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Detroit Eligible To File Chapter 9; Pension Haircuts Allowed Bankruptcy Judge Rules

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Update, and it's official: 

  • JUDGE: DETROIT ELIGIBLE FOR IMMEDIATE BANKRUPTCY PROTECTION
  • DETROIT TO REMAIN UNDER BANKRUPTCY COURT PROTECTION, JUDGE SAYS

As somewhat expected - though hoped against by many Detroit union workers - Judge Steven Rhodes appears to have confirmed Detroit is eligible for bankruptcy protection (after pointing out that the city's accounting was accurate and it is indeed insolvent) making this the largest ever muni bankruptcy.

  • JUDGE RHODES SAYS HE WILL ALLOW PENSION CUTS IN DETROIT'S BANKRUPTCY
  • DETROIT JUDGE: NOTHING SEPARATES PENSIONS FROM OTHER DEBT

The city will now begin working toward its next major move - the submission of a plan to re-adjust its more than $18 billion in debt - including significant haircuts for pension funds (possibly 16c on the dollar recovery) and bondholders. With Detroit as precedent, we can only imagine the torrent of other cities in trouble that will be willing to fold.

He did provide an "out" though:

  • RHODES WARNS THE CITY THAT JUST BECAUSE PENSION RIGHTS CAN BE IMPAIRED, DOESN'T MEAN HE WILL APPROVE A PLAN WITH STEEP CUTS

Via Bloomberg,

Before the bankruptcy, Orr proposed canceling $3.5 billion in future pension obligations and at least $1.4 billion in unsecured bonds. The debts would be replaced with a $2 billion note paying 1.5 percent interest.

But, of course:

Detroit must ask “what is necessary to invest to attract business?” Spiotto said in a phone interview. “If you don’t solve the systemic problem, you are just going to repeat it.”

Summary from Reuters:

Detroit is eligible for the biggest municipal bankruptcy in U.S. history because the city is broke and without Chapter 9 bankruptcy would continue on the path that has led it to insolvency, a federal judge ruled on Tuesday.

 

The judge also ruled that while the city did not negotiate in "good faith" with creditors, there were too many of them to make such negotiations practical.

 

Appeals are expected, but the ruling by U.S. Judge Steven Rhodes sets the stage for Detroit to file a plan of financial readjustment by March 1. The city's attorneys said they were not sure if the filing would occur before the end of the year.

 

The ruling came 25 days after the end of an eligibility trial during which Detroit's labor unions, retirees and pension funds argued against the city's July 18 bankruptcy filing.

 

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Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:08 | 4210225 larryj
larryj's picture

Trust me, the gov't will find some way to kick this can down the road--they aren't ready to let it all fail, YET!

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:11 | 4210241 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Oh, it's close. The can has become too  heavy to kick anymore.

Unless Obama increases the defict and bails out the states.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:39 | 4210392 forwardho
forwardho's picture

Bingo on the bailout.

 

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 15:41 | 4211166 Vendetta
Vendetta's picture

Nonsense, he won't bail out the states.  He's got his buddies at the 'morgue and goldy sacks to worry about... they promised him to whisk him out of the country on their gulfstream G650's over to Luxembourg and/or the Cayman's to pick up some multi-year vacation money.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 17:57 | 4210229 mark mchugh
mark mchugh's picture

Wait a second....

Are you suggesting that if you let the private sector die and allow your corner of the world to devolve into a crime-ridden shithole, you might not get your government-guaranteed pension?

That's Bullshit!

 

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:10 | 4210240 hmmmstrange
hmmmstrange's picture

What????? My $10k/month pension is now only $1600 per month?

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:19 | 4210570 TheMeatTrapper
TheMeatTrapper's picture

No. It's $160 a month. It's about what you actually paid in.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:44 | 4210664 CrashisOptimistic
CrashisOptimistic's picture

Yes, before taxes.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:13 | 4210250 jvetter713
jvetter713's picture

Finally.  Functional capitalism...at least until bama prints some freshy's for the union folk.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:14 | 4210254 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

If you want your pension you can keep it.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:25 | 4210326 nodhannum
nodhannum's picture

Or at least 16% of it.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 15:48 | 4211184 Vendetta
Vendetta's picture

JPM will manage what's left of it like EBT cards.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:14 | 4210256 yogibear
yogibear's picture

They should have put caps on public pension amounts long ago. The tricks used to boost pension amounts the last 3 years working were criminal.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:19 | 4210284 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

I always Said 48,000 cap was fair. No matter how important you think you were. But must say I'm liking 16¢ even better. Can't imagine What ZERO public pension will feel like. 

