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The Retail "Half-Off" Mystery Explained In Two Simple Bullet Points

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The two bullet points below from a just released update by Yum Brands explain all you need to know about the "magic" of half-off retail discounts.

  • YUM BRANDS- IN CHINA, LIMITED-TIME "HALF PRICED" BUCKET PROMOTION YIELDED AN ABOUT 16% INCREASE IN KFC SAME-STORE SALES FOR FIRST 10 DAYS OF NOVEMBER
  • YUM BRANDS - IN CHINA, KFC SAME-STORE SALES WERE DOWN APPROXIMATELY 8% FOR THE REMAINDER OF NOVEMBER

So, sales were up 16% for the 10 days in which margins were crushed, then down 8% for the remaining 20 regular margin days. And the net impact on the bottom line is...

 

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Mon, 12/02/2013 - 18:56 | 4208006 Bobbyrib
Bobbyrib's picture

LOL.

At least their sales were up. /sarcasm

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 18:56 | 4208008 idea_hamster
idea_hamster's picture

"Sure we lose money on each order -- but we really make up for it in volume!"

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:03 | 4208029 Rainman
Rainman's picture

..... is that you, Bezos ?

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:13 | 4208058 Clowns on Acid
Clowns on Acid's picture

Rainman - exactly, start delivering supplies to YUM stores by drone. Cut out transportation costs.

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:36 | 4208116 Skateboarder
Skateboarder's picture

Thanks for reminding me drones don't count under transportation/energy costs. I forgot that electricity is free in the future.

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:38 | 4208117 Stackers
Stackers's picture
Chickity China the Chinese Chicken

Have a drum stick and your brain starts click'n !!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yd4XaLwXpLQ

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:43 | 4208131 Clowns on Acid
Clowns on Acid's picture

Grasshopper - it is the price / cost differential.... and I just assumed that my comment didn't require a sarc tag.

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 20:00 | 4208171 TheLooza
TheLooza's picture

The Colonel's secret recipe for.... PROFIT*

 

 

*non-GAAP

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:06 | 4208033 SilverIsKing
SilverIsKing's picture

I guess it IS possible that while the chicken was half-off, they doubled their prices on everything else.  I'm speaking in a sarcastic tone if you couldn't tell.

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:12 | 4208050 knukles
knukles's picture

And here's more government intervention to fuck things up...

http://www.myfoxny.com/story/24111247/german-plan-to-ban-flat-rate-offer...

See, now Barry Sweato and Joie "the Plugs" Bidet couldn't get laid for the same price in Berlin.
Can you guess why?

PS Did you all know that Germans consume more bananas per capita than any other peoples?

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:49 | 4208149 gratefultraveller
gratefultraveller's picture

Wanna know why? ;) I reckon it has to do with this:

Before and during WWII Germany imported bananas from it's colony Cameroon at very low cost (they were recognized as healthy), without greedy corporations as go-between.

After the war they were exempt of import duty and thus very cheap. I recall from my youth that bananas would "always" cost 1 DM/kilogram, for many years - iirc about the same price as oranges and (locally grown) apples.

If you are really *that* curious, you might find the following interesting (text both in German and in English)

http://d-nb.info/972352945/34

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 20:11 | 4208189 fxrxexexdxoxmx
fxrxexexdxoxmx's picture

Or maybe Germans are simply monkees.

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:57 | 4208165 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

100 Euro for unlimited sex?

How much is that in bit coin?

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:30 | 4208098 max2205
max2205's picture

Channel stuffing or china stuffing

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:18 | 4208066 icanhasbailout
icanhasbailout's picture

27 heroism potions, please.

 

http://www.giantitp.com/comics/oots0135.html

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 18:57 | 4208011 Al Huxley
Al Huxley's picture

Wait, are you saying you can't sell below production cost, but 'make it up on volume'?

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:37 | 4208120 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Jeff Bezos does.  So go figure.

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:54 | 4208160 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

Never mind the quality, feel the width.

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:01 | 4208021 infinity8
infinity8's picture

Boom!

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:03 | 4208031 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

Same sales, lower margins = Losing.

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:06 | 4208032 Rainman
Rainman's picture

Them chicken legs will be gettin' skinnier and skinnier

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:09 | 4208035 john39
john39's picture

yeah, but they make up for it with extra msg and other GMO goodness...

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:13 | 4208055 knukles
knukles's picture

Chinee chicks do have awfully skinny legs, no?

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:46 | 4208137 Hulk
Mon, 12/02/2013 - 20:39 | 4208270 J Pancreas
J Pancreas's picture

Ugh. I still don't know why I clicked your link. Decent upper body + world's strongest man lower body still equals a huge turnoff for me. And that's excluding that dirty crapper in the background.

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:07 | 4208040 Make_Mine_A_Double
Make_Mine_A_Double's picture

A demand pull forward in micro.

What we have done here is pull about 3 decades worth of demand forward.

