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The Great Rotation: From Bullion To Bitcoin

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Well you buy what's working, right? Don't fight the Fed? Oh wait...

 

 

BTC just hit $670...

 

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Mon, 11/18/2013 - 13:55 | 4165748 JimRogers
JimRogers's picture

ZH CAPITULATION!!!

WHERE'S THE DONATION ADDRESS? 

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:04 | 4165802 AllThatGlitters
AllThatGlitters's picture

Buy Fear / Sell Greed.

Now, which chart looks like fear, and which chart looks like greed?

The mistake people are making is believing that somehow that Bitcoin Chart is a reflection of some sort of deep principle, rather than nothing more than speculative greed.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:07 | 4165819 F-Tipp
F-Tipp's picture

Also I don't accept the premise that people are rotating out of bullion and into bitcoin. I would like to see some evidence that this is happening, if Tyler is going to call it the Great Rotation.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:12 | 4165837 Ham-bone
Ham-bone's picture

TIC shows no significant foreigners are selling US Treasury debt and maintaining their $5 T + in Notes/Bonds...simply not much left to buy due to Fed's $45 B untapered QE coupled w/ lower Treasury issuance...Foreigners maintaining over 50% of all Treasury debt (notes/ bonds) compared to the Fed's 20% (both about record highs)  (foreign record holdings of all Treasury debt was last March @ $5.721 T and now @ $5.653 T showing massive increases since '08)

http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/tic/Documents/mfh.txt

Tired of hearing bullshit about China, Russia, whoever running from the dollar...don't listen to what they say, look @ what they are doing...buying Treasury debt!

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:13 | 4165853 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

and bitcoin.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:26 | 4165914 Xibalba
Xibalba's picture

and the shiny stuff

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:34 | 4165955 Pegasus Muse
Pegasus Muse's picture

TIC shows no significant foreigners are selling US Treasury debt ...

Is the TIC Report as trustworthy and reliable as other government reports like Unemployment, Inflation and GDP?

http://www.shadowstats.com/alternate_data

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:37 | 4165969 strannick
strannick's picture

Gold is only as safe as its encryption. No wait, thats Bitcoin

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:39 | 4165978 CH1
CH1's picture

Gold is good, Bitcoin is good.

Get over the false dilemma.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:53 | 4166061 fonestar
fonestar's picture

People will fight to retain their ignorance as it is their most prized possession.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:01 | 4166095 BaBaBouy
BaBaBouy's picture

Didn't Somebody SELL ALASKA For $7M Fiats ???

 

Yep, REAL SMART...

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:36 | 4166249 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Exactly. That's a lot of gold...and oil...for seven million bucks. This thing is an arms race to see who can create to most secure form of "digital money exchange." They're trying to hold on to the very real money that is in their totally virtual bank that has only totally virtual money. Read up on Mt Gox. Only reported here btw...the Government should have demanded all the money be given back to the kids who put it in their. Instead the Government took it in the form of some "failure to get a license" thing. But now the system has evolved into an actual ATM...putting in real money, getting crypto currency then buying a cup of coffee with it. Sounds stupid...gotta admit I had a fear that all the dollars in my wallet would no longer be able to get my own coffee ("forced into an exchange"...sound familiar?) reality is that real dollars are flooding into a "virtual currency" so to the extent that it is providing greater security of your personal savings then it's hard to argue they 're not adding value. The dollar amounts to set up one of these "mining operations" is now gigantic...5 million I hear. Plus your electrical bill goes sky...all just to define "your money is still in the bank" and "you are who you say you are."

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 18:03 | 4166954 Squid-puppets a...
Squid-puppets a-go-go's picture

rotation from gold into Bittulip ? Damn, and we were the width of a pubic hair away from cracking Comex

(sarc about bittulip, i am a fan of it, i just dont think it has a wide enough utility to truly become a major force)

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 19:20 | 4167340 gold-is-not-dead
gold-is-not-dead's picture

double spend proof protocol has no price... just like some other major inventions, a steam machine in a world of finance?

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:49 | 4166293 SilverIsKing
SilverIsKing's picture

Any of you ZHers buy Bitcoin anywhere near $600/BTC?

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:53 | 4166307 fonestar
fonestar's picture

I will be buying until the crack-up boom.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 17:00 | 4166649 Herd Redirectio...
Herd Redirection Committee's picture

Thats good.  Like English humor.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 16:55 | 4166622 SilverIsKing
SilverIsKing's picture

Thought so.  So no one here is paying $600+ for a Bitcoin and this place is ground zero for Bitcoin.  So who is paying the higher and higher price for these Bitcoins?  The Chinese?  Sure.

 

Tue, 11/19/2013 - 10:34 | 4169346 TheHound73
TheHound73's picture

HAHA, i did. just doing my part to get it in the news  O.o....

Well, doing dollar cost averaging over 2 weeks, painful to press the buy button today but did it anyways.

