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Ukrainian Overnight Rates Spike To 20% As Bank Liquidity Fears Soar

Tyler Durden's picture




 

As opposition party offices are raided and streets continue to fill with protesters, the "precarious" funding sitaution in the nation is beginning to flash red as interbank lending rates spike to 20%. Banks, clearly concerned about their own and each other's liquidity in the face of potential deposit runs (and the accompanying counterparty risk) and huge demand for liquidity. The hryvnia is falling and bond yields are rising but it is the spike in KievPrime overnight rates that is most concerning - and policy-makers have little room to help.

 

 

Chart: Bloomberg

 

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Tue, 12/10/2013 - 09:22 | 4231928 Canadian Dirtlump
Canadian Dirtlump's picture

time for the economic hitmen to work in concert with the western ngos.

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 09:34 | 4231945 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Looks like the hitmen just hit you.

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 10:31 | 4232248 Vampyroteuthis ...
Vampyroteuthis infernalis's picture

It's over. Ring the bell. Time for new government.

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 11:40 | 4232537 Canadian Dirtlump
Canadian Dirtlump's picture

thankfully I'm dressed in my ballistic burqa. Either way, like any good grand mal seizure, the faltering and failure of decades of western foreign policy meddling and boobery won't go out without some theatrics.

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 12:27 | 4232686 0b1knob
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Bank failures and depositor bail-ins in 5...4...3...2...1...

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 15:36 | 4233343 czardas
czardas's picture

I was born in Sumy, Ukraine.   Ukranians (3/4 of the population) should go with Europe and let ethnic Russians split.  The problem is that the majority of ethnic Russians don't want to "join" the Russian empire.  Yes I'm  prejudiced but the vast majority of countrymen hate Russia and especially Putin.   Yanukovych, the president, was "elected" with 48% of the vote.  He is a convicted criminal who got by on his communist party connections.  He has no accomplishments, lied about his degree and demonstrates the danger of giving idiots the right to vote.  

Wed, 12/11/2013 - 16:40 | 4237404 RetiredSilverBug
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I was born n Russia and I don't think russians want to form any union with Ukraine, concidering this mess. Ukraine will default and Russia shouldn't pay somebody's debt. Net income in Russia is 3x more than in Ukraine and 2x more compared to Eastern EU countries. If Ukraine defaults, which is very likely, considering 80% GDP debt, budget and trade deficit + low FOREX reserves, the difference will be 5-6x or so. Question is why would Russia want to deal with all this mess? What is the point? No benefit. Russia should only form a union with Ukraine if 2/3 ukrainians vote for it.

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 09:23 | 4231929 unrulian
unrulian's picture

Coming soon to a country near you...

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 09:24 | 4231931 kliguy38
kliguy38's picture

first dominoe down

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 11:53 | 4232582 Atlasshruggedme
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What 1 per week. USA in May 2014?

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 09:27 | 4231932 Balvan
Balvan's picture

What happens in Ukraine, stays in Ukraine.

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 09:30 | 4231936 dcj98gst
dcj98gst's picture

Uh-oH the poor oligarchs in the East will need to pull their money asap.

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 09:33 | 4231944 LetThemEatRand
LetThemEatRand's picture

Let me just, ah, make one thing clear.  If you like your 20% interbank lending rate, you can keep your 20% interbank lending rate.  Period*

*"period" is used with the common meaning of "for a period of time," as in subject to change without notice.  If you experience 20% interbank lending rates for a period of more than four days, consult your Western Banker.  You may have a serious condition known as being fucked.

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 09:35 | 4231952 GetZeeGold
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The definition of period.....will never be the same.

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 09:37 | 4231962 LetThemEatRand
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Yeah.  Obama is on his period again.

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 09:34 | 4231947 youngman
youngman's picture

What is the hryvnia now to the dollar...when I was there it was 4.25 to the dollar

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 09:37 | 4231964 TheHound73
Tue, 12/10/2013 - 10:58 | 4232377 shitco.in
shitco.in's picture

If the population rush to convert their UAH holdings into FX, it will therefore be very difficult for the NBU to keep the UAH/USD stable. In this case, the regulator will have to resort to non-trivial steps to prevent the local currency from plummeting.

We will be watching UAH/BTC as well.  Sooner or later one of these countries is going to flee to something other than the USD as their perceived "safe haven" store of value.  With all of the bad press the USD has been receiving recently, it is only a matter of time.  Once one country does this, others will follow.

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 09:34 | 4231948 Keloid
Keloid's picture

Whatever happened to Putin's super power(s)? Doesn't he have a capo on site?

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 09:36 | 4231956 Sufiy
Sufiy's picture

Gold is spiking to $1260 now and Bitcoin is under another attcak:


The Chase Is On: JPMorgan Chase Building Bitcoin-Killer

After years of allegations about involvement in Gold and Silver manipulation JPMorgan is chasing Bitcoin. So much is for the Bitcoin "Gold 2.0" "Limited supply" - you can chose already from 43 listed crypto-currencies and now more are to come. After China and South Korea has banned Bitcoin from Financial institutions the race is on among the Central Banks to outlaw it.

 

http://sufiy.blogspot.co.uk/2013/12/the-chase-is-on-jpmorgan-chase-build...

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 09:43 | 4231980 Grande Tetons
Grande Tetons's picture

I hope all the computer geeks attack JPM. As a PM guy myself I like the talent. 

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 09:48 | 4232009 virgilcaine
virgilcaine's picture

The reason for the Cia backed demonstrations in Kiev.

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 09:59 | 4232065 vote_libertaria...
vote_libertarian_party's picture

Black Swan #21,347 in our ongoing series...

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 10:06 | 4232094 hugovanderbubble
hugovanderbubble's picture

Germany and Russia, countries most affected if Ukraine defaults

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 10:07 | 4232107 westerman
westerman's picture

First they bankrupt the Ukraine then the Ukraine has to seek foriegn assistance in order to not starv their population. Once they are on foriegn assistance they are owned by international bankers for the rest of time.

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 10:24 | 4232205 RSDallas
RSDallas's picture

What a shame.  Spent about a month in Kiev years ago and I must say it is a beautiful City.  Even then, there was a huge distaste for Russia and the corruption was everywhere.  Our driver got a ticket one day on a highway outside of Kiev and he paid the cop off with some of our US bills. I think it cost us $20.00 or so. The history in Kiev is unbelievable.  I will place my money on the will of the people in this case.  It might get ugly, but they will prevail.     

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 11:24 | 4232479 johny2
johny2's picture

The whole global system is the pyramid corrupt scheme. The demonstrators are fighting on the side of the Empire. Few of them will get rich, and most of them will be in few years realising they were used.

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 11:02 | 4232395 Seize Mars
Seize Mars's picture

Take note. If The Great Eye doesn't like your behavior, it will jack your credit spreads, overnight lending rates, repo collateral availability, etc. if that doesn't work, there are Russian tanks.
Free markets, whee!

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 12:31 | 4232702 Paracelsus
Paracelsus's picture

Cough...cough,er,Chernobyl?

And....Putin wouldn't start playing with the Nat gas valves,dicking around with Europe's winter gas supply,to piss off those western banker elites?

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 14:30 | 4233145 SmittyinLA
SmittyinLA's picture

he doesn't do it to piss of Western banker elites, but to negate their currency debasement

Tue, 12/10/2013 - 14:29 | 4233137 SmittyinLA
SmittyinLA's picture

looks like all the broke unemployed Socialist parasites want to join the EU looting fest, the EU should open their borders to Ukrainians seeking "EU liberty"  and let another free shit army in, whats one more group of alien sponges anyway? 

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