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Spot The Difference

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Greater-est fools? Or different this time?

 

 

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Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:36 | 4194438 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Bitcoin can go back down to $200, sure.  That doesn't mean it failed.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:38 | 4194450 WOAR
WOAR's picture

Sure...but only if after the plunge I can actually buy things in Bitcoin.

I don't care if the currency has to revaluate in order to be useful, I just want to know that it will be accepted somewhere afterwards.

If Bitcoin plunges and you still can't buy anything directly with Bitcoins, then it will have been a spectacular failure.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:40 | 4194459 fonestar
fonestar's picture

There's an entire economy that has flourished along with Bitcoin.  This network cannot be facilitated using dollars or national currencies, so this isn't going away regardless of how Bitcoin is priced in toilet paper.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:45 | 4194480 nope-1004
nope-1004's picture

The fuck am I doing commenting here

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:46 | 4194486 fonestar
fonestar's picture

I don't think so.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:51 | 4194507 nope-1004
nope-1004's picture

It's a speculative ramp. One thing is for certain:  Many will get burned.  Bitcoin may be a great idea, but it is just that - an IDEA.  As was tulips, housing, .com..... jeeze..... again we need to revisit this shit?

 

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:54 | 4194526 fonestar
fonestar's picture

I've worked in this industry long enough to know that you cannot explain alot of these computing concepts to a good portion of people.  That is perfectly fine with me and luckily for Bitcoin holders will not prove to be the slightest hinderance.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:04 | 4194576 Nothing but the...
Nothing but the truth.'s picture

The mere fact that there is so much explanation required for the bitcoin concept , rules it out for me.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:13 | 4194607 Herd Redirectio...
Herd Redirection Committee's picture

Exactly why I didn't get in at $40.  No regrets.  I was not ready to put so much as $4000 in, so no point in running the spreadsheets and imagining to myself that somehow I would have held on, through $400, $500, $600, etc.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:29 | 4194666 Stackers
Stackers's picture

BTC is just in the early stages of it's bubble.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:30 | 4194672 fonestar
fonestar's picture

There will be a bubble and a mania stage in virtual currencies but we are still far away from that point.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:36 | 4194706 dereksatkinson
dereksatkinson's picture

Considering it's moved up 900% in less than 2 months, it's safe to say you are in it.  It has ZERO intrinsic value.  You have to trust that someone will be willing to take those btc off your hands.  Having BTC at this point is moronic.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:40 | 4194731 fonestar
fonestar's picture

There's no such thing as "intrinsic value" value is situational and subjective.  The moves we have seen in Bitcoin so far are small peanuts.  I have absolute trust that there will be many wanting to take BTC off my hands.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:03 | 4194793 dtwn
dtwn's picture

Looks like all these haters need to read some Mises and Rothbard and learn about what money is.  The of course there is no intrinsic value.  There is no intrinsic value in fiat either.  Bitcoins current value comes from the fact that it has emerged to currently have a value in fiat currencies.  When it started out, it didn't have value other than as a "what if" proposition, something to play around with.  It could also lose value to, if it does not retain its level of adoption.

Look, I get it.  I am a firm believer in sound money, hard money, money backed by something that can't be printed.  Historically that is gold.  What really drives me crazy though, is that I don't see the Bitcoin deniers ever offer up a solution to the problem of long-distance transactions.  Sure, I could trade gold or silver face to face for food, or a car, or a solar panel, or whatever.  But how am I going to complete an ebay transaction?

Eventually gold as money, or as a gold-backe currency will have to have a digital form.  If it ends up as gold-backed bitcoins is that really such a problem?

 

Here's some reads:

https://bitcointalk.org/?topic=583.0;wap2

http://www.libertariannews.org/2011/07/07/the-economics-of-bitcoin-challenging-mises-regression-theorem/

http://eleconomistaprudente.wordpress.com/2011/06/06/bitcoins-and-mises%C2%B4s-regression-theorem/

http://eleconomistaprudente.wordpress.com/2011/06/26/bitcoins-and-mises%C2%B4s-regression-theorem-ii/

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:12 | 4194868 fonestar
fonestar's picture

I doubt most of them could handle it.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:19 | 4194890 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

FWIW, since the gold and silverbugs debunked the FRN scheme years ago (decades), you should be thanking us for your BTC success, not blasting us.

I have no idea why you are such an asshole on that issue.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:22 | 4194903 fonestar
fonestar's picture

I've been buying silver and coins for almost two decades.  IMO the crypto-anarchists and Bitcoin community have been doing far more to push the debate on the philosophy of money than the stacker community who largely (and passively) accept dollars.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:28 | 4194925 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Push the debate? Philosophy of money? Passively accept dollars?