 

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:11 | 4166153 Simplifiedfrisbee
Simplifiedfrisbee's picture

If the bitcoin community shares your view fonestar, then I detest bitcoin. You appear to have traits of a sociopath and dictator who praises his own intelligence and knowing, while preaching anti-banks. You are a corrupted man who will rise to a dictator given the chance, and to the depth of only your own ignorance will you succeed. You can have bitcoin and your false theories of value. It seems more and more, that greed is your God. I know truly why value is inherent in all that man has dominion over. Love. So keep your anger and self righteousness for when your time comes, be conscious that he who will exhalt you from your inequities, looks at the heart.

Hint: Give advice and Information that is useful.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:54 | 4166207 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Value is subjective, not intrinsic.  You're pissed because you bet all your money on a losing horse and you're a sore loser.  You claim to be against ignorance but it's apparent you revel in it.  Why should I be sympathetic to those who claim some of the greatest technological and mathematical genius in human history has "no intrinsic value"?  Fuck 'em!!!

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 16:37 | 4166532 Simplifiedfrisbee
Simplifiedfrisbee's picture

False. I have not bet on a losing horse, I have won the race. I stopped playing the game of "ego" long ago. That is precisely why your view towards my words are a gnashed set of teeth. You are weak without a cloak to disguise your true self. You hide in the internet and flourish with your ego because you have devious fantasies of your virtual throne that only you can hold and that is built solely for your premise. Your a sociopath and in real life you simply can not accept failure. You spew anger at me and call me angry. Bitcoin will not liberate you. Wether it is $5000 or $50, when the time arrives we all must accept who we truly are. That your ignorance gives you breathing room to rise above your own stench, is a losing bet. That you humble yourself is a winning proposition and you might help inflate bitcoin more.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 16:50 | 4166596 ElvisDog
ElvisDog's picture

Man, it's cool that the Dalai Lama has the ZH name "Simplifiedfrisbee". Your avoidance of the usual "you're an idiot, no you're a bigger idiot" rhetorical exchange is refreshing like a icy glass of beer on a hot beach. You may have done the impossible - silenced fonestar.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 17:04 | 4166669 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Nobody is going to silence me!  We are riding the Bitcoin to the top!  Take no prisoners and no surrender!

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 17:21 | 4166772 ElvisDog
ElvisDog's picture

I up-arrowed you, fonestar, because I find your Rasputin-like insanity to be entertaining. 

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 17:40 | 4166858 RichardP
RichardP's picture

Win the whole thing.  Use your inflated bitcoin to buy tulip bulbs.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:52 | 4166308 Seer
Seer's picture

There's theory and then there's reality...

As I keep saying, and I'm in no way bashing the intent/THEORY of Bitcoin, so don't get me wrong, Bitcoin is way too limited in reach and its dependencies on a highly controlled infrastructure (internet w/NSA now firmly hooked into it) is vastly overlooked.

PMs have a proven track record.  They have survived countless calamities and currency busts.  ANYONE can possess them, no infrastructure (other than perhaps a coffee can) is required.  Yeah, cumbersome, but Bitcoins would also be a bit cumbersome in cases when one cannot make an internet connection (think that the NSA can't create internet brownouts?).  Also, PMs are held by TPTB themselves, in which  case it's highly unlikely that PMs will be associated with "terrorism."

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 17:25 | 4166787 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

What's gold backed by?
;-)

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:31 | 4166234 Ham-bone
Ham-bone's picture

Pegasus - Is the price of gold reliable?  Oil?  Dollar?  Bit coin?  Interest rates?  GDP?  Inflation? 

Of course nothing is reliable in a global command economy...it simply is what it is.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:15 | 4165869 maskone909
maskone909's picture

its great you have taken the initiative to look for yourself, as i have not.  have you tried calculating the average holdings as compared to issuance?  is that increasing or decreasing?

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:25 | 4165907 Ham-bone
Ham-bone's picture

After gargantuan increases from '08 to early '12, Foreign holdings have flattened out...seems commensurate w/ a decrease from $1.7 T peak debt issuance to present $700 B debt issuance...

But just so you know this could all be bullshit...read the Treasury's note from the bottom of the report???

The data in this table are collected primarily from U.S.-based custodians. Since U.S. securities held
     in overseas custody accounts may not be attributed to the actual owners, the data may not provide a precise accounting of
     individual country ownership of Treasury securities

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:36 | 4165963 maskone909
maskone909's picture

this report may or maynot be complete bullshit.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:51 | 4166004 Ham-bone
Ham-bone's picture

China may or may not hold $1.294 T in US Treasury debt...Japan may or may not hold $1.178 T???

But the more I think open mindedly about QE...the more I think it may not be an issue to taper!?!  If "foreigners" were so willing to massively increase their holdings from '08 til now...if the Fed has to taper for a bit, what's to stop "foreigners" from continuing their now 5yr buying spree of Treasury debt?  Who's to say they don't get the dollars for free via QE or currency swaps or the like and maybe they have a sweetener quid pro quo (cheap gold???) for their continued ever increasing ownership of US Treasury debt?@?

