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    04/29/2016 - 05:58
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China's Colonization Of London Hits Ludicrous Speed, And Now: It's Detroit's Turn

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Earlier today, Brits were greeted with some good news: London house prices rose to a record in November, "as strengthening demand pushed values higher in all regions of England and Wales" according to Acadametrics. Bloomberg reported that values increased 0.6 percent from October to an average 238,839 pounds ($390,900), and that prices reached an all-time high in London, soaring 9.2% in the quarter, and parts of the southeast as average values climbed 4.9 percent from a year ago. "The trajectory is clearly upward," said David Brown, commercial director of LSL Property Services. "Competition is strong as a result of rising demand and supply of new instructions not growing, a factor that will continue to prop up prices in the long term." As usual, much was left unsaid, such as where demand is coming from. The answer, as is the case virtually everywhere else in the world, is simple: China.

According to another Bloomberg report citing Jones Lang LaSalle, Chinese investment in London between 2010 and Q3 of this year has risen by a "ludicrous speed" comparable 1,500%, or from a frugal GBP54 million to over GBP 1 billion! And boy do the Chinese love London - according to the same report, over 50% of European property investment by Chinese buyers is now in London.  As a result, China is now the third-largest overseas purchaser in U.K. behind Germany and U.S., which invested GBP 1.2 billion and GBP 1.1 billion respectively. "We expect the pool of investors from China targeting London to grow significantly in the coming years. They will consider everything from urban regeneration sites through to trophy assets," Damian Corbett, JLL’s head of Central London office investment, said in statement.

In other words, as London real estate becomes ever more unaffordable to orinary UK citizens, who instead are forced to rent out shipping containers, Chinese buyers will buy pretty much anything in the UK, with no regard for cost, since ever more of that ~$200 billion in monthly credit created by the government, which as we showed before... 

... blows both the Fed and BOJ money creation out of the water, is parked outside of China, which is aggressively trying to stop its own domestic housing bubble, and in the process blowing housing bubbles everywhere else around the world.

Which brings us to point number two: the latest target of the Chinese hot money colonization is none other than bankrupt Detroit.

Forbes explains:

Detroit, broke with almost no prospects for recovery, is the fourth most popular U.S. destination for Chinese real estate investors.  In fact, it was bad news—the city’s July 18 bankruptcy filing—that triggered renewed interest.  “While the bankruptcy is viewed as a bad thing elsewhere, it raised the exposure level of Detroit’s real estate market in China,” says Evonne Xu, a Michigan attorney catering to Chinese purchasers.  Middle Kingdom, meet Motown.

 

Chinese shoppers can’t resist a bargain.  Where else can you buy a two-story home in the U.S. for $39?  China Central Television, the state broadcaster, in March reported that two houses in Detroit cost the same as a pair of leather shoes.  No wonder a poster on Sina Weibo, the Twitter-like service, asked, “Seven-hundred thousand people, quiet, clean air, no pollution, democracy—what are you waiting for?”

 

Who says the Chinese are waiting?  Dongdu International Group of Shanghai bought, sight unseen, two downtown icons, the David Stott building for $4.2 million and the Detroit Free Press building for $9.4 million, both at auction this September.

 

Moreover, Chinese purchasers are making bulk purchases of “inexpensive properties”—those selling for $25,000 or less—in the rings surrounding the city center.  “They’re banking on the downtown resurgence spiraling out into those rings,” explains Kelly Sweeney of Coldwell Banker Weir Manuel.  Mainland parties often buy at tax and foreclosure sales, hold their property, and patiently wait for appreciation.

 

...

 

The Chinese are coming, but what are they doing?  Dongdu International will make a big contribution to downtown by redeveloping the Detroit Free Press building, turning it into a retail and residential complex, but that ambitious plan appears to be the exception.  China’s rich are investing in the Motor City like they invest in their own country, where they buy multiple units at a time.  In China, like here, they often keep their acquisitions vacant, treating new properties like stores of value.

