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Hope In The Face Of Disaster – Creating A Sustainable, Viable, Future Path For Civilisation

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By John Sharry, originally posted at The Foundation For The Economics Of Sustainability

Hope in the Face of Disaster – Creating a sustainable, viable, future path for civilisation

The Illusion of Progress

There was a small village located in the centre of a large rainforest. Over time, the people decided that they would like to voyage out of the forest and to make their way to the sea, which they knew was close by. To do this they consulted the wise people in the village, notably the engineer, the politician and the philosopher. The engineer and the politician quickly took the lead in the project. The engineer made cutting tools like machetes that could cut easily through the dense undergrowth, and the politician organised the villagers in small working teams. Over time an efficient system was evolved, the engineer made the best and sharpest tools and the politician streamlined their application. Soon the village was making steady progress through the forest and everyone in the village was employed and working hard together. The philosopher, who sat in the trees all day long, seemed to make little contribution and people wondered what his value was.

One day the group came upon a particularly high tree. It stood out as the highest tree in the forest. The workers quickly bypassed it as they efficiently made progress, but the philosopher stayed behind and climbed to the top of the tree. From the top he had a fantastic view of the whole jungle. He could see the villagers, cutting like a snake through the jungle and in the far off distance he could even see the sea. Then to his horror, he noticed that the villagers were not heading towards the sea, but in fact were moving in the opposite direction, towards a large hidden chasm. If they continued on the same course, all of the villagers would fall to their death. Alarmed, he climbed down the tree and he rushed over to the politician and engineer leading the group.

‘We are heading the wrong way, we are headed towards disaster’ he shouted.

‘Shut up’ the engineer and scientist replied in unison ‘we are making great progress’.

In many ways the plight of humanity represents that of the tribal village described in the story. We have created an apparently wonderful economic model that seems to provide us with so many benefits. When you consider the incredible feats of technology and the global consumerist lifestyle we enjoy it is easy to marvel at what has been achieved. Of course what may be less obvious is the dark side of the growth economic model which is deeply inequitable, restricting its benefits to the relative elite in the western world and trapping the rest of the world in poverty. Most dangerous of all is the unsustainability of the model and where it is taking us in the future. There is now a perfect storm gathering that includes economic indebtedness, resource shortages, population pressures, and climate change that is guaranteed to derail civilisation. Despite this the political and economic mainstream are largely in denial about what is happening– like the hapless engineer and politician in the story everyone agrees that we must restart the ‘growth economy’ and continue to progress down the business as usual pathway. Very few people are taking the long term view and watching the direction towards doom that this pathway leads us. Too invested in the benefits of our current lifestyle, no one wants to hear the counsel of the philosopher who sees the disaster that looms ahead.

Where is civilisation heading?

Human decision-making is complex. On our own, our tendency to yield to short-term temptations, and even to addictions, may be too strong for our rational, long-term planning.
- Peter Singer

Like the philosopher in the story at the beginning it is useful to take a moment to climb the ‘tallest tree’ and to consider where civilisation is heading. Unfortunately the long term vista is not pleasant. Under the current business as usual economic model we are facing into a series of interrelated crises and global problems that are already beginning to have an impact.

Economic instability/ Financial System Weakness

The world banking crisis in 2008 and the resultant global recession revealed to the general public the inherent weaknesses in our world financial system. The economic growth model on which we depend has created a parallel system of finance that has built up extraordinary amounts of debt between countries and banks that has grown into an unsustainable bubble. In 2008 the world financial system was revealed as co-dependent, embedded and very fragile. Much like a house of cards, the collapse of Lehman’s brothers bank send ripples through the world bands that the nearly brought down the whole system. While some stability has been created due to massive intervention on the part of nation states and central banks, unfortunately this is largely temporary and the central weaknesses remain. Many countries have completely unsustainable levels of debt that simply cannot be paid back and when a future crisis happens central banks and nation states will have less capacity to intervene (having spent most of their reserves to stabilise the system since 2008). Despite these problems there is widespread denial about the scale of the financial problems we face. As the economist and founder of Feasta, Richard Douthwaite[1] notes:

Few of us think that anything radical has to be done. We assure each other that minor tinkering, like holding an inquiry, beefing up the regulatory system and limiting bankers’ bonuses, will be enough to allow us to carry on living pretty much as we do now for the foreseeable future.

Resource Shortage

We are heading into an era of resource shortage and constraint. The cheap fossil fuel energy that has powered our civilisation will become increasingly scarce and harder to access. Such a peaking of supply will have serious ramifications across our economies and not just in transport and energy. Our world agricultural system on which we all depend is highly fossil fuel dependent – collapses in the supply of oil lead to collapses in food production and thus food shortages. Our world economy is so dependent on the cheap availability of oil, that even a small restriction in supply has the potential to collapse the entire system or plunge the world economy into depression.

Current and future resource constraints are not just limited to oil and indeed almost all the vital resources on which we depend are being depleted at exponential rates. Every human person and community depends on the availability of large supplies of water. With increased consumption and droughts caused by climate change fresh water is becoming harder to access in many regions in the world. Many countries are depleting underground water aquifers at exponential rates that far exceed rainfall’s ability to replenish them. Many highly populated areas of the planet will become increasingly uninhabitable in the near future.

In his book, Peak Everything [2], Richard Heinberg describes how we are facing decline in just about every resource our complex economies depend on whether this is uranium production, grain yields, fish stocks, arable land in agriculture etc. Having been used to everything on demand and plenty in the past, our societies will have to deal with resource constraint and shortage in the future.

Ecological Destruction

Many natural biologists argue that we are currently precipitating the sixth great extinction on the planet. Some estimates put the current extinction rate at up to 10,000 the norm – we are systematically wiping out the earths species. Perhaps most devastatingly, this can be seen in the on-going collapse of life in the oceans. Overfishing and increased ocean acidity caused by CO2 emissions is leading to the collapse of ecosystems and larger dead zones. In a recent report, Alex Rogers, professor of biology at Oxford University, said:

The health of the ocean is spiralling downwards far more rapidly than we had thought. We are seeing greater change, happening faster, and the effects are more imminent than previously anticipated[3].

While the mass extinction of species might be seen as an environmental problem, it will also threaten our own survival as the human species as our well-being is determined by the life in the oceans. In the same report Rogers continues

People are just not aware of the massive roles that the oceans play in the Earth’s systems. Phytoplankton produce 40 per cent of the oxygen in the atmosphere, for example, and 90 per cent of all life is in the oceans… The situation should be of the gravest concern to everyone since everyone will be affected by changes in the ability of the ocean to support life on Earth.

Climate Change

As if the problems above weren’t bad enough, by far the most serious issue to come is global warming caused by human CO2 emissions leading to catastrophic climate change – this is biggest elephant in the room.

Already, we are beginning to see the early stages of this in increased rates of flooding, severe heat waves and sea level rises but worse is to come. For many years, 2 degrees was proposed as the safe limit that civilisation could tolerate but this looks likely to be breached on our current economic trajectory. As Prof Kevin Anderson[4] of the Tyndal Centre notes

There is now little to no chance of maintaining the rise in global mean surface temperature at below 2 ?C, despite repeated high-level statements to the contrary.

In exploring future trajectories, the recent IPCC report concluded that if we continue our ‘business as usual’ rate of CO2 emissions, this could lead to 3- 5 degrees of warming by end century. Such rates of warming could make most of the planet uninhabitable for human life and threaten our very survival as a species. When you consider that the IPCC projections are relatively conservative and avoid taking into account many potential accelerating factors (such as permafrost methane release, dark Arctic Ocean heating etc.), then these predictions are truly alarming. As Kevin Anderson (quoted by David Roberts) states elsewhere[5]

The thing is, if 2 degrees C is extremely dangerous, 4 degrees C is absolutely catastrophic. In fact, according to the latest science, says Anderson, “a 4 degrees C future is incompatible with an organized global community, is likely to be beyond ‘adaptation’, is devastating to the majority of ecosystems, and has a high probability of not being stable”.

What is the basic problem?

Because of his greed the foolish farmer opens the goose’s stomach in order to access more of the golden eggs she produced. In the end he is left with a dead goose and no more gold.

Like all species, humans have exploited the natural environment to provide food, shelter and warmth. Unlike other species however, we are the first to exploit irreplaceable and unrenewable natural resources in such excessive quantities that we are destabilising the planet on which we all depend. The most significant of these unrenewable resources are fossil fuels such as coal, oil and gas which we started using a few hundred years ago to kick start our industrial economy and on which we now depend on an increasingly huge scale to power our modern civilisation and consumerist lifestyle.

In the early days such natural resources were in such abundance that it might have seemed churlish to see them as finite or limited. In addition, we had little evidence that our burning of fossil fuels caused harm to the environment. As a result, our economies started to grow at exponential rates and our modern civilisation became increasingly complex and dependent on exploiting these finite natural resources. Over time our industrial economy has morphed into a complex global machine that requires increasing energy and natural resources at its disposal in order to sustain it. The modern economy and the financial system in particular require on- going economic growth for it to remain stable. Loans that banks make now require future economic growth so that they can be repaid with interest. Any sustained recession puts banks in particular and the financial system in general at risk of collapse.

As a result modern civilisation is collectively caught in the following terrible bind: In order to avoid collapse the modern economy requires continual growth and thus the increased exploitation of natural resources; however, economic growth depletes the earth’s resource base on which the economy depends and so will eventually collapse.

This means that whatever choice we make we are facing into some form of decline and collapse. However, the earlier we choose ecologically sensitive alternatives to our current economic growth model, the more manageable such collapse and decline might be.

In simple terms we are reaching the limits of the natural world and things will not be the same in the future. Already, we are feeling the tremors of the future shocks to come. World agricultural output is declining, the availability of crucial natural resources such as fresh water, fish stocks, arable land are all declining. Fossil fuels are increasingly harder to access or cause increasing environmental damage as they are exploited. The mining of tars sands and the boom in worldwide fracking are examples of this, both of which are barely economically viable.

As children we all learnt the parable of the foolish farmer and golden goose who because of his greed kills the goose on which he and his family depends. We are making exactly the same mistake with the planet. Instead of accepting the natural limits of the resources at our disposal, we are living beyond the planets means and are perilously close to destroying the natural world on which we all depend.

Why is No One Listening?

There have been many warnings of the predicament in which humanity finds itself. In the early seventies the Club of Rome group published the famous book The Limits to Growth which outlined the unsustainability of the world economic model. As early as 1988 James Hansen explicitly warned the United States Congress about the dangers of human induced climate change. Some of these warnings were taken up by politicians of the day and indeed President Carter issued a passionate speech about the over- dependence of the USA on fossil fuels in 1977 and called for a switch to renewable and more environmentally friendly alternatives. With the Rio Earth summit in 1992, attended by 152 world leaders, there was perhaps a peak of world optimism that collectively we might now face reality and turn away from the unsustainable and disastrous path we were on.

Sadly, however none of this hope for change has been realised in the last 20 years and indeed if anything things have got much worse. Instead of reducing our dependence on fossil fuels we have rapidly increased our consumption at an exponential rate. Instead of reducing carbon emissions into the atmosphere these are now at the highest than at any time in human history. Further, what is particularly surprising is that people are now denying more than ever the reality of the problem. For example, research conducted by the University of Cardiff in 2013 found that the proportion of climate sceptics in Britain has risen to 19%, an increase of 15% since 2005[6].