Whether "foreigner" is truly the countries attributed in the report or not...the debt is finding a home somehow, someway (ESF? or or or)...interest rate spikes seem more of a political tool than reflecting true demand / supply? 

Welcome to the hall of mirrors.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:53 | 4166063 CPL
CPL's picture

LOL!  Awesome.  Now take the same offer, put it on a box and sell it in a store.  No one sane would ever buy it.

"Buy Acme brand box of nothing, may or may not contain something."

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:12 | 4166161 InTheLandOfTheBlind
InTheLandOfTheBlind's picture

may i propose that bitcoin is being inflanted while the great purchasing acquistion of precious metals continues.... another day... another.... well something.....

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 17:32 | 4166828 Poor Grogman
Poor Grogman's picture

Now if there were serious issues in the phys market on the supply side .
What better way to keep the game going a bit longer (pun intended) than to slip in a brand new shiny distraction, that is guaranteed to pull purchasing power in a different direction.

Of course there's no issues in the phys market at all so this theory must be false.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:24 | 4165906 indygo55
indygo55's picture

Someone had made buying Bitcoin here in the US very difficult. Go ahead and try to buy a bitcoin without flying to Vancouver.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:40 | 4165980 CH1
CH1's picture

People do it every fucking day!

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:42 | 4165993 fonestar
fonestar's picture

It looks like localbitcoins.com is having trouble right now?  Possible DDOS attack?

Canadianbitcoins.com has been DDOS'd before.  Looks like we are winning!

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:02 | 4166107 dracos_ghost
dracos_ghost's picture

LOL. I guess healthcare.gov is a fucking success then.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:10 | 4166146 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

I told you last week the localbitcoin spread was $500 dollars apart where I live.

Buying $200 and selling at $700 when the spot was $400-450. Sounds perfectly reasonable. s/

Enjoy the ride.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 16:12 | 4166398 Rubbish
Rubbish's picture

I'm spinning a 1 oz. Gold Eagle on my desk.

 

 

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:14 | 4166132 Cacete de Ouro
Cacete de Ouro's picture

..

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:07 | 4166134 Cacete de Ouro
Cacete de Ouro's picture

If some bit coins were in a boating accident, would they sink or float?

Just askin'

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:56 | 4166320 Buckaroo Banzai
Buckaroo Banzai's picture

I had a bunch of bitcoins, but I lost them in an internet accident. In the cloud.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 16:01 | 4166343 dick cheneys ghost
dick cheneys ghost's picture

I store my bitcoins on the front lawn and driveway, since they are invisable, I have no worries about anyone stealing them..........

get it?

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 16:55 | 4166625 StillSilence
StillSilence's picture

Hard to figure many are selling physical bullion to aquire bitcoin, aside from maybe those heavy in PM needing to liquidate in order to fund an online purchase perhaps. Wouldn't be shocking if GLD or SLV were being swapped for some bitcoins, though. I could also see where some new investment $$ might be swayed into bitcoin rather than adding to a physical postion.

Let's assume that right now bitcoin and gold are a 1:1 at about $1,000 and also that you hold an equal position in each. They both then begin a rapid ascent in what appears to be investments and savings around the world moving away from debt and risk based assets. The price of each goes over $5,000, then $10,000 and let's say to $20,000 or so.

Perhaps many of you would not change your position at this point, but would you be more comfortable converting your (physical) gold into bitcoins at this point or trading your bitcoins in to sit with all gold? If you had to make a move one way or another, what would you do? Would anyone go completley cyber?

Just curious.

 

 

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:12 | 4165849 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

Just another fiat currency relying on faith.Fiat valued in fiat.

The irony is far beyond the BTC enthusiasts.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:50 | 4166043 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Fiat is a dictate and has nothing to do with faith or "intrinsic value" (which is still situational).

Where is the Ark Royal Mr. Churchill?"

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 16:01 | 4166347 Buckaroo Banzai
Buckaroo Banzai's picture

Actually, ALL currencies rely on faith, to one degree or another. Even gold relies on the faith that someone won't find a gigantic ore body of the stuff that will destabilize gold's scarcity (and thus put a dent in its Store of Value).

"Fiat" money is money that is DICTATED to its users by force. The definition of the word FIAT is "an arbitrary order or decree", and is derived from the Latin word, which meant, "Let it be done". To wit: "This note is LEGAL TENDER for all debts, public and private".

BitCoin, like gold, and unlike the Federal Reserve Note, is freely chosen by those that use it.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:49 | 4166039 Meat Hammer
Meat Hammer's picture

The mistake people are making is believing that somehow that Bitcoin Chart is a reflection of some sort of deep principle, rather than nothing more than speculative greed.

I'd partially agree with that...regarding some people.  But ya have to chalk a little bit of it up to an awakening of sorts.  If BTC goes tits-up, the newly-awakened individual who now understands paper fiat is worth the final outcome.  

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:53 | 4166055 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Reminds me of when the Morgue walked silver up to $50, only to bring the hammer down in order to teach everyone that there is no alternatives to their games.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:57 | 4166071 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

which time?