As we have been repeating for the past three years, all China's intrepid real estate investors are doing, is parking China's record hot money - one of the three pillars of the so-called US housing recovery - abroad. In this case, in a broke city.

The Chinese buy-and-hold tactics in Detroit suggest patience, but that’s not the whole story.  The bigger story is that the parking of wealth offshore indicates capital flight.  The Chinese have only 13% of their wealth outside China, according to Oliver Williams of WealthInsight, while the global average is 20% to 30%, so some of transfers of wealth abroad are normal for a developing society.

There may be more, however, and as China prepares to liberalize its financial and social policies, the wealthiest part of the population may be considering outright getting the hell out of dodge, and taking trillions with it.

But it’s not just money that is fleeing.  A study conducted by Bank of China and Hurun found that more than half of China’s millionaires have taken steps to emigrate or are considering doing so.  This statistic tells us the transfers of cash out of China are not just normal diversification.

 

There is substantial disagreement as to how much Chinese individuals have already stashed offshore.  Boston Consulting Group estimates they hold $450 billion in assets outside their country, and WealthInsight believes the number to be $658 billion. 

 

Yet everyone agrees that the figure, whatever it is, will go up fast.  Boston Consulting, for instance, predicts offshore assets will double in three years.  CNBC late last month called the movement of Chinese capital “one of the largest and most rapid wealth migrations of our time: hundreds of billions of dollars, and waves of millionaires flowing out of China to overseas destinations.” 

Forbes' conclusion is accurate: Detroit is not an investment destination as much as it is a safe(r) place to park cash which may or may not have been procured by legal means, but which thanks to the epic cash creation tsunami emanating from the Middle Kingdom will be sure to continue for the foreseeable future: "So the Chinese buying up Detroit says less about the prospects of Motown than what they think of their own country.  It’s not like the Motor City is a good place to invest.  It has what is surely the worst housing market in the U.S.  “I’ve been in the Detroit area for 35 years,” says Chen, the broker from Troy.  “Thirty-five years ago downtown Detroit was like this, and it’s not getting better.” But that doesn't matter - there is money to be parked outside of China, and any place will do. After all, in a globalized monetary system, money is instantly fungible to any corner of the globe, especially when facilitated by such "dumbest banks of 2013" who defy all money-laundering regulations, as RBS.

The conclusion:

As grim as the future is for Motown, it is evidently better than China’s, at least according to many Chinese.  They are pouring their cash into Detroit.  

So yes: the colonization of the world's premier, and not so premier, metropolitan centers by China will continue, until the liquidity spigot is finally turned off. In the meantime recall that this is nothing new: after all Japan experienced an identical liquidity-driven colonization of the developed world in the 1980s, when it seemed Japan would buy up Manhattan. That didn't work out too well for them. With China, this time won't be any different either.

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Fri, 12/13/2013 - 13:13 | 4243705 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

Go Rions!

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 13:18 | 4243719 TeamDepends
TeamDepends's picture

Chotown

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 13:34 | 4243763 Chuck Norris
Chuck Norris's picture

We have to buy the building in order to see what is inside the building

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 13:55 | 4243828 fooshorter
fooshorter's picture

Chuck Norris' gaze pierces cloud, shadow, earth, and        flesh...

 

 

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 13:56 | 4243842 pods
pods's picture

Chuck Norris mines Bitcoins with his mind.

pods

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 14:03 | 4243861 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Ye Olde Professor's first law of investment.

  The Foreigners always buy in at the top.

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 14:05 | 4243876 Troll Magnet
Troll Magnet's picture

Oh, man...What a sad state of affairs.  The entire US is turning into a big filthy Chinatown.

I'm counting on the heartlanders to be our last line of defense. 

Hung Lo, meet Hank and his .44. 

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 14:07 | 4243883 czarangelus
czarangelus's picture

The Chi-Coms bought and paid for the USA fair and square. What right do you have to complain about it now, after you've sold your future to eat the fruit of the labor of the Chinese working class? You made a deal with the devil and you've suddenly got the gall to complain about the terms after getting what you asked for?