Despite increasing and overwhelming scientific certainty about climate change, there is a parallel increase in denial of the facts by the public. Indeed, there are now active and well-funded denial lobbies intent on confusing the message. Even among those who accept the problems, there is an increasing avoidance of discussing these problems. As well as a growing number of ‘climate deniers’ we now have ‘climate ignorers’ who are people who despite a sense that all is not right in the world choose not to consider these issues and instead continue day to day on the same path.

So why would this be? Why would people choose to deny the serious problems of the future posed by not just by climate change, but also by resource depletion, and environmental destruction? Why would people deny such serious problems when they are becoming most apparent? Why would we turn away from corrective action at the hour of our direst need? While people have suggested the answer to this lies in the existence of well organised vested interests in the energy and fossil fuels industries and this is indeed true, I think there is also a collective failing in our human psychology that explains this rampant denial.

Denial, Fear and Loss

The only pain that we can avoid in life is the pain caused by trying to avoid pain.
- RD Laing

Denial is a common psychological response to deal with a serious threat or loss. Rather than experience the fear that we should normally feel when confronted by a major threat, we try to deny the reality of the threat in order to preserve our mental comfort. This is particularly when the evidence of the threat is indirect or far off. For example, many people who experience the early symptoms of a major illness will avoid thinking about it or seeking help for a considerable amount of time. They will reassure themselves that it is something minor and nothing to worry about, and avoid seeking help. Denial can be particularly strong when acceptance of the threat would mean we have to change or give up something we hold dear. For example, a person addicted to smoking or drinking will go to great lengths to deny the harm such behaviour might be causing their families and themselves, because they can’t imagine living without their preferred drug. In addition, because the damage of many addictions is far off and in the future, it is easier to deny its impact and to continue the habit unperturbed. For the smoker, the prospect of lung cancer in 20 years can be no deterrent to smoke the cigarette currently in their hand.

In many ways our collective behaviour in response to the prospect of climate change and environmental destruction is similar to the behaviour of a seriously addicted person. We in the West are addicted to availability of cheap oil and the consumerist economy that it provides us. Just like an alcoholic who will go to great lengths to deny the harm that alcohol causes in his life, so collectively our mainstream media and political system will go to great lengths to deny the harm that our economies dependent on fossil fuels are causing. When the denial is strong, people will cling to any belief (however unfounded) that seems to indicate there is nothing to worry about or that there is no threat to their livelihood. Picking perceived ‘holes’ in the evidence about climate, however tenuous, or clinging to ‘vague solutions’, however unrealistic are all powered by denial. When people read ‘denial’ articles, they can feel reassured momentarily and their fear of the future is abated. Of course such strategies only work temporarily as the evidence continues to grow and crises start to impact.

In addition, just as an alcoholic or drug addict will increasingly employ desperate measures to satisfy his addiction (despite the harm and moral depravity of such measures) so we employ increasingly desperate and ecological harmful strategies to secure an interrupted supply of oil to fuel our economy’s voracious appetite (whether this is fracking, exploiting tar sands or dangerous deep sea drilling).

Denial can also be particularly strong, the greater the threat and the more helpless a person might feel in the face of it. For example, many people on receipt of a fatal diagnosis may choose to actively deny or ignore these facts because they feel there is nothing they can do to reverse the diagnosis and the pain of contemplating its impact and their eventual death is too great for them. The recent growth of the number of ‘climate deniers’ and ‘climate ignorers’ can be explained by an increased awareness (on one level) of the problems and a resultant desperation to deny the facts and put them out of collective awareness. Though people have an increasing sense of unease about these problems they will avoid talking about them or engage in some form of wishful thinking that solutions will be found. They refuse to let the scale of the pending catastrophe sink in and do everything to keep it at bay.

As we shall see later, in helping people move from denial to a more constructive stance, they need to discover a purposeful goal of how they can respond to the current challenges which points to constructive action they can take.

Over Optimism and Collective Denial

One of the most striking things about the response to the current predicament is the lack of leadership and/ or collective denial that is endemic across our mainstream institutions. Our political masters, the mainstream media and most of our economists all agree that we must continue the economic growth or our ‘business as usual’ model, despite the patent unsustainability of this pathway and the harm it causes. In the face of the world economic crisis, there is an almost across the board consensus in the mainstream that we must return to economic growth to solve these problems. This consensus extends from the political left to the political right from business leaders to trade unionists and no one in the mainstream is proposing an alternative. There is almost no political will to question this consensus and to really consider the short term nature of such ‘solutions’ which even if possible will have such long term devastating consequences. Focused solely on re-election in a year or two, the last thing a politician wants to do is to talk about the reality of challenges for fear of making people despairing and fearful and vote not to re-elect them.

When denial is punctured

Crisis can be a time of opportunity and change, as well as trauma, and fracture.

The fact that climate change is a relatively slowly emerging phenomenon and that we are out of touch with the environmental destruction we cause means it is easy for most people to continue to deny these problems. This is likely to change once society is beset by an unending set of crises and catastrophes. Even though early change or adaptation is far more preferable to emergency change and forced adaptation, it is likely that until our addicted society experiences catastrophes, will the penny finally drop and our collective denial be punctured. Once this happens this will of course be a very perilous time. People, who have been hitherto in comfortable denial, will become fearful and desperate and may embark on desperate actions leading to social unrest, war and society breakdown. We need to be prepared to manage these social difficulties in the future which is likely to be as significant as managing the economy.

The famous psychologist Kubler Ross[7] proposed a model of the individual’s response to bereavement or pending loss as going through the stages of denial, anger, bargaining, depression and finally acceptance. Once denial is passed a person may experience great anger at their loss, which is often accompanied by seeking to apportion blame and even seek retribution. This can be followed by bargaining or engaging in wishful thinking or unhelpful strategies to mitigate the loss and then by depression and grief as the impact of the loss finally comes to bear. Kubler Ross argues that once this grief work is done, the person can reach some level of acceptance and integration. Interestingly, many writers in the environmental field describe their own personal journey of awareness in similar terms. They describe a period of denial, before having a ‘climate change moment’ when they realise that the world on which they depend is unsustainable. This if often followed by a period of despair and finally by some acceptance and a commitment to constructive action.

Such a grief model may also give us some indication as to the stages we will collectively go through as the denial about the un-sustainability of our current lifestyles is punctured and we are beset by crises and consequences. If the first half of the age of oil has been characterised by exuberance, ever- increasing expansion, and an almost manic consumption of the world’s resources, the second half will be characterised by contraction, scarcity and depression. Once the denial falls away and it becomes clear that the decline of our western industrial economies is chronic and long-term, collective anger in likely to be widespread. People will seek to blame someone for the situation they are in, and there will be many looking for easy answers or scapegoats. It is at these times that people can choose radical and extreme political views. Just as the economic turmoil and the great depression of the 30’s led to the rise of dictatorships and totalitarian states in Europe, when the Nazis seized power by galvanising the public’s anger around easy scapegoats and negative ideals so these times will be fraught by similar dangers. In addition to anger, there is also likely to be widespread depression and despair. This is just as dangerous and has the potential to cause people to feel helpless in the face of negative forces within society, disabled them from taking action and to miss the positive opportunities in their midst.

Responding Constructively

In collectively, preparing for the many challenges ahead it is important to take into account the associated psychological, community and societal problems that will emerge. Once the crises occur, community and society leaders will have a particular responsibility to manage the public anger and despair that will emerge in order to avoid the destructive paths of social disorder. The twin challenges will be to help people channel their anger into constructive rather than negative courses of action and to present a vision that inspires hope in the face of widespread difficult circumstances. Such plans will be as crucial as economic and technological ones in helping people navigate a new future.

As a mental health professional my work is all about helping people face serious life problems such as addiction, disability or relationship breakdown and then in the face of such problems to live with meaning and purpose. I find it useful to conceptualise four stages to help individuals change which may provide a helpful framework in considering how we might collectively face the serious problems of resource depletion, climate change and economic collapse that are ahead of us. These four stages are

1)  Honestly accepting the reality in which we find ourselves
2)  Creating a meaningful vision/purposeful goal of how to live in the face of such reality
3)  Focusing on constructive action
4)  Building a community of support

Honestly Accepting Reality

We must let go of the life we have planned, so as to accept the one that is waiting for us.
- Joseph Campbell

At heart of addiction is fear. The addict fears that he cannot live without the drug or addicted object and will do anything to hold on to it. The antidote to this fear and the first step to overcoming addiction is to honestly accept the reality of your addiction and to take responsibility for your actions. Such honesty requires great bravery as you have taken responsibility for the harm your actions have caused. Using a second metaphor, our response to our collective predicament is similar to person facing a life threatening and potentially fatal illness. It requires great bravery for a person to face this new challenging reality and to allow the difficult feelings of anger and depression that might follow. Adjusting to accept a new much changed reality often requires a period of mourning, whereby a person experiences grief at the ‘loss’ of the future they were expecting and as they learn to live with very different expectations.

For us to face the hard reality of our collective predicament won’t be easy. Most people avoid thinking about it and those that do maintain a theoretical understanding. Scientists will talk about how we are committed to 2-4 degrees of warming, but may be reluctant to describe in detail what these facts will mean (inundation of major cities, killer heat waves, collapse of agriculture, social disorder). Some economists will talk about coming shortages in oil and other resources but few will visualise the food shortages, and the potential economic and social collapse that this will bring. Further, while many people recognise there are serious environmental challenges, such problems are minimised and not seen as a personal threat to their own existence. The melting of the Arctic ice is seen as a problem for polar bears, and climate change as one only affecting the third world, rather than both being seen as heralding serious threats to their own personal and national security. There is a disconnect from the obvious fact that we are utterly dependent on nature and the environment – its demise spells out our own destruction.

For us to wake up to the sheer scale of the problems we face will indeed require great honesty and bravery. It will be particularly hard for us to accept our responsibility – that is it was our actions which caused all these problems in the first place through our refusal to abandon a harmful economic model. Hardest of all will be to accept that the problem is not fixable, that much of what we have done is irreversible. While there is a lot we can do to arrest some of the problems and to mitigate some elements of disaster it is very likely that we are gone beyond the point of no return in many arenas. At best, we are looking into a period of long term decline and managed collapse. There is no way to sugar coat these hard facts, though the psychological acceptance of this reality is the first step to health. After denial, the Kubler-Ross model proposes the hard steps of anger and despair before reaching a stage of acceptance when people can learn to live again in a meaningful way.

Creating a Positive Vision

Grant me courage the change the things I can change, the serenity to accept the things I can’t change and the wisdom to know the difference.
- Serenity Prayer

Hope is definitely not the same thing as optimism. It is not the conviction that something will turn out well, but the certainty that something makes sense regardless of how it turns out.