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:15 | 4210261 Racer
Racer's picture

So they pay into a pension all their lives and now won't get back what they paid in for?

This isn't a game where you get your life reset so you can play again

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:16 | 4210270 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

I think you are leaving out the other 95% of the story. 

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:21 | 4210304 ElvisDog
ElvisDog's picture

Well, they probably will get what they paid in, what was it? something like 2-3% of salary? It's the idea that everyone gets a $50-100K (or more) per year pension for 30 years that mathematically wasn't going to happen.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 14:36 | 4210870 MachoMan
MachoMan's picture

I'm curious what the rate of return will end up being for state worker contributed funds...  I'm guessing not that bad, all things considered, even @ $.16/1.00.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:34 | 4210360 forwardho
forwardho's picture

Does the saying "I'll gladly pay you tomorrow for a hamburger today" ring true?

If its too good to be true, chances are good it isn't.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:46 | 4210418 V in PA
V in PA's picture

Tuesday!! It's pay you on Tuesday for a hamburger today (ergo. C U Next Tuesday).    ;)

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 15:50 | 4211194 Vendetta
Vendetta's picture

that's total horsemeat .... yeah really it is ... /snark

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 17:25 | 4211515 starfcker
starfcker's picture

you don't say racer. but every one of those pieces of garbage haven't had a shred of sympathy for the average taxpayer while they sit on their side of a bulletproof glass partition, smiling sweetly and saying, 'that will be 8000 dollars' for some imaginary infraction. i didn't see a single cop, teacher or fireman object as private citizens got their businesses, jobs and pensions destroyed. what makes them so special? cause obama keeps telling you they are special?

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:13 | 4210264 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

That $1 you HOPE for, just became 16¢ CHANGE

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:16 | 4210273 The Devil
The Devil's picture

Deficits don't matter.

Paul Krugman is so proud.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:11 | 4210536 alangreedspank
alangreedspank's picture

According to him, the problem will be lack of debt. You see, if only Detroit had more debt, it would mean it would have spent a lot which means everything is OK when that happens. In Krugman's world, it's all about quantity, quality matters not.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:18 | 4210277 Let The Wurlitz...
Let The Wurlitzer Play's picture

This is how debt assets get destroyed and dollar supply is reduced.  Now every portfolio holding Detroit debt assets has to re adjust their values and their follow on leverage used to purchase stocks, etc.  This is how the party starts.

 

 

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 15:29 | 4211100 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

This event, which will spawn many ledger losses, is of the type & kind that requires the Fed, in a debt-dependent & driven economy, to print larger and larger batches of fiat, in order to plug the recurring holes in the fiscal fiat dam, and delay the flood that would show the emperor as naked.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:17 | 4210278 Hondo
Hondo's picture

Bond holders shouldn't get a better deal than pensioners......

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:27 | 4210329 forwardho
forwardho's picture

If the inverse is also true...

 Agree.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:46 | 4210673 CrashisOptimistic
CrashisOptimistic's picture

Exactly.  Treat them the same.  Since bondholders are going to get screwed, so do pensioners.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 14:36 | 4210879 MachoMan
MachoMan's picture

Unless you're a derivative creditor...

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 15:05 | 4210998 MeBizarro
MeBizarro's picture

No they shouldn't but they will.  America is already a banana republic and in another 10-15 years there will be 10-20% of the popuation that lives well (exluding retirees who will at least have SSI and Medicare in some form because the Feds won't be able to take that away in a democracy) and everyone else under 65 will largely be a$$fucked. 

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:17 | 4210281 joeknows
joeknows's picture

All my relatives are going to have to move back home from FLA and get jobs...

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:20 | 4210290 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

Cops and firemen ????