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 14:10 | 4243897 Bananamerican
Bananamerican's picture

I, for one, welcome our new Chinese overlords - Tyrell

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 16:44 | 4244452 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture
Confucius say:

"Better to lose 80% of funny money overseas than 95% to 100% of it domestically...due to capital controls & other forms of punitive measures."

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 17:52 | 4244762 Vampyroteuthis ...
Vampyroteuthis infernalis's picture

When it goes down in you own hood. Buy the neighbors. Why the hell would anyone from anywhere want to live in Detroit?

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 14:11 | 4243905 BaBaBouy
BaBaBouy's picture

SAID It Berfore... Chinee ARE Taking Over!

They Gata The GOLD, They Will Get Everything Else.

Wake Up People...

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 14:22 | 4243968 Larry Dallas
Larry Dallas's picture

Agreed 1000% with czarangelus...

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 14:14 | 4243878 BaBaBouy
BaBaBouy's picture

.

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 15:06 | 4243900 The Big Ching-aso
The Big Ching-aso's picture

Holy flaming won tons what next? Chinese rap stars riding rickshaws?

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 15:12 | 4244152 WOAR
Fri, 12/13/2013 - 15:13 | 4244145 KnightTakesKing
KnightTakesKing's picture

Buying a two-story house in Detroit for $39 is buying at the top? 

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 14:05 | 4243871 0b1knob
0b1knob's picture

Story gets extra points for obscure Space Balls reference.   Ludicrous Speed indeed.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ygE01sOhzz0

 

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 14:10 | 4243872 BaBaBouy
BaBaBouy's picture

.

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 14:12 | 4243898 WillyGroper
WillyGroper's picture

I hope they take a big steaming dump right in front of Queenie's Buck House, then Windsor.

After that move right to Levin & Stabenow's digs.

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 15:12 | 4244151 The Big Ching-aso
The Big Ching-aso's picture

Chinese-made movie up next.......

Escrape From Detroit

 

 

 

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 13:23 | 4243721 reload
reload's picture

Connected people, who sit close to the source of freshly printed / freshly stolen - swapping it at warp speed for anything they can.

It is hardly a genuine endorsment of the health of the UK ecconomy. But we do love a non dom, tax exempt foreigner in London. All welcome, no questions asked, and if it means the indiginous population need to live in shipping containers - no problem. Boris Johnson loves `inovative solutions to challenging problems` - and Bankers of every stripe.

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 13:39 | 4243783 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

I can't help but be reminded of the 80s when the Japanese were buying up everything in sight.  Man, they were going to buy the whole world, it seemed.  Then it stopped.

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 14:42 | 4244056 just-my-opinion
just-my-opinion's picture

Good point...but...Japan....is not China

Not even close

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 15:11 | 4244153 dick cheneys ghost
dick cheneys ghost's picture

well......they (Japan) had to do something with those excess dollars......just like China is doing.....

 

Sat, 12/14/2013 - 06:14 | 4246144 matrix2012
matrix2012's picture

Japanese also bought a lot of expensive PAINTINGS incl. Picasso's Cubism ones, breaking record after record then :-)

What are the values of those abstract paintings today? lol ... what a farce!

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 13:44 | 4243789 Non Passaran
Non Passaran's picture

Who said anything about tax exempt ?
Didn't you read the news?

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 14:04 | 4243864 reload
reload's picture

I did - but it is only a possibility that in future foreigners will be taxed on capital gains made from UK property deals. But if they do a deal and get (buy) `non domiciled` tax status in the UK then for a one off payment each year they dont even have to file a tax return.

This is what Mittal (steel) numerous Euro Bankers - Russians - hedge funders etc all do. I think it is about £20k p.a and you are free of tedious paperwork, Thats for little people anyway, but if you are a US citizen (chattel of the IRS) it wont help you much.

