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EUR Collapses As ECB 'Strawmans' Negative Rates (Again)

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Given our earlier comment on the collapse of European earnings, it is perhaps unsurprisng that the CEB is throwing everything at the problem of a strong EUR:

  • *ECB SAID TO WEIGH MINUS 0.1% DEPOSIT RATE IF MORE EASING NEEDED

Of course, we await the official denial but suspect this is nothing more than attempt to gauge market response to the policy idea (just as Draghi did in May). For now, EURUSD has dumped to 1.3480, and US equities are soaring...

Reaction:

 

 

Deja Vu:

  • May 2, 2013: DRAGHI SAYS ECB HAS OPEN MIND ON NEGATIVE DEPOSIT RATE

And the rapid response when the reaction was seen last time:

European Central Bank Governing Council Member Ewald Nowotny told CNBC on Friday that the markets over-interpreted ECB President Mario Draghi's comments on negative deposit rates at Thursday's press conference. "Well I think the markets over-interpreted this point. Of course, there is always some kind of technical discussion about it but there is no specific plan in that direction," Nowotny said in Bratislava. "I personally think this is something where one really has to analyze very carefully the effects, side effects, psychological effects so this is not something that is of relevance in the immediate future."

 

But Nowotny said this was a "very sensitive issue" that would need "much more information, much more analysis than we have available at this moment." He warned it could in fact dry up the flow of credit. "This is one of the possible outcomes," he said.

 

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Wed, 11/20/2013 - 11:30 | 4173399 PP
PP's picture

ECB not CEB, brother.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 11:31 | 4173408 SilverIsKing
SilverIsKing's picture

That will be corrected in a later version.  

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 11:37 | 4173417 AlaricBalth
AlaricBalth's picture

Testing the public's sentiment for a Cyprus style bail-in. Draghi was floating a trial balloon. Everything he says is meticulously choreographed prior to release.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 12:03 | 4173537 Urban Redneck
Urban Redneck's picture

They'll need the bail-in that much sooner with negative rates. People may use European banks as a matter of convenience or stupidity, but paying Mario to "watch" your deposits is into the realm of clinical brain death.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 12:05 | 4173546 OneTinSoldier66
OneTinSoldier66's picture

Why you, you... Conspiracy Theorist!

 

Now it's time for Deep Thoughts, with Fast and Furious, and Eric Holder at the DOJ

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 11:30 | 4173401 Headbanger
Headbanger's picture

Here come all the angry villagers with their pitch forks!!

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 11:40 | 4173439 Cdad
Cdad's picture

Until these bankers are prosecuted...it would appear THEY WILL NOT STOP!  

Then again...looking at ALL price action today...this reads like chapter 8 in The Anatomy of Collapse.

Thank you, Ben Bernanke and Mario Draghi...for this economic wasteland you have made for us.  We all really appreciate it.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 11:57 | 4173518 OneTinSoldier66
OneTinSoldier66's picture

Never over-interpret the greed and avarice of a Bankster.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 12:36 | 4173681 Deo vindice
Deo vindice's picture

... and never under-estimate them either.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 13:08 | 4173803 HamRove
HamRove's picture

How many chapters are there? I'd like to just skip to the end, please.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 11:32 | 4173411 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

THAT FX STUFF IS LIKE GUESSING HOW MANY JELLYBEANS ARE IN THE JAR IF YOU DON'T KNOW HOW BIG THE JAR IS AND WHO ALREADY TOOK OUT A HAND OF BEANS!

YOU KNOW WHAT I'M MEANING?!

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 11:41 | 4173446 Cdad
Cdad's picture

Well...based on trading in the SPY as today's rumor of negative rates broke...someone did guess at the number of jelly beans in the SPY jar...and massively sold it short.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 11:32 | 4173413 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

how fast would banks collapse if people have to pay to deposit their money?  weeks....days....hours...???

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 11:43 | 4173457 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

don't give people to much slack...

they would only believe it after the second deduction from their account that questions would be raised...

 

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 11:54 | 4173509 WhyDoesItHurtWh...
WhyDoesItHurtWhen iPee's picture

It's almost like they are trying to make Bitcoin (or something like it) look like a better option ?  I wonder ?

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 12:09 | 4173570 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

A look alike would make sense. And just imagine the power they would have if they controlled something like it.

It will never be bitcoin, it would need to be theirs.