- Vaclav Havel

Once a realistic and grounded appreciation of reality is achieved the next step is to create a vision for living in the face of this reality. There are two parts to this new vision that are illustrated by the wisdom of the serenity prayer. On the one hand, our new awareness should motivate us to individual and collective action to create change. Anyone realising the facts of climate change and resource scarcity should indeed feel alarm about our current collective path and then throw themselves into action to change course. Like the philosopher in the story at the beginning, we need people to try to ‘shout stop’ and to work to get us to pull back from our course of ecological (and self) destruction. This is the work of the many groups that campaign for reductions of CO2 emissions and those that work to conserve and protect wildlife.

Setting realistic and specific goals is important in this area of work, whether this is achieving a definite limit on carbon emissions when tackling climate change or aiming for food and energy security when building nationals resilience.

While these goals are absolutely necessary to create a future for the next generation, some of these changes are inherently beneficial and can make sense as choices in their own right now. For example, setting goals for more community oriented sustainable living, where people rely on their own resources to live, can be a more healthy and happy choice than the choice to live in our isolated, individual consumer societies.

Such important actions require great courage in the face of powerful vested interests which seek to thwart them. There is indeed a lot at stake. Unless we inspire people to act immediately, even a chance of a sustainable future will be lost. Every day that is passed without changing course makes a survival future less likely. We also have to be realistic about what is achievable. While we cannot avoid two degrees of warming, (which though catastrophic might be survivable) we can do a lot now to avoid four degrees (which will result in wide-spread collapse for human society).

As well as a vision focused on change, once we understand the reality of our predicament there is also another vision for living that is focused on acceptance and serenity. Such a vision recognises that though we are facing into a difficult future of decline and collapse – we can still construct a purposeful and meaningful life in spite of this. This vision is not constructed out of optimism but one that is wrought out of hope. Such a vision might have many components. It can entail a refusal to go down the path of despair nor to give into misdirected outrage that can lead to enemy formation, scapegoating, totalitarianism. Central to this vision might be a commitment to hold onto values such as justice, fairness and compassion in order to preserve a future worth living for. Such a vision might also contain a commitment to appreciate and value the life we have, and a decision to reconnect to the wonder of nature as it is. In his work with people facing death, the great existential psychotherapist Irvin Yalom proposed a ‘golden’ stage of death awareness[8], whereby people move beyond a simple acceptance of death to a point where such awareness makes their current life all the more precious and vital – each moment that remains is to be savoured and lived well.

Taking Constructive Action

Taking constructive action is crucial to managing and overcoming problems. A person with an addiction may first accept the reality of his addiction and then envision a positive life without being dependent, but unless he takes action to create a new way of living he will never move beyond the addiction the long term. Even a person who has experienced an irreversible loss such as a bereavement can find a new purposeful way of living such as dedicating oneself to a cause that is important to the loved one they have lost.

Taking constructive action in the face of a difficult reality is crucial to psychological health. Positive action in itself is an antidote to fear, channels anger in positive directions and turns the person away from debilitating despair.

Facing the current economic and environmental crises, there never has been such an urgent need for constructive action. Such action is both about arresting our business as usual path to destruction and finding alternative pathways as well as trying to adapt and build resilience in the face coming crises. Despite this urgency, most current global effort is on continuing the business as usual path with CO2 emissions continuing to soar and the environment continuing to be depleted). Even those with some understanding of the issues propose action that is far too little to have any impact on the sheer scale of the problems. Alternatively, other people adopt a ‘wait and see’ attitude – we understand problems are coming but we will change only when we have to. However, if we wait until major crises hit and our economies are shattered then not only will our action be too late, it will also be impossible as we will have little economic infrastructure to put plans into action. You won’t be able to build flood walls or alternative energy sources if your economy is in chaos. Early preventative action, to build resilience or to reduce future problems, is always preferable and the sooner we act the better.

It can be useful to consider constructive action as taking place on four levels 1) personal, 2) community, 3) national and 4) international. Let’s look at what might be possible on each of those levels.

Personal resilience and preparedness

While it is easy to doubt what a single individual can achieve, one must not under estimate the power of individual leadership. Certainly, as they realise the unsustainability of our present world most people in the environmental movement go through a personal journey of alternating despair and fear as they reach a stage of acceptance of the facts. Such acceptance and psychological preparedness for what is to come is a very important stance going forward. Certainly, a lot of time is unnecessarily wasted by people holding on to out-dated worldviews that no longer fit reality and which cause further harm to the planet.

At the end of this journey is the challenge of personal action. What am I to do in the face of these challenges? What is my responsibility now that I know the facts?

There is a responsibility to communicate what you know and to campaign our leaders for the more sustainable use of the resources as well as to start emergency preparation for the coming crises. There is also the choice to build personal resilience and to learn how to help your family survive in a future world that may be devoid of the many comforts on which our survival depends. Simple things like prioritising one’s health, getting fit, learning useful skills and accumulating resources that will be of enduring value in challenging times all create personal resilience.

Building personal resilience is not just about building capacity to deal with future crises, the benefits also extend to how you live your life now. Take for example, the ‘Growing It Yourself’ movement, which has huge current popularity. Learning to grow your own vegetables not only teaches the useful future skill of self-sustainability, but it also provides you with physical exercise, a connection with nature (often lost nowadays) and the personal satisfaction of creating your own food. In addition, done as a family project, gardening can help improve your relationships with your family and has the potential to increase your connectedness with your local community if you share and exchange produce and ideas.

One of the most important benefits of a personal acceptance of the more challenging future we face is how it can alter a person’s appreciation of their current life. Realising the potential losses in the future, many people choose to live more deliberately and with great appreciation of what they have as they sense none of this may be available in the future.

Community resilience

 

If we wait for the governments, it’ll be too little, too late. If we act as individuals, it will be too little. But if we act as communities, it might just be enough, just in time.
- Rob Hopkins

While the current economy is global, the future one is most likely to be local. As economic problems and future shocks come to bear this is likely to unhinge the global industrial machine and people are more likely to depend on their local communities and towns. This is the basic premise of the Transition movement[9] pioneered by Rob Hopkins, which encourages people to come together in local groups to act now to build community resilience. These communities have initiated small-scale projects around energy, agriculture, transport, waste disposal, housing and education that all promote local supply and sustainability.

Whereas in the past villages and towns depended more on locally produced food and energy, currently now locally grown food makes up less and 2% of produce and local energy production amounts to even less. This means that towns are extremely vulnerable to any global disruption to energy or food supply. Everyone is completely dependent on international supermarkets and oil suppliers for the basic necessities of existence. The Transition projects that encourage project such as community farms, local cooperatives and community energy projects, all reduce the dependency on outside sources and have the potential to build the local economy. Instead of most of people’s money flowing out of the community to pay energy and food bills, the money can stay in the local community and build local jobs. Indeed, as future shocks rock the international economy such local economics will become much more important.

Grassroots movements such as Transition towns are about galvanising local people and communities into positive constructive action. Rather than sitting back, complaining about what is wrong or being fearful about the future, the Transition movement puts people in touch with like-minded people who can act together to make a difference. These projects connect people with their neighbours, provide meaningful community work and build social capital within communities. The personal psychological benefits of such constructive community action are enormous.

In addition, while these community projects are still small-scale and not yet on national agendas, in the future they have the potential to lead the way. Once economic and environmental shocks occur and the current system begins to break down people will increasingly look for guidance from on the ground communities that are better prepared for what is happening. In his most recent book The power of just doing stuff Rob Hopkins[10] describes a myriad of small scale projects that have the potential to provide signposts for future action and sustainability.

National Resilience

While currently national politics is completely in denial about the unsustainability of the current economic system, this could change quickly in the face of serious crises. Such a change would be similar to complete transformation of the UK during World War 2. Politics became unified and focused on a single major goal of survival in the face of the Nazi threat. Out of necessity and within a short period the entire domestic economy was reorganised into a largely local one where communities returned to growing their own food and rationed their consumption of imported products. With the common enemy of the Nazis, political leadership was strong and communities were galvanised into action. The ‘Dig for Victory’ campaign to encourage locally produced food was extremely successful.

In the face of crisis, it is possible to conceive that current national politics could be transformed and reoriented in a similar way. Climate change and carbon emissions could become common enemies and national goals could be set for energy and food independence. Networks of cooperatives could be set up on regional and national levels that could support such projects. Having clear national goals such as growing 100% of our own food by a certain date, or building a renewable energy infrastructure, will be easier to explain to the public and to ensure national buy in.

While currently it may be difficult to persuade such a national reorientation, it will become more necessary as economic, resource and environmental shocks hit. As a result, early preparation is crucial. Even if most people do not fully accept the unsustainability of the current economic model, it still makes sense to create national plans now as to how we will deal with such potential shocks and emergencies. Some effort should be put into thinking how will we deal with a currency crisis? What will we do if oil/ gas supply is interrupted? How could we ensure food security for the population if world trade was interrupted? National ‘think tanks’ could be commissioned to plan a range of adaptive responses and emergency policies that can be enacted during crises. This can include plans for dealing with energy and food scarcity, mass unemployment, population migration, currency and financial collapse etc. Even in the face of large scale denial, there is a strong rationale for starting such preparation. Moving the discourse from an environmental one to one about national security is important in making progress. This is not about saving the environment, it is about saving ourselves.

International Cooperation and Resilience

One of the one most striking things about the global economic model is how interconnected it is. Most nations are bought into this co-dependent system and which our livelihoods depend. Whereas 30 years ago, countries like china and the soviet bloc seemed to possess some independence and to be following separate economic paths, this has all changed in the last few decades and these countries have fully joined the global economy thrown their hand into the consumerist lifestyle and the pursuit of economic growth. As a result, no nation is economically independent of another – shocks in one country quickly transmit across the system. The health of the European economy depends on that of US as well as on the economy of China and Russia and vice a versa. This co-dependence is particularly striking in the financial system – a collapse in one banking system has the potential to bring down every financial system.

As a result the problems associated with unsustainable growth such as climate change, environmental damage and resource destruction are all truly global problems. Any potential solutions or large scale mitigation strategies would only have a chance of working if they are international projects with buy in on a global level. Indeed, much effort has been put into broker international and global solutions such as the IPCC, in the large international meetings in Rio and Copenhagen.

Sadly, however, very little progress on the scale needed has been made. Nevertheless, while our global institutions exist we must continue to work hard to secure international agreements that might reduce CO2 emissions, limit environmental damage and share resources equally. When global crises start to hit hard in the future, it will be interesting to know how our global institutions will respond. While is possible that the stress of reduced resources and climate chaos could lead to fracture and conflict between nations, there is also the possibility that this could lead to more global awareness and force agreed global solutions as people work harder together to survive.

Building a Community of support

Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world; indeed, it’s the only thing that ever has.
- Margaret Mead

In my work as a mental health professional rarely do people overcome big personal problems on their own. It is usually in the context of support from family, friends or even a professional that people turn their lives around.

While there is a myriad of future challenges facing humanity that are already beginning to impact, the future still is unpredictable and open to choice. While few people yet take the long term view and see the direction towards which we are heading, it is incumbent on those who are aware to prepare and act now. If we do survive and continue to live purposely it will be down to our personal and collective choices. While we don’t know what exact questions will be asked of us in the future, let alone begin to fully answer them, we can build resilience and a state of preparedness for whatever future challenges are to come. If we strive now to honestly face the reality of our predicament, set meaningful goals that bind us together and take constructive action, then we can build a future worth living for.