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:30 | 4210317 yogibear
yogibear's picture

The firemen will have to get rid of one their homes. The one in the midwest/East coast or in Arizona? And they'll have to stop buying those $60,000 top-shelf german cars. Same with the retired cops.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:34 | 4210369 insanelysane
insanelysane's picture

I posted this yesterday but it gets sadder each time I read it.  Of course no one made these types of rules.

http://www.wpri.com/target-12/tim-white/no-providence-mayor-upset-over-hiring-of-52-year-old-to-fire-department

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:27 | 4210332 Trenchf00t
Trenchf00t's picture

Perhaps in this Escape From... Film, we will finally find out why they call him, "Snake".

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:31 | 4210348 Father Lucifer
Father Lucifer's picture

.....blowing up my detroit
knocking out my broadway
heading for my L.A. .....

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:33 | 4210367 Colonel Klink
Colonel Klink's picture

Ahahahahahahahahahahahaha.............:deep breath:.......................hahahahahahahahahah!

 

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:03 | 4210379 CaptainSpaulding
CaptainSpaulding's picture

I have no pension

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:21 | 4210572 alangreedspank
alangreedspank's picture

Welcome to the statist brainfracked reality were people "losing" their pensions paid by people who don't have a pension is a calamity.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 15:54 | 4211215 Vendetta
Vendetta's picture

What's a pension?

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:37 | 4210380 orangedrinkandchips
orangedrinkandchips's picture

"Looks like it's raining....looks like it's raining!......OH NO TEARS ARE FALLING!"

 

KISS 

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:37 | 4210383 Surging Chaos
Surging Chaos's picture

This is just the beginning. Other cities are going to realize that bankruptcy will be the only way to get rid of these ridiculous pensions. Once that happens, the muni market is history. It could actually trigger the bond market collapse that everyone has been waiting for, since there will be a tidal wave of cities declaring bankruptcy to get out from under all the pensions. It will be like another Lehman moment.

It's funny, because I occasionally hear on the radio ads telling people to invest in muni bonds because they're "risk free" and "tax exempt". LOL. These are probably the same people telling everyone to buy houses and MBSes in 2005.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:40 | 4210396 amadeusb4
amadeusb4's picture

Pension cuts are not allowed by the Michigan constitution.... buuuuut the judge felt that treating them as regular contracts under Michigan law will do. Unlike bond holders who willingly purchased said bonds and therefore decided to take on this risk, pensioners had no reason to believe their pensions were at risk. So why not treat the two populations equally? That's how crony capitalism rolls.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:49 | 4210683 Dingleberry
Dingleberry's picture

actually they did. the unions loaned the city money in return for a future payout.

now they are debtholders too.

That's why the charade lasted as long as it did. 

Chuck Ponzi would have been proud. But alas.....the grim reaper has arrived.

This is a federal case, so the state constitution is worth about as much as......(I'll let you fill in the blank).

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 14:58 | 4210971 MachoMan
MachoMan's picture

Federal cases have to abide by state law all the time...  depends on the situation.  Even in bankruptcy cases, there are state exemptions to deal with...

I fail to see how this isn't a supremacy clause issue where federal law is ruler of the roost...  now, the state would be prohibited from cutting its own pensions, but with a federal process like this, I don't see how a state could impose its constitution in the event of a conflict, unless it was to secede...  The state constitution is still valid for all other issues, but for this one, it's superceded by federal law...  Not saying this is the way it should be, just saying from a cursory observation point, this is the skinny.

In the end, what would you be hoping for where a state can't reneg on its pensions?  That's like prohibiting divorce...  no really, we ought to have people that hate each other forced to continue their relationship in perpetuity.  If you look at bankruptcy as one of the fundamental safeguards to the entire legal system (the great sweeper), then it's easy to understand why this is happening...

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 15:15 | 4211041 Dingleberry
Dingleberry's picture

Here is what happened. I am no lawyer, but I follow this case with interest as I feel it is a harbinger of things to come.

When BK was filed, the unions, etc. went running IMMEDIATELY to a STATE JUDGE to get  a suspension of the BK since the constitution guarantees pensions and whatnot. Judge is a flaming liberal, and made a bunch of political and illogical statements in her ruling. Look her up. 

The fed judge told the state judge to basically go to hell, this is above your paygrade.  About a day or so after the state judge made her ruling.

There you go. When state law collides with fed law, there is no discussion as you know. But it should be noted that as far as I know, fed BK codes only cover muni BK and below, not entire states. I am thinking about IL. They make Detroit look solvent.

