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Hindenburg Omen Spotted

Tyler Durden's picture





 

While not the end-of-the-world that its name indicates, the confusion (highs, lows, advancers, decliners, and momentum) required to create a "Hindenburg Omen" means markets are not as gung-ho as the headlines might suggest. The last 2 Hindenburg Omens this year saw notable corrections (of course only to be un-corrected higher on the waves of liquidity).

 

 

of course, each dip has been met by more flow from the Fed in the past...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 


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Fri, 12/06/2013 - 16:41 | Link to Comment flacon
flacon's picture
E Nomine - Das Omen im Kreis des Bösen

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VRpteZVXKNo

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 16:49 | Link to Comment trader1
Fri, 12/06/2013 - 17:15 | Link to Comment ThirdWorldDude
Fri, 12/06/2013 - 17:32 | Link to Comment TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

41% of Net New Jobs in November Were in Government

"Federal, state and local governments hired a net additional 338,000 workers in November, equaling 41 percent of the total of 818,000 net additional jobs created in the United States during the month."

http://www.cnsnews.com/news/article/terence-p-jeffrey/41-net-new-jobs-no...

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 19:10 | Link to Comment icanhasbailout
icanhasbailout's picture

ramping up staffing at the camps probably

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 21:46 | Link to Comment flacon
flacon's picture

You guys have good taste in music. I miss Marla Singer's ZeroHedge Radio from a few years ago. 

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 19:05 | Link to Comment TheFourthStooge-ing
TheFourthStooge-ing's picture

Einstürzende Neubaten - Die genaue Zeit (the exact time)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5B6WOWtkuNo

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 16:49 | Link to Comment Divided States ...
Divided States of America's picture

The previous time I made a trade based on the last Hinderberg Omen, the only thing that has crashed and burned since has been my investment account. Fuck this useless indicator.

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 17:00 | Link to Comment Emergency Ward
Emergency Ward's picture

I have developed a new heuristic, "The Emergency Ward! Inverse Breaking-Wave Harbinger".  It has always failed to produce the anticipated result.

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 17:08 | Link to Comment Obchelli
Obchelli's picture

Bullish:

up 15 % after last five Hindenburg Omens where spotted 5 times 2 months ago...

 

Looks Like Hindenburg Omen works in both directions but with centrally planned economy works up...

 

BTFATH

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 19:11 | Link to Comment TheFourthStooge-ing
TheFourthStooge-ing's picture

Hindenburg omen = fucken bullish, because it means the economy just scored some speedballs from Dealer McDope (Benny B from East Side FRB) and is about to mainline those fuckers.

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 17:38 | Link to Comment frankTHE COIN
frankTHE COIN's picture

Cool. Lets treat it like an Air Raid Siren. The whites of the Eyes is the launch signal.

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 16:50 | Link to Comment trader1
trader1's picture

pro tip: HTTPS Everywhere is a Firefox and Chrome extension that encrypts your communications with many major websites, making your browsing more secure. Encrypt the web: Install HTTPS Everywhere today.

https://www.eff.org/Https-everywhere

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 17:08 | Link to Comment Spastica Rex
Spastica Rex's picture

Be aware it doesn't work here on Zero Hedge.

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 17:11 | Link to Comment trader1
trader1's picture

i know, but it does on many other sites...

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 20:53 | Link to Comment 0b1knob
0b1knob's picture

HTTPS Everywhere is like so last week.   All the cool kids are playing with the Zenmate extension now.   Tunneling VPN encrypted server.   Made in Gemany and free.

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 17:10 | Link to Comment trader1
Fri, 12/06/2013 - 17:18 | Link to Comment zaphod
Fri, 12/06/2013 - 17:11 | Link to Comment BadDog
BadDog's picture

Thanks for the tip.

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 16:50 | Link to Comment tsx500
tsx500's picture

Apparently some sort of Omen ( "Fonestar Omen" ?) was recently triggered in the BTC market !!

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 16:46 | Link to Comment A. Magnus
A. Magnus's picture

Just in time for Bitcoin to be outed as a tool of the Feds:

http://12160.info/forum/topics/bitcoin-developer-confirms-he-s-working-w...

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 17:36 | Link to Comment Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

"The FUD, ignorance and paranoia strong on this site is", Yoda might say.  When it comes to bitcoin.

Having spent many hrs talking with guys who are Encryption and IT Pros (at HW+SW level), and who have libertarian leanings/views and paranoid leanings... I have become convinced (with 95% confidence level) that TPTB have more reason to fear or hate it, than to be behind it.  When we look at what is does do, does not do, can do, and could do in the currency markets and private economy.

