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Greenspan #Timestamped - "Dow 16,000 Is Not A Bubble"

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The maestro clarifies his 'experienced' perspective of spotting bubbles in the following quote from his interview with Bloomberg TV's Al Hunt:

“This does not have the characteristics, as far as I’m concerned, of a stock market bubble,”

Of course, as we noted here, some would beg to differ; but perhaps what would be useful is for the former Fed head to explain what 'characteristics' do constitute a bubble...

 

Nope, no bubble here...

 

 

 

And here's his explanation...

The stock price generally goes up about 7 percent a year for the long term,” Greenspan said. “It didn’t go anywhere since October 2007 and the result of that is we’re just now breaching that. We have had no growth in stock prices for years.”

But as we explained here, there is a reason the Fed can't see the bubble (aside from not wanting to).

 

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Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:31 | 4194680 I am Jobe
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Was he speaking clearly or mumbling? I can never be sure wtf he says

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:38 | 4194701 ZerOhead
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“This does not have the characteristics, as far as I’m concerned, of a stock market bubble, perhaps a little irrational exhuberance, but clearly not a bubble, whatever one of those things looks like... now where's my cream of wheat?”

Full quote.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:53 | 4194778 Skateboarder
Skateboarder's picture

Whatever happens, buy the next crash. USD aint far from over yet. I made the mistake of not playing the 08-now bubble.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:02 | 4194795 TruthInSunshine
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Best fades of all time (in no particular order):

1) Henry Blodgett

2) Alan Greenspan

3) James Glassman

4) Tom Stolper

5) Abby Joseph Cohen

6) Lenny "Nails" Dykstra

7) Wu Tang Financial Advisors

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:06 | 4194832 knukles
knukles's picture

If you like your irrational exuberance, you can keep your irrational exuberance

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:06 | 4194835 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Nothing's going to stop it this time until they lose control, probably from a combination of hubris and stupidity, same as usual.  So obvious from the outside, but from the inside I bet they think this is going just swimmingly.  Aside from that pesky "nobody has a good job" thing.  That doesn't fit the model, so it gets ignored as irrelevant.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:59 | 4194801 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

DTx2

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:57 | 4194799 mac768
mac768's picture

Just wait until it is proven that the NSA manipulates the stock market... to save democracy from turmoil

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:10 | 4194861 Rainman
Rainman's picture

yah, it sure would be great to know how they front the HFTs. . .. that's pretty good.

Thu, 11/28/2013 - 01:50 | 4196162 yatikto
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He continued"   " A Bubble is a term that I don't quite understand,  because I've never really seen one."

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:36 | 4194705 AlaricBalth
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WTF does he know???

ALAN GREENSPAN: And what I'm saying to you is, yes, I found a flaw. I don't know how significant or permanent it is, but I've been very distressed by that fact.

REP. HENRY WAXMAN: You found a flaw in the reality...

ALAN GREENSPAN: Flaw in the model that I perceived is the critical functioning structure that defines how the world works, so to speak.

REP. HENRY WAXMAN: In other words, you found that your view of the world, your ideology, was not right, it was not working?

ALAN GREENSPAN: That is -- precisely. No, that's precisely the reason I was shocked, because I had been going for 40 years or more with very considerable evidence that it was working exceptionally well.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:44 | 4194743 ZH Snob
ZH Snob's picture

but he's sooooo brilliant and unassailable, this can't be so!

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:07 | 4194838 knukles
knukles's picture

unassholable?

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:45 | 4194748 socalbeach
socalbeach's picture

<- Conman

<- Dunce

Alan Greenspan.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:48 | 4194758 AlaricBalth
AlaricBalth's picture

How do I vote for both!!!

“ I know you think you understand what you thought I said but I'm not sure you realize that what you heard is not what I meant”

Alan Greenspan

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:49 | 4194768 PersonalRespons...
PersonalResponsibility's picture
1980s[edit]
  • Since becoming a central banker, I have learned to mumble with great incoherence. If I seem unduly clear to you, you must have misunderstood what I said.
    • Speaking to a Senate Committee in 1987, as quoted in the Guardian Weekly, November 4, 2005
  • I guess I should warn you, if I turn out to be particularly clear, you've probably misunderstood what I said.
    • 1988 speech, as quoted in The New York Times, October 28, 2005
Wed, 11/27/2013 - 22:16 | 4195751 Papasmurf
Papasmurf's picture

If you understood me, clearly I mis-spoke.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:49 | 4194763 Aknownymouse
Aknownymouse's picture

How can. I vote for both?

