on record. + or - a few billion. I'm sorry, I have lost all faith in the free markets because they are gone.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 21:31 | 4167819 22winmag
22winmag's picture

The end of the beginning or the beginning of the end?

Tue, 11/19/2013 - 06:27 | 4168845 Cdn1
Cdn1's picture

Ok. So what happened at the last high readings of negative guidance? Stocks went down? up? when?

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