Good grief dude....get a grip on yourself.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:31 | 4194933 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Some of us have been at this game a lot longer than you and longer than ZH has been around.  Bitcoin is a disruptive technology that has a very dedicated base and philosophy surrounding it.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:53 | 4194998 Mudduckk
Mudduckk's picture

Haters check back with the next currency crisis. Presently Cyprus (+1BTC vs Zero for Fiat) 

Mish says watch India, Indonesia, Turkey, Brazil, and S.Africa, the Fragile Five.

Heres what we know, taper coorelates to hot money leaving EM, India Rupiah crashed during last taper. And what happened ti the SENS? Crash? My counterparties in the Junjab all waited for the taper to get called off before asking to get paid on invoices in my USD, so they could catch the bottom. Dudes are smart over there. They can't get gold unless it stinks of bumwad.

So Yellen steps in with another taper tease. Same shit will happen in the EM.

Recently I checked all five country names in google trends with key word bank bail in. S. Africa responds positively. 

SO WE KNOW TAPER = India cach out stampeede what do insiders in S Africa know. I know nothing but I know when the shit hit the fan in Cyprus, the whales hit the ASK on Bitcoin. the USD cross moved nearly 10X!

The fed is in a trap, they can't taper and Schiff knows it like he knew the housing bubble, but the fed will try any how. The prelude is over the playbook is in place n all you doomers are too damn scared to hit this trade.

Heres a hint. You will always be a looser in trading because your pride gets in the way. You'd rather be right than make money. 

Be right so I say. Next round at fight club is on you. Pay up with your rightness.

Bitch.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 20:42 | 4195457 long-shorty
long-shorty's picture

"dedicated base" + small float = massive bubble. congrats.

Quackers the Duck (a Beanie Baby, for those who do not remember) had a very dedicated base when he traded to $2k.

The Russell 2000 has a very dedicated base now, as does OPK and tens of other p.o.s. stocks that have been levitated.

BTC is just one more proof that there is waaaay too much money sloshing around the globe.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 21:01 | 4195542 Spigot
Spigot's picture

A lot of people agree with you that fiat is worthless and BTC is a bargain at these fiat prices...and will be at any fiat 'price', as long as someone is willing to accept fiat for BTC.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 19:21 | 4195227 Spigot
Spigot's picture

This is no where near a social mania. There are clear stages to mania, and we are barely into stage 2 (adoption). That these charts show BTC having a similar trajectory as some past bubbles in no way is proof of BTC being in a bubble. If you research the social manias that existed in the three comparisions you will recognize that we are not anywhere close to being "THERE".

Also, the writer conveniently does not show charts which had similar initial behaviors which did not end in crashs. So, this is an arguement on the writer's part akin to fitting evidence to support a predetermined conclusion. Horrible journalism, but fits well with today's lazy writers and thinkers.

I appauld all the haters and nay sayers of BTC. I want you to keep it up for months and months and possibly years. You are providing a service to me, who is holding and gathering BTC. The service you are providing is to keep the common herd at bay, which keeps the price as low as possible for me. For that I am grateful. I give you a big hug and sloppy kiss.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 20:19 | 4195373 TheHound73
TheHound73's picture

Now now, the longer we keep convincing people that Bitcoin is a bubble, the longer we can keep scooping them up before it really gets going.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 20:45 | 4195471 Spigot
Spigot's picture

haha - richness!

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:26 | 4194919 Big Brother
Big Brother's picture

Clearly it has "peer-to-peer" value.  I would like to take some BTC off your hands.  I just don't want to do it at $1000.00 per digital-etheral coin.  I think it's appreciated too rapidly for practical use and has become a means of speculation.  The monetary velocity whereby it's exchanged for goods and services needs to be increasing at same trajectory.  Obviously that hasn't happened, so by that assertion, it is in a bubble.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:27 | 4194923 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Why would you need to pay $1,000?

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 19:50 | 4195283 TheHound73
TheHound73's picture

The percentage of merchants accepting Bitcoin is increasing at an increasing rate.  If I can speculate practical uses and velocity supporting a $2000 price a year from now, I can purchase BTC today at $1000 and just sit on it until then.  Can't I?  ...just some speculation.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:28 | 4194669 fonestar
fonestar's picture

....and so you will be ruled out yourself.  I don't think that's a great concern of Bitcoin users.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:10 | 4194601 Osmium
Osmium's picture

Hacking is still a concern for me and others I would guess.