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:06 | 4166129 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Yes

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 16:04 | 4166361 Buckaroo Banzai
Buckaroo Banzai's picture

I would agree, except that BitCoins cannot be naked shorted. Unlike silver, which can be (and is) naked shorted to infinity.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 16:54 | 4166613 dracos_ghost
dracos_ghost's picture

The have started options (well not really more like horse betting) on them. Not far off from other derivatives to mess it all up. I'm really surprised we haven't seen a Sprott-like PSLV surface at this point for Bitcoins. I think it would have been better if BTC stayed off the radar a little longer in it's lifecycle. Feeling like a gold rush mentality. I'm not sure why you think BitCoins can't be naked shorted. They could pull a CME ("option for the counterparty to force settlement in cash") option. Someone like GS could put this on and club the BTC crowd like baby seals with this tactic.

Plus, it will be interesting to see how the miner transaction rate explodes as the scarcity factor reaches a saturation point.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 18:06 | 4166906 AllThatGlitters
AllThatGlitters's picture

Meat Hammer - The question is, how many principled libertarian types are now just standing aside, fully aware that the current run is just speculative frenzy? This runup could be the ultimate undoing for BTC, so people like Fonestar should stop back-patting and pumping, unless he is really just pumping to cash out and has no real principled belief in BTC.  

I agree that to some extent, people are indeed waking up, but not to the tune of 25% moves in a few hours.  This is speculative frenzy. I don't pretend to know where it ends up, but right now, this is just greedy greater fool gaming going on.

To the poster that said it looks like when JPM walked silver up to $50.  Yes, it does indeed.  Speculative excess always looks like silver at the peak, or BTC right here (or at 1,000 or 5,000, I have no idea).

To the poster that said the diff. with BTC is that it can't be naked shorted:  

Indeed, which makes it a more pure market, and clearly without shorting (naked or otherwise), the bubbles become much greater.  BTC right now may be a case study as to why shorting is a good thing (naked shorting is another story.  

Could tulip bulbs be naked shorted? If so, somebody is going to figure out how to do it with BTC. Heck, they can just make it up on paper, exactly like they did with silver and gold.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:07 | 4165822 fonestar
fonestar's picture

We will be buying your gold coins for a few satoshis.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:30 | 4165937 Gief Gold Plox
Gief Gold Plox's picture

Please do. Buy as much gold as you can get your hands on. We need any extra demand you can muster. The markets must break before we see any hint of reality again.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:50 | 4166046 Meat Hammer
Meat Hammer's picture

Only if you buy as much Bitcoin as you can.  We, too, need any extra demand you can muster.  

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:18 | 4166180 anonum
anonum's picture

You can keep your buttcoins

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:33 | 4166240 fonestar
fonestar's picture

That is the plan.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:12 | 4165847 CPL
CPL's picture

Then the exchange moves from Fait:PM pairing to follow BtC:PM because that's how market action works if leveraging the inexhaustible power of greed.  Shift the direction on it.

Then PM's go up with BtC once the poorly managed and hamstrung PM positions of trade house snap like dry twigs.  It was the only way to get the commodities to reflect their true value with a handful of clowns sitting on it causing annoyance to everyone.  The commodity houses that don't move are going to be SOL.  Holders of PM's get rewarded.

Think of it like a wagon.  Right now the wagon is attached to a dead horse.  The wagon gets moved to the next horse that is alive, young and ready to move.  And as a ironic twist of fate, those assing around on the price action of PM's for the last couple of years causing everyone a tonne of grief.  Those guys lose their shirts because they are comparing worthless fiat, to shiny and new BtC.  Price action properly adjusts itself because there is no reason to hold fiat anymore...

They make the rules and bend them.  Only seemed fair to use them to untie the gordian knot.  Checkmate in four moves....

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:47 | 4166284 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Exactly.  Bitcoin was the best thing that ever happened to holders of PMs (well the ones who had sufficient amounts anyway).  Too bad many of them seem too dumb to realize that fact.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 16:01 | 4166345 Seer
Seer's picture

The shift from fiat to bitcoins to purchase PMs... the circle will be painted.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 17:12 | 4166708 CPL
CPL's picture

Rounding the wagons takes coordination and thinking of every possible outcome while avoiding people murdering each other over something as worthless as an IOU.  Plus the existing debt is available to service at micro fractions of the originally racked up sum.

Total world derivatives exposure stands at 3.4 Quadrillion dollars, worldwide, as in eveyrone's debt.  Now take that large number and put it into a limited set of currency that can count backwards in fractions.  It gets priced somewhere between 'sweet fuck all' and 'squat'.    Can't charge interest on it either by the nature of that right sliding price action, debt chokes itself to death by the single function of interest.  It's a situation that forces a jubillee and the ability to clear the slate.

The debts aren't important afterwards, they can be covered in a day of mining a coin. What is important is the record of them is.  Bean counters need them to figure out how it messed up.  Legal departments and Lawyers need it for court cases.  All of it.