 

 

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 15:32 | 4211120 MachoMan
MachoMan's picture

Sounds to me like the federal court got it right...  what is the ominous repercussion of the ruling?  As if this hasn't happened before on numerous occasions...

I commented below, but states can practically accomplish the same thing through repudiation or, perhaps more likely, deciding how to appropriate state funds...  In short, the state can simply defund pension obligations in favor of other expenses.  There won't be a discharge of the debt (unless they can make settlement agreements), but effectively it will be the same thing.  Whether the state legislators can accomplish this given the voting blocks state employees command is anyone's guess, but from a mathematical standpoint, it seems pretty inevitable that default will occur, regardless of whether a city, county, or state.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 14:58 | 4210966 ElvisDog
ElvisDog's picture

Michigan constitutional mandates hold until the city or whatever declares bankruptcy. Then, federal bankruptcy laws supercede any state mandates. Under federal law, pension cuts are allowed. So, those state mandates don't mean dick.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:40 | 4210397 monopoly
monopoly's picture

Well, this is a start. But just the start. Years in the making of insane policies that could never be funded will take years to break up. But maybe, just maybe a beginning to the end.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:42 | 4210409 teolawki
teolawki's picture

And this is different from the federal government how?

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:09 | 4210528 1stepcloser
1stepcloser's picture

Federal Government has access to nuclear weapons and a printing press

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:46 | 4210417 icanhasbailout
icanhasbailout's picture

LOL @ 16 cents on the dollar. I'll believe it when I see it paid out. IMO if you don't already have the check in hand, you ain't getting paid at all.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:52 | 4210440 Nue
Nue's picture

Let's face the facts. The reason Detroit is in Chapter 9 is because the majority of it's population can't even read a book with that many chapters in it.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:23 | 4210577 Colonel Klink
Colonel Klink's picture

They can if it's got big print and lots of pictures.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:50 | 4210441 RaceToTheBottom
RaceToTheBottom's picture

The losses are tax deductable right?  Whew, got that going for them....

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:52 | 4210445 Lendo
Lendo's picture

Illinois has a 100 billion shortfall.  Can't wait to see the teacher's union protest over nothing once they file.  

There's no money left!!  How difficult is that to understand?

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:10 | 4210526 youngman
youngman's picture

And Illinois is voting today I think on a pension reform.....cutting costs I think.....cutting pension payouts

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:52 | 4210690 Dingleberry
Dingleberry's picture

I think IL is going to be different in that there is no fed BK code for state BK, only muni (or so I have read). Perhaps a BK lawyer can chime in.....

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 15:23 | 4211074 MachoMan
MachoMan's picture

I believe that you are correct, however as sovereigns the states can simply repudiate debt...  while the debt may not be eliminated through a formal bankruptcy process, the state is still free to distribute its revenues as it sees fit...  In other words, the debt/obligation remains on the books until paid, which might be a while.  As far as precedent, Arkansas defaulted in 1933, although I think bond holders got paid in full.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 15:54 | 4211206 Freddie
Freddie's picture

What about Chicago cop and fire pensions?  I heard they are in bad shape. 

 

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 15:55 | 4211214 Tijuana Donkey Show
Tijuana Donkey Show's picture

Muni not state 

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 12:58 | 4210477 starman
starman's picture

Next Olympics = Detroit of course

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:00 | 4210493 muleskinner
muleskinner's picture

Ever see vultures fly around and around in a circle up in the sky?

Oh the buzzards in the sky get so dizzy they can't fly just from sniffin' that good ol' mountain dew

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:01 | 4210494 jughead
jughead's picture

"The judge also ruled that while the city did not negotiate in "good faith" with creditors, there were too many of them to make such negotiations practical."

Kewl, so if I can rack up enough creditors, I don't have to negotiate with them in good faith. Any of you folks want to loan me some money?

 

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:05 | 4210509 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 It's time to reload the popcorn and cotton candy. This circus is just getting started...

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:48 | 4210678 CrashisOptimistic
CrashisOptimistic's picture

Yup, I wonder if Tyler realizes the primary value of his site is the comment threads -- filled with financial/economics analysis gold and comedy gold both.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 15:07 | 4211009 MeBizarro
MeBizarro's picture

Greatly depends on the article and I would have agreed with you say 4-5 years ago. 

