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30 Minutes Later - Markets Tapering (Gold Limit Down)

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The initial knee-jerk taper-on move was met with reactive buying (as per trading guru Steve Liesman's wisdom) but that hope bounce (really only seen in stocks) has faded now and assets are pressing their extremes. USD pushing higher, Treasury yields higher, stocks and gold lower... Of course, all it takes is for one algo to get the idea of pricing in the inevitable subsequent un-taper and to send the entire risk complex soaring. Silver is now below $20 and Gold is Limit Down

 

 

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Fri, 11/22/2013 - 20:41 | 4182726 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

hm. I would consider long positions in options for SPY after selling in profit calls for AGQ or shares of HVU (like VXX) after a market smash.
Actual gold & silver have value no paper/electrons/contracts can, I can't see the risk being worth the reward knowing the day is coming soon when paper isn't even money anymore.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 16:36 | 4174882 Max Damage
Max Damage's picture

And still the VIX is held down. Absolutely fantastic manipulation. Until it all goes tits up on them all with the massive leverage in use

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 16:37 | 4174891 quasimodo
quasimodo's picture

Hello huge "dip in spot", meet your ugly red headed cousin "huge premium".

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 16:46 | 4174934 Australian Economist
Australian Economist's picture

Taper before Christmas?

 

No

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 16:46 | 4174937 Iam Yue2
Iam Yue2's picture

Breaking: EUR/USD sold off after Goldman's Stolper says he sees euro up at $1.40 in 6 months.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 16:50 | 4174958 Spectre
Spectre's picture

Motherfuckers. One day we will get even.

On the funny side though a dumbass customer came into our business and started telling me to load up on fucking Bitcoins. He's always been a moron.

Fri, 11/22/2013 - 20:39 | 4182716 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

butt teh bitcoinz has teh encryptions and teh hashes!!

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 16:52 | 4174968 Sleepless Knight
Sleepless Knight's picture

It is amazing to see that the fed use to have to impliment QE to get a respoanse from the markets, now just the mention of it can control the markets either way. I think they will keep QE forever and mention taper when the curve goes the wrong way to correct it. The sheep are now voice command trained just like a good dog.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 17:07 | 4175034 Son of Captain Nemo
Son of Captain Nemo's picture

Boy. What a prophetic observation.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 16:54 | 4174976 TideFighter
TideFighter's picture

Gold going to 900, nothing going to stop this train.

"It's a big club and you ain't in it!"

KWN makes me chuckle.

Fri, 11/22/2013 - 19:58 | 4182643 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

It's not. Just as the drop from 1000 to 650 years ago, which re-scaled to 1900 peak is 1235, we're NOW in the dip. Some slight volatility about the band will exist, say +/- 2% (or 25$/oz), but now is the time.
The proper re-scaling is to match the % move vertically (log scale equal distance) and to rescale the dates on the 10 or 15 year chart to log-scale.
You can then match up the peaks & dips without a problem. A simple graphic program can copy/paste a segment so you can see the dates.
OR on a spreadsheet you can use a rate-of-change graph to render the future trend-line of prices and then re-compute the dates from the log-scale values.

This means inside of 18 months we should see gold hit 3500/oz USD and the dip, the bottom, is PAST US already since July.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 17:09 | 4175039 RealityCheque
RealityCheque's picture

Jesus. Just when you think it can't get any more insane. This is some otherworldy criminality. How Gold is still linked to QE anymore is beyond me. The Fed has stated that they might taper with or without an improvement in employment. So they're basically stating that they may, for some unknown reason, deliver a killing blow to an economy they know is critically wounded. Would that statement not be enough to make someone think that a hard asset would be good in this coming scenario? But hey, I'm not an algo so what the fuck would I know.

So they Taper, hypothetically (highly unlikely I know but I'll play along). Stocks (and basically everything) craters, but where does the money (ie friends of the Fed) run to?

My thoughts would be useful commodities as this is representative of a financial apolocolypse scenario  -- property etc. And PMs.

Oh now I see, the current climate is a sale for the Feds chums......and me. Fuck you very much Bernanke.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 17:18 | 4175081 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

Cash is best, so you can buy the dips. Right now you can expect everything to fall in price, but not in value.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 17:53 | 4175205 Godisanhftbot
Godisanhftbot's picture

 Which dip would that be, on the daily ,. the weekly, the monthly, or the yearly.?

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 17:11 | 4175052 The worst trader
The worst trader's picture

I just love it when the vxx gets slammed and the market also! makes it easy to make money.

Fri, 11/22/2013 - 19:50 | 4182628 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

You short vxx and a market ETF (dia, spy ?) at the same time? Hm. I suppose if you want pennies in the day, sure.
Personally I'm looking to go long hvu (tsx) which moves like vxx (better multiplier).
Check this out : http://scharts.co/19PhMaB but then compare & contrast to this http://flic.kr/p/enJ7Cs

see where that's going. Takes a bit of a wait but it will pay large. Just make sure to use decent stops moving up with the market slam so you don't get left holding the bag when the re-injection is re-united OR when paper stops being money (at which point what gold, food, silver you've got is what you've got - and best of luck)

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 17:15 | 4175069 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

 You know with  Yellen the dove coming in, it's not surprising they smack gold way down so that she can say:  the "expectation of inflation" is low and turn on the taps.  What surprises me is that they can still get away with it--in the end it's delivery failure that will break the game.

 

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 17:16 | 4175076 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

This is the hundred dollar down day. When was the hundred dollar up day?

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 17:19 | 4175083 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

Looks like a down $30 day so far (gold that is).

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 17:58 | 4175226 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

My mistake. It was hit hard though this week. I wrote in the Globe to only buy an ounce or two IF you were out of debt when gold was 1800+.

However, I've wasted more money on worse things than insurance. 

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 17:35 | 4175142 Marley
Marley's picture

I'm waiting for Silver to drop below $14.  1.5 times my hourly rate.

Fri, 11/22/2013 - 19:43 | 4182618 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

Doubt that it will.
But if it did this would cut the price of 2x silver etf agq in half. 8.25/share easily.
If that were to happen in say... 90 days? some good coin could come from a put.
https://research.tdwaterhouse.ca/research/public/Stocks/OptionsDetail?extTDSymbol=AGQ%20P%2022MAR14%2013.00%20US
This one's got 120 days left, so let's say your fee is 0.20 each time to add on & using USD natively, take 1.2 off the strike of 13 and you've got a break-even of 11.80.
At 8.25 agq for 14 silver (2x etf) you'd be $350 richer and then you'd have some extra candy to trade for silver.
8.25/16.58 = (19.85/14)2 approximately.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 17:50 | 4175191 Godisanhftbot
Godisanhftbot's picture

 Hows that gold under your bed working for ya?

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 18:01 | 4175234 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

The coins should be stored between the boxspring and mattress for a firm sleep. Bars go under the bed.

Fri, 11/22/2013 - 19:37 | 4182605 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

Hasn't lost an atom. Though, something has changed. It's as if I can hear them calling out for more shiney friends to join them as the paper price (+premium) drops.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 17:50 | 4175195 Godisanhftbot
Godisanhftbot's picture

Gold just a bitcoin with a little more heft

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 17:50 | 4175198 Godisanhftbot
Godisanhftbot's picture

 I'd say most of you are now losing money in gold, since you all claim to buy every dip.

 

 Don't deny it.

Thu, 11/21/2013 - 02:29 | 4176548 joego1
joego1's picture

I buy health insurance every month and lose money on that too.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 18:09 | 4175253 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Bernanke is getting to be like like the boy that cried wolf. Eventually nobody buys the taper story anymore.

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