 

Tied up a problem nicely so everyone can get on with their lives.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 17:39 | 4166837 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

BOTH gold + bitcoin are a natural pair. Think of Btc popping in and out of virtual reality into physical reality via gold -- like virtual and real quantum particles.

As a Pair, they make fiat COMPLETELY unnecessary. And the TPTB fucking KNOW this.

It's just that some (many?) gold bugs have figured this out yet, or haven't wrapped their emotions/psyche around this reality yet. Such people are merely Late Adopters (a marketing term), who will "come around eventually, but will have missed the opportunity of early low prices. Imagine how well the clever, diligent and balsy Early Adopters have been rewarded.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 18:00 | 4166942 mbutler101
mbutler101's picture

Yes, we will come full circle. I believe PMs and BTC are complementary...for now. 

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:02 | 4165783 dryam
dryam's picture

Governments have a better chance of tracking bit coin on the web than gold in peoples's physical possession. Thus, the gov says bit coin wins. They decide, you don't. That's how the game is played. Enjoy your delusional thinking.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:14 | 4165858 ThirdWorldDude
ThirdWorldDude's picture

BTMFD and go fishin'

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:15 | 4166172 CPL
CPL's picture

Currency as software.  There's always a home grown option that can be used to manage aspects of technology and it's security.  Just look at IT now.  Tonnes of smart security guys all over the world that can assist in all sorts of opportunities for all variety of community, business and public needs.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:38 | 4166248 fonestar
fonestar's picture

I have to say I'm a little skeptical about the dark wallet residing as a plug-in given the amount of browser hijackings we've seen over the years.

If I ran it, it would be in a locked down, stripped down browser.  No java script, no flash-player, no other plug-ins, no cookies, no nothing.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 17:42 | 4166864 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

Yesterday you promised to provide info today on how to create a btc wallet, etc.

Please do so.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:41 | 4165989 CH1
CH1's picture

Governments have a better chance of tracking bit coin on the web than gold in peoples's physical possession.

Franklin fucking Roosevelt, okay?

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:48 | 4166028 highandwired
highandwired's picture

You have no idea what you are talking about.  I can create a brand new wallet on a "clean" laptop which I can access in a coffee shop and send you Bitcoin totally anonymously.  When I go to another country, all I need is to remember a password in my head.  No bulky shiny to declare to the state. 

 

Edit:  Good luck moving your gold to another country in case we have a repeat of the Soviet Union. 

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:01 | 4166096 buyingsterling
buyingsterling's picture

all I need is to remember a password in my head

Everyone eventually breaks under torture.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 16:02 | 4166352 Herd Redirectio...
Herd Redirection Committee's picture

Or when a loved one is threatened.  That works for hidden gold as well, though...

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:24 | 4166206 atomp
atomp's picture

high, What if, and believe me, this is just a hypothetical... what if someone accidentally put a bullet right there next to your password?  Who ends up with the "bitcoin" then? And how much is it worth?

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 16:30 | 4166493 Seer
Seer's picture

And if TPTB suspect you of having Bitcoin do you think that they might not be looking to restrict your travel?

Again, Bitcoin's weak spot is that it relies on something that is highly controlled by TPTB and has been only around on a commercial scale for around 30 years.

Coffee shop?  Are you another one of those city boys?  Careful about those places, just ask the Israelis.

My dog recently did some damage to some property of my neighbor's.  This being a rural area folks aren't real hip on high-tech stuff.  Even IF I had Bitcoin I doubt that I could use it in this case.  The restitution is pure barter- I will grade his driveway.  I think that the NSA folks aren't likely going to be monitoring that activity...

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 17:08 | 4166698 dracos_ghost
dracos_ghost's picture

Real good point. What happens when you buy a widget that you want shipped to your address. There is now a destination that can be tagged to that super-secret hash you transacted with. And do you think people in general will create a separate wallet for each transaction. Odds on they won't.

 

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:13 | 4166168 SilverDoctors
SilverDoctors's picture

The lemmings are chasing bitcoin into a parabolic rally while dumping their gold and silver.  Rare art, S&P, basically all forms of wealth preservation for big money are going exponential.  Gold and silver WILL follow...in time.
While Joe 6-pack dumps his bullion for bitcoin, Hinde Capital's Ben Davies believes gold is still THE place to park your wealth.
http://www.silverdoctors.com/ben-davies-turning-adversity-into-gold/

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:44 | 4166269 holgerdanske
holgerdanske's picture

I think it is the man in the street giving the establishment the finger. It is a nice thing the day we can trade without the government trying to look over your shoulder all the time.

Who has given them the right to snoop on everything we do?

 

But, for me, never a substitute for gold, substitute for paper and digital FIAT money issued by any state, but never, ever for a gold coin.

Gold is for saving; bitcoins, barter, --whatever you prefer, for trade. And it seems people are not too keen on the government issue. Who can blame them.

This insane rise in the the stock market will continue until the currency crashes. Indications are, that this is maybe the end of the beginning!