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:50 | 4194770 Pegasus Muse
Pegasus Muse's picture

Greenspan.  An Idiot then.  An Idiot now.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:55 | 4194789 Colonel Klink
Colonel Klink's picture

Oh he's not an idiot, he's a LIAR AND former FEDERAL RESERVE BANKER!!!  Once a liar, always a liar.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 19:15 | 4195214 Vagabond
Vagabond's picture

What if he wanted to crash the system?  How would one going about crashing fiat?  http://www.321gold.com/fed/greenspan/1966.html

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 18:34 | 4195115 vulcanraven
vulcanraven's picture

Dunceman.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:58 | 4194808 mac768
mac768's picture

if you think you understood what I was saying, you must be clearly wrong..

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:32 | 4194681 Sufiy
Sufiy's picture

Bitcoin has crossed $1000 today before pull back - No Bubbles Here.

 


Bitcoin vs. Gold: The Future of Money - Peter Schiff Debates Stefan Molyneux


  We have a great conversation about Bitcoin between Peter Schiff and Stefan Molyneux. You can find a lot of additional information on Bitcoin from Stefan's video. Everybody decides for themselves where is the Intrinsic Value and where is the Bubble. We are siding with China here - who is buying record amounts of Gold this year with Thailand, Turkey and other Asian countries. http://sufiy.blogspot.co.uk/2013/11/bitcoin-vs-gold-future-of-money-pete...

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:50 | 4194771 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

bit of a rubbish debate, so i'll give you the executive summary: "i think this", "no, i think this"; "at least we agree that fiat currency is doomed"

 

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 19:00 | 4195172 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Stefan Molyneux offers some of the best coverage I have ever heard on Bitcoin.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:33 | 4194685 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

I did not have sex with that woman,

  she had sex with me.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:09 | 4194850 knukles
knukles's picture

Well, if you like your slut, why don't you fucking keep your little slut.
               -H R Clinton

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:34 | 4194687 JR
JR's picture

Well, there’s a man who doesn’t know his bubbles; he’s bubbledumb.

 

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:44 | 4194742 TheFourthStooge-ing
TheFourthStooge-ing's picture

He only recognizes bubbles when he's farting in the bathtub.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:34 | 4194688 Steverino
Steverino's picture

will someone please put Greenspan out of OUR misery?

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:44 | 4194745 TheFourthStooge-ing
TheFourthStooge-ing's picture

Why does Greenspan still breathe our air?

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:34 | 4194693 101 years and c...
101 years and counting's picture

roughly translated (everything a fed head says is exactly opposite the truth).  "that is one big ass bubble ben has blown".

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:35 | 4194696 Ignatius
Ignatius's picture

“This does not have the characteristics, as far as I’m concerned, of a stock market bubble...”


I feel better already.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:42 | 4194738 TheFourthStooge-ing
TheFourthStooge-ing's picture

Bubble confirmed.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:35 | 4194697 ShrNfr
ShrNfr's picture

If you read the whole thing he did, it was the usual Greenspeak. "This is not a bubble but there is soap and water around plus a lot of ot air blowing. This has been known to produce bubbles and not known to produce bubbles. When bubbles are produced, they happen. Otherwise the sun might come up tomorrow. Then again it might go down someplace. But it is shining somewhere because it is four o'clock someplace. Bubbles only happen when it is three o'clock someplace, but it is three o'clock someplace." The guy must go home and laugh his nuts off that people listen to him in the least.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:35 | 4194702 sockratte
sockratte's picture

the man's right!

as far as the european markets are concernced, i can say they are definitely not overvalued. they are slightly (germany) if not notable (ESX) undervalued. i suppose this to be true also for the american market...

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:46 | 4194750 sockratte
sockratte's picture

by the way, why did zero hedge delete all my posts? did i speak anything out i should not? xD

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:57 | 4194796 ChaosEquilibrium
ChaosEquilibrium's picture

Oh..another European 'protectionist and apologist'...is the you Simon Hobbs?

 

EUROPE IS ABSOLUTE CLUSTERFUCK----Play Draghi's game of "whatever it takes" and you make money---Banks and Hedge Funds decided to play!!

Spain and Italy equity up THOUSANDS of points in last 6 months????.......COMPLETE FUCKING BULLSHIT....soon the Banks and Hedgies will 'take their ball' and go home CRYING!!!

 

EUROPE IS AN ILLUSION......EUROPE IS DEAD.....STICK a fork in that 400 years of POMPOUS EUROPEAN INTELLECTUALISM!

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:12 | 4194866 falak pema
falak pema's picture

hahaha very earthy and poetic but not very convincing.