Endnotes

1. Richard Douthwaite and Gilian Fallon (2010) p2, Fleeing Vesuvius Overcoming the Risk from Economic and Environmental Collapse. Dublin: Feasta.
2. Richard Heinberg 2007. Peak Everything: Waking up to the century in decline in Earth’s resources. Clairview Books
3. http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2013/oct/03/ocean-acidification-carbon-dioxide-emissions-levels
4. Kevin Anderson, Alice Bows 2011, p 42, “Beyond ‘dangerous’ climate change: emission scenarios for a new world” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society. 369, 20–44 doi:10.1098/rsta.2010.0290
5. http://grist.org/climate-change/2011-12-05-the-brutal-logic-of-climate-change/
6.
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2013/sep/19/numbers-climate-sceptics-rise-uk
7. Elizabeth Kubler-Ross, 2005 On Grief and Grieving London: Simon and Schuster
8. 6 Irivin Yalom 1999 Momma and the meaning of life William Morris Agency, Inc
9. Rob Hopkins (2008), The Transition Handbook: From oil dependency to local resilience, Devon: Green Books
10. Rob Hopkins 2013 The power of just doing stuff Devon: Green Books

 


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Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:08 | Link to Comment kliguy38
kliguy38's picture

sure its all gonna be solved by our system all we have to do is grovel to our masters......use the "law"

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zs_xQ9d_IsQ

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:12 | Link to Comment Jannn
Jannn's picture

Interview Koos Jansen by Turd Ferguson

 

http://www.ingoldwetrust.ch/interview-koos-jansen-turd-ferguson

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:22 | Link to Comment cossack55
cossack55's picture

Good read if you like novels.  

 

The Last Gasp   Trevor Hoyle    1983

 

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 21:00 | Link to Comment CH1
CH1's picture

Wow... that's a lot of statist, Algorean bullshit.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 21:17 | Link to Comment SafelyGraze
SafelyGraze's picture

wearable computers are here!

they talk to your phone and to the internetOfThings in your house so that when you have a bag of groceries, your door will open for you, which is convenient. 

and you lights will turn on and stuff like that.

which is totally awesome.

plus, they can tell if you pets are stressed or worried and also whether your baby has rolled over on its stomach.

what a great time to be alive. living like kings, with servants attending every need.

 

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 21:26 | Link to Comment WarriorClass
WarriorClass's picture

Can't believe ZeroHedge would post this crap.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 22:16 | Link to Comment starfcker
starfcker's picture

it's ok. when they come up with a solution that doesn't involve taxing me, i'm in. till then, not interested

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 14:46 | Link to Comment CIABS
CIABS's picture

"Why is No One Listening?"

Two small groups are listening, and one big one is not.  One of the small groups runs the world.  They tell people what to listen to, and the trajectory of human history, whatever it might be, is not part of the programming.  Another small group consists of poeple who decide for themselves what to listen to.  The big group listens to what they're told to listen to.

If indeed there are ecological threats to the majority of humanity, the small group that runs the world has always intended that those threats will run their course.  Truly mitigating them is not the plan.  Pretending to mitigate them in ways that tighten the noose around the majority is fine, though.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 23:50 | Link to Comment gwar5
gwar5's picture

Sunday night at ZH. Right on schedule.

 

Global warming brings out the metrosexual demographic to vent how miserable they are after 17 years of cooling, record ice, and a planet doing fine and doesn't want or need them. Global warming is for energy control freaks. 

 

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 06:32 | Link to Comment stacking12321
stacking12321's picture

you seem to be suffering from what the article calls:

Over Optimism and Collective Denial

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 23:16 | Link to Comment Muppetrage
Muppetrage's picture

Ch1 so does that mean that oil never runs out but gold does?

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 02:11 | Link to Comment disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

something has to run out of something otherwise we have nothing to speculate on. "unless our present is unsustainable we cannot make a case for sustainability." the problem arrives when in fact we do make a case for sustainability...not through writing but through sustaining. since we all must be taxed to pay "the collective speculation(s)" (past, present and future) it's really hard not to bring the individual into this since he/she is being told "the altruists and cooperators must pay." at what point do small altruists and cooperators band together and actually sustain? this is when the system no longer works..."it" fails (by refusing to follow orders or "conform") http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Guerrilla_gardening "how can we function unless we create starvation?" and indeed...this article has no intention of addressing this simple issue. instead "you're going the wrong way." http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bicycle_sharing_system one way or another the human race will sustain itself. In 2008 we were shattered to pieces...so then we scatter. We are not put in a position we can build a "nation"...nor is anyone telling us to i might add. maybe some day we'll learn...again...not to live in monetary debt. PERIOD. Until then "it's a dollar and a dream." http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Triton_(moon) i'm going the wrong way? "I'm a moon...a very big one. Go ahead...stand in front of me and see what happens."

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 20:18 | Link to Comment Midas
Midas's picture

If future civilisations don't have spell checkers, I don't want to be there.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 21:33 | Link to Comment SafelyGraze
SafelyGraze's picture

spoiler: the youtube link above is the always-engaging scene in the matrix where mister smith (if that is his Real Name) explains that humans are a virus

which, of course, probably makes you want to listen to thrubbing gristle's "subhuman" again, which has the lyric "you're like a virus in my body"

http://www.elyrics.net/read/t/throbbing-gristle-lyrics/subhuman-lyrics.h...

youtube sez check it out!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=om8MuokqmRQ

 

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 20:36 | Link to Comment Jack Burton
Jack Burton's picture

The global financial and corporate elites pretty much own the world's politicians, thus the world political system. We see all across the world a race to meet corporate demands. I suggest looking into the TTP trade agreement as an example of what I mean. The elites and corporate entities own the world's media, minus a large section of the internet, where I am writting this. The elites of the world have turned militaries from national defense to corporate war mongering and corporate law enforement. You know what I mean. Libya does not play ball with the dollar system, and is overthrown by a western linked Al-Qaeda Army. Military leaders go from leadership of armies into corporate management of defense related industry. Banks in the form of financial interests OWN many of the world's central banks or control the policies of them, all in the interests of wealth transfer from bottom to top. See the 2008 bailout and following QE to see what I mean by that.

An alliance of world elites now  are totally international. Profit centers can be anywhere, markets anywhere, any politicians bought and controlled. Thus an elite may choose London as home, or zip off to Melbourne or or Moscow. I have seen many of the world's greatest cities, our elites are comfortable and thrive anywhere they go in them, and police and military forces will protect them and enforce their power. In China, Chile or Canada. One World is now a reality, no, not for the little people, I mean for the 1%. The 1% owe no loyalty to any nation. They laugh at the conservatives in America who are so nationalistic that they can be manipulated into corporate wars for profit. See Iraq war to understand what I mean by that.

As to our destructive path. I see modern capitalism is now broken and is not even capitalism. It is fascism at worst, crony capitalism at best. Elites manipulate all markets now from gold to bonds, to oil. They always manipulate markets to skim profits from all economic activity. The model of today's capitalism is based on a debt dependent and growth dependent non-stop absolute growth. That is why all the crying and tears from it's supporters when a lack of population growth is noted anywhere in the world. Common sense tells you smaller populations leave more of everything for everyone. But finance and debt based capitalism can't cope with a lack of absolute growth. Thus we race for oblivion. Japan, if handled right, will be far better off in 25 years with a smaller population, but the crony capitalism will suffer badly.

Many who favor today's form of capitalism, which we know is not free market, argue oil will never spike due to increased cost of production, since oil IS the means for economic growth, any problems in the cheap oil model spell disaster. The the biggest question in human history. Fossil fuel buring, oil, coal, gas, is all energy stored by earth in the great carbon cycle. Earth takes carbon out of the atmosphere by the life processes and stores it in the planet's crust. A balance exists, that's why climate is pretty much stable, all at the happy for life level. We have broken the carbon cycle, we take fossil carbon and burn it, this returns old stored carbon back to the atmosphere. Now the CO2 has reached a level not seen in millions of years. Yes, there was plenty of life last time the CO2 was this level. Yet it was not human and not industrial. As we add CO2, and methane, we already are triggering natural feedbacks. These have the potential to change the game in unkown and known ways, we see a few minor one's that have slowed warming, while several others have vastly increased waarming. The net result has been overall positive feedback, meaning much faster heating. The melting arctic seas are now causing the jet stream to unlock, it is also warming the waters and triggering vast new methane releases from land and sea up there.

Many will argue to no end that chemistry of the atmosphere is a hoax and so is global warming. They argue based on political hatred for government, as government is claiming THEY must step in to solve it. In this I agree with the deniers. Governemnt IS using global warming to try and grab power. The problem is, the science is not changed by this. I gladly will argue physics and chemistry of climate science, and as the latest evidence now proves global warming is real, my job on that score is easy. Science has made huge mistakes with the models. I agree, they have failed badly to predict climate change. They have been wrong not in global warming, they have been dead wrong on how fast global warming is happening. We are 50-70 years AHEAD of where the UN Climate organization predicts. Most real scientists in the field know this, as they measure it and witness it daily.

Solutions. That is where I get a laugh. There are none! The present system has too many rich supporters with too many guns and police to ever allow change. We are locked into a 5-10 degree warming this century, IF the methane bomb in the Arctc seas does not go off, if it does go off. End of story, As an example. All models showed a good chance of summer arctic sea ice being zero in the year 2100. The joke is, we may see ice free actic sea summers in the next 3-5 years. For you climate model makers, that is one fucking hell of a miss!!! One thing about debating climate warming that makes me not engage in it very often, is the large PR firms who have professional internet trolls who sork full time to monitor and comment on any weather or climate story on the interenet. I can usually spot who they are. They bore me, but someone who doubts the science honestly and wants to debate, I gladly accept that type of interchange, I just do not know who is real and who is a PR employee with a huge prewritten script to work off of. So mostly I state my thought son global warming and leave off the debates.

Sorry for the length of this getting out of hand. But the original post had so much in it, I couldn't make my comment short in this case.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 22:03 | Link to Comment greatbeard
greatbeard's picture

That's one of, if not the, best posts I've seen on the subject.  I have to admit, I don't even bother to comment, generally, on any of the climate change postings.  I certainly can't express my thoughts anywhere near as clearly as you can anyway, but I just keep it to myself anyway.  If you are going to live in interesting times, and we certainly do, it's nice not to have children.  I can just live my life and watch the madness just happen.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 23:36 | Link to Comment gwar5
gwar5's picture

Jack Burton a global warmist? Me so sad, JB! Say it ain't so! 

 

For starters, millions of years ago atmospheric CO2 was truthfully way, way higher. We are actually in a period of near all-time low CO2 going back 500 million years,  There's only been about 5 other times CO2 has ever been this low.

CO2 used to be 6000 ppm. That's why they called it the Carboniferous Period 350-400 million years ago. Plant life and bio-diversity absolutely exploded for the first time. 

Average CO2 over 500 million years has been 1250 ppm and we are only at 390 ppm. Plants will start to die if CO2 goes under 200 ppm. Over 500 ppm plants kick into high gear and explode with 50% - 70% more growth -- that's why commercial greenhouses pump in CO2. Civilization has never been around to see this happen globally. 