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:50 | 4166294 in4mayshun
in4mayshun's picture

Agreed. I view gold/silver as a different type of product than Bitcoins. Gold is SHTF life insurance. Bitcoin, like all other fiat, will be irrelevant in a SHTF scenario.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 13:55 | 4165757 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

Easier to carry....easier to rip off. Plus and minus to everything. Don't think my local farmer will take Bitcoins for chickens or goats...but he does take gold or silver.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 13:59 | 4165776 keymoo
keymoo's picture

@papaswamp you will look back on this comment in two or three years and smile (or cry)

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:50 | 4166044 highandwired
highandwired's picture

I wager he will cry

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 16:35 | 4166523 Seer
Seer's picture

Food, Shelter and Water.  If he's a farmer then he's likely set.  As I noted above, I live in a rural area and I highly doubt that Bitcoin is going to be all the rave.  Average age of farmers is increasing.  Old people just don't do too well in absorbing new technologies; and, face it, Bitcoin IS a technology (it's an idea that's highly dependent upon technology, enough so that one could say that it IS a technology [obviously it's NOT physical, so that leaves it more in the realm of process/idea/virtual thing]).

But, assuming that you really want to wager (rather than just attempting to sound good) then by all means don't hold yourself back.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:04 | 4165790 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Yes, yes we do.  If bitcoin really has all the "value" they claim, then it will be the "unforeseen" hyperinflation event to end all hyperinflationary events.  Interestingly enough I am still looking for clear instructions on how to sell some of our product online using bitcoin and then turn the bitcoin into any fiat (and PMs of course).  The fact that I can't get a straight answer from anyone who claims to be a bitcoin "expert" speaks volumes.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:06 | 4165816 maskone909
maskone909's picture

im no expert but try bitpay.com  seems simple enough to me

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:23 | 4165905 Saro
Saro's picture

Correct! You put their widget on your page, and when the customer pays them in BTC, the deposit dollars into your account directly.

Plus, they take all risk (and rewards) when it comes to BTC's value fluctuations.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:50 | 4166042 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

"deposit dollars into your account directly."  - and then hackers have access to my account?  I think not.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 17:48 | 4166891 Saro
Saro's picture

Not sure what you mean.

You don't accept credit card payments?  How does the credit card company pay you? In cash?

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 16:40 | 4166543 Seer
Seer's picture

The cynic in me wonders how camped out the NSA is in places like this (if not inside, then at the doorsteps).

Given the big push toward dumping fiat and going electronic I have to ask whether people don't get it that Bitcoin represents exactly what TPTB are looking to do.  Could they misjudge?  Perhaps...

No matter, acquire meaningful assets, do good work, and be kind. (borrowing a bit from Scott Nearing)  Everything else is just a detail.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:09 | 4165828 Bunga Bunga
Bunga Bunga's picture

I see only hyperinflation in the number of Bitcoin articles on ZH. Better they post Bitcoin ATH articles only, when a zero gets added.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:19 | 4165882 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Well just use locals right now at localbitcoins.com.  The fact that such a strong currency has such limited means just points to how far this really has to run.....

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:19 | 4165885 The Abstraction...
The Abstraction of Justice's picture

LawsofPhysics:

 

download bitcoin wallet from bitcoin.org on to your secure PC. Synchronize with network. In the software generate a receive address for bitcoins. Copy and paste on to your website. Create an email/phone system where you agree a btc/usd ratio, having priced your goods in USD. Buyers have to transfer the btc within 2 hours of the quote. Job done.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 16:44 | 4166560 Seer
Seer's picture

Another city boy...

I've been inside the tech world (even worked with electronic currencies).  I have to laugh at the insanity of it all.  Yeah, ->I<- understand this, but what about the hordes of people who don't?  Population demographics have us aging.  Old people struggle with newfangled technologies.  And if you think "so what about them," reconsider that it's likely They that have any real remaining wealth (all the younger people are pretty much dead broke and in debt).

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 17:25 | 4166785 The Abstraction...
The Abstraction of Justice's picture

Come the financial cliff and the Great Holocaust, the only people left alive will be the preppers and the stackers, who have the sophistication to have studied modern econimics. The average bumpkin will be dead.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 17:55 | 4166919 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Don't know if I'd call the average prepper "sophisticated".   In any case, those with the fortitude to pull a trigger, will do just fine.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:38 | 4165974 SgtShaftoe
SgtShaftoe's picture

It's actually pretty easy.  There are a bunch of APIs built for bitcoin e-commerce.  The problem lies in that most of the 3rd party store providers like Volusion won't integrate bitcoin yet.  So you have to build your own e-commerce store  and integrate your Bitcoin API of choice.  You can throw up a e-commerce store to sell shit easy.  Trying to integrate an existing store that is run by a third party is a bit trickier at the moment. 

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:04 | 4165798 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Then your local farmer can stay in the dustbin of history where he belongs.  I have no more patience for sentimental throwbacks holding back the rest of the world.  Technological adoption has been moving far too slowly the last twenty years.  Time for this to change.

