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The Death Of The European Bond Market

Tyler Durden's picture




 

As we recently noted, thanks to the overwhelming dominance of the BoJ, the Japanese government bond market is "for all intent and purpose" dead. As the chart below shows, that is the lesson that Europe has learned also. Since the Greek bailout, bond trading volumes (and thus liquidity) has collapsed to practically zero. Of course, this is ignored by the mainstream media, instead focusing on the 'low' yields of that nation's debt as indicative of 'recovery' around the corner and a market that knows better. Instead it is simply a measure of the domestic banks meager pricing at the margin of a bond market that reflects nothing but a shell of its former self. The pattern is similar (though not so terrible) for Spanish and Italian debt as the entire European bond market devolves into OMT-driven farce.

 

 

(h/t @fmirw)

 

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Thu, 11/21/2013 - 09:10 | 4176796 negative rates
negative rates's picture

We should be depressed then.

Thu, 11/21/2013 - 09:16 | 4176804 Ruffcut
Ruffcut's picture

So it becomes like zombies. Still wandering around aimlessly.

Thus it is tuff to kill something that is already dead.

Thu, 11/21/2013 - 09:17 | 4176807 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

The Greatest Depression started five years ago.  Can you feel Blackest Friday breathing down your neck?

Thu, 11/21/2013 - 09:47 | 4176856 LetThemEatRand
LetThemEatRand's picture

I think it's Blackest Friday the 13th.  The audience knows Jason is out there, but the kids are still going for a swim and drinking beer and so far so good. 

Thu, 11/21/2013 - 09:57 | 4176886 NEOSERF
NEOSERF's picture

THe patient died in 2008 and the Fed did what they could but in effect all they were able to do was to pull the curtain around it to offer it some privacy from prying eyes.  The patient is still dead but they continue to try to hit it with the paddles every month.

Thu, 11/21/2013 - 10:03 | 4176899 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

Maybe we should call this the Weekend At Bernies economy.

Thu, 11/21/2013 - 09:15 | 4176801 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

Ben hasn't figured out a way to buy them yet ?

Thu, 11/21/2013 - 11:52 | 4177387 asteroids
asteroids's picture

Volume in the stock market is dead too. Take a look at today's, El Stinko. If it weren't for the Chairsatan, the markets would have died a long time ago.

Thu, 11/21/2013 - 09:15 | 4176802 luckylongshot
luckylongshot's picture

In 2008 we went over the cliff, QE has deepened the hole we fell into and insured the crash will be worse and now the bond market is saying the ground is getting close.

Thu, 11/21/2013 - 09:21 | 4176808 Running On Bing...
Running On Bingo Fuel's picture

You're missing the point. It wasn't a global recession. It wasn't a global depression. It was the start of the global collapse, it's the only explanation for 5+ years of QE.

We're chest high in liquidity and it does not seem to be working. Take the patient off of life support already, I'm ready!

Over.

Thu, 11/21/2013 - 10:08 | 4176911 highly debtful
highly debtful's picture

I beg to differ. Nobody will truly be ready for what will come.

Thu, 11/21/2013 - 11:28 | 4177257 cypherk1
cypherk1's picture

Seems to me some people are ready. Amazon tribes, reindeer hurders in Siberia. Still trying to think if any American's will be truly ready.

Thu, 11/21/2013 - 09:23 | 4176809 thismarketisrigged
thismarketisrigged's picture

u.s equities of course are on pace now to wipe out yesterdays losses at the open.

 

who cares about a bad china pmi number, that only matters when its positive so cramer can tell us how the market being up is justified by china slowly getting better.

 

also, european markets r in the green now, i guess they r secretly doing qe there as well.

 

i hope they all suffer badly.

Thu, 11/21/2013 - 09:29 | 4176823 The Reich
The Reich's picture

We can't solve problems by using the same kind of thinking we used when we created them.

Thu, 11/21/2013 - 10:05 | 4176905 john_connor
john_connor's picture

Very simple.  Any semblance of capitalism has left the building. 

Thu, 11/21/2013 - 10:08 | 4176914 Mitch Comestein
Mitch Comestein's picture

The Greek bond desk employees are going to have a bad xmas.

Thu, 11/21/2013 - 10:28 | 4176984 OneTinSoldier66
OneTinSoldier66's picture

The title seems a little misleading, to me. Thought I was going to be looking at something about the "European" Bond market and it turns out it's about the Greek Bond market only.

Thu, 11/21/2013 - 10:48 | 4177080 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

Rocketing interest rates would solve this

Thu, 11/21/2013 - 11:34 | 4177285 chinaboy
chinaboy's picture

And the death of main stream media.

Fri, 11/22/2013 - 03:55 | 4180494 Notarocketscientist
Notarocketscientist's picture

Somalia comes to mind

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