Nonetheless, those who are wired to respond in a "pre-programmed manner" (who are paranoid, pre-judge or are 'stubborn mules'), there is little point in trying to convince them otherwise.  It's like arguing with a Mormon or Jehova's Witness -- a waste of time.  It is the more the open-minded folks who are more likely to adapt/adopt new mental models and solutions.  IMHO.  I read the comments here accordingly:  Rational or Dogmatic type?

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 16:50 | Link to Comment Goldilocks
Goldilocks's picture

Elmer Fudd singing "Fire" via Robin Williams
www.youtube.com/watch?v=psdF-e9hWIo (0:46)

Blue Christmas with Porky Pig
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S8YQqK5e5es (2:52)

Caddyshack - Bishops Epic Golf Game
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r95a3p8Os-w (2:11)

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 16:50 | Link to Comment Soph
Soph's picture

That's what, the 412th Hindenberg Omen that we've seen since this bull run started back in 09, and that has amounted to nothing? I'm a bit dubious as to the validity of this indicator...or any indicator really as all current iterations of fiat currencies are beingn printed to oblivion.

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 17:09 | Link to Comment centerline
centerline's picture

TA is DOA.  Is going to assert itself only on the macro trends.

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 18:31 | Link to Comment akarc
akarc's picture

Don't want to be standing underneath that daamn Macro when it falls.

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 17:23 | Link to Comment MrTouchdown
MrTouchdown's picture

Eh, if you research it you'll see that it's an indicator of a "maybe". That being said, in the chart you can see that when the growth of the fed balance sheet appears to flatline a bit we get an omen and then the balance sheet resumes growth. I can envision one causing the other, or neither causing anything! One thing of note is that in order for this Omen to occur, something very chaotic must happen, and chaos is generally harmful to people that have built strategies based on pattern recognition and trending.

 

As Comrade Pelosi would say "Teh Word".

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 16:54 | Link to Comment Haager
Haager's picture

Hells Bells

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=etAIpkdhU9Q

How many Hindenburgs will it need this time? 

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 16:52 | Link to Comment Ham-bone
Ham-bone's picture

those pretty much correpsond w/ big interest rate moves up...something to think bout as we get moving to 3% again...but a 1.1% correction and market and bond rates all scared straight.

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 16:55 | Link to Comment larryj
larryj's picture

It's the omen you dismiss and ignore that bites you in the ass.

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 18:30 | Link to Comment akarc
akarc's picture

It is the snake you do not see that bites you in the ass and kills you.

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 16:56 | Link to Comment stormsailor
stormsailor's picture

OH THE HUGE MANATEE

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 16:57 | Link to Comment rubearish10
rubearish10's picture

Oh no not again?? At this late hour? What should we do?

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 17:00 | Link to Comment ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Yellen is donning her anti-static suit and prepping 7,062,000 cubic feet of FED QE Hydrogen.

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 17:02 | Link to Comment debtor of last ...
debtor of last resort's picture

It seems todays Hindenburg is filled with laughing gas.

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 19:04 | Link to Comment Winston Smith 2009
Winston Smith 2009's picture

Nope, Qelium.

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 17:04 | Link to Comment stant
stant's picture

85 billion a month helium keeps hindys from burning the market.

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 17:03 | Link to Comment q99x2
q99x2's picture

Can't the FED increase the rate of balance sheet expansion? I don't like them anyhow.

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 17:18 | Link to Comment B.J. Worthy
B.J. Worthy's picture

Someone here posted an interesting question the other day: if the Fed can cure all our ills by printing money, why not abolish all taxes?

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 18:42 | Link to Comment yogibear
yogibear's picture

Collect 0 taxes and let the Fed pay the government. Make it more of a scam. Use the money to consume instead.

 

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 18:03 | Link to Comment akarc
akarc's picture

Damn them omens come and go so quickly now days.

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 18:25 | Link to Comment BigRedRider
BigRedRider's picture

"The last 2 Hindenburg Omens this year saw notable corrections (of course only to be un-corrected higher on the waves of liquidity)."

 

Naturally.  It follows the first law of Bernienomics (superceded by Yellennomics) that what goes down MUST go up.

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 18:39 | Link to Comment yogibear
yogibear's picture

Pay no attention to any Hindenburg Omen, we rendered technicals useless.  We own the markets now. Bought and paid for with printed money.

Da Fed.

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 18:56 | Link to Comment CaptainSpaulding
CaptainSpaulding's picture

Hindenberg omen..Isn't that the 1976 movie starring Greggory Peck, Lee Remick and The little priest named Damien?

Fri, 12/06/2013 - 19:26 | Link to Comment TheFourthStooge-ing
TheFourthStooge-ing's picture

.

Hindenberg omen..Isn't that the 1976 movie starring Greggory Peck, Lee Remick and The little priest named Damien?

No, but I know which movie you mean, and it's easy to confuse the two.

The Hindenburg Omen stars Greg Peckery, Lee Contrick, and an evil little troll named Dimon.

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