Or as a punk rocker's jacket once told fonestar in the Pacific northwest, "get modern or get fucked".

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:05 | 4165810 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

When fraud is the status quo possession is the law.  -  All you need to know at this point.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:07 | 4165818 dick cheneys ghost
dick cheneys ghost's picture

call me when the Saudi's trade invisable coins for oil..............

~~~

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:11 | 4165840 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Well 1 BTC will already buy you 6.5 barrels....

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:14 | 4165856 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Unfortunately no suppliers are making that exchange, for now...

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:20 | 4165889 fonestar
fonestar's picture

....and so they can continue to lose.  My response to all the rest of the throwbacks as well... fuck 'em.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:44 | 4166011 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Throwbacks?    We are a farming co-op of mostly veterans who remain well-trained as a matter of practice and many of us still serve.  You really think you are gonna fuck us over?  Time to get out of the basement kid, it's a great big world and you're missing it.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:57 | 4166074 highandwired
highandwired's picture

The future are what you call "kid"s.  They are the one's who will vote with their wallets and are right now.  This can be seen in the price of fiat in terms of Bitcoin.  Fiat is hyperinflating in the only freely traded (not manipulated) commodity, Bitcoin. 

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:38 | 4166253 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

The 35,000 acres we farm is going nowhere and it will continue to be defended/managed by my tride and our children.   You still think voting matters?  That says it all right there.  When you get hungry enough, you will give us your wealth one way or another, that's my point.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:59 | 4166084 fonestar
fonestar's picture

If you want to be a throwback that's your choice.  You can be a farmer, a baker, a plumber, a programmer whatever.  It doesn't matter what your vocation is.  It's your personal choice.  Lead, follow or get out of the way.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:22 | 4165898 ElvisDog
ElvisDog's picture

Time for you to come clean, fonestar. You're not some cyber-revolutionary-visionary, are you? You bought some bitcoins, and just like R/E flippers you're hoping to generate some momentum so you can turn a sweet profit. I'd believe your bullshit a lot more readily if you were just a bit more subtle about talking your book.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:32 | 4165939 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Hahaha!  Morons!  I've been an ardent supporter of the cryptoanarchist manifesto and cypherpunks since the late 1990's.

I've been telling coworkers and everyone for years who said crap like "gee whiz email really changed the world eh Bob?" that they haven't seen anything yet!

We're only getting started and we are hell-bent on turning this world upside down!  Most of you self-righteous PM bugs are latecomers to this party. 

Can you hack it?

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:40 | 4165981 maskone909
maskone909's picture

wait until they unleash quantum computing and quantum networks upon us.  the technology singularity is coming.  just imagine the power to simulate AI, and create our own universes.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:45 | 4166017 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Yeah, he could stay in the basement indefinitely...

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:00 | 4166083 pazmaker
pazmaker's picture

Question :  Have you figured out how to eat a virtual egg?

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:12 | 4166159 NIHILIST CIPHER
NIHILIST CIPHER's picture

Question:     How much money will fonestar have when the lights go out?

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:17 | 4166177 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Lots and lots is your answer.  Lots of silver, lots of gold, lots of Bitcoin.  But it pales in value to my ideals!

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:10 | 4166150 NevadaMirage
NevadaMirage's picture

"cryptoanarchist manifesto and cypherpunks"

 

Someone found a copy of 2600 at Barnes and Noble. Good for you Zero Cool!

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:40 | 4165984 thisandthat
thisandthat's picture

Buys? From whom?

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:12 | 4165845 Swarmee
Swarmee's picture

Sorry, my phone cannot connect a call to you from 1971.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:07 | 4165824 Gazooks
Gazooks's picture

modern: caveman in a dress twiting about his bulging digital wallet

 

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:18 | 4165876 ThirdWorldDude
ThirdWorldDude's picture

And his mom's basement being the proverbial cave.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:12 | 4165841 walküre
walküre's picture

Enjoy eating your imaginary virtual eggs and bacon. Idiot.

Signed

Farmer

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:23 | 4165904 fonestar
fonestar's picture

As ye sow, so shall you reap.  I'll buy your crops for a few satoshis that I earned by providing "essential services" (sitting on my ass in front of my IBM laptop).

Fully 'tarded.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:31 | 4165943 ThirdWorldDude
ThirdWorldDude's picture

Kid, you're getting delusional. Time to get out of the basement and get some fresh air!

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 16:54 | 4166615 Seer
Seer's picture

+1,000

Anyone thinking that farmers are stupid ought to try farming*.  I've been in very high-tech and am now in farming.  Farming is WAY more difficult.

Oh, and I can eat what I produce.  I appreciate tech (I use it when it makes sense to do so) and what it has given us, but a LOT of it is more of a distraction than an aid.  And in the end it'll come down to what it always has been about- PHYSICAL resources.