 

"But before you set up a Bitcoin wallet, you should think long and hard about who will watch over your digital wealth. In its relatively short lifespan, Bitcoin wallets and processors have been a target for hackers -- and old-fashioned fraudsters. In fact, within the last week, one of the most prominent European exchanges reported it had lost over $1 million worth of bitcoins to hackers."

 

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-switch/wp/2013/11/26/when-bitcoi...

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:14 | 4194611 Herd Redirectio...
Herd Redirection Committee's picture

Apparently there is a way to 'hijack' computer files.  So even though the hacker can't open the file, they can deny you access, effectively holding your wallet for ransom.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:37 | 4194949 fonestar
fonestar's picture

If you don't encrypt and back up your wallet that's your fault. 

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 18:46 | 4195141 nmewn
nmewn's picture

lol...I need a back up wallet now?

Whats the matter with just hiding the original in a cookie jar? ;-)

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:33 | 4194683 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Hacking is not a concern for fonestar.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:20 | 4194636 asierguti
asierguti's picture

Hang on, I am a software developer myself, and I will never ever buy bitcoin.

 

I bet that most of software developers don't have a clue about how bitcoin actually works.

 

I will challenge you. Tell me, is the SHA256 hashing algorithm, the one used to hash the bitcoin blocks with random numbers, strong enough? Shall I remind you there has not been a single hashing algorithm that has remained cryptographically secure for over 2 decades? Do I need to put my money in something that is intrinsecally insecure?

 

I heard somebody once saying that what is backing bitcoin is the algorithm, that's the asset. No!!!! An algorithm is not an asset, and has no intrinsec value, it's just a bunch of mathematical forumlas, that's it.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:35 | 4194707 fonestar
fonestar's picture

If you read the papers on Bitcoin you would know that Bitcoin is not entirely dependent on SHA-256.  And I do believe that SHA-256 is secure.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:46 | 4194752 asierguti
asierguti's picture

Sure, if you change the hashing algorithm, the ID that identifies each bitcoin will change, therefore rendering bitcoin as we know it absolutely useless. Can you use another hashing function? Yes, of course, but it won't be compatible with the current bitcoin.

 

And MD5 was considered secure 2 decades ago, but not anymore.

 

Now, if I have gold, I will know that it will have value and I will be able to exchange it for any other currency in 40 years, if I want.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:47 | 4194759 asierguti
asierguti's picture

Btw, here comes the funny part. Do you know who developed the SHA-256 algorithm used in bitcoins? Yes, you guessed it, the NSA!!!

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:53 | 4194774 fonestar
fonestar's picture

I am well aware of SHA's roots as well as Shamir's own take on Bitcoin.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:54 | 4194788 sid farkas
sid farkas's picture

Hang on, I am a software developer myself, and I bought bought bitcoin back in January at $13. 

 

Also, learn to spell. 

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:11 | 4194863 asierguti
asierguti's picture

Good for you!!!

 

Don't get me wrong, that's just my choice. I prefer hard money, that's it.

 

I just know that ultimately, bitcoin will fail, as the dollar, the euro or any other fiat currency. When will this happen (with bitcoins)? I've no idea, but given the very shaky foundations, I would rather stay out.

 

But yeah, congratulations. You multiplied your money by 80+.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 18:22 | 4195083 OpenThePodBayDoorHAL
OpenThePodBayDoorHAL's picture

LOL, "hard money"

Like the USD (LOL again)

Like gold? (LOL again, LBMA 100:1, GLD ETF, futures, options, Comex tricks, London fixing, empty Ft. Know, empty NY Fed)

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 18:35 | 4195114 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Please open the door HAL!  There is no intelligent life on this rock!

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 20:55 | 4195507 Spigot
Spigot's picture

Bitcoin is Dave in the HAL's Central Core pulling out HAL's function and memory modules ... HAL is the fucked up Bankster Matrix ... Buh bye, HAL.

"Sing me a song, HAL."

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:53 | 4194782 tocointhephrase
tocointhephrase's picture

Mdb? Is that you?

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:09 | 4194844 Race Car Driver
Race Car Driver's picture

> I've worked in this industry long enough to know  ...

 

You fuckin' blow-hard shill  ... you don't know jack-squat about shit.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:46 | 4194979 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Now would you care to refute a single thing I have said? I didn't think so.

Bitcoin is the superior system and does not require people to shill for it.  It will replace people like you and your "dollar".

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:54 | 4194527 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Tyler, Tyler...