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:09 | 4210527 alangreedspank
alangreedspank's picture

Activate the FSA terror cells!

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:09 | 4210529 Captain Clownshoes
Captain Clownshoes's picture

And its a Democratic run city since 1963 if Im correct.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:14 | 4210550 roadhazard
roadhazard's picture

The average Detroit pension is $19K per year.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:50 | 4210685 CrashisOptimistic
CrashisOptimistic's picture

plus free healthcare for life.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 16:01 | 4211241 Vendetta
Vendetta's picture

yeah but 4 bedroom homes in long established neighborhoods are only a buck, all they need is a roof, plumbing, wriing, windows and some wall material to cover the framing and 14 40 cu. yd dumpster trips to haul out the stuff in the yard.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:17 | 4210561 therearetoomany...
therearetoomanyidiots's picture

"Detroit must ask “what is necessary to invest to attract business?” Spiotto said in a phone interview."

A neutron bomb?

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 15:00 | 4210981 Freddie
Freddie's picture

What a joke.  The taxes, unions, attitude of the people.  They all have Obama people/FSA mentalities.  Give me give me give me - I rob you and knock you out.   Bulldoze the place and make it farm land if it is not contaminated.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:22 | 4210575 monad
monad's picture

Arm the defenseless Detroit pensioners and drive them to the courthouse

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:30 | 4210612 22winmag
22winmag's picture

This is a bellwether... thee jig is up and the dominoes are about to fall.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 14:01 | 4210732 hmmmstrange
hmmmstrange's picture

Let me guess, you were educated in Detroit?

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 14:29 | 4210847 squexx
squexx's picture

Speaking of "jigs," we know who ran Detroit in the ground, now don't we?!? Same as they are doing anywhere they infest in large numbers!

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:36 | 4210633 Joebloinvestor
Joebloinvestor's picture

This will be hilarious.

If any funds do become available they will be stolen.

Expect political infighting for the "land grab" by opportunists.

Detroit will sink deeper into the abyss.

And be dotted with mosques.

 

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:38 | 4210641 Keloid
Keloid's picture

Where is crazy old Uncle Joe "This is a big effin deal" Biden when you need him?

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:41 | 4210650 MeelionDollerBogus
MeelionDollerBogus's picture

just pensions?

phew, good thing muni bonds are still safe.

LOL

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:41 | 4210655 Dingleberry
Dingleberry's picture

Detroit is what happens when liberal dreams meet reality.

There will be many other Detroits.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:45 | 4210671 ItsDanger
ItsDanger's picture

First move should be to dump all current and former employees on Obamacare and let federal tax dollars pay for healthcare as much as possible.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 13:47 | 4210676 Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

What happened to all the money raised during ‘Detroit’s Starving Artists Painting Auction Venue’? How much money was generated to pay back their debt obligations?

 

Only $105M from a guy who died from A**S?

http://www.latimes.com/entertainment/arts/culture/la-et-cm-detroit-institute-of-art-20131127,0,2117613.story

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 14:01 | 4210737 deerhunter
deerhunter's picture

Ah,  Detroit.  I lived there in the mid 80's for three years that felt like 30.  At the time then I think the Michigan State Police had to mandate that all rookies did 2 years posted there as part of becoming a state cop anywhere in the state.  My wifes grandmother owned a beauty shop in Dearborn for fifty years.  She is dead and gone now and would turn over in her grave if she saw that city now.  The people of middle eastern persuasion burned her beauty shop to the ground after she refused to sell to them three times and numerous acts of vandalism occured.  All the shops are in Arabic there now.  Our nation is broken.  It remains to be seen what groups will form to govern on local levels only.  I think there are big changes in the wind.  If it truly hits the fan your police and fire protection will be truly what they already are,  a 44 magnum and a fire extinguisher.  At least you will be more aware what your tax dollars really meant then.  I am 58 and can't identify the country I grew up in any more.  I had the displeasure of spending the holiday weekend in the Baltimore and DC area of the country.  It is booming down there.  One brother in laws buddy just bought a 60 foot Hatteras boat.  I am not a boat guy but I think those  get to be 30K a foot in that class size.  Anyway,,,, I love the Redwings and wish them well.  The rest of Detroit????   It was good to get out in 87 and I wish you all the best.  Long 44's and fire extinguishers.  