That is massive carbon sequestration on a global scale in addition to more food, and it's free. Carbon naturally cycles in the environment. The proven feedback loops are all negative ones not positive ones.

 

 

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 23:45 | Link to Comment The Old Man
The Old Man's picture

That is true. And when all land mammals are gone, again, the plants will resume thier role of taking over the planet until another species evolves and backs itself into some future corner. Again.

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 00:51 | Link to Comment Chuck Walla
Chuck Walla's picture

Climate change? Who is this mope and how does anyone take this seriously?

FORWARD KONZENTRATIONSLAGER!

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 23:38 | Link to Comment The Old Man
The Old Man's picture

+1 & Undeniably true Jack. I gave up my subscriptions to Mother Earth News and Organic gardening some while back because of what I saw as a futile effort against a machine much more gigantic than my little flea speck self. I still grow my own tomatoes, if it really matters to the whole system anyway. But, without a diversity of discussion within a community of people who verifiably understand the problems we can have no real direction for solving them. We ain't dead yet. 

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 00:00 | Link to Comment malek
malek's picture

It's sad to see clear thinking including the dynamics of certain situations, commingled with total confusion in a few others.

A balance exists...

What balance are you talking about?
The earth without life on it would have close to zero oxygen molecules in its atmosphere and >>50000 ppm CO2, just like it was when the first bacteria formed.
Earth with only plants would have <100 ppm level of CO2.
Earth as it is has ~380 ppm CO2 in its atmosphere.

We have broken the carbon cycle

And the correct balance is exactly as it was 200 years ago? Statist thinking at it's finest.

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 10:30 | Link to Comment flapdoodle
flapdoodle's picture

I respect your posts, but remain a global warming skeptic until I see evidence that changes in the solar energy output have been taken into account and its effects subtracted from the "climate change" by the global warming models and/or theories...

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 14:18 | Link to Comment nofluer
nofluer's picture

Gosh. Every time I see an AGW proponent I just shake my head and am sad for the nearly complete and total lack of science education in the world today.

Is "climate change" (non-capitalized) happening? Probably. At least it has been "happening" for around 4.5 billion years - and will probably go on doing so. Is the Earth currently in a "warming" phase? Nope. Evidence is beginning to acumulate that the Atlantic and Pacific Oscillation cycle is about 15 years into its 65 year cycle (which would account for the total lack of warming for the past 16 years - per East Anglia U) There is also speculation that one of the Sun's solar cycles is entering a 200 year recurring cooling/declining output cycle - and word is that the last time these two cycles corresponded we had what they called "The Little Ice Age."

I have a little farm and garden. I am working on propagating and perhaps developing plant varieties that are cold hardy, and looking for grain varieties that have short stems and resist lodging. (During the lLittle Ice Age, many starved because the grain stalks "lodged" - bent - and dumped the grain heads into the mud.)

Continuing my response to the "article" (Globalist AGW meme/rant):

Food production doesn't have to be oil dependent. In fact, GOOD NUTRITIOUS food is not. Natural soil amendments, crop rotation, and other "old time" farming practices are better and cheaper. Chemicalizing soil is a proven way to create barren deserts. A little known fact is that in the long-ago, French farmers provided fresh greens to Paris all year - even through the winter.

Note I avoid the use of the word "sustainable" since it has been co-opted by the UN/Globalists and the meaning has been changed.

Another aspect of the food situation is that I understand that GMO "foods" do not measure up to the production claimed for them. And there's a new threat on the block - the MegaAg people like Monsanto are now playing with introducing RNA changing GMO technology to fight the corn cutworm. Perhaps if they are successful, some day in the future when you meet a new person you won't shake their hand - you'll shake their leaf. (As I understand it, the Corn RNA change causes changes in the rootworm's RNA/DNA ? Will it also cause changes in human RNA?)

The economic situation at present reminds me of medieval Europe. Charging of interest was prohibitedby the Church to the Christian rulers, so they set the Jews up as "banks" and borrowed from them. When a noble's debt became unsustainable, he simply charged the Jew with some heinous crime, arrested him and executed him, and confiscated his assets. *poof* No more debt, and probably a profit as well. It seems to me that this system is being used on a global scale today.

As to a "water shortage" - that makes me laugh. I've been around the world (circumnavigated) twice. Some sources say that 70% of the globe is covered with water. I don't know the number, but I've seen an awful lot of it, and I for one have no fear of running out of it. Yeah... I know. That's salt water. It's not that hard to remove the salt.

As to depleting the aquifers - if stupid people would stop trying to grow almonds in the desert and other such practices, this wouldn't be a problem either (and the honey bees maybe wouldn't be in trouble.)

And finally, in case you are unaware of it, reading IPCC "reports" can rot your brain. I read the first two of them and after examining their proposed data gathering methodology and how they arrived at some of the base-line data starting points, I decided that the people who printed such drivel were not scientists.

 

 

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 15:29 | Link to Comment vie
vie's picture

I imagine you're aware significant global warming/climate change is happening to all of the planets in the solar system.  Hard to blame human activity for that.

There's also some evidence to suggest we're actually on verge of a new ice-age over the next 1000 years or so.

You might also look into all the geo-engineering technologies the military has been working on and applying on our behalf whether he like it or not.

There's a reasonable chance "anthropogenic global warmining" is actually cover for thier own weather warfare.  As long as we blame ourselves and not the government it's all good, everyone still gets insured, and no one gets mad at the government when people die.  

It gets a bit suspicious when hurricanes make bee-lines (as opposed to the normal meandering) to target cities in the worst possible spot and high pressure systems park for years at a time where they can deflect weather systems.  Likewise when you start to see a high correlation with localized auroras and ionospheric heating before earthquakes hit.

 

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 21:28 | Link to Comment AngelEyes00
AngelEyes00's picture

So we are in the denial stage, awaiting the collapse.  Tic-toc, tic-toc...

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 21:35 | Link to Comment rubiconsolutions
rubiconsolutions's picture

This has Agenda 21 written all over it. What a bunch of nonsense. "Man is a blight on the planet and must be eliminated or controlled." /s

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 06:37 | Link to Comment stacking12321
stacking12321's picture

go back to your infowars with your agenda 21 nonsense, troll!

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:08 | Link to Comment dbTX
dbTX's picture

But, but...it's different this time

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:32 | Link to Comment Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

WE CLEARLY NEED MORE CARBON CREDITS!!!

AND THE GOOD NEWS IS:
THE PRICE OF CARBON CREDITS HAS DROPPED SO MUCH, EVERY WESTERN WORLD IS STOCKPILLING THEM! THEY'VE GOT DIGITAL CLEAN AIR THAT COULD AIR THE PLANET 10 TIMES OVER!!!

the sad part is, is that's not a joke... they're actually doing this.... billions of carbon credits sold by bankers.

SAVE THE PLANET, BUY YOU CARBON CREDITS HERE:
http://carbontradexchange.com/exchange/purchase-carbon-credits

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 02:22 | Link to Comment disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

absolute insanity. "anything can be monetized in a Fiat world"...just give the government purse and i'll give you a market. at least with bitcoin i know i'm not being taxed by it. again "we'll find a way to sustain." that includes FREE. http://www.amazon.com/Free-The-Future-Radical-Price/dp/B00342VEP6 it is not "free" itself...but 61 cents isn't bad.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:10 | Link to Comment NOTW777
NOTW777's picture

so, on Sundays one of the tylers is algore? LOL

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:27 | Link to Comment nonclaim
nonclaim's picture

one has to wonder ... maybe an mba has advised for audience diversification or some other marketing gimmickry.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 20:35 | Link to Comment Bob
Bob's picture

Scratching my head, too.  Hard to figure this one here . . .

Interesting to hear this greenie talking about guiding us down the unmarked, unlit road to come . . . with such profound optimism.

Here's the best thing I've read recently about how much "cooperation" and "constructive change" is possible, much less likely, now or later, from the perspective of a well-informed greenie himself: 

http://www.truth-out.org/news/item/21060-green-capitalism-the-god-that-f...

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:14 | Link to Comment funwithstocks
funwithstocks's picture

Even a cursory study of population dynamics tells us that population growth of any species, humans included, sprials into disaster. Our belief that we can continue to reproduce unchecked is pure fantasy.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:19 | Link to Comment cossack55
cossack55's picture

Here in the midwest the deer population is controlled by deer hunters during the "good" years.  Drought usually leads to less hunters.  Seems hunting two legged game is solid regardless of conditions.  More war.

 

)/

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:18 | Link to Comment Johnbrown
Johnbrown's picture

This guy's an idiot.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 21:00 | Link to Comment CH1
CH1's picture

A statist, Algorean tool.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:22 | Link to Comment toady
toady's picture

We're all gonna die.

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 14:29 | Link to Comment nofluer
nofluer's picture

Yep. Sooner or later.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:23 | Link to Comment ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Peter Singer summarizes the whole of the article in this part of the quote:

"On our own, our tendency to yield to short-term temptations, and even to addictions, may be too strong for our rational, long-term planning."

Or more succinctly:  Monkey want banana.

The "climate change" detour derails the rest of the article; pollution is man-made, climate change is caused by the wobble of the planet on it's axis and the vagaries of solar emissions.

Humanity will continue to rush headlong into a population event.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:28 | Link to Comment nonclaim
nonclaim's picture

or more likely, humanity will continue to rush headlong into a copulation event.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 22:45 | Link to Comment Advoc8tr
Advoc8tr's picture

Count me in ... bags the hot chick with 3 dragons.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 23:09 | Link to Comment gwar5
gwar5's picture

That quote jumped out at me too, but for a different reason.

 

In this context it just sounds like a made up pseudo-intellectual idiom inserted to be some sort of undeniable 'truth' that individuals are just too darn stupid to do anything for themselves without the elites to make the "correct" choices for them.

That, and because you also can't dance to it, I only give the quote a "2".

 

 

 

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:25 | Link to Comment lordbyroniv
lordbyroniv's picture

This article was VERY VERY depressing  :(

 

No likey :(

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 23:25 | Link to Comment pipes
pipes's picture

Propaganda often has that effect

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 05:44 | Link to Comment Acet
Acet's picture

Propaganda tells you what you want to hear - i.e. "it's not your fault, it's the XXX" - while this article is telling you what you don't want to hear.

 

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 15:39 | Link to Comment vie
vie's picture

Propaganda is anything that changes your thinking to the desired outcome.  If the desired outcome is for people to believe global warming is their fault and we're all screwed unless you hand over your rights to someone else, then it's propaganda.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:25 | Link to Comment Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

It's not dark enough

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:28 | Link to Comment Oxbo Rene
Oxbo Rene's picture

I have said for most of my life that the reason we have so many rules, regulations and laws/wars was because there are just too many people ! !
And not one person has listened to me ! ! ! !

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:31 | Link to Comment UncleFurker
UncleFurker's picture

It's too late to map out a sustainable future, because the viability of the planet has been destroyed by the Nuclear Power Industry and their Fukushima experiment.