But cashless is the dream. Like in Korea the octopus system.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 12:48 | 4173716 andrewp111
andrewp111's picture

With an all-electronic currency, any negative rate becomes possible.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 11:32 | 4173414 SMG
SMG's picture

Yea and that's not at all inflationary.

Gold and Silver Bitchez!

(nobody's said it for a while, felt like it was time)

 

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 11:34 | 4173416 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

It amazes me that people still continue to keep currency in the banking system.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 12:59 | 4173754 flyingpigg
flyingpigg's picture

It amazes me too. I guess it's because most have been brainwashed their full life that currency = money... Maybe Mike Mahoney's video's will convince some but I don't see any change in attitude towards fiat around me. Be happy and take advantage of the low price for real money.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 11:35 | 4173422 Van Halen
Van Halen's picture

What exactly is a negative deposit rate (simple definition)? Should I think of it as a 'tax on money'?

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 11:40 | 4173431 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

The banks charge you to hold your funny money. They would start small like .25% then make it more painful until people start spending. It will never happen, because this would eventually cause a run, and alternative currencies would be looked at.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 11:58 | 4173520 Debugas
Debugas's picture

bank deposit box is cheaper than -0.1% on deposit account

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 12:43 | 4173703 smlbizman
smlbizman's picture

still negative...have to rent plus inflation.....whats a saver to do.....that djia is looking pretty pretty good....or hard assets and wait...hmmmm what ta do what ta do....and this is rehtorical...

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 17:23 | 4175100 jonytk
jonytk's picture

They are talking about overnight deposits at the ECB, so the banks will lend each other instead of putting it at the ECB. Please...

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 11:36 | 4173424 Gene Parmesan
Gene Parmesan's picture

Go long safe and vault makers.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 11:38 | 4173433 Calculus99
Calculus99's picture

Desperate men do desperate things.....

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 11:40 | 4173438 Occident Mortal
Occident Mortal's picture

Lol, 

 

Can I get leverage with my negative rates?

 

Pods.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 14:27 | 4174162 Black Forest
Black Forest's picture

Sure. Some 32x short ETFs with funny underlying secutities are under construction. Ask your local bank and BTFATH very soon!

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 11:46 | 4173472 Van Halen
Van Halen's picture

Correct me if I'm wrong folks, but this negative interest rate thing isn't going to happen (Thank you, Dr. Engali), and this little bomb dropped by Bloomberg is nothing more than a shot in the new currency war?

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 11:46 | 4173473 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

-0.1%?  Time to deposit that fiat in Bank of Sealy & Simmons.

Affordable private banking, with no fees, disclosures or haircuts.  Seizure odds on par with regular banks.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 11:54 | 4173508 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

It's 'negative rate day' across the board as FED also says it's warming up to a nice negative rate too! Fuckin BANANAS!

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 12:01 | 4173529 Devotional
Devotional's picture

<-- as a kid I stacked lego blocks

<-- as an adult I stack gold bullion

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 12:09 | 4173569 Seb
Seb's picture

0.6 cents is far from a collapse.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 12:46 | 4173711 Racer
Racer's picture

If anyone thinks I am putting money in a bank to get even less out (disregarding for the moment that after inflation the purchasing power is less anway) they must be joking

To risk it being stolen by the very bank robbers as well? To ask me to pay for that risk as well?

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 13:12 | 4173821 Hondo
Hondo's picture

Watch money head for the mattress.......and think of how that will affect the bank's balance sheets..

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 13:31 | 4173894 jefferson32
jefferson32's picture

Switzerland tried negative interest rates in 1972, when a penalty charge of 2% per quarter was levied on the increase in CHF deposits from non-residents.

http://snbchf.snbchfcom.netdna-cdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/JP-Mor...

More recently, Denmark did it too, and the SNB threatened to reiterate.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-06-16/snb-threat-of-negative-rates-se...

 

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 14:40 | 4174225 NoClueSneaker
NoClueSneaker's picture

Contagion of Larry MoHarvard ... Goldman-am-Main parroting the  summerish  ecocannibalistic wisdom ...

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 15:07 | 4174371 ToNYC
ToNYC's picture

EU savers hit by the Killer Rabbit: "run away, run away". Only the HolyMonty Python hand grenade will do.

Wed, 11/20/2013 - 16:22 | 4174831 Colonel Klink
Colonel Klink's picture

Fuck the top 10 banks and stop doing business with them.  Withdraw your funds and move to a credit union, or physical.

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