There you go again, being a party pooper.

The New Year approacheth, and I would like to be the first to nominate Janet Yellen as Time magazine's Person of the Year,

aka  turd in the punch bowl.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:05 | 4194578 dick cheneys ghost
dick cheneys ghost's picture

person of the year or MAN of the year?

~~~

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:28 | 4194928 Save_America1st
Save_America1st's picture

"they say" it's the Chinese causing this.  Soon they will be called Chi-coins.  You can now buy 5000 Chinese slaves for 1 Chi-coin and you pay them with Bit-rice like they do at Al Gore's FoxConn factory to make i-diot phones for the sheeples.  ;-)

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 19:09 | 4195199 Pure Evil
Pure Evil's picture

Nice touch.

i-Diot Phones, how apropos

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:47 | 4194491 patb
patb's picture

depends, see if DEA seizes them

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:52 | 4194502 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Nobody cares about your DEA.  Fuck you Americans are brainwashed!

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:06 | 4194583 dick cheneys ghost
dick cheneys ghost's picture

I found this retail website..........

www.weacceptinvisiblecoins.com

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:55 | 4194756 quasimodo
quasimodo's picture

And yet here you are daily shouting from the roof tops the virtues of a digital currency. Makes perfect sense to me

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:09 | 4194854 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Like I said, I like being right.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:46 | 4194492 patb
patb's picture

depends, see if DEA seizes them

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:52 | 4194522 WOAR
WOAR's picture

I'm going to assume you bought bitcoin at the bottom.

Sell now, and make Bitbay, and sell products based on bitcoin.

The only thing keeping me out of bitcoin is the lack of a market, and the whole "money order" weirdness of getting into bitcoin (It doesn't help that you have to pay in advance, and then WAIT for someone to send you the bitcoins later. That sounds like a scam).

If there are too many barriers to entry, and there isn't any market for bitcoins, then it will be a failed currency.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:58 | 4194549 One And Only
One And Only's picture

Coinbase.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:58 | 4194551 fonestar
fonestar's picture

You'd have to be a total idiot (or desperate) to sell your Bitcoin for dollars.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:02 | 4194567 BlackChicken
BlackChicken's picture

Booking profits (and big ones at that)) does not make me or anyone else an idiot. There are a few professionals here that might just agree with me on that one. Think about it for a minute.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:05 | 4194581 Nothing but the...
Nothing but the truth.'s picture

But were they not bought with Dollars to start with ?

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 22:51 | 4195821 TheHound73
TheHound73's picture

Unless you are a miner, everybody who bought a bitcoin bought them from somebody who sold.  Including you.  I buy bitcoins at Bitstamp price and sell them through localbitcoins.com at Mt.Gox price and have received no complaints so far.  Thanks for the insult, though.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:40 | 4194458 InspectorBird
InspectorBird's picture

yeah, say that to the fools who rushed in for 1000+

But as they say, its a sin to not take money away from the fools.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:42 | 4194466 fonestar
fonestar's picture

All of this garbage about whole numbers is for simpletons and linear thinkers.  Most people are not buying or trading entire Bitcoins.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:53 | 4194524 BlackChicken
BlackChicken's picture

BC is a great idea, but even you should admit that the run up has happened too quickly to not have a major adjustment. After that, I would be interested, at least a little.

The simpletons like me are still looking at valuation regardless of whole numbers/coins. But it must be different this time right...?

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:57 | 4194541 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Yes, there could be an adjustment... we've seen 40, 50, 60% corrections in Bitcoin before.  And then it goes on to make new highs a few months later.  I don't care because I look at this from a systems perspective and Bitcoin is by far the superior system.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:59 | 4194553 BlackChicken
BlackChicken's picture

Interesting.

I look at it from a "I want to make money" standpoint, and adding to a position when it goes parabolic doesn't seem wise.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 20:34 | 4195426 TheHound73
TheHound73's picture

Put in what you are comfortable with, even if it's just for shits and giggles.  I believe you can pick up less than $1 worth at Coinbase.com.  Bitcoin will either succeed or fail.  If it fails then maybe only online drug markets will use it and set the value.  If Bitcoin does becomes a player in worldwide commerce, however, then a $1000 handle is just plain ridiculously small.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:36 | 4194699 petolo
petolo's picture

Not to worry phonestar, me dumb, linear thinking person will leave all bitcoins for you.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:38 | 4194720 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Thank-you.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 22:55 | 4195830 TheHound73