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:10 | 4208048 Clowns on Acid
Clowns on Acid's picture

Ok so... with some basic (very) calculations -  if YUM does + 16% @ 50% off, then the real price is around 66% of current retail price, while if they do - 8% at regular price (100%) then that real price is at 92%. Combining the two real price scenarios [(66+92)/2] = 79%. So the real pricing has to fall 21% to maintain year on year sales.

YUM is the leader in China so other chains probably must fall moar ! So if China is overpriced by a minimum of 21%, what is the US?

Don't worry POMO is $4B to $5B tomorrow.... but methinks that the banks are going to start hoarding cash rather than buying stawks or bonds (who the fuck would be buying bonds now.. except the fabian felons at the Fed?).

Markets sell off hard going into close tomorrow... methinks.

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:17 | 4208070 novictim
novictim's picture
Banks have been hoarding cash all along...we are in a liquidity trap: Low inflation-->deflation, High enempoyment, low growth-->negative growth. Those who worship low-inflation are getting their wish as well as capitalism's collapse as an added bonus.
Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:41 | 4208125 Clowns on Acid
Clowns on Acid's picture

Yes banks have been hoarding cash... but also giving a bid to stawks.. leverage for thie rown books and lend out at leverage to hedge funds.  My point is that they will hoard more and ergo pull in leverage ... got it ?

"Worshipping low inflation"... are you a dumkoff ? The deflation in the general proce level was what was needed in 2007 / 08. Yes it would have been painful for a year or two, but the response by the Fed / ECB/ BOJ has created the liquidity trap which will be forced upon the economy. It is not a question of worshipping low inflation / deflation, it will be the natural law reactio to the fabian socialists at the Fed/ECB, et al.

Square the blame on where it belongs... not on your sycophantic definition of "capitalism".

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:11 | 4208049 pragmatic hobo
pragmatic hobo's picture

does this mean new all-time-high tomorrow?

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:15 | 4208062 SmittyinLA
SmittyinLA's picture

Yum brands, masters of food debasement phood counterfeiting.

 

My lil bro pointed out my chicken nuggett was actually more "chicken slime*" than actual chicken, chicken nuggets are actually only 50% chicken meat, the other 50% chicken stuff* that's before battering, spices, and grease. 

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 20:16 | 4208202 fxrxexexdxoxmx
fxrxexexdxoxmx's picture

They taste good so who cares. I really do like McNuggets. Crispy good, white looking meat good, some kinda slime good.

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 23:54 | 4208934 Kelley
Kelley's picture

Be sure to take a picture of it. Then compare it to the pitcure of the slime your surgeon removes from your body 10 or 20 years from now. 

 

It might help in the lawsuit.

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 20:45 | 4208293 stock trout
stock trout's picture

In China it's actually "canine slime". 

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:24 | 4208086 I am Jobe
I am Jobe's picture

David C. Novak is indeed a scam artist . Who would have thought?

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:31 | 4208107 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

Don't worry about Novak, he got plenty chikkken.

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:29 | 4208102 bubblemania
bubblemania's picture

Bullish!

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:35 | 4208113 I am Jobe
I am Jobe's picture

 

Off Topic, the Whiners circuit 

Big defense to Congress: End budget cuts

http://money.cnn.com/2013/12/02/news/economy/defense-sequester/index.htm...

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 19:38 | 4208119 starman
starman's picture

The surgery was a success even that the patient didn't survive.

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 20:02 | 4208174 b_thunder
b_thunder's picture

"And the net impact on the bottom line is..."  - Who cares about the bottom line?  Next month they're goign to start delivery those promotional buckets by DRONES!  People will start ordering just to see the damn cyborgs in action!

 

 

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 20:29 | 4208243 Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

Where are the Cyber Monday sales figures?

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 21:11 | 4208374 JackT
JackT's picture

Forty two. The answer is forty two

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 22:24 | 4208617 WTF_247
WTF_247's picture

The great experiment is coming to the end stage.

People are always motivated by sales.  However when you have inflation that greatly increases beyond wage growth for decades the population starts to only react to sales because they could not really afford it otherwise.  Additionally the internet has spread this process quicker as its easier to bargain shop.

Henry Ford had it right when he paid his workers more so they could afford to buy the product they were selling.  The reverse is true today.  Its all about wage arbitrage and outsourcing to maximize the bottom line.  Without cheap financing (credit cards, loans) the whole house of cards falls apart as the end consumer cannot afford the product.  Whole global corporations are built upon this and will fail without it.  The only reason it has lasted so long is through the exploitation of wages in one country after another.  We are reaching the climax of that - there are very few places left to pull that off on a global scale.  I do not think we make it to the point where it ends - the house will collapse prior to that.

Mon, 12/02/2013 - 23:12 | 4208789 El Hosel
El Hosel's picture

"And the net impact on the bottom line is"...

    Wait,  don't tell me,  ... Winner, winner,  chicken dinner?

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 03:31 | 4209262 Clowns on Acid
Clowns on Acid's picture

agreed...add tax arbitrage to the scam. Just ask GOOG, AAPL, and MSFT how it works....

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