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 16:14 | 4211290 Vendetta
Vendetta's picture

I visited Detroit in the early 80's for about a week and the police department had 4 cops in each police car back then.  Got stuck in Detroit after missing a flight in 2010 ... just got some dinner and slept at the hotel until I could get out of there the next morning.

I don't recognize the country anymore either and the political system seems to be a freak show with dead bodies sprinkled around the periphery while they do their circus act to entertain their constituencies.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 14:08 | 4210753 are we there yet
are we there yet's picture

When politicians and unions promise something for nothing, you get Detroit.... When white middle class workers are run off, you get Detroit.... The power to tax, regulate, and control is the power to destroy.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 14:15 | 4210792 Professorlocknload
Professorlocknload's picture

 "doesn't mean he will approve of a plan with steep cuts" Detroit ain't goin' nowhere. Some "industrialist" will bail it out, and in return get a couple unused rail lines from the .gov warehouse.

  As goes Detroit, so go Illinois and California. If those two go, the lights go out everywhere.

 

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 14:25 | 4210834 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

What happens to unfunded pension liabilities if the stock market corrects 30%?  Or when rates go up and you get an ugly mark-to-market on the fixed income side?

If the Fed tapers, what's left of the economy goes down fast, rates shoot up as portfolios dump long maturities.  Not long after that, the US defaults (again).

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 14:36 | 4210878 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

My city is in debt for 1 billion and I think we're insane. We're around 800k pop. Detroit should just close down.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 14:45 | 4210912 are we there yet
are we there yet's picture

Obama would make a good mayer of detroit.  Even the Dearborn muslms would like him. Unions would like him. The rainbow minorities would like him. Sadly the working class that used to live there have been sucked dry and left so no one can pick up Obamas endless bills for empty promises.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 14:51 | 4210941 corporatewhore
corporatewhore's picture

how many ira's in Michigan have assets fully able to be ordered to buy the new and freshly created Public Pension Savings guaranty Bonds enacted to meet this crisis in paying for the retirment of Deeeeetroit's public workers? 

Where there's a will, there's a way.

Never let a crisis go to waste.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 16:20 | 4211305 deerhunter
deerhunter's picture

Um,,, Detroit should just close down?  Detroit was once the crown jewel of manufacturing.  It has, for all intents and purposes been closed down.  The smoke will be rising there before too long.  From the ashes who knows what will come of it but I think the firemen and cops will quit working once they realize the pension fiasco is a pipe dream.  Then it really will be a 44 magnum and a fire extinguisher.  And to whoever down arrowed me for the above,  why don't you buy some property in Dearborn and live there awhile.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 16:21 | 4211306 overmedicatedun...
overmedicatedundersexed's picture

2009, in meeting with head of house finance comm for state of Maryland..the state was on the brink of BK, taxes were well below the lowest estimates ...fast forward to today, some entity covered the budget gap, no bk ..thank you santa, aka ben the bernak...any audit of the FED's books and washington .gov would show how they bailed out the states, CA NY they covered the bills. detroit got a fuck you.

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 17:04 | 4211437 Z_End
Z_End's picture

All of this has happened before. All of this will happen again.

http://armstrongeconomics.com/2013/11/25/unfunded-pensions-are-our-doom/

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 21:46 | 4212335 tawse57
tawse57's picture

So this means that pensioners will see their pensions cut by 84% or cut by 16%?

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 22:07 | 4212398 jim249
jim249's picture

84%

Tue, 12/03/2013 - 23:07 | 4212568 tawse57
tawse57's picture

Thanks. Feck! 84% cut!!!? 

That is going to mean severe hardship for loads of people and a hefty dose of reality for public sector workers who currently have pensions that they have not paid for.

They are going to know how many private secgor workers now feel. If this gets replicated across the US it will have huge consequences.

Wed, 12/04/2013 - 08:57 | 4213251 esum
esum's picture

until there are lamp posts across the country with the charred remains of corrupt pols smoldering dangling from them..... NOTHING WILL CHANGE... CORRUPTION PAYS AND PAYS WELL... low risk high reward... go for it 

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