TheHound73's picture

For your listening amusement: Bitcoin is a Bubble

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:38 | 4194444 lolmao500
lolmao500's picture

The concept of bitcoin is out there, and that's what's important.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 20:04 | 4195316 TheHound73
TheHound73's picture

The historical chart tracking number of Google searches or mobile phone ownership look the same as the Tulip and Nikkei charts in the initial ramp up.  Some things bubble and pop.  Other things don't, they persist after they rocket up and reach market saturation.  S-curve, homiez.  It's a rocky road but I believe BTC is on track for success, anything below $10,000/BTC is cheap. 

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 20:26 | 4195401 Herd Redirectio...
Herd Redirection Committee's picture

If this is the case, then why do people need to buy BTC now?  Why not see what happens over the next 3 months to a year, before making the decision?

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 20:43 | 4195462 TheHound73
TheHound73's picture

Because if or when it levels out, each bitcoin will be ridiculously expensive.  I'm predicting massive business-to-business escrowed transactions plus personal purchasing and savings (100% reserve currency) taking place inside a stack 21 million currency units.  Remember what we are calling a "coin" today is very divisible but Bitcoin's success necessarily means astronomical prices for them.  Short answer: greed.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:38 | 4194446 pashley1411
pashley1411's picture

I would be more worried about Bitcoin suppressing volatility, as do our other financial "markets".    The real world is very messy.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:43 | 4194474 InspectorBird
InspectorBird's picture

Actually i think btc is proped up by manipulattion, maybe its the most manipulated market out there, who knows... until the btc masters will cash out and not prop it up anymore.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:45 | 4194482 fonestar
fonestar's picture

These people are Mensa level masters.  They are not going to cash out, they are positioning themselves as the new oligarchs in this world.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:48 | 4194495 konputa
konputa's picture

Oh great, the new slave owners are much nicer than the old slave owners. *whew*.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:49 | 4194509 fonestar
fonestar's picture

I would prefer a meritocracy to what we have now, sure.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:00 | 4194555 TPTB_r_TBTF
TPTB_r_TBTF's picture

for as long as you get to define "merit".

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:15 | 4194878 fonestar
fonestar's picture

That is the plan.  It may entail more than the ability to put one coin on top of the other.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:53 | 4194521 superflex
superflex's picture

Meet the new boss, same as the old boss.

Sat, 11/30/2013 - 21:30 | 4202755 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

They most certainly are not & neither are their cult followers.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:39 | 4194456 One And Only
One And Only's picture

No chart for nyc taxi medallions

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:43 | 4194475 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

"fone star." http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FDfvxnnlub4 dial 1-900-bit coin for some hot and heavy...

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:41 | 4194462 Mitch Comestein
Mitch Comestein's picture

Ahhh, one is a para move in months and the other three are in years.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:41 | 4194463 Smegley Wanxalot
Smegley Wanxalot's picture

If you own bitcoins, take the money and run.  Now.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:43 | 4194473 fonestar
fonestar's picture

If you own dollars, pounds, yen trade them in now.  Take the money and run.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:07 | 4194545 BlackChicken
BlackChicken's picture

Selling BC and buying physical silver with the current gold/silver ratio looks like one heck of an arb play. Could be wrong about that but adding physical with house money sounds like minimal risk.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:25 | 4194653 Herd Redirectio...
Herd Redirection Committee's picture

As soon as someone figures out a way to sell BTC they don't own (I guess a scammer could 'hold' other people's wallets like a bank, or a goldsmith back in the day)...

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:37 | 4194950 peruchocanuck
peruchocanuck's picture

Take the money = take the gold (physical, no paper)

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 20:47 | 4195477 TheHound73
TheHound73's picture

I hold gold, silver, fiat, and BTC in ratios I am comfortable with for now.  I see much greater upside potential for BTC, even at their current price, than my other assets.  I am loathe to decrease my BTC holdings, even though they are still a risky investment.  Also looking at exotic hardwoods for the medium term, some great deals out there, but that's off topic.

Sat, 11/30/2013 - 21:31 | 4202760 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

Measured in what, fiat dollars? So long as that's how you measure BTC you don't even want them. You want dollars.

Sat, 11/30/2013 - 21:31 | 4202756 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

FAIL.