* Grass farmers (not the MJ kind) are some of the smartest people I've ever run across.  Support them, as our future depends on them.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:16 | 4165873 The Abstraction...
The Abstraction of Justice's picture

Farmers in England all drive computer controlled hover-tractors. You guys in America still on horseback?

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 16:57 | 4166632 Seer
Seer's picture

Um... ALL farmers?

Not that I would ever want to defend them, but the Big Ag farmers in the US out-produce all others: of course, the question is: "for how long?" before the synthetic fertilizers and pesticides and scale cannot be had any longer...

Also, farmers are also livestock folks.  Livestock doesn't require "computer controlled hover-tractors."  Got meat?

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:26 | 4165913 Pesky Labrador
Pesky Labrador's picture

I'll stick with the local farmer since grocery stores aren't exaclty genei bottles.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:55 | 4165971 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

If Bitcoin gets approval from politicians, know that they have they hand in your virtual wallet, whilst they fuck you.  Also, if you believe that it is untraceable, nothing electronic is untraceable.

 

 

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:00 | 4166090 highandwired
highandwired's picture

What is "untraceable"? 

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:02 | 4166103 Pesky Labrador
Pesky Labrador's picture

Physical exchange, period!

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 17:03 | 4166664 Seer
Seer's picture

Well, physical most certainly can be traced, it's just that the logistics/infrastructure to do so is far more difficult: anymore the controllers sit back in air-conditioned rooms pushing buttons to spy and kill people- it's The Wave of the Future, and we're running at it with our surf boards (no one said that we'd all make it).

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:50 | 4166295 Matt
Matt's picture

How to buy things without a trace with bitcoins:

1) have a wallet with the bitcoins in it, password protected, on a USB key.

2) hand the piece of paper with the password written on it, to the seller of the desired good/service.

Presto! No record on the blockchain, no internet packets to sniff, nothing. The new owner should change the password with an offline computer, ASAP.

Tue, 11/19/2013 - 11:15 | 4169504 TheHound73
TheHound73's picture

No, if I was the slightest bit dishonest I would have a copy of the wallet file I handed over and transfer the coins away from you to an address under my control as soon as I was out of shooting distance.  Coins are not actually stored in a wallet. Coins are stored in the blockchain on 100s of thousands of computers around the world.  The wallet contains the keys needed to access those coins.  Wallets need to be copied and backed up (in case of boating accidents) but all copies need to be kept secure.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 17:00 | 4166654 Seer
Seer's picture

Yes.  THEY will ensure that THEY "win."  If they cannot adopt and regulate it then they will ban it.  I wonder whether anyone really understood the crackdowns against "terrorist" money flows of the past and that this was a precursor to more tlightly controlling all money transfers.

"nothing electronic is untraceable." - signed, the NSA

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 16:48 | 4166582 Seer
Seer's picture

Is that sarcasm?

Another city boy?

Your farmer grows food, is one of the very few people that actually makes anything, especially anything that's of any real value (no iShit).

"Technological adoption has been moving far too slowly the last twenty years.  Time for this to change."

Good luck with that!  The overwhelming majority of humans on the planet have never seen a computer or a cell phone: there are 3 1/2 times as many people in India living on $0.50/day than there are total people living in the US!

Punk rockers were called punks for a reason.  Fun music, but mostly incapable of much else...

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:30 | 4166228 GoatHerder
GoatHerder's picture

I have some fryers I will sell for Bitcoin don't wnat to broadcast where I live but trust me I would sell some for Bitcoin.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 15:30 | 4166229 GoatHerder
GoatHerder's picture

I have some fryers I will sell for Bitcoin don't wnat to broadcast where I live but trust me I would sell some for Bitcoin.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 17:07 | 4166691 Seer
Seer's picture

Sigh, if "they" wish to nab you they'll do so over not reporting sales... and, isn't that always the blanket way to catch folks- tax evasion? (getting run through the ringer until your life is completely consumed by it all, if, that is, you're fortunate that all these formalities weren't by-passed for expediency sake and you were droned)

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 13:56 | 4165760 lemonobrien
lemonobrien's picture

let'm rotate.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 13:59 | 4165777 slotmouth
slotmouth's picture

I think this rotation is TSLA into btc.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:04 | 4165806 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Someone told me litecoin isup 100% today.

bitcoin is gold 2.0 

litecoin is silver 2.0

Bonds are rallying and stocks are busting through all time highs.

This is fascinating.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:10 | 4165830 Grande Tetons
Grande Tetons's picture

I am curious to see if Japan goes super full retard later this week...year.   What the fuck...like you said the JGBs are holding up...why not go apeshit? 

If so, all of the Yen crosses should go nuts. 

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:15 | 4165866 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

good luck man.

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 13:57 | 4165761 buckethead
buckethead's picture

Bernanke just basically endorsed Bitcoin as semi-legit. Be very afraid.

 

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:04 | 4165805 Grande Tetons
Grande Tetons's picture

It is the new tradition. 

Mon, 11/18/2013 - 14:53 | 4166060 Meat Hammer
Meat Hammer's picture

I wonder how many BTC's Bernanke and Dimon own and how much ecstasy they bought from Silk Road.

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