 

 

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:33 | Link to Comment Ignatius
Ignatius's picture

It starts with a sustainable and moral food system.

No billionairs running around lording it over all.

In other words, it's a pipe dream... so what matters is your own personal choices.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:54 | Link to Comment MsCreant
MsCreant's picture

"so what matters is your own personal choices"

Stop the presses. Print that over and over. It is all we ever had, the rest has been an illusion and a bill of goods.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 23:25 | Link to Comment Muppetrage
Muppetrage's picture

Ignatius , couldn't agree more. Pharmaceutical grade oil, salt, and sugar for the free range debt slaves.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:33 | Link to Comment Demdere
Demdere's picture

We are not rushing to a population event, at least not one caused by overpopulation.  Population growth rates have fallen dramatically, we will now likely top out at 9B and the population will likely fall for a couple of generations after that point.

Be serious, this is easy to check, no need to repeat Population Bomb/Club of Rome idiocy 50 years afterwards.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:41 | Link to Comment ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Those with access to birth control are not having children.

Those without access to birth control or who choose not to use it are having children.

What are the implications for civilization?

Discuss.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:47 | Link to Comment logicalman
logicalman's picture

Straight forward stuff, but then Darwinian selection doesn't think and doesn't have an agenda.

The organisms producing the most offspring are the most successful in the environment they find themselves in.

The day that intelligence and a good head for information becomes a reproductive advantage is when the number of people with analytical skills will be in the majority.

May take a while.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 20:00 | Link to Comment ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Intelligence, analytical skills, and information (education) brought about birth control, which is now being utilized by those successful in the environment; and not being utilized by those who are less successful in the environment.

Birds and turtles don't use birth control, and if Darwin's Mom had used the pill he would not have existed so we have to leave him out of it (besides the original point, that many of us are self-selecting to eliminate our genes from the pool).

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 21:00 | Link to Comment Radical Marijuana
Radical Marijuana's picture

Welcome to the "Bizarro Mirror World," ebworthen. Everything that we call "birth control" is actually death control, which has been given a euphemistic and misleading label. What we actually need is better death control, within which what we call "birth controls" are some of the most effective and efficient means of achieving that. However, in order to make the overall system work, it would have to be understood as a form of militarism.

Human ecology should become negotiations between the different organized crime gangs, which includes their negotiations about how each one is to limit their own population. The actual alternatives to better death controls are to allow those to drive the overshoot towards collapse, in which case the risk of the use of weapons of mass destruction becomes greater and greater.

The deeper problems are that successfully developing paradigm shifts in basic sciences has enabled technologies to create weapons that are trillions of times more powerful and capable than ever before in human history. Despite that, we are still cruising upon the inertia of established social and psychological habits, which get away with mostly deliberately ignoring that. Therefore, we routinely talk total nonsense about life and death, in ways which pay no attention to the prodigious progress made in biology, which should have changed the basic paradigms that we use when we talk about those things.

I agree with your basic point, ebworthen, that (because the way that we understand "birth control" is backwards) therefore, the actual effects have tended to become backwards to what should otherwise make sense. However, superficial disrespect for Darwin, or Malthus, or any other intellectual from a previous era, is not conducive to better understanding of those aspects of their work which was still valid.

The supreme ideology is necessarily militarism, and "birth control" should be regarded as actually a form of death control, within that overall military context. Those are the kinds of paradigm shifts in our political perceptions that should be enjoined, because the other paradigm shifts in basic science like biology HAVE produced weapons which ARE potentially trillions of times more destructive than anything that ever existed previously in known human history.

Of course, I would admit that merely saying that we "should" amounts to almost nothings, since the vast majority of people are still deliberately refusing to seriously think about any of these things, while the ruling classes want the vast majority of people to not start thinking about these things. (See my comment below, for my overview regarding these dilemmas.)

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 22:39 | Link to Comment ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Good stuff, thanks for the congent contribution.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 22:48 | Link to Comment Advoc8tr
Advoc8tr's picture

That would be an ... Idiocracy

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 20:18 | Link to Comment LibertarianMenace
LibertarianMenace's picture

Quite right, I always wondered what happens to a population when the average age tends toward its members' life expectancy. There's going to be peak alright, Peak Elderly People: and then almost overnight there will be none. It will be simple old age that does the billions in, and nothing to do with any of the enviro fads of the hour.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:34 | Link to Comment Anglo Hondo
Anglo Hondo's picture

So it wasn't the fish that ate my legs this past summer, it was the acid ocean.  Good to know!

 

I stopped reading at that point, then noticed that some of this was quoted from the Tyndall Center (University of East Anglia - remember 'Climategate?), the Royal Society and the Guardian, for God's sake. What a concentrated bunch of total crap!

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:51 | Link to Comment logicalman
logicalman's picture

I'm guessing nothing ate your legs - you sure as hell wouldn't joke about it.

You should always read to the end, by the way. You may not agree with everything said, but you may find something that informs you. That can't happen if you stop reading.

It's always a good thing to read stuff you don't agree with, if you don't, you are guaranteed to stay trapped in your present view rather than developing.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 22:53 | Link to Comment gwar5
gwar5's picture

You need to evolve, dip shit. You're too ashamed to admit you've been punked by your hero elites, like Al Gore the serial ejaculator, over the global warming tax hoax.

We've already read your warming bullshit, including the juicy bits by your creepy alarmist heroes where they got caught red-handed. In their own words they admitted they lied about global warming and manipulated the numbers and computer models. After being confronted they fessed up again.

 

Start here and don't stop:

http://www.climatedepot.com/

http://www.drroyspencer.com/2014/01/john-holdren-pseudoscience-czar-pred...

http://us4.campaign-archive2.com/?u=c920274f2a364603849bbb505&id=00f4772...

 

 

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:39 | Link to Comment texas sandman
texas sandman's picture

What is this.....overpopulation Sunday on ZH?  One article maybe, but 2?  What, was Kos overbooked today??

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:43 | Link to Comment logicalman
logicalman's picture

Hey, Tex, take a long hard look at the world.

It may change your perspective.

You can't see very far with your head up your arse.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 20:46 | Link to Comment texas sandman
texas sandman's picture

I have looked long and hard, even employing logic.  What I find is that this message has been promulgated for decades.....Paul Ehrlich, Margaret Sanger and other select members of the eugenics crowd.   Unlike the proverbial broken clock, they haven't been right even once.

 

 

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:39 | Link to Comment The Heart
The Heart's picture

Pray for Jack Mc Lamb. He is close to the other side.:

https://gunnyg.wordpress.com/2014/01/10/officer-jack-mclamb-near-death-w...

 

 

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:41 | Link to Comment logicalman
logicalman's picture

The 'World Bnking Crisis' began in 1913.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 19:53 | Link to Comment lasvegaspersona
lasvegaspersona's picture

If the 'deniers' (by this I mean the 'science deniers) ever want to get the majority of the intellent population to listen to them they must do two things: They must denounce Al Gore as an idiot and admit there is no such thing as 'settled science' and secondly they must renounce taxation as the fix.

Gore was so enthusiastic in his quest that he made an ass of himself and showed he was willing to sacrifice truth for his cause.

The taxation issue looks to most like the need to tax came first and 'global warming' was just a nice reason.

I am not a climate scientist but I have done enough science to know it is not easy. Without opening the discussion to criticism the truth can never be known and trust in the results will always be lacking.

These avenues of cooperation have been available to 'warmers' for a decade yet never followed. Instead any doubters were labeled fanatics and deniers and scorned. This has been enough for me not to trust anything I hear. I remain open to logic and data but first address items one and two above. Then and only then will my ears be opened.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 22:04 | Link to Comment gwar5
gwar5's picture

The warmist haoxers need to denouce Al Gore for being a deranged wacko who likes to ejaculate like a dog on defenseless and terrified women masseuses who rejected his creepy advances when they showed up to do his massage.

 

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 20:00 | Link to Comment Smegley Wanxalot
Smegley Wanxalot's picture

Shit, meet Crock.

Crock, this is Shit.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 20:07 | Link to Comment BuddyEffed
BuddyEffed's picture

"This consensus extends from the political left to the political right from business leaders to trade unionists and no one in the mainstream is proposing an alternative."

The only problem to this left/right consensus seems to be that prima facie evidence is starting to highly suggest that reality is objecting, and not proposing but demanding an alternative with a fait accompli. 

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 20:12 | Link to Comment lasvegaspersona
lasvegaspersona's picture

I doubt that 7+ billion people can survive with community based action. We need global trade and we need the efficiencies that come with it. (I'm not saying we need 7+ billion people, just that at that number  industrial agriculture and energy use is mandatory.)

The problem we face is a breakdown in the monetary system. debt will crush systems and countries. The solution will come either through destruction of the current system by depression/ hyperinflation OR we could advance to a sustainable currency. Fofoa has a leg up on all others in visualizing that system. Based on the contributions of Rueff, Zijlistra, Duisenberg, Padoa-Schioppa, Lamfalussy, the anonymous bloggers Another and FOA as well as his own writing he describes a way forward that is just and carries with it (as Another hoped) a solution 'without war'.

After 4 years he has provided the best insight I have read. It is better that any of my newsletters and more insightful that all the Youtube doomesday vids and more optimistic that any 'return to gold' hawker I've heard.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 21:53 | Link to Comment gwar5
gwar5's picture

community based action = socialism run by elites.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 20:15 | Link to Comment Ms. Erable
Ms. Erable's picture

TL; stopped reading at 'sustainability'. More Agenda 21 horseshit from some asshat attempting to brown-nose for a higher perch at the bankster's feeding trough.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 21:03 | Link to Comment CH1
CH1's picture

Well said.

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 06:50 | Link to Comment stacking12321
stacking12321's picture

seeing as how the word sustainable was in the title, you're admitting that you didn't bother to read the article, and you have no basis for commenting.

 

 

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 08:26 | Link to Comment swedish etrade baby
swedish etrade baby's picture

I understand. Gro Harlem Brundtland was interviewed on swedish television yesterday. I turned off the TV. I blame her for creating the sustainability meme

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 20:40 | Link to Comment Radical Marijuana
Radical Marijuana's picture

I started seriously worrying about these kinds of problems when I was a teenager, almost 50 years ago. I have been worrying about those problems more, especially since I always found that the more I learned, the worse it got!

Regarding this article, I have some reservations regarding the degree to which we are supposed to be understanding how the climate works, and therefore, the degree to which it is appropriate that Humans are blamed for climate change.

For instance, I recommend

http://www.suspicious0bservers.org/cliemate/

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PhhcS5bcUYk

How the IPCC Does its Research

The more research I did into the issue of climate change, the more I felt like a dog twirling around chasing its own tail. The biggest problem in the background is that our civilization is controlled by the people who were the best at being dishonest, and backing that up with violence, which has enabled them to become the most wealthy and powerful people, who therefore have been able to dominate the funding of social institutions, in order to direct those to develop in ways which would benefit the ruling classes. In that REAL context, there are almost no environmental groups which can be trusted anymore, because all of them are similarly trapped into the vicious spirals of making their own funding the first priority, and gradually have become organized frauds, like most charities are, as well as just about everything else. Therefore, there is almost no source of information that can be trusted, and therefore, research is mostly wading through deeper and deeper levels of deceits, which are tracking back to their sources, which was that the history of warfare selected for deceits to be be the most successful strategies, while upon that basis was built fundamentally fraudulent financial accounting systems, such as our current state religion, which is our faith-based, force backed, monetary system.