If you own those things they are more money than BTC. Trade SOME in for gold & silver for the coming barter age.
Save some for immediate use. They will all work where BTC can never go: off grid. That's the future. Grid down.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:53 | 4194467 Conman
Conman's picture

Can you put up an inverse chart of USD buying power? Should look very similar and actually have a correlation unlike the other charts.

Sat, 11/30/2013 - 21:36 | 4202766 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

Turns out they look nothing like each other. Not for gold, oil, food, nothing. BTC is moving upward regardless of all because it's in a hyper-mania. Bag-holders are signing up to be fleeced. Once no more bag-holders show up they'll all go bankrupt. Buying BTC at $1000 or more is like buying a gold ounce for 20 quadrillion dollars. It's nonsense.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:42 | 4194470 ultraticum
ultraticum's picture

To be fair . . . you forgot the chart of the US monetary base.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:47 | 4194478 Haole
Haole's picture

Dear Tylers,

If you're going to use two log charts out of three (?) as comparisons, can you use a log chart of Bitcoin just to be fair please?

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:55 | 4194530 Papasmurf
Papasmurf's picture

Yeah, that was very CNBC-like.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:36 | 4194712 Herd Redirectio...
Herd Redirection Committee's picture

The BTC chart is 1 year.  Two of the others are over 4 years.  The general comparison remains.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:46 | 4194488 delivered
delivered's picture

Still uncertain about BTC. The concept in general is correct as having a virtual currency that can be used on a global scale with little or no friction or transaction costs is on the right track. What worries me is the ability for a few exchanges to corner or significantly influence the market (i.e., supply and demand) over the short-term to drive valuations and profits. Can't get the concept of a boiler room out of my mind related to pumping and dumping the lastest savior to the world of endless fiat currency corruption and manipulation. So to this point, I only have three questions related to BTC:

- What actually backs a BTC? Is it nothing more than the fiat currency being accepted in exchange for BTCs?

- Can anyone direct me to a prospectus on BTC and/or something similar which clearly discloses all risks, the business plan, etc.? 

- Finally, original BTCs had to be issued to the market in exchange for fiat currencies. What parties or businesses were the original issuers and recipients of BTCs?

Just trying to do a little more homework on this subject and clearly understand all of the pros and cons.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:59 | 4194536 InspectorBird
InspectorBird's picture

Original issuers where insiders, who crearted this ponzi, they "mined" first, easy complexity bitcoins virtually for free (some 6 million of them), they gave a lot of them away for free to bloggers and pundits (to try it out, you know), so they would have a stake in it and start to hype this thing as second coming and are now selling them to suckers, who are willing to transfer their hard earned wealth to those insiders and early adopters. that it, thats all there is. once those insiders are finished cashing out and wount prop it up anymore by manipulation, bitcoin will find its free market price, big fat 0.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:35 | 4194698 Herd Redirectio...
Herd Redirection Committee's picture

If you are worried these cryptocurrencies are like penny stocks, OTC, boilerroom-esque, you should check out the chat rooms!

https://btc-e.com/exchange/ltc_usd

"NVC back to 28$ very soon, the next pumped coin will be NVC by investors..."

"all coins are expensive now just TRC lags behind. Spend a BTC get 2500 TRC."

"i love all this new money in here, its so much easier to find liquidity when you need it"

Thu, 11/28/2013 - 00:17 | 4195577 TheHound73
TheHound73's picture

Bitcoin has always been out in the open, joining the mining network has always been free and public.  Where the hell were you? Sniffing glue?  If luck or circumstance had exposed you to the concepts at an earlier time you would have just dismissed it as fantastical.  Now you dismiss it as an insider job.  I heard about it early and said, "cool idea, hope it succeeds," and left it at that.  Fast forward a couple years and it came up on my radar again (probably ZH reporting around the time of the Cyprus crisis).  At that time I took a second look and liked what I saw.

How else could a non-nation, non-corporate, non PR-backed digital monetary system have gotten started?

Thu, 11/28/2013 - 02:27 | 4196188 Amagnonx
Amagnonx's picture

Answers to Questions:

 

BitCoin isn't backed by anything, because it is pure money.  In the same way that gold is backed by nothing, because it is pure money.  BTC is not a receipt, or a token or a placeholder - it is money.

 

BTC isn't a business, it has no 'plan' it was created freely and donated to everyone to use for free.  There are no interests skimming or organizing the system.  The shareholders are everyone who owns a BTC or even a fraction of one, and it was not created to make anyone a profit, but rather to provide an alternative to the corrupt system of money we have today.

 

BTC were never 'issued' to the market - they are created by solving a complex bit of math.  Solving the math ensures that every part of the systems integrity is verified - this is called the blockchain, which is a list of all the transactions and all th BTC that have been added to the system, from this a ledger containing all the transactions ever made is created and published.

 