Stick to square dancing. 

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:24 | 4194910 sockratte
sockratte's picture

lol

errrrrr, it's just that i did analyze the european markets (and not politics) and the american not yet. if 0hedge wouldn't have deleted my posts, you could verify my opinion about europe...

but for the analysis it simply doesn't matter. if things change, analysis will as well. you can scream for a further decade crash and end of the world. somewhen you will probably be right, but the rest of the time its more probable that i am.

 

notice, i analyze the stock market. not the economy nor politics...

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:36 | 4194708 Cacete de Ouro
Cacete de Ouro's picture

Here's not a bubble anyway ->

"Central banks stand ready to lease gold in increasing quantities should the price rise."

http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/testimony/1998/19980724.htm

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:37 | 4194717 JustObserving
JustObserving's picture

And the maestro added: "Gold is surely a bubble here."

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:37 | 4194718 eatthebanksters
eatthebanksters's picture

He missed the housing bubble...need we say more?

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:58 | 4194800 JR
JR's picture

Greenspan reminds me of the Mutts comic strip with Mooch the cat:

Panel 1: A crash occurs downstairs.

Panel 2: Mooch runs up the stairs as fast as he can go.

Panel 3: Mooch yells down the stairs, “What’s going on down there?”

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:38 | 4194724 DOGGONE
DOGGONE's picture

Show this history
http://www.showrealhist.com/recDJIAtoRD.html
and get him (or anybody) to characterize.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:41 | 4194728 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

   Greenspunk uses a graph of the Matterhorn as his market bubble overlay.  In his mind markets aren't in a bubble until they start fall back on themselves, as opposed to peaking and forming a downslope on the other side of the summit.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:41 | 4194730 gjp
gjp's picture

Fuck you Magoo!  The gall of these people never ceases to amaze.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:45 | 4194747 superflex
superflex's picture

These people!  These people!

Dat's raciss.

Call 'em dirty money grubbing Jew bankers or Tribe Members, please.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:58 | 4194807 gjp
gjp's picture

I just meant plutocrats / banksters / oligarchs, whatever you want to call them, from whatever tribe they hail.  If some tribes are more represented than others, fair enough, and certainly there is a good deal of shame in the triple whammy of Jewish bubble blowing Fed heads, but really this is widespread with all creeds represented to one degree or another.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:40 | 4194732 Racer
Racer's picture

And in this time, the economy has grown how much? And how many jobs have been created (apart from low pay, part time, zero hours contract ones)?

What a dunderhead

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:42 | 4194733 Solon the Destroyer
Solon the Destroyer's picture

This is tantamount to the Fed stating that there never is any misallocation of capital caused by the monetary interventions of a central bank. Ie, a whole shitload of economic history never happened.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:42 | 4194737 falak pema
falak pema's picture

when is a bubble not a bubble?

When a bottle of champagne says any thing you can make is pathetic; only i know what making bubbles is...and I say : that ain't no bubble worth talking about...

You be the Maaaaan ! Ben bubbles ! 

And Greenspan has stretched his ass out wide to say Greendwarf says you ain't Sauron; Ben ! 

If Greendwarf says so, who are we to say noooo! 

Staff of Greendwarf and ring of Wankfein's Squid; we have the inverted fellowship

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:43 | 4194741 augustusgloop
augustusgloop's picture

so - i can keep my money in for another 5-6% by year end, or cash out and enjoy the holidays.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:46 | 4194749 gafgroocK
gafgroocK's picture

 

 

Of course not, because he says so!

 

We should go eat some real Turkey instead spending today and Thursday reading about what a human turkey was instructed to say on TV.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:52 | 4194773 jim249
jim249's picture

Why does any one even listen to this old worthless fuck?

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:52 | 4194781 Colonel Klink
Colonel Klink's picture

He was lying back then, he's LYING NOW!

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:57 | 4194798 Inthemix96
Inthemix96's picture

Its been scientifically proven over numerous time tested, and scientifically proven tests that this rubber faced, way over due for death shit hawk of the robber class, is a cunt.

A time reserved, impecable, money laundering, child molesting (just look at its face, candy anyone?), coffin dodging cunt.

This cunt will be burning when Hades gets extinguished.

Nation wrecking fuck stick.

Why do these fuckers live so long and rub each and every one our faces in it then?  What happened to cancer in one of three of us, eh??