When one follows the money to its SOURCE, one discovers that the international bankers are the best organized gangsters, that have effectively corrupted all of the world's governments in order to legalize lies, and back those up with legalized violence, in ways which drive that runaway system of the triumphant frauds of the banksters. They have been able to leverage up that success to be able to dominate the funding of schools, and ownership of the mass media, and so on and so forth, so that almost everything is controlled by huge lies, backed up with lots of violence. That is the context in which most of what this article above states is CORRECT, but relatively superficial, and thus, way too optimistic. Like the author of that article, I have been worrying about the prospects for social psychiatry, and/or social surgery, for a long time. My main answer to the questions asked and issues raised by this article is that our civilization has been constructed through the history of warfare, based upon successful deceits, upon which basis was made the financial system based on triumphant frauds. The government is the biggest form of organized crime, controlled by the best organized gang of criminals. EVERYTHING IS BASED ON RUNAWAY SYSTEMS OF BACKING UP LIES WITH VIOLENCE.

That deeper reality is what drives the vast majority of people to have adapted for many generations to live within those systems through the means of evil deliberate ignorance. In each short-term increment, those who were the best at being dishonest, and backing that up with violence, have prevailed, so that our civilization is now almost totally based upon legalized lies, backed by legalized violence. Furthermore, the people driving that have therefore been selected to become the most criminally insane people. Those kinds of ruling classes are matched by those who are ruled over, who have adapted for many generations to operate within those systems of Huge Lies, backed by Lots of Violence, AS AROUND AND AROUND THAT WENT, OVER AND OVER ...

To travel further through those almost infinite tunnel of deceits is to face the fact that the ONLY genuine solutions to the real problems outlined in this article MUST be different death controls. The established social pyramid systems are preparing to do that through their ways, which are much greater deceits. The ONLY ways that the ruling classes have prepared for the real problems outlined in this article are to get ready for more genocidal wars, along with democidal martial law. The ruling classes are planning to resolve these real problems in their way, by culling the majority of the human population.

Given that the vast majority of those being ruled have become Zombie Sheeple, that do not understand any of the basic points made in this kind article, because they have been too successfully conditioned to not want to understand, there does not appear to be any other politically practical resolutions than the ones that the ruling classes have been covertly preparing, which are to mass murder the majority of the human population, when we collectively reach the point where the unsustainable overshooting reaches its turning points, and tips over into crazy collapse and chaos.

Meanwhile, this kind of article above fits into the general "mom and apple pie" or "green" notions regarding what we should do. In general, that kind of pleasant set of "green" notions deliberately ignores that the necessary keystone to any system of alternatives MUST be the alternative death controls. No systems of alternatives could be integrated without that lynch pin central control to hold them together. This kind of "mom and apple pie" article tends to skim across the psychological problems, and even to regard the ecological problems as having some solutions which arise out of psychology, rather than regarding the realities as being the other way around.

In my view, the world is already being controlled by lies, backed by violence, and the people doing that are planning on doing that WAY MORE. The ruling classes are planning upon continuing to set up conditions whereby the majority of the human population will be mass murdered, as the way to "solve" the kinds of real problems outlined in this kind of article. Meanwhile, this kind of article does not address that deeper issue, and certainly does not propose any better death controls, which would operate to resolve those problems in any better ways.

In my view, what we should do is go through profound intellectual scientific revolutions, which apply to politics, and especially to militarism, because more than anything else we should change how our murder systems operate. That is only way to actually change the monetary systems, because money is measurement backed by murder. Those challenges are extremely daunting, since the established systems are based upon the maximum possible deceits and frauds, whereby both the ruling classes, and those they rule over, are almost totally adapted to taking those for granted, in ways which manifest the most extremely evil deliberate ignorance possible.

In that context, "creating a sustainable, viable, future path for civilisation" is way, way more difficult and dangerous than this article implies, because that is impossible to do without some sustainable, viable, future path for the death controls to be done, in order that the overall human ecology and political economy can be brought into better balance with the real limits of a finite planet Earth. This kind of article is full of "green" notions, which are about some of the various lower levels of creative alternatives. However, it deliberately ignores the most important aspect of any system of alternatives, which must be the alternative death controls.

Meanwhile, the current ruling classes are driving their agenda forwards, to try to save their systems of debt slavery, backed by wars based on deceits. Any of the nicer to contemplate and work upon lower levels of possible systems of creative alternatives are actually going to have to try to survive through more genocidal wars, and democidal martial law. The point is that we ARE necessarily going to get different death controls, especially as those try to back up the debt slavery systems having driven their numbers to become debt insanities. The best we MIGHT be able to do is MAYBE catalyze what the ruling classes are planning and preparing to do, through much more genocidal wars, and democidal martial law.

My point is that drastic death controls ARE coming, one way or another, sooner or later, whether we like it or not, because unlimited exponential growth is absolutely impossible. Furthermore, many signs are indicating that we are getting closer, faster, to the limits where doubling even one more time is NOT possible. Overall, I believe that we should attempt to transform and transition from the Neolithic style of civilization as social pyramid systems, into some Translithic Civilization, that more consciously connects the top and bottom of those pyramids, to be more recognized and operated as toroidal vortices. However, the most important ways that that should be done is through the ways we understand and operate the combined money/murder systems.

However, obviously, "green" notions, such as promoted by this kind of article, are much nicer and more popular than realistic "human ecology" concepts, since the central controls of human ecology are, by definition, the death controls. Our REAL death controls now operate through the maximum possible deceits, as that was selected to be developed by the history of warfare, and upon that basis was constructed our REAL monetary system, which as similarly based upon the maximum possible frauds. In that context, the "mom and apple pie" notions of "green" sustainability are nothing without sustainable murder systems at their core. THOSE ARE THE REAL PROBLEMS THAT WE FACE!

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 20:30 | Link to Comment ramacers
ramacers's picture

foolish dream.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 20:43 | Link to Comment escargot
escargot's picture

"Such rates of warming could make most of the planet uninhabitable for human life and threaten our very survival as a species."

Alarmist nonsense.  Do people really still believe this crap?  Humans inhabit this planet from the frozen poles to the jagged mountains to the sweltering deserts, but I'm supposed to believe that a 2 degree increase in global temperature will render most of the planet "uninhabitable for human life"?  WTF is that supposed to mean, anyway? 

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 20:50 | Link to Comment Anusocracy
Anusocracy's picture

It means THEY WANT CONTROL.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 20:44 | Link to Comment Stuck on Zero
Stuck on Zero's picture

Citing Margaret Mead is the last straw by this arrogant SoB.  Margaret Mead was a confirmed fraud and charlatan. 

 

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 21:06 | Link to Comment Radical Marijuana
Radical Marijuana's picture

The ironic aspect of that observation by Margaret Mead:

Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world; indeed, it’s the only thing that ever has.

is that is a sword that cuts both ways.

There is no other small group to whom that observation applies more than to the international bankers. Covert organized crime has been more able to change the world by applying the methods of organized crime to the political processes, in order to take control over what the government actually did, than any other small group of citizens has ever been able to!

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 21:00 | Link to Comment laosuwan
laosuwan's picture

People are just not aware of the massive roles that the oceans play in the Earth’s systems.

 

I was made aware of this in elementary school.

 

Actually, it would have been the engineer and scientist that climbed the tree, while the philospher would have remained below listening to see if he could hear a tree fall.

 

Otherwise, nice story.

 

What will be, will be. 

 

If you want to know how to live, check out the book "A Constitution for Living"

 

http://www.watnyanaves.net/uploads/File/books/pdf/a_constitution_for_liv...

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 21:16 | Link to Comment Oreilly
Oreilly's picture

I've been hearing this same b.s. for over 50 years now.  And the solution is ... kill your children and sit in a corner sucking your thumb until you die as well ... and pay more taxes so that the elites can live the good life. 

In my undergraduate days in the late 70s we studied the runaway greenhouse effect in my atmospheric and oceanic sciences class at University of Michigan, and Earth was supposed to wind up like Venus because of greenhouse gases.  The professors who taught the class used it as an example of a theory on how upper atmosphere disturbances could be investigated, and I remember one of them saying "We'll know by 2000 and it will be sea levels and cloud cover that tell the story".  Story over; sea level and cloud cover remain unchanged for 40 years.  As a graduate student geologist at Colorado School of Mines and University of Arizona I studied climate fluctuations in the Pleistocene through pollen samples and ice core, and learned that climate fluctuated immensely.  Lesson learned: climate fluctuates. Live with it, like our ancestors for several million years have.  Build on the sea shore if you want, migrate in to large cities like New York, Los Angeles and Chicago along with millions of other lemmings, but quit asking me to stop what I'm doing in rural Michigan because hurricanes wipe out your poorly planned and illegal coastal communities in New Jersey or you find it hard to procure food in an urban nightmare when supply chains break down. 

If the solutions to these proposed problems made any sense AND the people proposing them actually led the way and showed how to live by the solutions, I might (and it's a big might) give it all a second look.  But right now the only reason why anyone who is not being paid millions of dollars to study these issues even cares about them is because elites want to make the proposed solutions in to laws that have to be followed whether the problems are real or not, and in so doing so personally profit immensely from the chaos this would impose on society.  If you really are worried about such things as global climate change and over-population then by all means start living your life in such a way as to set things right.  Just give me the same options as you have, allow me to live my life the way I CHOOSE, and not the way you would choose it for me. 

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 23:02 | Link to Comment adeptish
adeptish's picture

Great post and my sentiments exactly.

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 09:23 | Link to Comment GCT
GCT's picture

Oreilly +1000 if I could.

This is and will always be about placing yet another tax upon you and I.  Nothing more. Those in control want to now sell you air, after all they sell you water.  Unless you live in a rural area, try to install a well on your property to get off the public works water supply.  Not going to happen.

The only thing I am certain of is planet earth will still be here after we are all extinct. 

 The climate change is cyclical and there is nothing you or I can do about it.  If you disagree with climate change your labeled as being stupid.  I equate this debate to the sin taxes now placed on those items.  People cheered the politicians and backed them until they started placing taxes on something they enjoyed. Voters balked but it is too late.  They all got played and bought the debate lock, stock, and barrel.  Just like sin taxes the politicians and governments of the world need more of your hard earned money. So they want to tax the air that you breathe because it is the only item left.  They already have sunshine taxes in some states.  Of course none of this money is applied to stopping pollution. 

Pollution is the real killer and is not up for debate.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 21:35 | Link to Comment williambanzai7
williambanzai7's picture

Wherever you go, there you are.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 22:08 | Link to Comment Hulk
Hulk's picture

I noticed that !!!

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 03:07 | Link to Comment Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

Well there you go...or come....or are, as they case may be.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 21:38 | Link to Comment 22winmag
22winmag's picture

Was this ghostwritten by Al Gore and Cass Sunstein?

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 23:18 | Link to Comment pipes
pipes's picture

This shit comes from these guys https://buildingoneamerica.org/ and it is AGENDA 21 thru and thru.