BTC was basically a gift to everyone, by some very smart guys who wanted to give people a better way of conducting finance.  They profited by being the first people in the system, and by being able to create the first coins - no doubt they were paid well for their work, but considering the magnitude of what they accomplished I have no reservation in saying they deserve to be rich.

Sat, 11/30/2013 - 21:36 | 4202767 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

Fail.
Pure money has an atomic nucleus and is backed by physics. All else is impure quasi-money or non-money posing (fraud) as money. Bitcoin is one of those.
BTC is no gift. I could PGP sign any voucher for anything with greater endurance & security than bitcoin and much less effort. Now you've got BTC which takes far more computing power & vouches for NOTHING AT ALL.
May as well be PGP signed messages which are EMPTY and all signed with the same originator.
Doesn't matter how many or how few there are: they have no value at all.

Sat, 11/30/2013 - 19:52 | 4201573 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

actually they did NOT need to be. If all who generated btc stuck with producing GOODS and bartering GOODS for BTC none of this trouble would have started.
It would further give stronger incentive to up the value of the goods for BTC when BTC got harder to generate.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:55 | 4194489 One And Only
One And Only's picture

Why did Tyler post 2 log scale charts, a 30 year chart of the no, and than a regular chart of bitcoin?

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:47 | 4194497 MrSprottJr
MrSprottJr's picture

It's a ring toss game.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:50 | 4194503 jubber
jubber's picture

Isn't Bitcoin just doing what Gold and Silver should be doing if they weren't so blatantly manipulated, should be ringing alarm bells that something is truly wrong in the world that this has gone up so far so quickly and almost globally?...like maybe the ever increasing $17.2 Trillion US debt and the 1 Quadrillion Yen blackhole.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:37 | 4194714 adr
adr's picture

Gold and silver should be slowly rising in value. If they went parabolic, you'd have major problems. 

Silver is required for industry, a massive ramp in the price of silver would have major implications for the broader economy.

I've tried to find mainstream discussions of Bitcoin and they aren't there. The most mainstream discussion is on Cnet, but most people there talk about it being a scam. A Cnet editor probably got a few Bitcoins and hopes the discussion will increase the value of his wallet.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:00 | 4194813 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Who needs the MSM for BTC when ZH runs threads on it daily?

Any rational discussion of gold and silver has been ended here by the BTC parabolic move and mania phase it is already in.

 

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 21:18 | 4195583 TheHound73
TheHound73's picture

Phew, time for a break.  Unless somebody like Amazon comes on board, no need for another ZH Bitcoin thread until it reaches gold parity.  This weekend perhaps?

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:50 | 4194516 Charles Nelson ...
Charles Nelson Reilly's picture

I like Bitcoin and the idea behind it. I'm kicking myself for not buying $500 worth back in June when i was tossing around the idea for the fuck of it.

That said, cash in now. When this thing drops back to $200,$100 and then $20, it will do it quicker than me shooting my wad in my first lay when I was 16.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:55 | 4194537 superflex
superflex's picture

My first lay at 15 would be considered an eternity compared to my duration at 47.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:54 | 4194783 Levadiakos
Levadiakos's picture

Try it with a woman for a change

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 21:38 | 4195589 TheHound73
TheHound73's picture

Funny you should mention that.  I have bid orders in on all those price points and many higher.  Go ahead, Take my dollars goddammit! Crash! Crash! Crash!

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:51 | 4194518 lordbyroniv
lordbyroniv's picture

I prefer Chucky Cheese Tokens.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:39 | 4194725 quasimodo
quasimodo's picture

At least they are a physical asset. The pizza there is another topic of discussion

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:54 | 4194525 pcrs
pcrs's picture

It's a bit different in the sense that all the other ones, production was increased to cash in on the demand. Production can not be increased with btc. 

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:54 | 4194533 johnjkiii
johnjkiii's picture

Is there a method to short this farce?

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:57 | 4194542 Conman
Conman's picture

Yep, and just like those who short ES, they most likely got torched.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:02 | 4194559 pcrs
pcrs's picture

You can borrow someone's bitcoin, sell them and return them later by buying them back.

I would not dare try yo do it. I can't see where the supply should come from.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 20:28 | 4195411 Herd Redirectio...
Herd Redirection Committee's picture

Or... Later mining them, and giving them to the original owner.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:16 | 4194880 fonestar
fonestar's picture