 

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:03 | 4194822 gjp
gjp's picture

+1, very eloquently put.  We can only hope they are living so long to allow them to finally reap the whirlwind while dangling from a lamp post.  Seems to good to be true, but they sure are tempting fate.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:04 | 4194824 falak pema
falak pema's picture

Between the devil and the deep blue you have two continents and one Mountain :

Continent #1 is incontinent in geriatric blues and has a bank debt to sink the Titanic; its young on the permanent dole. 

Continent #2 is incontinent in obesity hunger games and has a SHADOW banking debt to burn the Hindenberg, its young hooked on food stamps.

As for the Mountain of Middle kingdom it is so drowned in coal smog and Fuku fog, so inundated with dead fish of Yellow river and dead hogs of Yangstze sewer, that it can't tell an Oligarch from a Commie apparatchik; its walls now beseiged by empty towns full of shadow debts and shady bets feeding maserati driven municipal thugs. 

We are in land where any vagrant match stick can light the tinderbox in the country that invented gunpowder and Genghis Khan. 

A global trail of financial bonanza fireworks that would make a Mongol raid look like child's play; the small pox and syphillis exchange of east to west a polite civilized hand shake.  

This is the stuff that would make the opening  paragraph of a Tale of two Cities look like ginger ale compared to true brew. 

Prost! Sante !

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:08 | 4194847 topspinslicer
topspinslicer's picture

and this coming from a guy that ate ayn rand??!! tsk tsk

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:11 | 4194855 moneybots
moneybots's picture

“This does not have the characteristics, as far as I’m concerned, of a stock market bubble,”

 

During the housing bubble, Greenspan said the market was just frothy.  He has since admitted that they knew all along that it was a bubble.  Greenspan knows that this is a bubble now.  He isn't fooling anyone.

That said, the general public isn't running to get out of the market, either.  However, CNBC ratings are at a 20 year low, which indicates a general lack of interest in financial TV at a time when the market is setting record after record high on a near daily basis.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:21 | 4194896 TheFourthStooge-ing
TheFourthStooge-ing's picture

Of course CNBC's ratings have dropped. All they show are reruns.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 23:42 | 4195952 Haager
Haager's picture

CNBC ratings dropped doesn't show a lack of interest. I'd say if you're really interested in financials: Don't even try to watch CNBC!

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:10 | 4194859 Trimmed Hedge
Trimmed Hedge's picture

Who cares about the Dow..

Bigcoins™ is where it's at!

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:23 | 4194902 moneybots
moneybots's picture

The stock price generally goes up about 7 percent a year for the long term,” Greenspan said. “It didn’t go anywhere since October 2007 and the result of that is we’re just now breaching that. We have had no growth in stock prices for years.”

 

That is not what indicates whether there is a bubble or not.  Greenspan is cherry picking the starting point, while ignoring a 130% rise in the market over the last several years and a 40% rise in the russel 2K over the last 12 months.

 

GREENSPAN IS OBVIOUSLY DESPERATE FOR PEOPLE TO BELIEVE THERE ISN'T A STOCK BUBBLE AND WILL USE ANY METRIC TO PUT THE WOOL OVER PEOPLE'S EYES.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:31 | 4194931 Z_End
Z_End's picture

So we won't know it's a bubble until it pops, right Alan?

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 18:43 | 4195134 icanhasbailout
icanhasbailout's picture

Wait, mid-December? Thought the target was Jan 17.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 19:20 | 4195225 Freewheelin Franklin
Freewheelin Franklin's picture

Well, if there's anyone that knows what a bubble looks like, it's Greenspan. He's seen plenty of them in his tenure. 

 

Oh wait...

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 20:40 | 4195453 hangemhigh77
hangemhigh77's picture

Somebody fuckin' SHOOT this ASSHOLE!!  What more needs to be said??

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 20:43 | 4195465 hangemhigh77
hangemhigh77's picture

Wow Alan, is that advice in your new book!!??  I should buy it so I have something to wipe my ass with when the bubble pops.  Idiot.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 22:01 | 4195716 tomreagan
tomreagan's picture

If he was facing a blogger instead of the propacorp, then the follow up might have been...."then what characteristics do you look for in a bubble?"

Thu, 11/28/2013 - 02:56 | 4196210 zipit
zipit's picture

Top signs that there's a stock bubble: Greenspan says there is no bubble.

Thu, 11/28/2013 - 13:58 | 4197108 mantrid
mantrid's picture

"We have had no growth in stock prices for years"

 

seasonally adjusted, of course.

Thu, 11/28/2013 - 17:51 | 4197707 novictim
novictim's picture

Alan "I found a flaw in the model" Greenspan needs to clean those coke bottle glasses of his again.  

Would someone pass this guy some Zeiss lens cleaner and a scrub brush?

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