 

 

 

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 21:45 | Link to Comment q99x2
q99x2's picture

Where you think you at? The Garden of Eden. Take the Brooklyn train into Downtown lately?

We didn't get to where we are at today because of no sustainability bro. We got here because of pointed teeth and minds that give us the feeling of being alive when we push the button to see how big of an explosion we can make.

This kind of stuff is enough to drive me back to the fight club.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 21:51 | Link to Comment gwar5
gwar5's picture

I logged on just to down vote this bullshit. This rambling article covers every grievance against humans. I mean who really wrote this thing -- "Flipper?"  But I am glad ZH brings these out on weekends like clockwork so the warming hoaxers will self identify.

 

There is hope we can avoid disaster if we defeating and shame eco-fascism as the new Aryan science that it is. Brought up, again, by national socialists. Let the Sierra Club and PETA go bitch and protest in China and Russia where the shit is bad and see how long they stay alive. Can't tell me we're not a tolerant society.

 

 

 

 

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 22:06 | Link to Comment Bunga Bunga
Bunga Bunga's picture

State and government are the cause for economic growth. Go figure.

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 22:13 | Link to Comment alentia
alentia's picture

And why following written as the rule and not as possibility. Kind of Dr. Hebbels approach.

 

"The health of the European economy depends on that of US as well as on the economy of China and Russia and vice a versa. This co-dependence is particularly striking in the financial system – a collapse in one banking system has the potential to bring down every financial system."

Since 2008 financial debt sink most of the countries started diversify their business away from US. The US economy did not improve or very little since 2008. China and Russia are keep growing. Europe (read Germany, Nietherlands, Austria) did not slow down. Do you have numbers to support "real US GDP 2008" less real inflation < "real US GDP 2013" less real inflation?

 

France, Greece, Spain and partially Italy had and still have centrally planned economies by their labour unions and government apparatchiks. In countries where financial system is based on debt, which is counted as money, sure and always falls in domino effect. Sound financial system will fully ignore collapse of house of cards.

Use of terms "economy" and "financial system" can not be the same when applied to different countries.


Sun, 01/12/2014 - 22:28 | Link to Comment flyonmywall
flyonmywall's picture

Yeah, it's all nice and good to try to save the environment and all that. But, if you try to save the environment and pollute less, they tax you anyway, or they will knock down your door and cite you for "code violations", because you're not an obedient little slave that pays its taxes.

Ask people in Hawaii that are trying to put up solar panels, and the utility companies deny them the permit, because they would lose money. Or, ask the guys living in the desert outside LA about SWAT teams with lots of guns coming to their house and giving them citations because they have one too many El Camino's sitting in their front yard.

You can't be too independent, you see, because that would cause a problem with revenues. Saving the planet is nice, but the oligarchs still need to make money. So be a good little slave and do what the master says, not what he does.

 

 

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 22:56 | Link to Comment Fix It Again Timmy
Fix It Again Timmy's picture

Huge solar flare engulfs the earth and takes out our electrical grid...What happens to the pumps circulating cooling water in our nuclear plants?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0srO4LTzVTE

 

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 01:44 | Link to Comment Tall Tom
Tall Tom's picture

This is much more of a concern...

 

People are just not aware of the massive roles that the oceans play in the Earth’s systems. Phytoplankton produce 40 per cent of the oxygen in the atmosphere, for example, and 90 per cent of all life is in the oceans… The situation should be of the gravest concern to everyone since everyone will be affected by changes in the ability of the ocean to support life on Earth.

 

I have been writing that the Radiation from Fukushima has been killing off the plankton at alarming rates. THe Oceans are responsible for 70% of the Earth's Atmosphere. The Kelp Beds of the Ocean also provide Oxygen but not as much as the Plankton.

 

The North Pacific Current bring Fresh Plankton into the proximity of the Ocean that has Radiation that is at TOXIC LEVELS. (I am NOT at all concerned about the Radionucelotides that are approaching North American shores at ONE TEN THOUSANDTH of the Intensity.) HOWEVER I AM VERY CONCERNED ABOUT THE RADIATION EMITTED AT THE SOURCE as that is what is KILLING OFF THE PLANKTON. 

 

The Ocean Waters have ACIDIFIED. If you have a SOPHMORE LEVEL UNIVERSITY CHEMISTRY COURSE you will understand Acid-Base Reactions in Solution. The Ocean Water, far from being "PURE", is a SOLUTION. Acid solutions are Oxygen Depleted. They have an abundance of Hydrogen. (That is what makes them Acid.)

 

Since the pH of the Ocean is becoming ACIDIC that MEANS that the Ocean Waters are becoming Oxygen DEPLETED. Thus the Oceans do NOT TRANSPIRE OXYGEN INTO THE ATMOSPHERE at the same RATE. The Atmosphere...the FUCKING AIR WHICH YOU BREATH..is BECOMING OXYGEN DEPLETED. That does not forebode well.

 

Fukushima is a very large PROBLEM. Fukushima is CONTINUOUSLY DUMPING RADIOACTIVE WASTE into the Ocean. The North Pacific Current is CONTINUOUSLY BRINGING PLANKTON INTO THE KILL ZONE and DEPLETING PLANKTON POPULATIONS.  This, in turn, DEPLETES OXYGEN FROM OCEAN WATERS. From that follows a DEPLETION OF OXYGEN from the Air which you BREATHE.

 

This is passing the point of being a PROBLEM to becoming a PREDICAMENT. While Problems MIGHT have a solution PREDICAMENTS HAVE NO SOLUTION.

 

YOU NEED TO WAKE THE FUCK UP, PEOPLE. Or you can enjoy your SLOW SUFFOCATION.

 

BTW...THIS IS ANTHROPOGENIC. (General Electric...Bringing good things to die. Fukushima IS a GE Power Plant, after all.)

 

We are running out of time as this "problem" is GROWING EXPONENTIALLY. (That is if we already have not run out of time...)

 

Exponential Growth brings about EXPONENTIAL COLLAPSE.

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 06:10 | Link to Comment nevket240
nevket240's picture

You Sir or Madam Tall Tom

are a First rate fucking Moron.

The oceans are NOT becoming Acidic as your puerile claim suggests.

There has been a small, nearly insignificant decrease in Alkalinity. To be more Aciditic requires being Acidic in the first place. That has not happened.

Read this fuckwit Troll.

http://joannenova.com.au/2011/11/the-chemistry-of-ocean-ph-and-acidifica...

Once again 'modelling' is the anchor pin of AGW fraud.

regards

Sun, 01/12/2014 - 23:33 | Link to Comment pipes
pipes's picture

Agenda 21 bullshit.

 

Tylers like to stir the pot once in a while.

 

It's important, though, to read propaganda like this - https://buildingoneamerica.org/ knowing it's source - so that you recognize it for what it is when you encounter it elsewhere.

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 00:41 | Link to Comment Tall Tom
Tall Tom's picture

Plans...Planned sustenance??? LMAO.

 

Exponential Growth leads to Exponential Collapse in all closed systems.

 

It is kind of funny. I was listening to a lecture about the JFK Assasination. The speaker was giving a description of the GROWTH in prosecutions of Mafia Figures due to Bobby's effots as Atty. General. He uses his hand and motions out an Exponential Growth Curve as a Body Language Gesture. Then, after Jack was shot, the prosecutions of Mafia Figures declined rapidly after Bobby lost power. With his hand the speaker motions a Exponential Decline Curve in prosecutions.

 

It does not matter in what field that one is looking at. Whether it is Prosecutions for Criminal Activity, Criminal Activity, Stock Markets, Animal Populations, Physical Resoutces, etc. The principle is inviolable.

 

So what cannot be sustained will not be sustained.

 

No amount of planning will stop it. None whatsoever.

 

Collapse baby collapse. You all deserve it. Enjoy your destruction. Seriously. ENJOY IT. It is happening in front of your eyes. That is what is really being denied.

 

WE ARE COOKED. THERE IS NO POLITICAL SOLUTION. The collapse of TRUST in ANY REPORTING has DOOMED US. Yes.

 

There are VALID REASONS NOT TO TRUST ANY REPORTING from any side. Thus there can be no CONSENSUS...NO PLAN...and only an OUTCOME which is a GUARANTEE because of the INNUMERACY. (No plan can stop it anyway...)

 

LOL. ROTFLMAO.

 

 

 

 

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 04:43 | Link to Comment MsCreant
MsCreant's picture

Soooooo....

I see you are working on your stages, okay...

Tue, 01/14/2014 - 03:47 | Link to Comment Radical Marijuana
Radical Marijuana's picture

That is the way it looks to me too, Tall Tom:

"There are VALID REASONS NOT TO TRUST ANY REPORTING from any side.

Thus there can be no CONSENSUS..."

However, I find my own well-developed macabre sense of humour has worn out ...

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 03:14 | Link to Comment icanhasbailout
icanhasbailout's picture

lost me when it unironically referred to the IPCC as a source

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 05:30 | Link to Comment Euro Monster
Euro Monster's picture

I really start to think that there is absolutely NO SOLUTION for all this. Why? Because of IGNORANCE AND STUPIDITY OF THE MAJORITY OF PEOPLE (worshipers of capitalism included)! Thank you for your attention.

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 05:39 | Link to Comment niklasmattsson
niklasmattsson's picture

To all that has come to appreciate Zero Hedge, it is now referenced at GlobalEurope Anticipation Bulletin, http://www.leap2020.eu/English_r25.html, and to me this means it has been created to suck us in and now it is time to twist in the "right" direction of the usual Globalist propaganda.

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 06:08 | Link to Comment beaglebog
beaglebog's picture

Such a change would be similar to complete transformation of the UK during World War 2. Politics became unified and focused on a single major goal of survival in the face of the Nazi threat.

 

 

This is surely the most terrifying scenario.

 

Lest we forget, the "War" brought us confiscation of property, conscription, murder in the name of the common good and a host of other horrors. Collectivism.

 

I think the author let slip his mask, when he revealed to us his vision for this future society, waging war against climate change.

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 07:17 | Link to Comment Final Authority
Final Authority's picture

Bullshit.

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 08:54 | Link to Comment swedish etrade baby
swedish etrade baby's picture

I was reading the chemist Kary Mullis biography for the second time recently. He thought that James  Buchanans ideas can explain why we have NGOs that are in the business of scaring peopple of climate change and the ozone hole

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 08:02 | Link to Comment viator
viator's picture

What resource shortage?

What climate change?

Sustainability is Orwellspeak for anti-capitalism AKA Marxism.

 

 

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 09:29 | Link to Comment d edwards
d edwards's picture

A Utopian dream fueled by "hope-ium!"

 

What needs to be done is behead and uncoil the giant Anaconda of big gov't. that is suffocating the nation.

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 08:42 | Link to Comment North Sea Cowboy
North Sea Cowboy's picture

This guy says our central banks have nearly used up all thier reserves. What does he mean? They finally ran out of trees? What a clown.

Mon, 01/13/2014 - 09:35 | Link to Comment learning2
learning2's picture

When the ocean dies, the food chain is broken. The ocean is dying already. Wish it was different...

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