You would be suicidal to try and short Bitcoin.  And you can't short Bitcoin anyway, it's hard enough to even buy Bitcoin.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 15:58 | 4194548 Goldilocks
Goldilocks's picture

LTG Russel Honore: "You're Stuck on STUPID!"
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qv5m4hTMuWU (1:05)

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:01 | 4194558 Clowns on Acid
Clowns on Acid's picture

Take profit in bitcoin, buy some physical. There is an arb here. Only risk is that globally, Gov't begin to use the bitcoin concept of electronic cash, (don't worry they will learn how to expand the supply when they want to) and outlaw holding of physical.

There is a storm coming.... Obama and his brethen want to see red in the streets.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:02 | 4194563 bugs_
bugs_'s picture

a company for carrying out an undertaking of great advantage, but nobody to know what it is

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:06 | 4194565 conspicio
conspicio's picture

Zoom in any one of those non-bitcoin graphs and you do not make the case. See what I did there? Because, CONTEXT.

Oh, and all that log scale stuff the really smart fuckers like to post.

 

Meanwhile, in a meme somewhere in teh internets, Doge say:

Wow.

Much context.

Very Scare.

Amaze.

 

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:04 | 4194572 pirea
pirea's picture

For me the rising value of crypto currencies does not reflect their value, but the huge amount of printed fiat, which has to go in something, including Bitcoin. The real hard worked money do not have a place there. Volatility is going to kill the concept, that is for sure.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:09 | 4194598 Levadiakos
Levadiakos's picture

lot -a sour grapes from peeps missed the ramp

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:39 | 4194667 adr
adr's picture

I prefer to earn my money through the value of labor. Nothing good comes from people who obtain wealth out of thin air.

Like the house that will double in value every five years, eventually there isn't a buyer willing to pay for it.

If you have a valuable skill people need, a person will pay almost anything if they need you to do it. 

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:52 | 4194757 Levadiakos
Levadiakos's picture

You have nothing I want. What I dont need from you is a book review of Napoleon Hill

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:59 | 4195015 bombdog
bombdog's picture

I'm really jealous to be honest, but I know that I'd have sold out at $200. If you're still holding at $1000 and haven't lightened the load yet you're just a pig, plain and simple. You know the old saying, bulls make money, bears make money...

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 21:25 | 4195606 TheHound73
TheHound73's picture

My crystal ball tells me to hold steady, sorry 'bout that. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NG1qooBzE2w

Sat, 11/30/2013 - 21:49 | 4202792 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

Since you don't have a crystal ball that means you'll be destroyed utterly.

Good for you.

Sat, 11/30/2013 - 21:50 | 4202794 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

I'm GLAD to have missed it. That's a GOOD thing.
It's much worse to see so-called cash-value in a fiat-exchange go way way up only to see it vaporized because the btc & fiat$ can't be claimed at all.
That's what happens when exchanges go dark and/or get "hacked" (robbed, CORZINED).

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:19 | 4194631 HUGE_Gamma
HUGE_Gamma's picture

Just wait for the first "Bitcoin Bank" to open with fractional deposit lending and "paper notes"..

 

Just another PayPal alternative.. Less liquidity than USD and less practical

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 21:42 | 4195655 TheHound73
TheHound73's picture

Yep, just a fad.  Move along, nothing to see here, folks.  

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:23 | 4194644 katchum
katchum's picture

You can't grow Bitcoins out of the ground like tulips.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:31 | 4194674 adr
adr's picture

I bet you'd find it harder to grow Tulip bulbs than click "run program" to mine Bitcoin.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:52 | 4194996 bombdog
bombdog's picture

Somebody should buy a tulip growing business with his bitcoin and see which performs best over the next five years. Just for shits and giggles.

Sat, 11/30/2013 - 01:27 | 4201347 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

only the start, not the finish. To get one BTC would require a lot of technical skill, massive expenses on electricity & due to rapid increase in complexity it may never happen at all.
For $10,000 USD I can easily grow tulips. Especially if my goal was either ONE tulip or ONE btc.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:40 | 4194727 Hongcha
Hongcha's picture

fonestar do you have any of them?  If so why all the bittah posts today?  I would be enjoying an extended champagne/lobster lunch along Vancouver Harbour if I was you.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:14 | 4194873 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Good question. I find all the yelling from them odd here. Why do they even care? Some people hate gold and silver. Big deal. Never stopped stackers from stacking.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 16:49 | 4194767 sid farkas
sid farkas's picture

I bought 40 at $13. I'm holding on until it's worth 40 million or 0. Best $500 I ever spent.

Wed, 11/27/2013 - 17:42 | 4194971 peruchocanuck
peruchocanuck's picture

a 40 million usb drive...?!

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