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 14:17 | 4243940 Cacete de Ouro
Cacete de Ouro's picture

This is actually not far from the truth

"My name Lily. I give happy ending London.
You wery happy when I buy ur twophy assit in London..."

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 16:22 | 4244371 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

@reload: "`innovative solutions to challenging problems`"

Translation to clear-text:  "New ways to age-old problem in how to get the most out of the peasants and merchants...  While putting and keeping them in their proper place, and us in our proper palaces."

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 14:12 | 4243899 Unprepared
Unprepared's picture

Chinese super-wealthy are the new Japenese superwealthy. They will get their asses handed back to them.

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 14:35 | 4244012 just-my-opinion
just-my-opinion's picture

Why?....buy it ....when you can take it?(I doubt they could)

I just wonder sometimes

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 17:20 | 4244645 Zero Point
Zero Point's picture

It's cheaper to buy things than take them.

Till the international bank cartel convince us all otherwise.

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 13:20 | 4243710 Sleepless Knight
Sleepless Knight's picture

At least some money is changing hands and they will at least pay the city taxes due. Unless they recieved a tax free deal for their investment from the Feds.

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 13:18 | 4243712 NIHILIST CIPHER
NIHILIST CIPHER's picture

Chicoms replace socialist blacks , not much change.

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 13:17 | 4243715 FieldingMellish
FieldingMellish's picture

Rudicrous?

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 13:19 | 4243722 corporatewhore
corporatewhore's picture

could they consider taking over that area that affectionately has a "stan" at the end?  I can't remember for the falafel of me.

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 14:19 | 4243953 Unprepared
Unprepared's picture

morgan stanley?

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 13:21 | 4243724 UH-60 Driver
UH-60 Driver's picture

ror

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 13:21 | 4243725 ZeroRights
ZeroRights's picture

DETRIOT

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 14:05 | 4243873 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Wait until some fool takes a shot at Barry.

We ain't seen nuttin yet.

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 14:25 | 4243983 Cacete de Ouro
Cacete de Ouro's picture

Good point...I was wondering when the shots at Barry will start. He should get his own loyal bodyguards and advance teams, and some advance sappers. That's what I would advise anyway.

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 20:08 | 4245227 Dogface
Dogface's picture

How many Barry doubles are there?

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 13:22 | 4243727 Its Only Rock N Roll
Its Only Rock N Roll's picture

Go long Windsor casinos....Rak Jak

 

 

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 14:43 | 4243730 Hongcha
Hongcha's picture

Vancouver, SEA, SF, LA and LV do not puzzle me; Detroit does. 

My best guess is someone in the PRC is securitizing these offshore buys and selling it hand-over-fist like a REIT investment to the better-heeled Chinese public.  What in the world could otherwise drive a buying boom directed at a black hole like Detroit except deep naivete? 

The Chinese middle class has been subject to scams hustles and stings since the 1980's.

Sight-unseen indeed.  Buying Detroit RE is like owning a swimming pool - it's a hole in the ground you throw money into. 

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 15:02 | 4244131 dracos_ghost
Fri, 12/13/2013 - 15:21 | 4244188 Overfed
Overfed's picture

What's the Chinese word for lebensraum?

Sat, 12/14/2013 - 06:28 | 4246150 matrix2012
matrix2012's picture

 

"What's the Chinese word for lebensraum?"

Qixidì  means habitat (i.e. earth; soil, ground; region to stay)

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 16:30 | 4244400 debtor of last ...
debtor of last resort's picture

Buy from white faces...

Fri, 12/13/2013 - 13:25 | 4243736 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

Dear Chinese RE buyers (and other Investors),  Please contact me at my Hush mail account (under my Kirk... 'handle'), as my LLC has some Detroit homes to sell you: 

All in good shape, all occupied, and prop. taxes have been negotiated down.  Managed under reliable Prop Mgt Co.  Fiat cash, BTC or 0.9999 AU (Pandas, Maples) preferred, wire xfers accepted.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!